The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
TDN-2   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.40 -6.00
TDN-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TDN-4   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
TDN-5   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
TDN-6   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $8.60 -4.00
TDN-7   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
TDN-8   Win (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.80 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:224 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 6 3 5 3   2nk 11 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 40% 1.50 0.70 W
LADY ABRIL 1 5 6 6   421 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 12.10  
APPEALING SENORITA 7 2 3.2 1nk   1nk 34 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 4.20  
STAR MABEE 3 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 4(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 121 2.50 33% 2.00 3.10  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 5 6 4 5   75(skeens jeremy)MARCANO Y 118 6.00 23.80  
CARMEN OHIO 2 7 7 7   668 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
DOUBLE EDGED 4 4 2nk 4   5711¼ (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 119 8.00 12.00  
 
TDN-2   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:244 :481 1:131     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY CRUSHEM 2 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 1(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 2.20  
LAZARUS PROJECT 5 1 3 3 3 2½ 2(bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 7% 13.60 5.20 P
ITASCA 4 7 6 6 43 33(urieta johanna)BRACHO A 123 1.80 68% 0.50 1.10 S
GEH SCHNELL 6 6 711 710 76 65 4(manning c)VELEZ J 123 10.00 49.90  
ONLYATTHESHOE 7 2 5 5 64 55(spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 34.30  
EXALTED JOY 3 5 4 47 54 767 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
KOSCIUSZKO 1 4 2 2½ 21 47(brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 7.50  
 
TDN-3   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:232 :462 1:11     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER CHASER 1 2 1 1 11 11 12 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 20% 4.10 2.50 W
BUCK MOON 4 5 4 2 21 21 22 (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 48% 1.10 0.50 P
STAR HAWK 2 3 35 46 34 33 32 (erdel john)DIAZ I 119 12.00 8% 10.80 6.20 S
STATESBORO 5 1 2 3 48 49 418 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 6.00 23.80  
HUNTER SCOTT 3 4 5 611½ 615½ 512 520¾ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 21.50  
STRIKE APPEAL 6 6 67 5 513½ 612 623¼ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 20.00  
SCR  COMPLY               (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
SCR  I WANNA WIN               (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.00    
 
TDN-4   09/26/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
:231 :481 1:004     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRONCLAD ALIBI 2 5 3 32   32 1nk (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 118 1.80 56% 0.80 1.10 W
WHO DA BOSS 6 3 21 2½   1½ 2nk (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 5.00 2.20  
ROMANIAN PRINCE 4 1 11 1½   2½ 32 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 2.00 4.60  
GRAY TORMENTOR 5 4 54 55   55 4(vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 49.30  
RAMBLER 1 2 4 43   4510½ (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 118 3.50 8.00  
SKIPTHEGUILTTRIP 3 6 6 6   6612¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 8.00 16% 5.30 6.20  
 
TDN-5   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
:234 :48 1:124     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I RECALL 2 5 34 4 1½ 13 1(bourke john)STANLEY O 119 1.80 34% 1.90 0.90 W
MARKET SUCCESS 6 3 44 31 4 23 2(jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 4.20  
SONNET 3 2 12 1nk 31 43(rotunno r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 14% 6.10 3.90 S
R THREE ANGELS 4 1 22 2nk 2½ 34(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10 2.70  
SHE'S CRAFTY 5 4 615½ 611¼ 611½ 611 516¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00 32.80  
JETTIN PEGASUS 1 6 510 5 5 510½ 618¼ (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 49.30  
 
TDN-6   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:241 :474 1:121     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZERO GRAVITY 4 5 510 4 32 1½ 1(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 2.00 3.30  
MY BROTHER CAM 1 3 33 21 2nk 2½ 2(ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.50 5% 19.00 4.20 P
ROYAL DRAGOON 5 4 4 5 5 43(urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 62% 0.60 1.20 S
PATIO PARTY 3 1 1 11 1nk 31 4(galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 6.20 DQ↓5
TOE TAPPIN LUKE 2 2 2 3 44 54 5(sweeting )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 3.70  
SCR  THE DRAKE               (flores christian)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
 
TDN-7   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:223 :461 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HITCH CITY 1 6 11 12   15 1(johnson l)DIAZ I 119 1.80 43% 1.30 1.30 W
CHILLVILLE 3 5 21 22   25 2(lopez jac)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 5.50  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 2 7 5 58   410 38 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 4.00  
SWEET CHELSEA 6 4 716 718½   615½ 411¼ (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 23.30  
HOSANNA 5 2 4 3   39 514 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 34% 2.00 1.80  
WAR MOON 4 3 3 48   515 624¼ (doering mar)GONZALES J 114 20.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
DISCREET ENERGY 7 1 66 614   725½ 740½ (syed riaz)VELEZ J 119 20.00 49.80  
 
TDN-8   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:221 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSOLITO 4 1 12 12   1½ 12 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 1.90  
CITY OF CLOUDS 1 5 22 32   2½ 22 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 3.00 29% 2.40 2.80 P
BUCKEYE SKY 7 2 33 4   43(maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 115 2.00 31% 2.30 4.50 S
GOING IN STYLE 3 7 43 22   32 4(bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 115 15.00 13.90  
R CARDINAL PRINCE 6 3 6 67   67 56 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 19% 4.30 2.00  
LAND REMEMBERED 5 6 7 7   56(urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 49.80  
LUCKY NINETEEN 2 4 5 5   77 7(loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 8.00 32.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.