Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/2/1)-(1/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/7/5)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(2/5/1)-(3/6/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/6/1/2)-(7/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/2)-(7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/2)-(7/3/4)-(8/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(8/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(8/9/7)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/7)-(8/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9/7)-(8/9/7)-(8/9/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/9/7)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/8/2/1)-(5/4/8/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE'S PEPINO Aug01 Jul24 Jun20 Jun05 May22 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 109 10.00    
2  LION OF THE SEA Aug10 Jun17 Jun03 Apr15 Mar25 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 12% 7.60    
3  TAP SECRET Jul21 Jul08       (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  ALWAYS HOPEFUL Jun22 Dec22 Aug23 Jun30   (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
5  ENTRY TIME Aug04 Jul08 Jun15 Jun02 Apr14 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  THE ILLUSIONIST Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 May26 Apr21 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00    
 
CT-2   08/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMEISGOLDEN Jul29 May09 Apr13 Feb25 Dec06 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROCK ROSE Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 Apr30 Mar18 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.40 18% 4.70    
3  MIND YOUR OWN Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 May28 May04 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 56% 0.80    
4  TUNSTALL Jul16 Jun18 May02 Nov23 Nov01 (dollinger-sthr )PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
5  SECRET CASTLE Aug19 Aug10 Jul28 Jun17 May25 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
6  MYGIDGETMARIE Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 May26 May04 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU YEARS Aug10         (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
2  WAY OF APPEAL         (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
3  LIGHTNIN QUEEN Aug02         (rodriguez angel)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
4  SHOTGUN MARGARET         (shuler r)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
5  BEA'S LEGEND         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BEA'S LEGACY by ORIENTATE (GB))
6  MAD SWANN Aug10         (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  PARALLAX VIEW         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
  (by KLIMT out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
8  QUEEN PIERA         (espinosa victor)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 ★    
  (by MANHATTAN DAN out of DAHLING JILL by SCOTT'S SCOUNDREL)
 
CT-4   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Aug03 Jul14 May05 Mar31 Mar17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 12% 7.40    
2  DARK HEDGES Jul16 May14 Apr23 Mar30 Mar09 (patterson kev)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  PROTA Aug10 Jul27 Jul21 Jun24 Apr14 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
4  WIDGET FACTORY Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Jun09 May19 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
5  NOMO RON Aug10 Jul25 Jul07 May13 Apr28 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
6  GRAND FIBER Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 May27 Apr28 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
7  BIG HAMBONE Jun18 May13 Apr28 Apr07 Mar30 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
 
CT-5   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY BEAUTY Aug10         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
2  BEVERLY'SACTINUP         (shuler joh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DONE TALKING out of ACUMEN by CINNAMON CREEK)
3  NAVY BAND Aug10 Jul20       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JUGNI by COLONEL JOHN)
4  MAKANI Aug10 Jul13       (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
5  MISS INTENSITY Jul20 Jul06       (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 113 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  REMY'S HOTSHOT         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of REMY DOODLES by GRAND SLAM)
7  QUINN ELIA         (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
8  GIRLS PERFUME         (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PERFUME IN THE AIR by MUNNINGS)
9  VICE ON ICE         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of RED HOT DIVA by DEVON DEPUTY)
 
CT-6   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOP ZAPPER Aug03 Jul13 Sep24     (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50    
2  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Aug04 Jul13 Jun01 Apr06 Mar16 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
3  DE'S CASTLE Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 Apr27 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
4  ROCKING TO HOME Aug04 Jul13 Jul06 Jun01 May20 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PINNACLE REEF Aug04 Jul13 May26 May19 Apr27 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 111 4.00    
6  TALKING TEDDY Jul13 May13 Mar30 Feb15 Jan26 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
7  JUST JUBA Aug13 Jul31 Jul22 Jul01   (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
8  RIVER ROYALE R V F Aug04 Jun24 May06 Apr13 Feb23 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 ★    
 
CT-7   08/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEG UP Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun03 (hanagan l)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Aug11 Jul27 Jul19 Jun15 May27 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 3.50    
3  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Jul21 Jun22 May06 Apr20 Apr06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
4  MACHEN'S RIDGE Jul07 Jun23 May11 Apr22 Apr06 (ovando melvi)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
5  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun03 May12 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
6  FEARNOUGHT Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
7  GOLDEN APPEAL Aug19 Jun24 Jun03 May27 May05 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 6% 16.30    
8  NEVER COMPROMISE Aug18 Jul15 Jun24 May27 Apr01 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
9  AUBURN MILL Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 May27 May13 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
CT-8   08/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER GARNER Jun21 May13 Feb23 Feb09 Nov18 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 ★    
2  FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL Jun09 May02 Apr07 Mar13 Feb23 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUCKED TOOTH Aug05 Jul20 Apr07 Feb22 Jan06 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
4  BE BE BOP Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Apr28 Mar16 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 11% 8.00    
5  ZIGGY MON Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 May28 Apr27 (hurley jack)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80 65% 0.50    
6  BIG DADDY D R Aug10 Jun15 May13 May05 Apr21 (utterback barry)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
7  WIZARD OF ODDS Jul20 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Mar09 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
8  PAPA TONY Jul27 Jun22 Mar23 Feb08 Jan18 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 ★    
9  GOT FLOFFY Jul15 May18 May06 Mar30 Mar09 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
10  HELL'S KITTEN Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 Apr15 Feb09 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
SCR  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Aug08 Jul26 Jul15 Jun28 May19 (borges israel)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.