Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-2   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.40  
TDN-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TDN-4   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-5   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-6   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $8.60  
TDN-7   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-8   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 6 3 51¼ 31½   2nk 11 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 40% 1.50 0.70 W
1  LADY ABRIL 1 5 63¼ 64¼   42¼ 21 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 12.10  
7  APPEALING SENORITA 7 2 3.2 1nk   1nk 34 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 4.20  
3  STAR MABEE 3 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 47¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 121 2.50 33% 2.00 3.10  
5  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 5 6 41¼ 53¾   74¾ 57¾ (skeens jeremy)MARCANO Y 118 6.00 23.80  
2  CARMEN OHIO 2 7 75¼ 76¼   64¼ 68 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
4  DOUBLE EDGED 4 4 2nk 41¾   54¼ 711¼ (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 119 8.00 12.00  
 
TDN-2   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:131     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CANDY CRUSHEM 2 3 12½ 1½ 11 1½ 11½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 2.20  
5  LAZARUS PROJECT 5 1 36½ 35½ 31½ 2½ 21½ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 7% 13.60 5.20 P
4  ITASCA 4 7 68½ 68½ 43 33½ 34¾ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 123 1.80 68% 0.50 1.10 S
6  GEH SCHNELL 6 6 711 710 76 65 45¾ (manning c)VELEZ J 123 10.00 49.90  
7  ONLYATTHESHOE 7 2 57½ 57½ 64 54½ 56¼ (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 34.30  
3  EXALTED JOY 3 5 47½ 47 54 75¼ 67 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
1  KOSCIUSZKO 1 4 22½ 2½ 21 44½ 78½ (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 7.50  
 
TDN-3   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:11     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEER CHASER 1 2 11½ 12½ 11 11 12 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 20% 4.10 2.50 W
5  BUCK MOON 4 5 45½ 22½ 21 21 22 (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 48% 1.10 0.50 P
3  STAR HAWK 2 3 35 46 34 33 32 (erdel john)DIAZ I 119 12.00 8% 10.80 6.20 S
6  STATESBORO 5 1 21½ 33½ 48 49 418 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 6.00 23.80  
4  HUNTER SCOTT 3 4 56½ 611½ 615½ 512 520¾ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 21.50  
8  STRIKE APPEAL 6 6 67 56½ 513½ 612 623¼ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 20.00  
SCR  COMPLY (NZ)               (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
SCR  I WANNA WIN               (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.00    
 
TDN-4   09/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:004     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IRONCLAD ALIBI 2 5 32½ 32   32 1nk (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 118 1.80 56% 0.80 1.10 W
6  WHO DA BOSS 6 3 21 2½   1½ 2nk (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 5.00 2.20  
4  ROMANIAN PRINCE 4 1 11 1½   2½ 32 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 2.00 4.60  
5  GRAY TORMENTOR 5 4 54 55   55 47½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 49.30  
1  RAMBLER 1 2 42½ 43   44½ 510½ (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 118 3.50 8.00  
3  SKIPTHEGUILTTRIP 3 6 68½ 68½   67½ 612¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 8.00 16% 5.30 6.20  
 
TDN-5   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  I RECALL 2 5 34 41¼ 1½ 13 14½ (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 1.80 34% 1.90 0.90 W
6  MARKET SUCCESS 6 3 44 31 41½ 23 24½ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 4.20  
3  SONNET 3 2 12 1nk 31 44½ 38¼ (rotunno r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 14% 6.10 3.90 S
4  R THREE ANGELS 4 1 22 2nk 2½ 34½ 48¼ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10 2.70  
5  SHE'S CRAFTY 5 4 615½ 611¼ 611½ 611 516¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00 32.80  
1  JETTIN PEGASUS 1 6 510 55¼ 56½ 510½ 618¼ (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 49.30  
 
TDN-6   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:121     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZERO GRAVITY 4 5 510 45½ 32 1½ 13½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 2.00 3.30  
1  MY BROTHER CAM 1 3 33 21 2nk 2½ 23½ (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.50 5% 19.00 4.20 P
6  ROYAL DRAGOON 5 4 49½ 55½ 55½ 43½ 35½ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 62% 0.60 1.20 S
3  PATIO PARTY 3 1 11½ 11 1nk 31 46¼ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 6.20 DQ↓5
2  TOE TAPPIN LUKE 2 2 21½ 31½ 44 54 58¾ (sweeting )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 3.70  
SCR  THE DRAKE               (flores christian)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
 
TDN-7   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITCH CITY 1 6 11 12   15 15¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 1.80 43% 1.30 1.30 W
3  CHILLVILLE 3 5 21 22   25 25¾ (lopez jac)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 5.50  
2  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 2 7 54½ 58   410 38 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 4.00  
6  SWEET CHELSEA 6 4 716 718½   615½ 411¼ (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 23.30  
5  HOSANNA 5 2 42½ 33½   39 514 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 34% 2.00 1.80  
4  WAR MOON 4 3 31½ 48   515 624¼ (doering mar)GONZALES J 114 20.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
7  DISCREET ENERGY 7 1 66 614   725½ 740½ (syed riaz)VELEZ J 119 20.00 49.80  
 
TDN-8   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INSOLITO 4 1 12 12   1½ 12 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 1.90  
1  CITY OF CLOUDS 1 5 22 32   2½ 22 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 3.00 29% 2.40 2.80 P
7  BUCKEYE SKY 7 2 33 44½   44½ 34½ (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 115 2.00 31% 2.30 4.50 S
3  GOING IN STYLE 3 7 43 22   32 45¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 115 15.00 13.90  
6  R CARDINAL PRINCE 6 3 64¾ 67   67 56 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 19% 4.30 2.00  
5  LAND REMEMBERED 5 6 79¾ 78½   56½ 66¾ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 49.80  
2  LUCKY NINETEEN 2 4 54½ 56½   77 78¼ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 8.00 32.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.