Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/5/3)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/2/3)-(2/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(2/4/3)-(6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/1)-(1/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(1/5/4)-(7/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ABRIL Sep06 Aug10 Jul04 Jun12 May25 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
2  CARMEN OHIO Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul04 May29 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  STAR MABEE Sep06 Aug10 Jul19 Jul04 May29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  DOUBLE EDGED Aug30 Jul05 Jun19 May03 Mar30 (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
5  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Aug30 Aug10 Jul14 May26 May13 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 118 6.00    
6  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Aug31 Feb23 Feb14 Jan28 Dec30 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  APPEALING SENORITA Sep18 Sep06 Aug21 Aug10 Aug01 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 4.50    
 
TDN-2   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOSCIUSZKO Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Sep21 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00    
2  CANDY CRUSHEM Sep11 Jul27 Jul11 Nov28 Nov08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
3  EXALTED JOY Sep18 Sep02 Jul12 Jun30 Jun22 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ITASCA May30 Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 Jun30 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 1.80 68% 0.50    
5  LAZARUS PROJECT Sep18 Sep05 Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 7% 13.60    
6  GEH SCHNELL Sep11 Jul27 Jul03 Jun24 Jun13 (manning c)VELEZ J 123 10.00    
7  ONLYATTHESHOE Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul30 Dec07 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
 
TDN-3   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMPLY (NZ) Aug28 Aug16 Jul20 May10 Apr11 (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
2  BEER CHASER Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 May30 Apr16 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  STAR HAWK Aug28 Aug09 Feb08 Dec05 Nov10 (erdel john)DIAZ I 119 12.00 8% 10.80    
4  HUNTER SCOTT Aug06 Jul16 Apr11 Feb08 Dec14 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
5  BUCK MOON Aug17 Jul19 Jun10 Apr29 Mar23 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  STATESBORO Aug28 Aug15 Jul14 Jun27   (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
SCR  I WANNA WIN Aug12 Jun27 Jun06 May10 Oct29 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.00    
8  STRIKE APPEAL Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 Sep07 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
 
TDN-4   09/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMBLER Sep06         (radosevich jef)GONZALEZ A 118 3.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HOPEFAITHJOY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
2  IRONCLAD ALIBI Sep06 Aug15       (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 118 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MUSIC MISS by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
3  SKIPTHEGUILTTRIP         (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of MY HOPE AMERICA by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  ROMANIAN PRINCE Sep06 Aug15       (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 2.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MASTIC by HARLINGTON)
5  GRAY TORMENTOR Sep06 Aug15       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
6  WHO DA BOSS Sep06         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COME SUNDAY by WIND AND WUTHERING)
 
TDN-5   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JETTIN PEGASUS Sep13 Aug21 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00    
2  I RECALL Aug12 Jul22 Jun19 May22 Oct29 (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 1.80 34% 1.90    
3  SONNET Aug12 Jul17 Jun12 May22 Apr12 (rotunno sydney )BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 14% 6.10    
4  R THREE ANGELS May11 Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 Jan18 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  SHE'S CRAFTY Aug12 Jul25 Jul03 Mar14 Feb06 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00    
6  MARKET SUCCESS Aug12 Jul20 Jun24 Jun07 May09 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00    
 
TDN-6   09/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER CAM Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 Jun14 May22 (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Sep05 Aug16 Jul08 Jun15 May25 (sweetin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00    
3  PATIO PARTY Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 Jun14 May22 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
4  ZERO GRAVITY Aug06 Jul16 Jun05 May16 Mar14 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 2.00    
SCR  THE DRAKE Aug22 Jul31 Jul06 Jun15 May24 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
6  ROYAL DRAGOON Sep05 Aug02 Jul24 Jul05 May23 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
 
TDN-7   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITCH CITY Aug29 Aug15 Jun26 Apr27 Sep28 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
2  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Sep14 Aug15 Jul26 Jun26 Feb07 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
3  CHILLVILLE Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jun01 May06 (lopez j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
4  WAR MOON Aug29 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 (doering m)GONZALES J 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOSANNA Aug29 Jul26 Jun26 Jun13 Apr27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  SWEET CHELSEA Sep14 Jul27 Jun26 Jun13 May25 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
7  DISCREET ENERGY Aug02 May25 Jan03 Nov19 Sep12 (syed riaz)VELEZ J 119 20.00    
 
TDN-8   09/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY OF CLOUDS Sep06 Aug24 Jul26 Jun21 Jun06 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  LUCKY NINETEEN Aug21 Aug16 Aug06 Jun24 Oct25 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 8.00    
3  GOING IN STYLE Sep18 Aug20 Aug04 Jul15 Jun01 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 115 15.00    
4  INSOLITO Sep07 Aug04 Jul06 May21 Apr14 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
5  LAND REMEMBERED Sep07 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 Dec29 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
6  R CARDINAL PRINCE Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Aug03 Jul10 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 19% 4.30    
7  BUCKEYE SKY Dec30 Oct29 Aug25     (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 115 2.00 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.