The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
TDN-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 0.00
TDN-3   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.00 -6.00
TDN-4   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $11.20 -4.00
TDN-5   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -1.20
TDN-6   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 7.20
TDN-7   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 7.60
TDN-8   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $32.60 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:244 :493 1:153     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 3 4 32 3 2nk 12 1(yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 12% 7.60 1.20 W
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 6 3 42 5 3 43 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 28% 2.50 5.60 P
ANGEL'S DESTINY 2 6 53 4 4 33 3(flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 3.00 5.40  
HALO EFFECT 5 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 22 410 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 25% 3.10 2.10  
LATE DATE 4 5 610 613½ 610¾ 6512¾ (lopez e)BRACHO A 119 8.00 12.70  
BUSYBEING FABULOUS 1 2 1½ 2nk 5 57 617½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 12.50  
 
TDN-2   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:232 :472 1:12     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREEZY MONEY 4 2 13 1 13 14 13 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.80 13% 6.70 1.00 W
CARILLO 3 5 47 44 3 24 23 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 3.10  
OAKS HONEY 1 4 5 3 23 33(brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 8.20  
SURF AND TURF 5 1 23 2 44 4410½ (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 8.00 24.20  
JOHN'S ROCK 2 3 3 5 58 516½ 526¾ (vecchio caryn)BRACHO A 123 2.00 59% 0.70 1.80  
SCR  BASTIEN LE BROWN               (donjuan sergio)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00    
 
TDN-3   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
:224 :462 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT THIS BOY 4 5 22 21   13 1(cowans william )BRACHO A 118 8.00 2.00  
EL BAMBINO 5 4 4 4   23 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.50 54% 0.90 0.50 P
CUSSIN N FUSSIN 8 1 12 11   34 311¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 19.30  
READY FOR ACTION 3 3 3 32   48 414¼ (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 113 5.00 21.40  
STEAL THE RHODE 2 8 712 611½   613½ 516¾ (castaned)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 20% 4.00 14.00  
DIXIE MAN 1 7 610½ 510½   513 617¾ (flores is)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 20.00 69.00  
INCITATUSWAY 7 2 5 713   725½ 736¾ (rini anthony)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 17.00  
DO NOT PASS 6 6 821 837   8100 8100 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 42.80  
SCR  MACHO GIRL               (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 10.00    
 
TDN-4   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:221 :454 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCK WOOD 1 5 44 31   1nk 1(tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.00 4.60  
WILDCAT PRIDE 5 1 33 21   2nk 2(gorham m)DIAZ I 115 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30 P
FAST CLIP 3 2 22 4   32 37 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.60 19% 4.20 1.40 S
MAN'S CHOICE 2 4 5 5   54(fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 115 5.00 11.80  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 4 3 12 11   4512¼ (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 115 8.00 6.90  
 
TDN-5   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
:23 :461 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROL'S ROYALTY 4 2 11 1   15 1(romero a)ROSARIO L 121 2.00 66% 0.50 0.40 W
MORE MUCHO 3 3 21 2   32(radosevich just)BRACHO A 121 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90 P
TURBIE 2 5 4 42   25 3(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 4.40  
CASCABRIA 5 1 31 3   4410½ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 121 8.00 13.40  
MISS MARPLE 1 4 52 55   513 518½ (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 9.50  
SCR  MAY BEAU               (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-6   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:224 :461 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P SILVER BULLET 4 5 53 4   3.2 1(jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 33% 2.00 5.60 W
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 2 6 32 3   4¼ 2(mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 19.40  
YOU ARE AWESOME 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 3(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 44% 1.30 0.50 S
T C GREELEY 5 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 4(morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 18.70  
COMPASS POINT 3 3 6 6   55(gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 4.20  
SMUDGE THE CAT 1 4 42 55   66(radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
 
TDN-7   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:222 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY STREAK 5 1 31 1nk   12 1(gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 25% 3.10 4.80 W
CORNER OFFICE 2 5 4 42   33 2(jackson r)RIVERA R 121 2.50 2.20  
PLAY BALL 3 3 2nk 2nk   22 38 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.00 41% 1.40 0.70 S
PRIVATE DRIVE 1 4 1nk 3   45 410½ (guidry terra)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 6.00  
ATTACK ANGLE 4 2 53 54   5513¼ (skerrett jeffrey)VELEZ J 119 12.00 42.30  
SCR  VISUAL MISSION               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:242 :484 1:134     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 4 6 3 4¾ 1nk 1(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 15.30  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 2 3 11 2nk 1nk 2nk 2(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 47% 1.10 0.70 P
MOBIL CHIC 1 1 42 4 3½ 32 3(zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 12.90  
LINE DANCER 5 6 31 1nk 2nk 44(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 3.00 16% 5.10 3.30  
DANZA MAGIC 4 5 7 7 6 55(yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 11.80  
CHICA CHULA 7 7 21 6 7 6612½ (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 119 12.00 10% 8.60 6.80  
OUT FOR FUN 6 2 53 5 5 7714 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 11.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.