Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/4/5)-(7/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(7/5/4)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(3/6/1)-(8/4/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(8/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(8/4/5/6)-(1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/6)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/6)-(1/5/4)-(5/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/6/7)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARRELHOUSE Aug17 Aug08 Apr21 Mar01 Jan27 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.60    
2  SHADES OF BLUE Sep01 Jul14 Mar04 Feb15 Sep26 (fulmer alliso)ADAMS L 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUSH TO CANDY Aug11 Jul26 Jun30 Jun09 May04 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
4  MR MAJESTIC Aug18 Jul08 Jun22 May27 May04 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 118 10.00    
5  NORLANDER Aug19 Jul26 Jun28 Jun18 May08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
6  BON BUENO Jul31 Jul07 May25 Apr14 Mar26 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.20 39% 1.50    
 
CT-2   09/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLISH THE DIAMOND Aug25 Jul15 Jul01 Jun01 May11 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
2  LA MADDALENA Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
3  MAY MAYS CASTLE Jul28 Jun16 Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 5.00    
4  LUCKY BOP Sep02 Aug12 Jul01 Jun10 May25 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 118 2.50 15% 5.70    
5  FRENCHIES GOLD Aug03 Jun10 May25 Apr29 Apr08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 11% 8.10    
6  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Aug19 Aug03 Jul01 May25 May06 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
7  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00    
 
CT-3   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ROADS TO DENIS Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 3.50    
2  JUBA'S MOCHA Aug17 Jul21 Jul13     (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00    
3  I SEE NOTHING Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 Apr27 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
4  REAL RICK Sep01 Jul13 Jun09 Sep08 Aug31 (schottroffe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOOBY DOOBY DOO Sep01 Jul20 Jul06     (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  WORM Aug18 Jun23 Jun10     (schottroffe e)SIMPSON JASON 117 15.00    
7  ASTRAYAL Aug17 Jul28 Jun30 Jan06 Dec17 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.00 52% 0.90    
 
CT-4   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARINA GRANDE Aug19 Jun30 Jun10 May18 Apr20 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 8% 11.50    
2  NO DENYING DENIS Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 Jun02 May12 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 10.00    
3  FOXY SISTA Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 Jun02 May19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.00 53% 0.90    
4  EX RATED Jul28 Jul01 Jun16 May12 Apr21 (jackson a)BOCACHICA J 113 30.00    
5  STRONG WILLED Jul28 Jun30 May25 Dec17 Dec03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 12.00    
6  JUBA'S PARADE Aug12 Jul29 Jun23 Jun01 Nov19 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.40 11% 8.30    
 
CT-5   09/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARITABLY GIFTED Jul15 May21 Apr15 Mar16 Feb18 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
2  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Aug27 Jul28 May26 May11 Apr28 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
3  COWBOY AT HEART Jul28 Jul07 Jun24 Apr27 Mar31 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
4  KITCHEN FIRE Aug27 Aug04 Jun09 Apr15 Apr01 (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
5  MR TINGLES Jul28 May26 Apr06 Mar09 Feb02 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG DADDY D R Aug31 Aug10 Jun15 May13 May05 (utterback barry)CECIL Y 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ADVANCE CASH Sep02 Jun17 Jun09 May14 Apr16 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
8  PIT STOP MAN Sep02 Aug27 Aug20 Aug05 Jul26 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
 
CT-6   09/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SULEMAN Aug24 Aug03 Jul05 May18 Mar25 (laguna home)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
2  SCOOTSCOOT Aug24 Aug05 Jul13 Jun22 Jun03 (knoblau)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
3  VOLIERO Jun22 Jun02 May21 May05 Apr13 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00    
4  ADARA Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 May25 May05 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.00 7% 14.40    
5  MASTER THIS Aug18 Jul07 Jun24 May20 Apr14 (butts e)LARROSA G 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
6  RIGHTEOUS MAN Aug26 Aug03 Jul14 Jun24 May12 (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00    
7  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Aug03 Jul08 Jun22 May24 May11 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00    
 
CT-7   09/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY CONCHO Aug25 Jul21 Jun16 May19 Apr15 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50    
2  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Aug19 May13 Feb09 Jan12 Oct27 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
3  BUBBA GRUMP Aug17 Jul21 Jun16 May11 Dec08 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
4  REMYS SHOWTIME Sep01 Aug11 Jul27 Jul19 Jun15 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00    
5  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Aug17 Jul19 Aug26 Aug06 May14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  COMMAND THE CAT Jun16 May19 Apr15 Nov18 Oct27 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
7  OUT OF CENTS Aug16 Jun21 Mar11 Feb09 Jan12 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 13% 6.50    
 
CT-8   09/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY PEGGY Aug24 Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 Nov23 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
2  MARKETABILITY Aug12 Mar17 Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
SCR  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Aug26 Jul29 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 (ramos agost)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
4  STYLISH PAINT Aug12 May25 Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.20 48% 1.10    
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT Aug12 Jul22 Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 (sewell lenworth )MAWING A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SO RED THE ROSE Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun15 Jun10 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
7  UPSY DAISY DO Aug12 Jun15 May20 Apr13 Mar02 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
8  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Aug26 Jul14 May12 Mar30 Mar04 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 ★    
9  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 May05 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.