Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $10.00 $4.00 67%
TDN-5   EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-3 $3.70 $1.70 85%
TDN-6   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $13.20 $7.20 120%
TDN-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $11.60 $7.60 190%
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/4/1)-(4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-4-6 $60.20 $48.20 402%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:153     1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 3 4 32 31½ 2nk 12 14¾ (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 12% 7.60 1.20 W
6  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 6 3 42 53½ 31½ 43 24¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 28% 2.50 5.60 P
2  ANGEL'S DESTINY 2 6 53 42½ 41¾ 33 34¾ (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 3.00 5.40  
5  HALO EFFECT 5 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 22 410 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 25% 3.10 2.10  
4  LATE DATE 4 5 610 613½ 610¾ 67¼ 512¾ (lopez e)BRACHO A 119 8.00 12.70  
1  BUSYBEING FABULOUS 1 2 1½ 2nk 51¾ 57 617½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 12.50  
 
TDN-2   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BREEZY MONEY 4 2 13 12½ 13 14 13 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.80 13% 6.70 1.00 W
3  CARILLO 3 5 47 44 33½ 24 23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 3.10  
1  OAKS HONEY 1 4 57½ 33½ 23 36½ 39½ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 8.20  
6  SURF AND TURF 5 1 23 22½ 44 47½ 410½ (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 8.00 24.20  
2  JOHN'S ROCK 2 3 35½ 54½ 58 516½ 526¾ (vecchio caryn)BRACHO A 123 2.00 59% 0.70 1.80  
SCR  BASTIEN LE BROWN               (donjuan sergi)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00    
 
TDN-3   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NOT THIS BOY 4 5 22 21   13 14¼ (cowans willia)BRACHO A 118 8.00 2.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of JEANA BABY by SUPER SAVER)
5  EL BAMBINO 5 4 44½ 43½   23 24¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.50 54% 0.90 0.50 P
  (by CONNECT out of REZISTER by DEPUTY MINISTER)
9  CUSSIN N FUSSIN 8 1 12 11   34 311¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 19.30  
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
3  READY FOR ACTION 3 3 32½ 32   48 414¼ (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 113 5.00 21.40  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EPISCOPAL by CARPE DIEM (FR))
2  STEAL THE RHODE 2 8 712 611½   613½ 516¾ (castan)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 20% 4.00 14.00  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of EIGHTH COMMANDMENT by BROKEN VOW)
1  DIXIE MAN 1 7 610½ 510½   513 617¾ (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 20.00 69.00  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
8  INCITATUSWAY 7 2 59½ 713   725½ 736¾ (rini anthony)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 ★ 17.00  
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
7  DO NOT PASS 6 6 821 837   8100 8100 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 42.80  
  (by PASS RUSH out of DO NOT DISTURB by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  MACHO GIRL               (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of OSHEEN by ARCH)
 
TDN-4   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCK WOOD 1 5 44 31   1nk 12¼ (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.00 4.60  
5  WILDCAT PRIDE 5 1 33 21   2nk 22¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30 P
3  FAST CLIP 3 2 22 41¼   32 37 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.60 19% 4.20 1.40 S
2  MAN'S CHOICE 2 4 56½ 52¾   54¼ 49¼ (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 115 5.00 11.80  
4  BAD BOY BOOGIE 4 3 12 11   42¼ 512¼ (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 115 8.00 6.90  
 
TDN-5   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAROL'S ROYALTY 4 2 11 11½   15 17¼ (romero jose )ROSARIO L 121 2.00 66% 0.50 0.40 W
3  MORE MUCHO 3 3 21 21½   36½ 27¼ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90 P
2  TURBIE 2 5 41½ 42   25 37¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 4.40  
5  CASCABRIA 5 1 31 31½   46½ 410½ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 121 8.00 13.40  
1  MISS MARPLE 1 4 52 55   513 518½ (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 9.50  
SCR  MAY BEAU               (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-6   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  K P SILVER BULLET 4 5 53 43½   3.2 13¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 33% 2.00 5.60 W
2  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 2 6 32 32½   4¼ 23¼ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 19.40  
6  YOU ARE AWESOME 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 34¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 44% 1.30 0.50 S
5  T C GREELEY 5 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 45¾ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 18.70  
3  COMPASS POINT 3 3 64½ 65¼   52¾ 56¼ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 4.20  
1  SMUDGE THE CAT 1 4 42 55   63¼ 69¾ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
 
TDN-7   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LUCKY STREAK 5 1 31 1nk   12 16½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 25% 3.10 4.80 W
3  CORNER OFFICE 2 5 42½ 42   33 26½ (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 2.50 2.20  
4  PLAY BALL 3 3 2nk 2nk   22 38 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.00 41% 1.40 0.70 S
2  PRIVATE DRIVE 1 4 1nk 31½   45 410½ (guidry ter)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 6.00  
5  ATTACK ANGLE 4 2 53 54   56½ 513¼ (skerrett jeffrey)VELEZ J 119 12.00 42.30  
SCR  VISUAL MISSION               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:134     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 4 63¼ 31½ 4¾ 1nk 12¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 15.30  
2  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 2 3 11 2nk 1nk 2nk 22¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 47% 1.10 0.70 P
1  MOBIL CHIC 1 1 42 41¾ 3½ 32 32¾ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 12.90  
5  LINE DANCER 5 6 31 1nk 2nk 42¼ 47¼ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00 16% 5.10 3.30  
4  DANZA MAGIC 4 5 74¾ 72¾ 62¾ 55¼ 59¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 11.80  
7  CHICA CHULA 7 7 21 62¼ 73¼ 65¼ 612½ (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 119 12.00 10% 8.60 6.80  
6  OUT FOR FUN 6 2 53 51¾ 52¼ 75¾ 714 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 11.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.