Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00  6-2 $3.90 $1.90 95%
    DD (1/5/2)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $6.70 $0.70 12%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S UP BRO 5 4 2½ 1nk   11 13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 2.50 19% 4.30 1.20 W
O ROMEO 3 3 1½ 2nk   21 23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 3.20  
CYCLONE 1 7 611½ 6   5 3 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 48% 1.10 2.80 S
R CARDINAL PRINCE 2 6 715 711¾   6 4 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 6.00 11% 8.50 5.50  
FALK 6 5 42 4   3 512½ (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 11.20  
RED COMET 4 2 5 5   79 612¾ (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00 47.20  
TOYI 7 1 32 3   46 713¼ (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 121 10.00 40.90  
SCR  CONSIDER ME               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
 
TDN-2   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING JEWEL 5 1 3 2½   1nk 1¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 28% 2.50 1.90 W
LADY LOTTIE 2 3 11 1½   2nk 2¼ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 1.80 35% 1.80 0.50 P
FULL TIME STRUTIN 3 2 21 3   38 312½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 41.80  
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 4 4 4 48   410 414 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 6.80  
ELIKA 1 5 56 510   512½ 516 (bailey ricard)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 12.90  
SCR  LITTLE EMPIRE               (reust megan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFENDER GAL 6 2 1nk 2nk   11 1¾ (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 54% 0.80 0.40 W
  (by FIRST DUDE out of LA DEFENDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
CATCHMENOW 3 3 5 4   31 2¾ (genovese richard )VELEZ J 119 10.00 66.80  
  (by TRUE MARCO out of SAINT BARBARA by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
SHEWEARSMYRING 2 7 6 6   5 3 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 6.20  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HAPPYBIRTHDAYBABY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SISTER CODE 1 4 7 7   6 4 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 10% 9.50 6.60  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
HOLY SKULL 7 1 2nk 3.2   4 5 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 15.00 13.20  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLY FORT by FORT LARNED)
DANCE MY WAY 5 6 31 1nk   21 63 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 16% 5.40 4.90  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PLEASANT DANCE by SOVEREIGN DANCER)
TRAMA QUEEN 4 5 4 5   7 717¾ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 15.00 42.90  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TRICIA'S TRAMA by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
 
TDN-4   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Greg Veit Scarlet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO OHIO 1 4 32 41   2½ 1½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.00 49% 1.00 0.50 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 5 2 2 1½   1½ 2½ (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 3.50 12% 7.10 4.40 P
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
TIVIS 4 5 67 5   4 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 17.60  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PRESELI'S PULPIT by PULPIT)
WINE ME UP BABY 3 3 1 3½   3 4 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 11% 7.90 3.00  
  (by KANTHAROS out of THUS by TIZNOW)
R THREE ANGELS 6 6 5 63   65 59 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 8.00 29.80  
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
AUNT BEE 2 7 712½ 78   78 610½ (ginter j)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 38.50  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SILKY SAMI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
KICHI KITSU 7 1 43 2½   5 713¼ (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 37.20  
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
 
TDN-5   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORVILLE B 2 5 1 1½   12 1 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 38% 1.60 0.40 W
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of REDISTHEROSE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
FORMYBOYS 5 3 2 2½   22 2 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 8% 11.00 6.90 P
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
AGNELLO CITY 7 2 32 3½   33 3 (skerrett j)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 12.30  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of HERE'S TO ROSE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
WHY KENNY WHY 1 6 42 4   4 44 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 14.00  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
MY BUDDY MICAH 4 4 8 7   6 5 (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 20.00 14.30  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
SOMETHING ON TAP 3 8 53 5   56 610 (murillo-ro)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
MY TICKET 6 7 7 8   8 711 (cline robert)HALDAR J 123 8.00 23% 3.30 9.30  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
RAISE YOU ONE 8 1 6 6   7 814¾ (mavec kath)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 12.00 20.20  
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
SCR  NIKAO               (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS WILDCATIN' out of MADAME ROYALE by LUHUK)
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE               (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BABY COLLETTE by PADDY O'PRADO)
 
TDN-6   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BUMBUM 5 3 3 2nk   2nk 11 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 1.20  
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of BUMBA BUMBA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
WINDY VALLEY 3 1 11 1nk   1nk 21 (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 40% 1.50 5.10 P
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
J. P INDY 2 5 43 4   4 3 (cline c)DIAZ I 119 3.50 18.00  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
DOMINUS O'S ME 1 2 21 3   3½ 4 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.00 36% 1.80 0.80  
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
DIMPLED 4 4 56 59   5 5 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 46.50  
  (by V. E. DAY out of DIMPLES by SMILE)
SCR  CLOUD PRINCESS               (radcliff dona)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GOLD INK by INVISIBLE INK)
 
TDN-7   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LITTLE BEAST 4 3 2nk 2½   2 1nk (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 5.20  
UPTOWN GUY 1 5 1nk 1½   1 2nk (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 15% 5.60 10.80 P
ALEXIS N NIKO 5 1 3.2 32   3 3½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 22% 3.50 0.30 S
ON HIS TOES 2 6 6 5   4 4 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 2.00 29% 2.50 3.90  
GOTIGER SPECIAL 3 4 5 6   6 5 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 29.50  
FLEET RUN 6 2 4¼ 4   55 6 (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 38.40  
 
TDN-8   10/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FLAG 7 1 1 1   13 1¼ (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.80 36% 1.80 0.70 W
  (by TIZNOW out of MISS PERSONALITY by EL PRADO (IRE))
LOCO 1 4 2 44   3 2¼ (hetric)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 3.10  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
QUICK QUICK WHIT 3 3 3 2   23 3 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.80 S
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
MOTOWN COLLECTION 5 2 4 32   44 44 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 8.50  
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
HURRICANES ABLOWIN 6 6 711¼ 611   6 57 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 11.70  
  (by INCLUDE out of BAD MOON RISING by MALIBU MOON)
ACESKINGSANQUEENS 4 5 5 5   5 6 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 20.00 86.90  
  (by BRAHMS out of HAYES by ZIGIANTE)
FINISTERE 2 7 6 712   712 716¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 8% 12.20 33.00  
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.