Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-3   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (2/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-7   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYCLONE Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  R CARDINAL PRINCE Sep26 Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Aug03 (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 6.00 11% 8.50    
3  O ROMEO Sep25 Aug24 Jul31 Jul11 May29 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
4  RED COMET Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 (bailey r)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00    
5  WHAT'S UP BRO Aug23 Jun17 May29 Mar19 Feb20 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  CONSIDER ME Sep21 May29 May09 Apr04 Mar15 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
7  FALK Sep20 Aug23 Jul11 May29 Apr21 (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
8  TOYI Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 121 10.00    
 
TDN-2   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIKA Sep19 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun25 (bailey ricardo)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00    
2  LADY LOTTIE Sep19 Aug14 Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
3  FULL TIME STRUTIN Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 (gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE EMPIRE Sep14 Sep05 Jul11 May25 Dec08 (reust megan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
5  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Sep12 Aug22 Jul22 Jun21 May17 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
6  SPARKLING JEWEL Sep12 Aug26 Aug02 Jul06 Jun17 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-3   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER CODE Jun14 May25 May11 Apr25 Mar16 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 10% 9.50    
2  SHEWEARSMYRING Sep13 Aug23       (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
3  CATCHMENOW Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Sep20   (genovese l)VELEZ J 119 10.00    
4  TRAMA QUEEN Sep13 Aug07 Jun26 May25   (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
5  DANCE MY WAY Sep13         (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
6  DEFENDER GAL Sep13 Jan06 Dec04 Nov05 Oct09 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 54% 0.80    
7  HOLY SKULL Sep12 Aug29 Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Greg Veit Scarlet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK TO OHIO Aug26 Jul11 Oct29 Oct03 Aug13 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  AUNT BEE Sep22 Aug12 Mar14 Mar02 Jan18 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
3  WINE ME UP BABY Sep07 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 11% 7.90    
4  TIVIS Sep07 Jun02 May20 Apr11 Nov21 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
5  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Sep07 Aug12 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 3.50 12% 7.10    
6  R THREE ANGELS Sep26 May11 Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
7  KICHI KITSU Sep12 Aug02 May30 Apr27 Mar23 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00    
 
TDN-5   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY KENNY WHY Sep14 Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
2  ORVILLE B Sep14 Aug28 Jul05     (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  SOMETHING ON TAP Sep14 Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 (murillo-rodr)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY BUDDY MICAH Sep14 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 May25 (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
5  FORMYBOYS Sep14         (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 8% 11.00    
6  MY TICKET Sep14 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Mar29 (cline c)HALDAR J 123 8.00 23% 3.30    
7  AGNELLO CITY Aug22 Jul26 Jun12 May25   (skerrett jef)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
8  RAISE YOU ONE Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05   (mavec kathle)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 12.00    
SCR  NIKAO Sep14 Aug31 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 6.00    
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE Sep14 Aug28       (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-6   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINUS O'S ME Aug12 Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 May15 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  J. P INDY Aug31 Aug12       (cline c)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
3  WINDY VALLEY Sep19 Aug31 Aug12     (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  DIMPLED Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 Jul10 Dec08 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
SCR  CLOUD PRINCESS         (radcliff donald)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
6  MISS BUMBUM Aug30 Dec15 Nov15 Oct31   (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
 
TDN-7   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN GUY Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Jan28 Dec28 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  ON HIS TOES Aug31 Aug15 Jul24 Jun05 Apr27 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
3  GOTIGER SPECIAL Jun13 Dec13 Nov21 Oct27 Sep28 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
4  BAD LITTLE BEAST Sep04 Aug17 Jul19 Jul03 Jun05 (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00    
5  ALEXIS N NIKO Aug26 Aug13 Apr01 Mar19 Mar10 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 22% 3.50    
6  FLEET RUN Jun13 Mar15 Feb18 Jan25 Jan12 (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   10/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCO Sep11 Aug11 Jul09 Jun22 Nov09 (hetrick )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
2  FINISTERE         (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 8% 12.20    
3  QUICK QUICK WHIT Jun21 Jun05 Apr16 Mar16 Jan27 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  ACESKINGSANQUEENS Sep11 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 20.00    
5  MOTOWN COLLECTION Sep11 Aug23 Jul31 Feb14 Dec30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
6  HURRICANES ABLOWIN         (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
7  MAJESTIC FLAG Sep06 Jul31 May12 Mar12 Jan13 (flores christ)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.