Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-2   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
TDN-3   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-5   Win (2/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $4.40  
TDN-7   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.40  
TDN-8   Win (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S UP BRO 5 4 2½ 1nk   11 13 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 2.50 19% 4.30 1.20 W
O ROMEO 3 3 1½ 2nk   21 23 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 3.20  
CYCLONE 1 7 611½ 6   5 3 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 48% 1.10 2.80 S
R CARDINAL PRINCE 2 6 715 711¾   6 4 (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 6.00 11% 8.50 5.50  
FALK 6 5 42 4   3 512½ (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 11.20  
RED COMET 4 2 5 5   79 612¾ (bailey r)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00 47.20  
TOYI 7 1 32 3   46 713¼ (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 121 10.00 40.90  
SCR  CONSIDER ME               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
 
TDN-2   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING JEWEL 5 1 3 2½   1nk 1¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 28% 2.50 1.90 W
LADY LOTTIE 2 3 11 1½   2nk 2¼ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 1.80 35% 1.80 0.50 P
FULL TIME STRUTIN 3 2 21 3   38 312½ (gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 41.80  
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 4 4 4 48   410 414 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 6.80  
ELIKA 1 5 56 510   512½ 516 (bailey ricardo)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 12.90  
SCR  LITTLE EMPIRE               (reust megan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFENDER GAL 6 2 1nk 2nk   11 1¾ (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 54% 0.80 0.40 W
CATCHMENOW 3 3 5 4   31 2¾ (genovese l)VELEZ J 119 10.00 66.80  
SHEWEARSMYRING 2 7 6 6   5 3 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 6.20  
SISTER CODE 1 4 7 7   6 4 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 10% 9.50 6.60  
HOLY SKULL 7 1 2nk 3.2   4 5 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 15.00 13.20  
DANCE MY WAY 5 6 31 1nk   21 63 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 16% 5.40 4.90  
TRAMA QUEEN 4 5 4 5   7 717¾ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 15.00 42.90  
 
TDN-4   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Greg Veit Scarlet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO OHIO 1 4 32 41   2½ 1½ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.00 49% 1.00 0.50 W
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 5 2 2 1½   1½ 2½ (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 3.50 12% 7.10 4.40 P
TIVIS 4 5 67 5   4 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 17.60  
WINE ME UP BABY 3 3 1 3½   3 4 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 11% 7.90 3.00  
R THREE ANGELS 6 6 5 63   65 59 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 8.00 29.80  
AUNT BEE 2 7 712½ 78   78 610½ (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 38.50  
KICHI KITSU 7 1 43 2½   5 713¼ (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 37.20  
 
TDN-5   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORVILLE B 2 5 1 1½   12 1 (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 38% 1.60 0.40 W
FORMYBOYS 5 3 2 2½   22 2 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 8% 11.00 6.90 P
AGNELLO CITY 7 2 32 3½   33 3 (skerrett jef)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 12.30  
WHY KENNY WHY 1 6 42 4   4 44 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 14.00  
MY BUDDY MICAH 4 4 8 7   6 5 (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 20.00 14.30  
SOMETHING ON TAP 3 8 53 5   56 610 (murillo-rodr)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
MY TICKET 6 7 7 8   8 711 (cline c)HALDAR J 123 8.00 23% 3.30 9.30  
RAISE YOU ONE 8 1 6 6   7 814¾ (mavec kathle)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 12.00 20.20  
SCR  NIKAO               (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 6.00    
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE               (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-6   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BUMBUM 5 3 3 2nk   2nk 11 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 1.20  
WINDY VALLEY 3 1 11 1nk   1nk 21 (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 40% 1.50 5.10 P
J. P INDY 2 5 43 4   4 3 (cline c)DIAZ I 119 3.50 18.00  
DOMINUS O'S ME 1 2 21 3   3½ 4 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.00 36% 1.80 0.80  
DIMPLED 4 4 56 59   5 5 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 46.50  
SCR  CLOUD PRINCESS               (radcliff donald)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LITTLE BEAST 4 3 2nk 2½   2 1nk (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 5.20  
UPTOWN GUY 1 5 1nk 1½   1 2nk (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 15% 5.60 10.80 P
ALEXIS N NIKO 5 1 3.2 32   3 3½ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 22% 3.50 0.30 S
ON HIS TOES 2 6 6 5   4 4 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 2.00 29% 2.50 3.90  
GOTIGER SPECIAL 3 4 5 6   6 5 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 29.50  
FLEET RUN 6 2 4¼ 4   55 6 (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 38.40  
 
TDN-8   10/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FLAG 7 1 1 1   13 1¼ (flores christ)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.80 36% 1.80 0.70 W
LOCO 1 4 2 44   3 2¼ (hetrick )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 3.10  
QUICK QUICK WHIT 3 3 3 2   23 3 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.80 S
MOTOWN COLLECTION 5 2 4 32   44 44 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 8.50  
HURRICANES ABLOWIN 6 6 711¼ 611   6 57 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 11.70  
ACESKINGSANQUEENS 4 5 5 5   5 6 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 20.00 86.90  
FINISTERE 2 7 6 712   712 716¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 8% 12.20 33.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.