tbrs_res_20231007.ct.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager		Pick										Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay		Pay		Profit/
			Type		Numbers										Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit		Amt		Loss

CT-1			Win		(5/7/6)										3		$2.00	$6.00	2	1		0	$19.00				-6.00
CT-2			Win		(7/3/4)										3		$2.00	$6.00	7	1		1	$4.60		$4.60		-1.40
CT-3			Win		(1/6/2)										3		$2.00	$6.00	6	1		1	$6.20		$6.20		0.20
CT-4			Win		(5/3/6/2)										4		$2.00	$8.00	5	1		1	$8.80		$8.80		0.80
CT-5			Win		(6/8/9/5)										4		$2.00	$8.00	6	1		1	$5.40		$5.40		-2.60
CT-6			Win		(5/6/7)										3		$2.00	$6.00	5	1		1	$8.20		$8.20		2.20
CT-7			Win		(8/2/7)										3		$2.00	$6.00	2	1		1	$8.40		$8.40		2.40
CT-8			Win		(4/2/10/8)										4		$2.00	$8.00	4	1		1	$3.60		$3.60		-4.40

Simulator Race results


CT-1			10/07/2023	4620ft		DIRT			GOOD			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($12.7K)				3UP	M/F	PT- 7:00
:24	:48¹	1:14¹		1:28			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
2	TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY						2	1		1¹	1¹		1³	1⁶		(obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122								12.00			8.50
7	STYLISH PAINT						7	5		3^4½	3^8½		2³	2⁶		(brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122								3.50	21%	3.70	6.20	P
1	FLAT DISCOUNT						1	2		2¹	2¹		3^3½	3^11¼		(ginter raym)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122								2.50			1.40
4	CASTLE OF CAYLEE						4	3		7¹¹	7¹⁸		6¹⁰	4^11¼		(rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 122								4.50			6.20
5	URKILLINGMEBETH						5	4		4^7½	4^9½		4⁷	5^12¼		(walters l)PELTROCHE F 124								3.00	25%	3.00	2.10
6	MARKETABILITY						6	7		6^8½	5^11½		5¹⁰	6^15¾		(hurley jack)CULLUM W 122								4.00	13%	6.70	9.10
3	SO RED THE ROSE						3	6		5^7½	6¹²		7^10½	7^16¼		(obed-letts keturah)MAWING A 120								30.00			77.60

CT-2			10/07/2023	2970ft		DIRT			GOOD			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($11.8K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 7:32
:22¹	:46³			:53¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
7	SO COURAGEOUS						6	3		1¹			2^nk	1^nk		(patterson kevin)ARAUJO DENIS 122								1.40	63%	0.60	1.30	W
3	CHARITABLY GIFTED						2	4		2¹			1^nk	2^nk		(harrison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122								8.00	11%	8.50	5.80	P
4	DANCIN IN DUBAI						3	5		6^6½			5^3¼	3^1½		(brown kelto)BOCACHICA J 113								10.00	5%	19.00	17.80	S
2	SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND						1	6		5^4½			3³	4⁴		(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120								2.50			5.50
6	TRAPPE THE GOLD						5	2		3²			4^3¼	5^7¾		(dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 122								6.00			1.40
5	DINNER BELL						4	1		4^4½			6^5¾	6⁸		(king yolonda)ADAMS L 115								30.00			46.40
SCR	PRIMETIME JET															(patterson kevin)THORPE DARIUS 122								4.00

CT-3			10/07/2023	4290ft		DIRT			GOOD			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($11.8K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 8:02
:24²	:48³	1:14²		1:21¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
6	FELICIAS CASTLE						5	5		4⁴	4²		4^2½	1^¼		(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124								2.50	17%	4.90	2.10	W
3	MODERN DAY ROMANCE						3	3		3²	3¹		2^1½	2^¼		(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								4.00			2.70
8	SIENTE EL AMOR						7	4		1²	1^nk		1^1½	3^½		(wilhelm t)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122								15.00			17.30
7	GET OFF MY CLOUD						6	7		2²	2^nk		3²	4^¾		(adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122								3.00			5.00
4	CURB THAT TIGER						4	6		7^8¼	5^3½		5³	5^1¾		(sigler rona)BOCACHICA J 113								12.00			23.40
1	AIR MEDAL						1	1		6^8¼	7^4¾		6^6½	6^3½		(brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 115								4.50	39%	1.50	7.50
2	WELL EQUIPPED						2	2		5^4¼	6^4½		7^6½	7^11¼		(brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120								6.00	17%	5.00	3.10
SCR	JEFFERSON SECURITY															(grams c)REYNOLDS C 122								15.00

CT-4			10/07/2023	2970ft		DIRT			GOOD			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($12.7K)				3UP	M/F	PT- 8:32
:22¹	:46			:53			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
5	WILLOW MOON						5	3		1^nk			1³	1³		(reynolds joan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								2.00	31%	2.20	3.40	W
2	SCARLET TANAGER						2	7		7⁶			4⁸	2³		(spriggs r)RODRIGUEZ V 120								12.00	5%	19.00	23.20	P
3	DING DING						3	6		2^nk			2³	3^3¾		(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122								1.80	27%	2.70	0.40	S
6	MAKE IT A DOUBLE						6	2		4^2½			3^5½	4^4¾		(king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 122								5.00	19%	4.30	6.30
1	MOJO MATTERS						1	8		8¹¹			8^11½	5^8½		(davis russe)BOCACHICA J 115								20.00			71.60
8	GOLDEN SWEETS						8	1		3²			6⁹	6^8¾		(bass curt)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122								4.50			12.70
7	MISS WILD						7	5		5³			7¹⁰	7^9¼		(obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122								15.00			30.30
4	ADABEL						4	4		6^3½			5^8½	8^14¾		(garrido raul)LARROSA G 120								20.00			59.90

CT-5			10/07/2023	4290ft		DIRT			GOOD			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($11.8K)				3UP	M/F	PT- 9:02
:23¹	:47	1:14¹		1:21²			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
6	RIVERVIEW STEVIE						6	4		2¹	2^3½		2²	1¹		(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122								2.50	36%	1.80	1.70	W
7	HIGHWAY QUEEN						7	8		6¹²	5¹⁰		3⁴	2¹		(miller marlin )BARBOSA JEIRON 117								5.00			9.60
8	MIDNIGHT REGRET						8	5		1¹	1^3½		1²	3^1¼		(schiano-dicol)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								1.80	25%	2.90	1.20	S
1	DALLAS						1	1		4^9½	4^8½		4⁶	4^4¾		(salinas jose)LARROSA G 120								10.00			9.10
4	HOVEL						4	6		9³¹	8^27½		7^12½	5^6¾		(davis russe)BOCACHICA J 113								15.00			65.00
5	IRISH SAMURAI						5	9		7¹⁷	6¹⁵		5⁷	6^7¼		(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122								15.00	5%	19.00	42.20
3	I B NASTY						3	3		8²⁹	9³¹		9^19½	7^10½		(racanelli mark)BATISTA A 120								20.00			67.80
9	HOLDING COURT						9	7		3^4½	3⁷		6¹¹	8¹⁷		(viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122								4.50	9%	9.90	6.00
2	DANCE LIGHTLY						2	2		5^10½	7^15½		8^15½	9²¹		(stahlin john)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115								30.00			82.60

CT-6			10/07/2023	4620ft		DIRT			GOOD			Allowance									Purse ($27.4K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 9:32
:23¹	:46⁴	1:12²		1:26²			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
5	TAP SECRET						5	5		2^nk	1^nk		1^4½	1^1½		(sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 120								4.00	43%	1.40	3.10	W
1	SILIPO						1	4		7^14¼	7^11½		5^5¾	2^1½		(hillegass alex)BATISTA A 120								6.00			5.10
7	ZEN MASTER						7	7		5^5¾	5^4½		2^4½	3^2¼		(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122								2.50	6%	15.00	3.00	S
4	FEARNOUGHT						4	3		6^8¼	6^9½		6^6¼	4^6¾		(clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 124								15.00			27.10
6	ASKIN FOR A BASKIN						6	6		3^.2	2^nk		3^5½	5¹¹		(farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120								3.00	26%	2.80	2.60
2	SUPER QUALITY						2	2		4^1¼	4^1½		4^5½	6¹²		(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120								8.00			9.60
3	CHANGE YOUR LUCK						3	1		1^nk	3^½		7^8¾	7^21¼		(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122								5.00			5.50
SCR	SUBJECT TO CHANGE															(spriggs tos)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120								15.00

CT-7			10/07/2023	2970ft		DIRT			GOOD			Allowance									Purse ($27.4K)				3UP	ALL	PT-10:02
:22	:45⁴			:52²			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
2	GOLD FIBER						2	5		2²			2^nk	1^¾		(mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120								5.00	21%	3.70	3.20	W
7	GEORGE						6	1		1²			1^nk	2^¾		(walters david )BARBOSA JEIRON 113								4.00	16%	5.10	2.40	P
1	BORN TO SIN						1	6		3³			3⁴	3^4¾		(grams c)PELTROCHE F 118								15.00			12.80
8	XCELLENT START						7	2		6^4¾			4^4½	4⁵		(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118								1.40	39%	1.60	1.30
4	ONE CANDY CASTLE						3	7		5^4½			6^4¾	5⁷		(petty kristy)LARROSA G 118								12.00			18.90
6	MISSIONARY						5	3		4^4½			5^4¾	6^7¾		(sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 118								4.50			7.50
5	DONNIE B						4	4		7^9¼			7^7¾	7^10½		(barber c)MAYHEW W 120								30.00			49.90
SCR	EL PACHO															(reyes d)BATISTA C 122								6.00

CT-8			10/07/2023	4290ft		DIRT			GOOD			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($11.8K)				3UP	M/F	PT-10:32
:23²	:47¹	1:14¹		1:21³			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
4	MAKINLIMMARGARITAS						4	1		1¹	1^1½		1^1½	1^¼		(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120								1.80	35%	1.80	0.80	W
9	APPEALING ROAD						8	6		4^4½	3³		3³	2^¼		(gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120								6.00			6.80
10	ELLIES AT WINDSOR						9	7		2¹	2^1½		2^1½	3^2½		(hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120								4.50	15%	5.60	5.30	S
1	WOODSONG'S CASTLE						1	4		7^12½	8^8¼		5^5½	4^3½		(shanley tim)BOCACHICA J 113								20.00			48.10
2	PEARLY GHOST						2	2		5^4½	5^4½		4^3½	5^4¼		(viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122								8.00	16%	5.20	7.80
8	HOW IS SHE						7	9		9²¹	9^15¼		8⁷	6^5½		(johnson jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122								8.00	10%	9.20	10.70
7	I SHALLBE RELEASED						6	8		6⁸	6⁶		6⁶	7^5¾		(walters david )BARBOSA JEIRON 115								5.00			9.90
3	LADY SPARROW						3	3		8¹³	7⁸		7⁷	8⁷		(conn p)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122								30.00			72.30
6	MICHEAUX						5	5		3^3½	4^4½		9^8½	9^16½		(clement p)PELTROCHE F 122								12.00			21.70
SCR	WAGER WORTHY															(carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								15.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.