The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $4.80 -6.00
TDN-2   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.40 -4.00
TDN-3   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $38.60 -6.00
TDN-4   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $24.20 -6.00
TDN-5   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 14.00
TDN-6   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TDN-7   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -0.60
TDN-8   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TROUBLED WATERS 5 6 4 31   11 1(faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 3.50 1.40  
WHYNAUGHTY 3 4 32 42   44 2(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 3.00 26% 2.80 6.50 P
GO GIRL 4 2 11 1nk   21 3(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.00 4.70  
RONNI'S WIND 1 3 54 54   54(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00 19% 4.20 3.20  
KISS VALENTINA 6 1 21 2nk   32 5(castro a)BRACHO A 115 5.00 6.40  
BETTER HALF 2 5 64 6   6615 (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 110 10.00 22% 3.50 6.10  
SCR  CHILLVILLE               (lopez jac)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
SCR  MERE BAG OF SHELLS               (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 117 6.00    
 
TDN-2   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
:233 :482 1:02     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C MORE PRIDE 4 1 4 4   2nk 1(faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00 1.70  
THE KID'S PRAYER 3 2 3.2 1½   1nk 2(rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 4.50 13% 6.80 1.70 P
TITEBLUEJEANS 5 3 5 5   53(rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00 38% 1.60 3.50 S
HAUGHTY PRAISE 2 5 2nk 3½   3411 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 121 15.00 22.10  
MISS MARY JEAN 1 4 1nk 2½   4515¾ (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 110 3.50 3.20  
SCR  FRIENDLY MERGER               (syed riaz)VELEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  MANDOLIN BREEZE               (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 115 2.00    
 
TDN-3   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
:231 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JETTIN PEGASUS 4 5 5 3   31hd (suarez javier)HALDAR J 119 6.00 18.30  
APPEALING SENORITA 5 3 21 2½   1½ 2hd (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 2.50 3.20  
TALE OF THE LYON 1 1 11 1½   2½ 3(pool)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 12% 7.00 4.00 S
LADY ABRIL 3 6 6 6   44(yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 9% 9.90 4.30  
CATABOUT 6 2 43 54   55(faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 22.60  
CAT'S RHYTHM 2 4 33 44   66(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 49% 1.10 0.90  
 
TDN-4   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:231 :472 1:131     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POT COMMITTED 1 5 5 6 58 32 1(faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 11.10  
DECEITFUL 6 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 2(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.00 1.70 P
PERMAFROST 3 8 610¼ 56 44 435 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 42% 1.40 4.90 S
QUARANTINO 7 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 45 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 115 6.00 35% 1.90 2.30  
TIMESATAPPIN 2 7 711¼ 7 615 67 5(loudin-smith l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
GOING IN STYLE 5 6 4 3½ 3½ 54 6(bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00 7.30  
FOGGY ALBION 8 3 819¼ 823¾ 821 712 712 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 121 8.00 51.70  
FARMHAND 4 1 3.2 4 718 825 8100 (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 66.70  
 
TDN-5   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:223 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGER 3 4 3 2½   12 1(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 12% 7.50 8.00 W
MON CAMO 2 1 2½ 3   22 2(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 6.60  
VENETIAN DREAM 5 2 5 5   56 3(bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 13.90  
IT'S OFFICIAL 1 5 45 42   44 4(juarez lorenzo)BRACHO A 119 8.00 25.80  
UOTTALIKEIT 4 3 1½ 1½   32 511½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 54% 0.90 0.10  
SCR  RHYTHMIC RULER               (west m)AVILES YAN 123 1.80    
 
TDN-6   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:24 :484 1:134 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE IN A FLASH 5 4 22 22 1nk 11¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 24% 3.20 2.50 W
K KID 3 3 3 4 4 22¾ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 9.70  
MASTER OF WAR 2 2 4 3 5 43¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 4.10  
DISTORTED LIMITS 6 5 54 6 6 64(galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 119 6.00 12% 7.60 2.50  
LEMON DROP SHOT 4 6 6 53 31 35(puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 38% 1.70 2.50  
HENRY THE CAT 1 1 12 12 2nk 5611¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00 9.70  
 
TDN-7   10/06/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:223 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME HEIST 1 3 33 3   21 1(watkins )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 1.80 53% 0.90 0.70 W
ALL FOOLS DAY 2 4 43 2   32 2(bowersock maria)ALLEN D 119 5.00 4.00  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 5 1 12 1   11 33 (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 18% 4.60 4.20 S
DIAMONDS ENJOY 4 2 22 44   44(galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 5.60  
VALIANT THOR 3 5 54 57   511½ 517 (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 8.80  
SCR  HEY SACH               (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:231 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 3 5 2nk 1nk   1nk 1(vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 28% 2.60 1.00 W
THE DRAKE 6 1 54 5   42(flores christian)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10 P
SIMPLY VALID 1 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 3(atala jose)DIAZ I 121 2.00 46% 1.20 3.10 S
SUSIE'S KID 2 4 31 3   34(rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 4.90  
RAISE THE PURSES 4 6 6 6   6510¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 6.60  
ZAKARIA 5 3 4 42   5615¾ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.50 6.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.