Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $10.00 $4.00 67%
TDN-5   EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-3 $3.70 $1.70 85%
TDN-6   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $13.20 $7.20 120%
TDN-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $11.60 $7.60 190%
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/4/1)-(4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-4-6 $60.20 $48.20 402%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ   (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 12% 7.60 1.20 W
DEE'S KY WILDCAT   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 28% 2.50 5.60 P
ANGEL'S DESTINY   (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 3.00 5.40  
HALO EFFECT   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 25% 3.10 2.10  
LATE DATE   (lopez e)BRACHO A 119 8.00 12.70  
BUSYBEING FABULOUS   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 12.50  
 
TDN-2   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREEZY MONEY   (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.80 13% 6.70 1.00 W
CARILLO   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 3.10  
OAKS HONEY   (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 8.20  
SURF AND TURF   (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 8.00 24.20  
JOHN'S ROCK   (vecchio caryn)BRACHO A 123 2.00 59% 0.70 1.80  
SCR  BASTIEN LE BROWN   (donjuan sergi)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00    
 
TDN-3   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT THIS BOY   (cowans willia)BRACHO A 118 8.00 2.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of JEANA BABY by SUPER SAVER)
EL BAMBINO   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.50 54% 0.90 0.50 P
  (by CONNECT out of REZISTER by DEPUTY MINISTER)
CUSSIN N FUSSIN   (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 19.30  
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
READY FOR ACTION   (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 113 5.00 21.40  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EPISCOPAL by CARPE DIEM (FR))
STEAL THE RHODE   (castan)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 20% 4.00 14.00  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of EIGHTH COMMANDMENT by BROKEN VOW)
DIXIE MAN   (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 20.00 69.00  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
INCITATUSWAY   (rini anthony)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 17.00  
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
DO NOT PASS   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 42.80  
  (by PASS RUSH out of DO NOT DISTURB by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  MACHO GIRL   (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of OSHEEN by ARCH)
 
TDN-4   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCK WOOD   (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.00 4.60  
WILDCAT PRIDE   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30 P
FAST CLIP   (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.60 19% 4.20 1.40 S
MAN'S CHOICE   (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 115 5.00 11.80  
BAD BOY BOOGIE   (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 115 8.00 6.90  
 
TDN-5   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROL'S ROYALTY   (romero jose )ROSARIO L 121 2.00 66% 0.50 0.40 W
MORE MUCHO   (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90 P
TURBIE   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 4.40  
CASCABRIA   (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 121 8.00 13.40  
MISS MARPLE   (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 9.50  
SCR  MAY BEAU   (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-6   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P SILVER BULLET   (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 33% 2.00 5.60 W
MY TWO AUNT JOANS   (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 19.40  
YOU ARE AWESOME   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 44% 1.30 0.50 S
T C GREELEY   (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 18.70  
COMPASS POINT   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 4.20  
SMUDGE THE CAT   (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
 
TDN-7   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY STREAK   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 25% 3.10 4.80 W
CORNER OFFICE   (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 2.50 2.20  
PLAY BALL   (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.00 41% 1.40 0.70 S
PRIVATE DRIVE   (guidry ter)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 6.00  
ATTACK ANGLE   (skerrett jeffrey)VELEZ J 119 12.00 42.30  
SCR  VISUAL MISSION   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PENNY ROSE   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 15.30  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 47% 1.10 0.70 P
MOBIL CHIC   (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 12.90  
LINE DANCER   (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00 16% 5.10 3.30  
DANZA MAGIC   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 11.80  
CHICA CHULA   (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 119 12.00 10% 8.60 6.80  
OUT FOR FUN   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 11.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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