Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $14.80 $8.80 147%
CT-3   EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-7 $6.90 $0.90 15%
    DD (2/4/5)-(7/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-5 $42.20 $24.20 134%
CT-4   TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3-1 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    DD (7/5/4)-(3/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-6 $21.00 $3.00 17%
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(7/5/4)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00  4-5-6 $89.70 $62.70 232%
CT-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.20 $1.20 20%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BON BUENO 6 6 21 1nk   14 14 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.20 39% 1.50 0.30 W
1  BARRELHOUSE 1 1 31 34   35 24 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.60 4.80  
3  RUSH TO CANDY 3 2 42½ 48   49½ 36¾ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00 28.40  
5  NORLANDER 5 5 11 2nk   24 47¼ (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 30% 2.30 5.00  
2  SHADES OF BLUE 2 4 54 513   514 517¾ (fulmer alliso)ADAMS L 112 15.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
4  MR MAJESTIC 4 3 64½ 614   614½ 620½ (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 28.20  
 
CT-2   09/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LUCKY BOP 4 4 31½ 41   2½ 1¼ (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 118 2.50 15% 5.70 2.80 W
2  LA MADDALENA 2 3 21 1nk   1½ 2¼ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 3.50 48% 1.10 3.10 P
1  POLISH THE DIAMOND 1 1 11 2nk   31 31¾ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00 8.90  
5  FRENCHIES GOLD 5 5 63½ 65   63½ 42 (runco )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.50 11% 8.10 3.90  
6  CASTLE OF CAYLEE 6 7 711½ 711   78½ 53¼ (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 18.30  
7  SPARKLEINYOUREYE 7 6 52½ 52½   52½ 63½ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00 3.10  
3  MAY MAYS CASTLE 3 2 41½ 3½   42½ 710 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 5.00 7.80  
 
CT-3   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:141     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JOOBY DOOBY DOO 5 1 12 11   12½ 13¾ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 23% 3.40 2.00 W
7  ASTRAYAL 7 6 33 21   32½ 23¾ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.00 52% 0.90 0.90 P
2  JUBA'S MOCHA 2 3 65 32   22½ 33¾ (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00 23.50  
3  I SEE NOTHING 3 2 43 42   46 45¼ (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 6.90  
4  REAL RICK 4 5 77 610   513 513 (schottroffe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
1  ALL ROADS TO DENIS 1 7 54 55   615 623¼ (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 3.50 8.80  
6  WORM 6 4 22 716   740 764 (schottroffe e)SIMPSON JASON 117 15.00 41.30  
 
CT-4   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUBA'S PARADE 6 2 21½ 2nk   11 13½ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 11% 8.30 1.90 W
3  FOXY SISTA 3 3 31½ 31½   21 23½ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.00 53% 0.90 0.50 P
1  MARINA GRANDE 1 1 11½ 1nk   31½ 35¼ (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 8% 11.50 8.50 S
2  NO DENYING DENIS 2 5 47½ 49½   412½ 417¼ (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 10.00 27.30  
4  EX RATED 4 6 614½ 615   515½ 518 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 113 30.00 40.10  
5  STRONG WILLED 5 4 58½ 513   624½ 637¼ (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00 15.00  
 
CT-5   09/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:214 :452       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ADVANCE CASH 7 2 31½     1½ 15½ (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 120 5.00 6.40  
3  COWBOY AT HEART 3 6 42     34½ 25½ (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 4.90  
4  KITCHEN FIRE 4 3 11     2½ 35½ (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 2.50 20% 4.10 2.00 S
6  BIG DADDY D R 6 4 77½     78½ 46 (utterback barry)CECIL Y 120 20.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
8  PIT STOP MAN 8 1 53     57 56½ (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.80 51% 1.00 1.40  
1  CHARITABLY GIFTED 1 7 66½     67½ 69 (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00 43.90  
5  MR TINGLES 5 5 21     46 710¾ (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
2  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 2 8 815½     815 814½ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00 31.40  
 
CT-6   09/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:142 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MASTER THIS 5 3 33 31½ 1nk 113 16 (butts e)LARROSA G 124 4.00 14% 6.10 2.60 W
7  TRANSFER THE FUNDS 7 6 68 67 64½ 414 26 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00 11.00  
4  ADARA 4 4 43 41½ 41½ 514 38¼ (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.00 7% 14.40 5.90 S
3  VOLIERO 3 5 54 53 53½ 313½ 410¼ (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 10.30  
6  RIGHTEOUS MAN 6 7 79 712½ 75½ 614½ 511¼ (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 19.50  
2  SCOOTSCOOT 2 1 12½ 11 2nk 213 612¾ (knoblau)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 3.40  
1  SULEMAN 1 2 22½ 21 31 715½ 717¼ (laguna home)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 50% 1.00 1.90  
 
CT-7   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  REMYS SHOWTIME 4 4 11 1½   1nk 1nk (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00 13.10  
2  BUFF'S EYE VIEW 2 1 76½ 79   33 2nk (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 13.40  
7  OUT OF CENTS 7 7 63½ 51½   2nk 31½ (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 13% 6.50 4.30 S
1  FANCY CONCHO 1 2 42 63   53¾ 48½ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 1.20  
3  BUBBA GRUMP 3 3 52½ 41   43¼ 59¼ (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 6.10  
5  RIVER CROSROAD RVF 5 6 21 2½   63¾ 615 (runco )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 34% 1.90 4.20  
6  COMMAND THE CAT 6 5 31 3½   713¾ 737 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 20% 4.00 8.90  
 
CT-8   09/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STYLISH PAINT 3 2 21 2nk   11 11 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.20 48% 1.10 0.80 W
2  MARKETABILITY 2 6 66¾ 32½   21 21 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.40 31% 2.20 1.20 P
9  WOODSONG'S CASTLE 7 7 56½ 56¼   58 313 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 15.00 25.40  
1  BROADWAY PEGGY 1 1 11 1nk   34 413¼ (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00 44.50  
7  UPSY DAISY DO 5 5 713¾ 712¾   611 514¾ (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 56.80  
8  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW 6 4 35½ 46   47 619¼ (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 ★ 16.70  
6  SO RED THE ROSE 4 3 46½ 69¼   711½ 721¾ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 10.60  
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT               (sewell )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRETTY SPECTACULAR               (ramos agost)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.