Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-2   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-3   Win (8/3/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CT-4   Win (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-5   Win (4/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CT-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-7   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CT-8   Win (10/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Sep07 Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 46% 1.20    
HERETODAYGONMANANA Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 Jun16 Jun02 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
DIVA ROSE Aug05 Jul20 Jun13 May19 Apr28 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Jul28 Jun30 May26 May11 Apr08 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 9% 10.30    
TRUE FLIRT Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun03 May25 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 18% 4.70    
EX RATED Sep09 Jul28 Jul01 Jun16 May12 (jackson ang)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
 
CT-2   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEALING ROAD Aug19 Jul13 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (gazzier kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
SARAH'S WARRIOR Aug26 Jun16 May12 Apr13 Mar10 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Aug26 Jul13 Jun17 May18 Apr07 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 4.50    
BLUE MOUNTAIN Aug26 Aug05 Jul28 Jul06 Jun17 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
TENNIS TAP Jul28 Jun16 May05 Apr21 Feb08 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50 30% 2.30    
ELLIES AT WINDSOR Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 May19 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
WAGER WORTHY Aug26 Jun16 May26 Apr21 Mar24 (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE IS WICKED Sep01 Jul21 Jun30     (johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
BRADLEY DO RIGHT Jul21 Jun30       (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
RACING HOT LINE Sep01 Aug11       (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
YACHTSMEN         (runco c)BATISTA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOGO GADGET         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
SOUL CATCHER Aug11 Jul21       (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
CANDY FOR JUBA Aug11 Jul21 Jun30     (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Aug26 Aug11 Jun30     (farrior anthon)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
VALHALLA'S PALACE         (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
10  ALEXANDER GRADY Sep01 Aug11       (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
 
CT-4   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEMS TO WHISPER Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May28 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 9% 10.00    
STOPWATCHSONNY Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jun01 May11 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
SURCHARGE Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jan29 Dec17 (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Aug19 May18 Mar26 Jan22 Jan14 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
HOVEL Aug05 Jul08 Jun09 May12 Apr28 (davis e)ARAUJO DENIS 118 20.00    
MIDNIGHT REGRET Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 May04 (schiano-dicol)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
IRISH SAMURAI Aug26 Jul07 May27 May06 Apr15 (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
HIGHWAY QUEEN Aug31 Aug16 Jul13 Jun28 Jun16 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.00    
 
CT-5   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKY LYNK Aug24 Jul01 Jun10 May25 May12 (boggs joanna)CULLUM W 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
HOOK THE CHAIN Aug19 Mar24 Feb24 Nov24 Oct27 (greaves ver)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Aug19 May11 Apr20 Mar24 Mar04 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00    
OUR GREAT NOTION Aug25 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (grams c)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
DENALI D'ORO Aug19 Jun30 May11 Apr08 Mar11 (schlicht erika)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
DEREKA'S BLUFF Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 May26 Apr21 (venham d)BATISTA C 122 10.00    
SCR  JUJU ON DA BEAT Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 (adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
ODINA Aug24 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 Apr29 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
SMOKIN LADY Aug26 Jul27 Jul01 Jun01 May11 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 10% 9.30    
10  PRINCESS HALO Aug19 Jul28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SALLY Sep07 Aug19 Jul20 Jul13 Jun30 (boggs joanna)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VOICE OF NOW Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 Jun09 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
BON BUENO Sep09 Jul31 Jul07 May25 Apr14 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.80 29% 2.50    
SURF CITY GOLD Sep07 Sep01 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 (mckenzie daniel )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
RAGTIME RICHES Sep01 Aug04 Jun25 Jun09 May19 (farrior anthony)REYNOLDS C 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
ZALFIERRO Sep07 Aug25 Aug17 Jun30 Aug29 (lusk bria)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
SEIZE THE BREEZE Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul12 (rodriguez angel)BATISTA C 120 10.00    
GAMMA SQUEEZE Aug18 Jun22       (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Sep08 Aug30 Jul07 Jun21 May31 (deiter kelly)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00    
 
CT-7   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN TO DAYLIGHT Aug24 Aug11 Jul12 Jun23 May22 (boggs joann)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul15 Jun24 (clatterbuck fre)ADAMS L 111 20.00    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun03 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 15% 5.50    
SHAMELESS RISK Aug25 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Apr27 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00 55% 0.80    
RIVER CROSROAD RVF Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Aug26 Aug06 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
FEARNOUGHT Aug31 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 (clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
SCR  THE ILLUSIONIST Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 May26 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST VIRGINIA PAM Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 May14 May05 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
RIDE THE RAPIDS Sep09 Aug25 Dec11 Nov25 Nov12 (capuano )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
BROADWAY PEGGY Sep09 Aug24 Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 (ramos agost)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 30.00    
WICKED SAUCY Sep02 Aug12 Jul20 May27 May18 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED WISDOM Aug26 Aug03 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
WISHING FOR SPRING Aug26 Jul20 May18 Apr13 Mar23 (sigler rona)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00    
LILY'S LEAD Aug18 Aug02 Apr26 Mar26 Feb15 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT Aug12 Jul22 Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 (sewell l)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
MY SISTER PAM Aug26 Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 May05 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
10  RIVERVIEW STEVIE Sep02 Aug24 Jan11     (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.