Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $6.60 $0.60 10%
CT-5   EXA (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $12.90 $0.90 8%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:222 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENTRY TIME 5 2 1nk     1 1 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.60 47% 1.10 0.60 W
TAP SECRET 3 4 4     43 2 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 20% 3.90 6.90 P
THE ILLUSIONIST 6 1 3.2     2 3 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 4.90  
LION OF THE SEA 2 5 5     3 4 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 12% 7.60 4.40  
ALWAYS HOPEFUL 4 3 2nk     56 5 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 11.00  
ROSE'S PEPINO 1 6 621¼     619 615½ (viands gregor)ADAMS L 109 10.00 38.80  
 
CT-2   08/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK ROSE 2 2 1½ 16   113 112¼ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.40 18% 4.70 0.30 W
TIMEISGOLDEN 1 1 6 611   516 212¼ (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90 P
SECRET CASTLE 5 5 5 510   415½ 316¼ (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00 27.00  
MYGIDGETMARIE 6 4 3 36   313½ 417¼ (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 23.80  
MIND YOUR OWN 3 6 4 26   213 519¼ (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 56% 0.80 3.70  
TUNSTALL 4 3 2½ 47   617 623¼ (dollinger-sthr )PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 18.90  
 
CT-3   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :47       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD SWANN 6 3 11     12 1¼ (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 6.90  
  (by BLOFELD out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
MALIBU YEARS 1 6 31     22 2¼ (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 39% 1.60 1.00 P
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
LIGHTNIN QUEEN 3 4 4     37 37 (rodriguez angel)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 14.40  
  (by BULLSBAY out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
SHOTGUN MARGARET 4 2 65     611 411 (shuler r)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 10.20  
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
WAY OF APPEAL 2 5 5     47 511¼ (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 12.00 27.50  
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
PARALLAX VIEW 7 7 717     716 611¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 32% 2.20 1.80  
  (by KLIMT out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
QUEEN PIERA 8 1 21     510 720¾ (espinosa victor)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 41.60  
  (by MANHATTAN DAN out of DAHLING JILL by SCOTT'S SCOUNDREL)
BEA'S LEGEND 5 8 827     831 828¼ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 40.30  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BEA'S LEGACY by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
CT-4   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:221 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKWITHTHESTARS 1 3 12     1 1 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 12% 7.40 1.40 W
GRAND FIBER 6 1 32     2 2 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 15.50  
DARK HEDGES 2 2 6     3 3 (patterson kev)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.00 47% 1.10 5.10 S
BIG HAMBONE 7 4 5     46 4 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 12.00 28.10  
WIDGET FACTORY 4 7 43     5 59 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 9.50  
PROTA 3 5 22     6 613 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 8.20  
NOMO RON 5 6 7100     7100 7100 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 17% 4.90 1.90  
 
CT-5   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:223 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVY BAND 3 8 11     1 1 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 53% 0.90 1.10 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JUGNI by COLONEL JOHN)
RUNAWAY BEAUTY 1 7 21     3 2 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90 P
  (by ALDRIN out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
VICE ON ICE 9 2 53     5 3 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00 11.00  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of RED HOT DIVA by DEVON DEPUTY)
REMY'S HOTSHOT 6 5 6     2 4 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 21% 3.80 5.20  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of REMY DOODLES by GRAND SLAM)
MAKANI 4 4 32     4 5 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 13.30  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
GIRLS PERFUME 8 3 7     6 6 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 4.60  
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PERFUME IN THE AIR by MUNNINGS)
QUINN ELIA 7 1 42     7 7 (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 14.40  
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
MISS INTENSITY 5 6 8     8 811¼ (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 113 30.00 38.20  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BEVERLY'SACTINUP 2 9 914¾     912¼ 914¼ (shuler joh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
  (by DONE TALKING out of ACUMEN by CINNAMON CREEK)
 
CT-6   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:222 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINNACLE REEF 5 6 66     42 1¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 111 4.00 3.20  
DE'S CASTLE 3 5 31     2½ 2¾ (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 5.00 19% 4.20 2.90 P
BOP ZAPPER 1 4 11     1½ 31 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 3.10  
ROCKING TO HOME 4 7 710     6 4 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 113 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
JUST JUBA 7 3 5     54 5 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 3.00 53% 0.90 3.70  
TALKING TEDDY 6 2 21     32 6 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 7.60  
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN 2 8 814     8 711 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 67.50  
RIVER ROYALE R V F 8 1 4     7 812¾ (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 13.00  
 
CT-7   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:132     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 3 2 11 1½   1½ 1¼ (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 3.80  
AUBURN MILL 7 5 21 2½   2½ 2¼ (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 21% 3.80 5.80 P
NEVER COMPROMISE 6 4 4 3   3½ 3¾ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40 47% 1.10 0.50 S
GOLDEN APPEAL 5 7 7 6   43 4 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 6% 16.30 9.80  
FEARNOUGHT 4 6 6 75   77 5 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 41.30  
MACHEN'S RIDGE 2 3 5 43   6 69 (ovando melvi)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00 14.00  
WINDSOR'S TRACKER 1 1 31 5   56 710 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 30.50  
SCR  LEG UP               (hanagan l)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME               (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 3.50    
 
CT-8   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:221 :462       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER GARNER 1 10 1nk     2nk 1¾ (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 1.70  
BIG DADDY D R 6 5 6     45 2¾ (utterback barry)CECIL Y 122 15.00 12.50  
BE BE BOP 4 7 2nk     1nk 3 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 11% 8.00 9.70 S
ZIGGY MON 5 6 31     3 4 (hurley jack)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80 65% 0.50 1.40  
GOT FLOFFY 9 1 4     66 56 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 15.20  
BUCKED TOOTH 3 8 1014¾     9 6 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 30.00 ######  
FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL 2 9 5     5 7 (knoblau)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
PAPA TONY 8 4 7     78 88 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 7.50  
WIZARD OF ODDS 7 3 910¾     8 9 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 89.10  
10  HELL'S KITTEN 10 2 8     1013½ 1014¼ (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 65.40  
SCR  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA               (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.