The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Charles Town
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $14.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 0 $33.30 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4-6 3 0 $157.00 -6.00
CT-2   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
    Exacta (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-3 2 0 $14.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-3-6 3 0 $62.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/5/4)-(5/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-5 2 0 $40.40 -18.00
CT-3   Win (8/3/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 2.00
    Exacta (8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 6-3 2 1 $32.10 $32.10 12.10
    Trifecta (8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 6-3-4 3 1 $268.10 $268.10 208.10
    Daily Double (5/6/4)-(8/3/6/4/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 5-6 2 1 $43.80 $43.80 13.80
    Pick Three (1/5/4)-(5/6/4)-(8/3/6/4/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 2-5-6 3 0 $178.50 -45.00
CT-4   Win (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
    Exacta (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-6 2 1 $17.00 $17.00 5.00
    Trifecta (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-6-8 3 0 $66.80 -24.00
    Daily Double (8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 6-4 2 1 $53.40 $53.40 13.40
    Pick Three (5/6/4)-(8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-6-4 3 1 $125.70 $125.70 65.70
CT-5   Win (4/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
    Exacta (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-5 2 1 $27.50 $27.50 15.50
    Trifecta (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 9-5-10 3 0 $243.90 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-9 2 1 $89.20 $89.20 57.20
    Pick Three (8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 6-4-9 3 1 $263.30 $263.30 183.30
CT-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $20.20 $20.20 14.20
    Exacta (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-2 2 1 $33.20 $33.20 27.20
    Trifecta (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-2-4 3 1 $80.50 $80.50 74.50
    Daily Double (4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 9-7 2 1 $132.80 $132.80 108.80
    Pick Three (3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 4-9-7 3 1 $504.50 $504.50 456.50
CT-7   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $39.80 -6.00
    Exacta (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3 2 0 $64.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3-4 3 0 $208.60 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/4/7)-(4/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 7-6 2 0 $286.00 -18.00
    Pick Three (4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 9-7-6 3 0 $1155.50 -36.00
CT-8   Win (10/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
    Exacta (10/2/5/4)-(10/2/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 10-2 2 1 $13.70 $13.70 -2.30
    Trifecta (10/2/5/4)-(10/2/7/5/4)-(10/2/7/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 10-2-9 3 0 $63.30 -48.00
    Daily Double (4/3/5)-(10/2/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-10 2 0 $160.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/3/5)-(10/2/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-8 2 0 $30.80 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/4/7)-(4/3/5)-(10/2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 7-6-10 3 0 $631.10 -36.00
    Pick Three (2/4/7)-(4/3/5)-(10/2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 7-6-8 3 0 $129.00 -36.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
:234 :473 1:144     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERETODAYGONMANANA 2 1 612½ 4   44 1(boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 6.30  
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 4 3 11 11   13 2(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 9% 10.30 4.10 P
EX RATED 6 6 512 5   54 3(jackson ang)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 10.70  
DIVA ROSE 3 4 4 610½   65 4(craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 27.30  
TRUE FLIRT 5 5 31 3   23 5(farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 18% 4.70 0.80  
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE 1 2 21 21   36(brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 46% 1.20 3.70  
 
CT-2   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
:24 :484 1:143     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNIS TAP 5 7 7 53   2½ 1(brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 30% 2.30 2.70 W
JACKYSINTHECASTLE 3 3 3 42   3½ 2(sigler g)LARROSA G 120 4.50 5.70  
ELLIES AT WINDSOR 6 4 2½ 11   1½ 3(johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.40 S
APPEALING ROAD 1 2 6 75   648 (gazzier kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 1.50  
WAGER WORTHY 7 6 4 32   55(carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 15.10  
BLUE MOUNTAIN 4 1 1½ 21   4611¼ (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 12% 7.00 10.50  
SARAH'S WARRIOR 2 5 53 64   711 722½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00 28.50  
 
CT-3   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
:24 :483 1:16     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL CATCHER 6 8 7 42   21 1½ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 10% 8.90 5.00 W
RACING HOT LINE 3 2 44 31   11 2½ (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 30% 2.30 4.20 P
YACHTSMEN 4 10 1013¾ 9   53 3(runco c)BATISTA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.10 S
LOVE IS WICKED 1 1 8 10   94(johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 9.70  
10  ALEXANDER GRADY 10 7 9 8   66 5(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 14.40  
CANDY FOR JUBA 7 5 5 2½   46(sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART 8 6 3 1½   31 7(farrior anthon)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.60  
GOGO GADGET 5 4 2 6   7818½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 8.30  
BRADLEY DO RIGHT 2 3 1 52   8918¾ (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00 57.10  
VALHALLA'S PALACE 9 9 6 7   1011¼ 1024 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 6.10  
 
CT-4   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
:234 :482 1:142     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY 4 3 31 1½   1½ 1½ (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 17% 4.80 4.60 W
MIDNIGHT REGRET 6 5 5 3   2½ 2½ (schiano-dicol)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 20% 4.10 1.50 P
HIGHWAY QUEEN 8 8 7 5   34 3(miller marlin )BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 8.20  
HOVEL 5 7 811¾ 812¾   64(davis e)ARAUJO DENIS 118 20.00 43.40  
IRISH SAMURAI 7 6 6 7   57 5(pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 44.60  
SEEMS TO WHISPER 1 1 1nk 2½   44 67 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 9% 10.00 2.00  
STOPWATCHSONNY 2 2 42 6   7713¾ (pickett cry)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 16.20  
SURCHARGE 3 4 2nk 4   812½ 819¾ (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 21% 3.80 8.90  
 
CT-5   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
:242 :484 1:151     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN LADY 8 7 21 2nk   1½ 11 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 10% 9.30 3.50 W
DENALI D'ORO 5 3 85 76   65 21 (schlicht erika)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 9% 10.50 6.10 P
10  PRINCESS HALO 9 9 32 3½   2½ 3(craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 19.10  
DEREKA'S BLUFF 6 5 4 53   43 44 (venham d)BATISTA C 122 10.00 13.90  
OUR GREAT NOTION 4 2 11 1nk   31 5(grams c)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.60 32% 2.10 1.50  
ODINA 7 8 6 4   54 6(figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 5.40  
SNEAKY LYNK 1 1 74 65   86 7(boggs joanna)CULLUM W 120 5.00 26% 2.80 8.70  
HOOK THE CHAIN 2 4 9 8   76 810¼ (greaves ver)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 35.90  
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS 3 6 53 97   910 920 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00 17.30  
SCR  GOLDEN SALLY               (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
SCR  JUJU ON DA BEAT               (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:24 :483 1:14     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMMA SQUEEZE 6 4 11 1½   1nk 1½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00 20% 4.00 9.10 W
BON BUENO 1 2 53 4¾   2nk 2½ (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.80 29% 2.50 0.20 P
RAGTIME RICHES 3 6 65 5   34 33 (farrior anthony)REYNOLDS C 120 2.00 27% 2.60 4.40 S
SURF CITY GOLD 2 1 32 6   6413 (mckenzie daniel )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 26.90  
ZALFIERRO 4 3 42 3½   4514¼ (lusk bria)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 37.00  
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY 7 7 21 2½   5616½ (deiter kelly)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 18.90  
SEIZE THE BREEZE 5 5 7 716¼   716½ 722¾ (rodriguez angel)BATISTA C 120 10.00 45.50  
SCR  VOICE OF NOW               (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
:234 :472 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARNOUGHT 6 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 18.90  
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 3 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 15% 5.50 1.50 P
SHAMELESS RISK 4 2 4 31   3½ 3(brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00 55% 0.80 2.60 S
RIVER CROSROAD RVF 5 6 5 53   42 44 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 9% 10.20 1.30  
RUN TO DAYLIGHT 1 1 3 42   557 (boggs joann)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 21.50  
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE 2 3 6 68   6612 (clatterbuck fre)ADAMS L 111 20.00 34.90  
SCR  THE ILLUSIONIST               (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
:24 :481 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RIVERVIEW STEVIE 9 8 21 21   1nk 1¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 43% 1.30 2.50 W
RIDE THE RAPIDS 2 3 4 3   2nk 2¾ (capuano phillip)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 26% 2.90 1.70 P
MY SISTER PAM 8 9 85 74   336 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 8.00  
WICKED WISDOM 5 7 74 5   54(dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
WEST VIRGINIA PAM 1 1 32 8   7512 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 20.00 28.00  
BROADWAY PEGGY 3 2 11 11   4613 (ramos agost)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 30.00 73.80  
WISHING FOR SPRING 6 5 63 64   6715¾ (sigler rona)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 11.20  
LILY'S LEAD 7 6 9 9   910¼ 818½ (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 7.80  
WICKED SAUCY 4 4 5 4   8926 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT               (sewell l)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.