Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/5)-(5/2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5/2/7)-(5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(5/3)-(4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(4/3)-(6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/4/1)-(4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(4/6)-(2/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Sep14 Aug22 Jul19 Jun21 Jun05 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00    
2  ANGEL'S DESTINY Sep20 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Jul18 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 3.00    
3  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Sep11 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jun05 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 12% 7.60    
4  LATE DATE Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 Aug01 Jul20 (lopez e)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
5  HALO EFFECT Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 25% 3.10    
6  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Sep11 Aug22 Jul19 Jul03 Jun20 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-2   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKS HONEY Sep12 Aug28 Aug12 Jul05 Jun27 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50    
2  JOHN'S ROCK Sep12 Aug16 Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 (vecchio caryn)BRACHO A 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
3  CARILLO Sep08 Jul05 Jun06 May17 Jun22 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
SCR  BASTIEN LE BROWN Sep20 Sep02 Aug12 Aug02 Jul19 (donjuan sergi)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00    
5  BREEZY MONEY Sep18 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.80 13% 6.70    
6  SURF AND TURF Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 Jun26 (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 8.00    
 
TDN-3   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE MAN Sep05         (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DIXIE BABE by DIXIE UNION)
2  STEAL THE RHODE         (castan)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of EIGHTH COMMANDMENT by BROKEN VOW)
3  READY FOR ACTION Aug17 Jul03       (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 113 5.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EPISCOPAL by CARPE DIEM (FR))
4  NOT THIS BOY         (cowans willia)BRACHO A 118 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of JEANA BABY by SUPER SAVER)
5  EL BAMBINO Sep05         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by CONNECT out of REZISTER by DEPUTY MINISTER)
SCR  MACHO GIRL         (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of OSHEEN by ARCH)
7  DO NOT PASS         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PASS RUSH out of DO NOT DISTURB by MARIA'S MON)
8  INCITATUSWAY May07 May01       (rini anthony)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 ★    
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
9  CUSSIN N FUSSIN Sep05 Aug10       (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
  (by OM out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
 
TDN-4   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCK WOOD Sep19 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 Jun19 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.00    
2  MAN'S CHOICE Sep21 Aug31 Jul06 Jun05 May11 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 115 5.00    
3  FAST CLIP Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 Jul10 Jun20 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.60 19% 4.20    
4  BAD BOY BOOGIE Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul24 Feb21 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 115 8.00    
5  WILDCAT PRIDE Sep19 Mar02 Dec30 Nov30 Nov16 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
TDN-5   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MARPLE Sep05 Aug07 Nov22 Nov10 Sep27 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50    
2  TURBIE Sep06 Aug03 Jul18 Jul04 Jun06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
3  MORE MUCHO Sep07 Aug14 Jul04 Jun10 May06 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAROL'S ROYALTY Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Jul17 Dec08 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 121 2.00 66% 0.50    
5  CASCABRIA Sep12 Aug16 Jul26 Jun12 May29 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 121 8.00    
SCR  MAY BEAU Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Jul20 Jul03 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-6   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMUDGE THE CAT Sep07 Aug15 Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Sep18 Aug03 Jul10 Jun13 May17 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
3  COMPASS POINT Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Oct17 Sep27 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
4  K P SILVER BULLET Sep12 Jul20 Jul03 Jun15 May30 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  T C GREELEY Sep20 Sep04 Aug15 Jul26 Jul04 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
6  YOU ARE AWESOME Sep14 Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 Jun24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-7   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VISUAL MISSION Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
2  PRIVATE DRIVE Sep11 Aug21 May16 May09 Apr25 (guidry ter)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00    
3  CORNER OFFICE Aug28 Jul27 Jun24 Jun02 May11 (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
4  PLAY BALL Aug30 Jul31 May22 Apr06 Mar09 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  ATTACK ANGLE Sep11 Aug02 Jul12 Jun26 Jan12 (skerrett jeffrey)VELEZ J 119 12.00    
6  LUCKY STREAK Jul22 Jun24 May11 Apr26 Apr13 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
TDN-8   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL CHIC Aug21 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May30 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
2  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Sep19 Sep04 Jul17 Jun30 Jun02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Sep22 Aug21 Jul27 May22 Apr27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50    
4  DANZA MAGIC Sep19 Sep04 Aug03 Jul13 Jun26 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
5  LINE DANCER Aug24 Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 May12 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
6  OUT FOR FUN Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 Jul17 Jun07 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
7  CHICA CHULA Sep18 Aug26 Aug09 Jul27 Jul09 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 119 12.00 10% 8.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.