Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $19.00  
CT-2   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
CT-3   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
CT-4   Win (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
CT-5   Win (6/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
CT-6   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
CT-7   Win (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
CT-8   Win (4/2/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY 2 1 11 11   13 16 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 8.50  
STYLISH PAINT 7 5 3 3   23 26 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 21% 3.70 6.20 P
FLAT DISCOUNT 1 2 21 21   3 311¼ (ginter raym)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 1.40  
CASTLE OF CAYLEE 4 3 711 718   610 411¼ (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 6.20  
URKILLINGMEBETH 5 4 4 4   47 512¼ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.10  
MARKETABILITY 6 7 6 511½   510 615¾ (hurley jack)CULLUM W 122 4.00 13% 6.70 9.10  
SO RED THE ROSE 3 6 5 612   710½ 716¼ (obed-letts keturah)MAWING A 120 30.00 77.60  
 
CT-2   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:221 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO COURAGEOUS 6 3 11     2nk 1nk (patterson kevin)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.40 63% 0.60 1.30 W
CHARITABLY GIFTED 2 4 21     1nk 2nk (harrison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 11% 8.50 5.80 P
DANCIN IN DUBAI 3 5 6     5 3 (brown kelto)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00 17.80 S
SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND 1 6 5     33 44 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 5.50  
TRAPPE THE GOLD 5 2 32     4 5 (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 1.40  
DINNER BELL 4 1 4     6 68 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 30.00 46.40  
SCR  PRIMETIME JET               (patterson kevin)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00    
 
CT-3   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELICIAS CASTLE 5 5 44 42   4 1¼ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 17% 4.90 2.10 W
MODERN DAY ROMANCE 3 3 32 31   2 2¼ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 2.70  
SIENTE EL AMOR 7 4 12 1nk   1 3½ (wilhelm t)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 17.30  
GET OFF MY CLOUD 6 7 22 2nk   32 4¾ (adorno jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 5.00  
CURB THAT TIGER 4 6 7 5   53 5 (sigler rona)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 23.40  
AIR MEDAL 1 1 6 7   6 6 (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 39% 1.50 7.50  
WELL EQUIPPED 2 2 5 6   7 711¼ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 17% 5.00 3.10  
SCR  JEFFERSON SECURITY               (grams c)REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :46       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLOW MOON 5 3 1nk     13 13 (reynolds joan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 31% 2.20 3.40 W
SCARLET TANAGER 2 7 76     48 23 (spriggs r)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00 23.20 P
DING DING 3 6 2nk     23 3 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 27% 2.70 0.40 S
MAKE IT A DOUBLE 6 2 4     3 4 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 19% 4.30 6.30  
MOJO MATTERS 1 8 811     811½ 5 (davis russe)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 71.60  
GOLDEN SWEETS 8 1 32     69 6 (bass curt)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 12.70  
MISS WILD 7 5 53     710 7 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 30.30  
ADABEL 4 4 6     5 814¾ (garrido raul)LARROSA G 120 20.00 59.90  
 
CT-5   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:141     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERVIEW STEVIE 6 4 21 2   22 11 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 36% 1.80 1.70 W
HIGHWAY QUEEN 7 8 612 510   34 21 (miller marlin )BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 9.60  
MIDNIGHT REGRET 8 5 11 1   12 3 (schiano-dicol)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 25% 2.90 1.20 S
DALLAS 1 1 4 4   46 4 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 120 10.00 9.10  
HOVEL 4 6 931 827½   712½ 5 (davis russe)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 65.00  
IRISH SAMURAI 5 9 717 615   57 6 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
I B NASTY 3 3 829 931   919½ 710½ (racanelli mark)BATISTA A 120 20.00 67.80  
HOLDING COURT 9 7 3 37   611 817 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 9% 9.90 6.00  
DANCE LIGHTLY 2 2 510½ 715½   815½ 921 (stahlin john)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 82.60  
 
CT-6   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:122     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP SECRET 5 5 2nk 1nk   1 1 (sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 43% 1.40 3.10 W
SILIPO 1 4 714¼ 711½   5 2 (hillegass alex)BATISTA A 120 6.00 5.10  
ZEN MASTER 7 7 5 5   2 3 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 6% 15.00 3.00 S
FEARNOUGHT 4 3 6 6   6 4 (clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 27.10  
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN 6 6 3.2 2nk   3 511 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80 2.60  
SUPER QUALITY 2 2 4 4   4 612 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 9.60  
CHANGE YOUR LUCK 3 1 1nk 3½   7 721¼ (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 5.50  
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE               (spriggs tos)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:22 :454       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FIBER 2 5 22     2nk 1¾ (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 21% 3.70 3.20 W
GEORGE 6 1 12     1nk 2¾ (walters david )BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.00 16% 5.10 2.40 P
BORN TO SIN 1 6 33     34 3 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 118 15.00 12.80  
XCELLENT START 7 2 6     4 45 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 39% 1.60 1.30  
ONE CANDY CASTLE 3 7 5     6 57 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 12.00 18.90  
MISSIONARY 5 3 4     5 6 (sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.50 7.50  
DONNIE B 4 4 7     7 710½ (barber c)MAYHEW W 120 30.00 49.90  
SCR  EL PACHO               (reyes d)BATISTA C 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:141     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKINLIMMARGARITAS 4 1 11 1   1 1¼ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 35% 1.80 0.80 W
APPEALING ROAD 8 6 4 33   33 2¼ (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 6.80  
10  ELLIES AT WINDSOR 9 7 21 2   2 3 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 15% 5.60 5.30 S
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 1 4 712½ 8   5 4 (shanley tim)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00 48.10  
PEARLY GHOST 2 2 5 5   4 5 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 16% 5.20 7.80  
HOW IS SHE 7 9 921 915¼   87 6 (johnson jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 10% 9.20 10.70  
I SHALLBE RELEASED 6 8 68 66   66 7 (walters david )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00 9.90  
LADY SPARROW 3 3 813 78   77 87 (conn p)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 30.00 72.30  
MICHEAUX 5 5 3 4   9 916½ (clement p)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 21.70  
SCR  WAGER WORTHY               (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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