Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $18.00 $14.00 350%
TDN-6   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.00 $1.00 17%
TDN-7   PK3 (5/3)-(4/5/6)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5-1 $38.00 $26.00 217%
TDN-8   EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $16.60 $10.60 177%
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6-1 $63.70 $57.70 962%
    PK4 (5/3)-(4/5/6)-(1/5)-(1/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-5-1/6-3 $69.80 $51.80 288%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IN TROUBLED WATERS 5 6 42½ 31   11 12¾ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 3.50 1.40  
3  WHYNAUGHTY 3 4 32 42   44 22¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 3.00 26% 2.80 6.50 P
4  GO GIRL 4 2 11 1nk   21 34½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.00 4.70  
1  RONNI'S WIND 1 3 54 54   55½ 45¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00 19% 4.20 3.20  
8  KISS VALENTINA 6 1 21 2nk   32 57½ (castro raquel)BRACHO A 115 5.00 6.40  
2  BETTER HALF 2 5 64 64½   68½ 615 (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 110 10.00 22% 3.50 6.10  
SCR  CHILLVILLE               (lopez j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
SCR  MERE BAG OF SHELLS               (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 117 6.00    
 
TDN-2   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:02     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  C MORE PRIDE 4 1 41¾ 41½   2nk 12¾ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00 1.70  
3  THE KID'S PRAYER 3 2 3.2 1½   1nk 22¾ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 4.50 13% 6.80 1.70 P
7  TITEBLUEJEANS 5 3 52¼ 54½   52¾ 34¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00 38% 1.60 3.50 S
2  HAUGHTY PRAISE 2 5 2nk 3½   32½ 411 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 121 15.00 22.10  
1  MISS MARY JEAN 1 4 1nk 2½   42¾ 515¾ (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 110 3.50 3.20  
SCR  FRIENDLY MERGER               (syed riaz)VELEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  MANDOLIN BREEZE               (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 115 2.00    
 
TDN-3   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JETTIN PEGASUS 4 5 54½ 32½   31½ 1hd (suarez javie)HALDAR J 119 6.00 18.30  
5  APPEALING SENORITA 5 3 21 2½   1½ 2hd (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 2.50 3.20  
1  TALE OF THE LYON 1 1 11 1½   2½ 32½ (po)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 12% 7.00 4.00 S
3  LADY ABRIL 3 6 65½ 64½   44½ 42¾ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 9% 9.90 4.30  
6  CATABOUT 6 2 43 54   55½ 56¾ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 22.60  
2  CAT'S RHYTHM 2 4 33 44   65½ 69¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 49% 1.10 0.90  
 
TDN-4   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:131     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POT COMMITTED 1 5 55¾ 66¼ 58 32 11¾ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 11.10  
6  DECEITFUL 6 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 21¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.00 ★ 1.70 P
3  PERMAFROST 3 8 610¼ 56 44 43½ 35 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 42% 1.40 4.90 S
7  QUARANTINO 7 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 45 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 115 6.00 35% 1.90 2.30  
2  TIMESATAPPIN 2 7 711¼ 78¾ 615 67 55¼ (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
5  GOING IN STYLE 5 6 42¼ 3½ 3½ 54 69¼ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00 7.30  
8  FOGGY ALBION 8 3 819¼ 823¾ 821 712 712 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 121 8.00 51.70  
4  FARMHAND 4 1 3.2 44½ 718 825 8100 (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 66.70  
 
TDN-5   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AUGER 3 4 32½ 2½   12 15¼ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 12% 7.50 8.00 W
2  MON CAMO 2 1 2½ 31½   22 25¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 6.60  
6  VENETIAN DREAM 5 2 55½ 56½   56 36½ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 13.90  
1  IT'S OFFICIAL 1 5 45 42   44 47¼ (juarez lorenz)BRACHO A 119 8.00 25.80  
5  UOTTALIKEIT 4 3 1½ 1½   32 511½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 54% 0.90 0.10  
SCR  RHYTHMIC RULER               (west m)AVILES YAN 123 1.80    
 
TDN-6   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:134 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GONE IN A FLASH 5 4 22 22 1nk 11½ 1¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 24% 3.20 2.50 W
3  K KID 3 3 32½ 42½ 41¼ 21½ 2¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 9.70  
2  MASTER OF WAR 2 2 43½ 32½ 53¾ 43½ 3¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 4.10  
6  DISTORTED LIMITS 6 5 54 63¼ 63¾ 65½ 46½ (galloway khade)DIAZ I 119 6.00 12% 7.60 2.50  
4  LEMON DROP SHOT 4 6 64½ 53 31 33½ 58¼ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 38% 1.70 2.50  
1  HENRY THE CAT 1 1 12 12 2nk 54½ 611¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00 9.70  
 
TDN-7   10/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME HEIST 1 3 33 33½   21 12¼ (watkin)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 1.80 53% 0.90 0.70 W
2  ALL FOOLS DAY 2 4 43 23½   32 22¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 5.00 4.00  
5  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 5 1 12 13½   11 33 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 18% 4.60 4.20 S
4  DIAMONDS ENJOY 4 2 22 44   45½ 49¼ (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 5.60  
3  VALIANT THOR 3 5 54 57   511½ 517 (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 8.80  
SCR  HEY SACH               (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 3 5 2nk 1nk   1nk 11¾ (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 28% 2.60 1.00 W
6  THE DRAKE 6 1 54 53½   44¾ 21¾ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10 P
1  SIMPLY VALID 1 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 31¾ (atala jose)DIAZ I 121 2.00 46% 1.20 3.10 S
2  SUSIE'S KID 2 4 31 31½   34½ 45¼ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 4.90  
4  RAISE THE PURSES 4 6 65½ 67½   69¼ 510¾ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 6.60  
5  ZAKARIA 5 3 42½ 42   57¼ 615¾ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.50 6.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.