Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.40 $1.40 23%
CT-3   WIN (8/3/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $12.00 $2.00 20%
    EXA (8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-3 $32.10 $12.10 61%
    TRI (8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00  6-3-4 $268.10 $208.10 347%
    DD (5/6/4)-(8/3/6/4/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00  5-6 $43.80 $13.80 46%
CT-4   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $17.00 $5.00 42%
    DD (8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-4 $53.40 $13.40 34%
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00  5-6-4 $125.70 $65.70 110%
CT-5   WIN (4/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    EXA (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-5 $27.50 $15.50 129%
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-9 $89.20 $57.20 179%
    PK3 (8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00  6-4-9 $263.30 $183.30 229%
CT-6   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $20.20 $14.20 237%
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2 $33.20 $27.20 453%
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2-4 $80.50 $74.50 1242%
    DD (4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-7 $132.80 $108.80 453%
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00  4-9-7 $504.50 $456.50 951%
CT-8   PK6 (8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7)-(4/3/5)-(10/2/5/4) 2880 $1.00 $2880  6-4-9-7-6-10 $6863 $3983 138%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:144     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERETODAYGONMANANA 2 1 612½ 4   44 1 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 6.30  
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 4 3 11 11   13 2 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 9% 10.30 4.10 P
EX RATED 6 6 512 5   54 3 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 10.70  
DIVA ROSE 3 4 4 610½   65 4 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 27.30  
TRUE FLIRT 5 5 31 3   23 5 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 18% 4.70 0.80  
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE 1 2 21 21   3 6 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 46% 1.20 3.70  
 
CT-2   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNIS TAP 5 7 7 53   2½ 1 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 30% 2.30 2.70 W
JACKYSINTHECASTLE 3 3 3 42   3½ 2 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 4.50 5.70  
ELLIES AT WINDSOR 6 4 2½ 11   1½ 3 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.40 S
APPEALING ROAD 1 2 6 75   6 48 (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 1.50  
WAGER WORTHY 7 6 4 32   5 5 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 15.10  
BLUE MOUNTAIN 4 1 1½ 21   4 611¼ (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 12% 7.00 10.50  
SARAH'S WARRIOR 2 5 53 64   711 722½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00 28.50  
 
CT-3   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:16     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL CATCHER 6 8 7 42   21 1½ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 10% 8.90 5.00 W
  (by MO TOWN out of TUXEDO LADY by ARCHARCHARCH)
RACING HOT LINE 3 2 44 31   11 2½ (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 30% 2.30 4.20 P
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
YACHTSMEN 4 10 1013¾ 9   53 3 (runco c)BATISTA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.10 S
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HELLUVA HUNCH by TAPIT)
LOVE IS WICKED 1 1 8 10   9 4 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 9.70  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  ALEXANDER GRADY 10 7 9 8   66 5 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 14.40  
  (by ASTERN out of ACROSS by CITY ZIP)
CANDY FOR JUBA 7 5 5 2½   4 6 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART 8 6 3 1½   31 7 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.60  
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
GOGO GADGET 5 4 2 6   7 818½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 8.30  
  (by ALDRIN out of LITTLEMISSGOGO by WAR FRONT)
BRADLEY DO RIGHT 2 3 1 52   8 918¾ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00 57.10  
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
VALHALLA'S PALACE 9 9 6 7   1011¼ 1024 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 6.10  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM DUE by CATIENUS)
 
CT-4   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY 4 3 31 1½   1½ 1½ (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 17% 4.80 4.60 W
MIDNIGHT REGRET 6 5 5 3   2½ 2½ (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 20% 4.10 1.50 P
HIGHWAY QUEEN 8 8 7 5   34 3 (miller marli)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 8.20  
HOVEL 5 7 811¾ 812¾   6 4 (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 118 20.00 43.40  
IRISH SAMURAI 7 6 6 7   57 5 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 44.60  
SEEMS TO WHISPER 1 1 1nk 2½   44 67 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 9% 10.00 2.00  
STOPWATCHSONNY 2 2 42 6   7 713¾ (pickett c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 16.20  
SURCHARGE 3 4 2nk 4   812½ 819¾ (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 21% 3.80 8.90  
 
CT-5   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:151     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN LADY 8 7 21 2nk   1½ 11 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 10% 9.30 3.50 W
DENALI D'ORO 5 3 85 76   65 21 (schlicht erika)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 9% 10.50 6.10 P
10  PRINCESS HALO 9 9 32 3½   2½ 3 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 19.10  
DEREKA'S BLUFF 6 5 4 53   43 44 (venham d)BATISTA C 122 10.00 13.90  
OUR GREAT NOTION 4 2 11 1nk   31 5 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.60 32% 2.10 1.50  
ODINA 7 8 6 4   54 6 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 5.40  
SNEAKY LYNK 1 1 74 65   86 7 (boggs joanna)CULLUM W 120 5.00 26% 2.80 8.70  
HOOK THE CHAIN 2 4 9 8   76 810¼ (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 35.90  
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 3 6 53 97   910 920 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00 17.30  
SCR  GOLDEN SALLY               (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
SCR  JUJU ON DA BEAT               (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMMA SQUEEZE 6 4 11 1½   1nk 1½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00 20% 4.00 9.10 W
BON BUENO 1 2 53 4¾   2nk 2½ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.80 29% 2.50 0.20 P
RAGTIME RICHES 3 6 65 5   34 33 (farrior anthon)REYNOLDS C 120 2.00 27% 2.60 4.40 S
SURF CITY GOLD 2 1 32 6   6 413 (mckenzie danie)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 26.90  
ZALFIERRO 4 3 42 3½   4 514¼ (lusk br)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 37.00  
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY 7 7 21 2½   5 616½ (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 18.90  
SEIZE THE BREEZE 5 5 7 716¼   716½ 722¾ (rodriguez ang)BATISTA C 120 10.00 45.50  
SCR  VOICE OF NOW               (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARNOUGHT 6 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 18.90  
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 3 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 15% 5.50 1.50 P
SHAMELESS RISK 4 2 4 31   3½ 3 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00 55% 0.80 2.60 S
RIVER CROSROAD RVF 5 6 5 53   42 44 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 9% 10.20 1.30  
RUN TO DAYLIGHT 1 1 3 42   5 57 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 21.50  
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE 2 3 6 68   6 612 (clatterbuck f)ADAMS L 111 20.00 34.90  
SCR  THE ILLUSIONIST               (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RIVERVIEW STEVIE 9 8 21 21   1nk 1¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 43% 1.30 2.50 W
RIDE THE RAPIDS 2 3 4 3   2nk 2¾ (capuano phillip)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 26% 2.90 1.70 P
MY SISTER PAM 8 9 85 74   3 36 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 8.00  
WICKED WISDOM 5 7 74 5   5 4 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
WEST VIRGINIA PAM 1 1 32 8   7 512 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 20.00 28.00  
BROADWAY PEGGY 3 2 11 11   4 613 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 30.00 73.80  
WISHING FOR SPRING 6 5 63 64   6 715¾ (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 11.20  
LILY'S LEAD 7 6 9 9   910¼ 818½ (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 7.80  
WICKED SAUCY 4 4 5 4   8 926 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT               (sewell l)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.