Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-2   EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $7.90 $1.90 32%
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3-4 $37.50 $31.50 525%
CT-4   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $56.10 $44.10 368%
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-2-3 $146.80 $122.80 512%
    SFT (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  5-2-3-6 $451.00 $427.00 1779%
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-5 $30.20 $6.20 26%
CT-6   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    DD (6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-5 $35.20 $11.20 47%
    PK3 (5/3/6/2)-(6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-6-5 $70.00 $22.00 46%
CT-7   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-7 $17.50 $11.50 192%
    DD (5/6/7)-(8/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-2 $62.40 $44.40 247%
    PK3 (6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7)-(8/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  6-5-2 $79.10 $43.10 120%
CT-8   PK3 (5/6/7)-(8/2/7)-(4/2/10/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00  5-2-4 $53.60 $17.60 49%
    PK4 (6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7)-(8/2/7)-(4/2/10/8) 144 $1.00 $144  6-5-2-4/5 $185.40 $41.40 29%
    PK5 (5/3/6/2)-(6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7)-(8/2/7)-(4/2/10/8) 576 $1.00 $576  5-6-5-2-4/5 $1115.10 $539.10 94%
    PK6 (1/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7)-(8/2/7)-(4/2/10/8) 1728 $1.00 $1728  5/6-5-6-5-2-4/5 $2013.90 $285.90 17%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY 2 1 11 11   13 16 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 8.50  
STYLISH PAINT 7 5 3 3   23 26 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 21% 3.70 6.20 P
FLAT DISCOUNT 1 2 21 21   3 311¼ (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 1.40  
CASTLE OF CAYLEE 4 3 711 718   610 411¼ (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 6.20  
URKILLINGMEBETH 5 4 4 4   47 512¼ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.10  
MARKETABILITY 6 7 6 511½   510 615¾ (hurley jack)CULLUM W 122 4.00 13% 6.70 9.10  
SO RED THE ROSE 3 6 5 612   710½ 716¼ (obed-letts ketur)MAWING A 120 30.00 77.60  
 
CT-2   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:221 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO COURAGEOUS 6 3 11     2nk 1nk (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.40 63% 0.60 1.30 W
CHARITABLY GIFTED 2 4 21     1nk 2nk (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 11% 8.50 5.80 P
DANCIN IN DUBAI 3 5 6     5 3 (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00 17.80 S
SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND 1 6 5     33 44 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 5.50  
TRAPPE THE GOLD 5 2 32     4 5 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 1.40  
DINNER BELL 4 1 4     6 68 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 30.00 46.40  
SCR  PRIMETIME JET               (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00    
 
CT-3   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELICIAS CASTLE 5 5 44 42   4 1¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 17% 4.90 2.10 W
MODERN DAY ROMANCE 3 3 32 31   2 2¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 2.70  
SIENTE EL AMOR 7 4 12 1nk   1 3½ (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 17.30  
GET OFF MY CLOUD 6 7 22 2nk   32 4¾ (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 5.00  
CURB THAT TIGER 4 6 7 5   53 5 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 23.40  
AIR MEDAL 1 1 6 7   6 6 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 39% 1.50 7.50  
WELL EQUIPPED 2 2 5 6   7 711¼ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 17% 5.00 3.10  
SCR  JEFFERSON SECURITY               (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :46       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLOW MOON 5 3 1nk     13 13 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 31% 2.20 3.40 W
SCARLET TANAGER 2 7 76     48 23 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00 23.20 P
DING DING 3 6 2nk     23 3 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 27% 2.70 0.40 S
MAKE IT A DOUBLE 6 2 4     3 4 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 19% 4.30 6.30  
MOJO MATTERS 1 8 811     811½ 5 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 71.60  
GOLDEN SWEETS 8 1 32     69 6 (bass cu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 12.70  
MISS WILD 7 5 53     710 7 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 30.30  
ADABEL 4 4 6     5 814¾ (garrido raul)LARROSA G 120 20.00 59.90  
 
CT-5   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:141     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERVIEW STEVIE 6 4 21 2   22 11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 36% 1.80 1.70 W
HIGHWAY QUEEN 7 8 612 510   34 21 (miller marli)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 9.60  
MIDNIGHT REGRET 8 5 11 1   12 3 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 25% 2.90 1.20 S
DALLAS 1 1 4 4   46 4 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 120 10.00 9.10  
HOVEL 4 6 931 827½   712½ 5 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 65.00  
IRISH SAMURAI 5 9 717 615   57 6 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
I B NASTY 3 3 829 931   919½ 710½ (racanelli ma)BATISTA A 120 20.00 67.80  
HOLDING COURT 9 7 3 37   611 817 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 9% 9.90 6.00  
DANCE LIGHTLY 2 2 510½ 715½   815½ 921 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 82.60  
 
CT-6   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:122     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP SECRET 5 5 2nk 1nk   1 1 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 43% 1.40 3.10 W
SILIPO 1 4 714¼ 711½   5 2 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 120 6.00 5.10  
ZEN MASTER 7 7 5 5   2 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 6% 15.00 3.00 S
FEARNOUGHT 4 3 6 6   6 4 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 27.10  
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN 6 6 3.2 2nk   3 511 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80 2.60  
SUPER QUALITY 2 2 4 4   4 612 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 9.60  
CHANGE YOUR LUCK 3 1 1nk 3½   7 721¼ (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 5.50  
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE               (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:22 :454       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FIBER 2 5 22     2nk 1¾ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 21% 3.70 3.20 W
GEORGE 6 1 12     1nk 2¾ (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.00 16% 5.10 2.40 P
BORN TO SIN 1 6 33     34 3 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 118 15.00 12.80  
XCELLENT START 7 2 6     4 45 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 39% 1.60 1.30  
ONE CANDY CASTLE 3 7 5     6 57 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 12.00 18.90  
MISSIONARY 5 3 4     5 6 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.50 7.50  
DONNIE B 4 4 7     7 710½ (barber c)MAYHEW W 120 30.00 49.90  
SCR  EL PACHO               (reyes d)BATISTA C 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:141     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 4 1 11 1   1 1¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 35% 1.80 0.80 W
APPEALING ROAD 8 6 4 33   33 2¼ (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 6.80  
10  ELLIES AT WINDSOR 9 7 21 2   2 3 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 15% 5.60 5.30 S
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 1 4 712½ 8   5 4 (shanley t)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00 48.10  
PEARLY GHOST 2 2 5 5   4 5 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 16% 5.20 7.80  
HOW IS SHE 7 9 921 915¼   87 6 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 10% 9.20 10.70  
I SHALLBE RELEASED 6 8 68 66   66 7 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00 9.90  
LADY SPARROW 3 3 813 78   77 87 (conn linda )MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 30.00 72.30  
MICHEAUX 5 5 3 4   9 916½ (clement roland )PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 21.70  
SCR  WAGER WORTHY               (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.