Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/6/4)-(8/3/6/4/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(8/3/6/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/3/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7)-(8/3/6/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/5)-(2/4/7)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(4/3/5)-(10/2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(10/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/5/4)-(10/2/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/5/4)-(10/2/7/5/4)-(10/2/7/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Sep07 Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  HERETODAYGONMANANA Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 Jun16 Jun02 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
3  DIVA ROSE Aug05 Jul20 Jun13 May19 Apr28 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
4  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Jul28 Jun30 May26 May11 Apr08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 9% 10.30    
5  TRUE FLIRT Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun03 May25 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 18% 4.70    
6  EX RATED Sep09 Jul28 Jul01 Jun16 May12 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
 
CT-2   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING ROAD Aug19 Jul13 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
2  SARAH'S WARRIOR Aug26 Jun16 May12 Apr13 Mar10 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
3  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Aug26 Jul13 Jun17 May18 Apr07 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 4.50    
4  BLUE MOUNTAIN Aug26 Aug05 Jul28 Jul06 Jun17 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
5  TENNIS TAP Jul28 Jun16 May05 Apr21 Feb08 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 May19 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  WAGER WORTHY Aug26 Jun16 May26 Apr21 Mar24 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE IS WICKED Sep01 Jul21 Jun30     (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Jul21 Jun30       (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
3  RACING HOT LINE Sep01 Aug11       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  YACHTSMEN         (runco c)BATISTA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HELLUVA HUNCH by TAPIT)
5  GOGO GADGET         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of LITTLEMISSGOGO by WAR FRONT)
6  SOUL CATCHER Aug11 Jul21       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of TUXEDO LADY by ARCHARCHARCH)
7  CANDY FOR JUBA Aug11 Jul21 Jun30     (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
8  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Aug26 Aug11 Jun30     (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
9  VALHALLA'S PALACE         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM DUE by CATIENUS)
10  ALEXANDER GRADY Sep01 Aug11       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
  (by ASTERN out of ACROSS by CITY ZIP)
 
CT-4   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEMS TO WHISPER Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May28 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 9% 10.00    
2  STOPWATCHSONNY Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jun01 May11 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
3  SURCHARGE Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jan29 Dec17 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Aug19 May18 Mar26 Jan22 Jan14 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  HOVEL Aug05 Jul08 Jun09 May12 Apr28 (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 118 20.00    
6  MIDNIGHT REGRET Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 May04 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  IRISH SAMURAI Aug26 Jul07 May27 May06 Apr15 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
8  HIGHWAY QUEEN Aug31 Aug16 Jul13 Jun28 Jun16 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00    
 
CT-5   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAKY LYNK Aug24 Jul01 Jun10 May25 May12 (boggs joanna)CULLUM W 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
2  HOOK THE CHAIN Aug19 Mar24 Feb24 Nov24 Oct27 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
3  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Aug19 May11 Apr20 Mar24 Mar04 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00    
4  OUR GREAT NOTION Aug25 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
5  DENALI D'ORO Aug19 Jun30 May11 Apr08 Mar11 (schlicht erika)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
6  DEREKA'S BLUFF Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 May26 Apr21 (venham d)BATISTA C 122 10.00    
SCR  JUJU ON DA BEAT Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
8  ODINA Aug24 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 Apr29 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
9  SMOKIN LADY Aug26 Jul27 Jul01 Jun01 May11 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 10% 9.30    
10  PRINCESS HALO Aug19 Jul28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SALLY Sep07 Aug19 Jul20 Jul13 Jun30 (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VOICE OF NOW Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 Jun09 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
2  BON BUENO Sep09 Jul31 Jul07 May25 Apr14 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.80 29% 2.50    
3  SURF CITY GOLD Sep07 Sep01 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 (mckenzie danie)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
4  RAGTIME RICHES Sep01 Aug04 Jun25 Jun09 May19 (farrior anthon)REYNOLDS C 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
5  ZALFIERRO Sep07 Aug25 Aug17 Jun30 Aug29 (lusk br)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
6  SEIZE THE BREEZE Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul12 (rodriguez ang)BATISTA C 120 10.00    
7  GAMMA SQUEEZE Aug18 Jun22       (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
8  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Sep08 Aug30 Jul07 Jun21 May31 (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
 
CT-7   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Aug24 Aug11 Jul12 Jun23 May22 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
2  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul15 Jun24 (clatterbuck f)ADAMS L 111 20.00    
3  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun03 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 15% 5.50    
4  SHAMELESS RISK Aug25 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Apr27 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00 55% 0.80    
5  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Aug26 Aug06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
6  FEARNOUGHT Aug31 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
SCR  THE ILLUSIONIST Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 May26 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST VIRGINIA PAM Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 May14 May05 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
2  RIDE THE RAPIDS Sep09 Aug25 Dec11 Nov25 Nov12 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  BROADWAY PEGGY Sep09 Aug24 Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 30.00    
4  WICKED SAUCY Sep02 Aug12 Jul20 May27 May18 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WICKED WISDOM Aug26 Aug03 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  WISHING FOR SPRING Aug26 Jul20 May18 Apr13 Mar23 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00    
7  LILY'S LEAD Aug18 Aug02 Apr26 Mar26 Feb15 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT Aug12 Jul22 Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 (sewell l)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
9  MY SISTER PAM Aug26 Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 May05 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
10  RIVERVIEW STEVIE Sep02 Aug24 Jan11     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.