Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(7/3/4)-(1/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(1/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(6/8/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/2)-(6/8/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/2)-(6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/5)-(6/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/5)-(6/8/9/5)-(6/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/5)-(5/6/7)-(8/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(8/2/7)-(4/2/10/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7)-(8/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/7)-(4/2/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/2/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/10/8)-(4/2/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/10/8)-(4/2/10/8)-(4/2/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT DISCOUNT Sep15 Sep02 Aug24 Aug12 Jul29 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50    
2  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Sep02 Aug12 Jul13 Jun17 May06 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
3  SO RED THE ROSE Sep29 Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (obed-letts ketur)MAWING A 120 30.00    
4  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jul01 May25 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
5  URKILLINGMEBETH Aug12 May21 Apr30 Apr06 Mar17 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  MARKETABILITY Sep29 Sep09 Aug12 Mar17 Feb11 (hurley jack)CULLUM W 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
7  STYLISH PAINT Sep09 Aug12 May25 Apr29 Apr08 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
CT-2   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRIMETIME JET Sep28 Jul14 May26 Apr21 Apr01 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00    
2  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND May11 Apr20 Apr13 Apr01 Mar10 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50    
3  CHARITABLY GIFTED Sep09 Jul15 May21 Apr15 Mar16 (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 11% 8.50    
4  DANCIN IN DUBAI Sep22 Aug05 Jul28 Jul14 Jun20 (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DINNER BELL Aug05 Jun17 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
6  TRAPPE THE GOLD Sep08 Aug18 Jul29 May10 Apr19 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00    
7  SO COURAGEOUS Jul02 Apr28 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.40 63% 0.60    
 
CT-3   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR MEDAL Aug03 Jun22 Jun01 Apr22 Mar25 (brown ronney )ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.50 39% 1.50    
2  WELL EQUIPPED Aug17 Jun23 Apr27 Mar10 Feb08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Sep07 Aug17 Jul19 Apr27 Apr06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
4  CURB THAT TIGER Aug17 Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 May12 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00    
SCR  JEFFERSON SECURITY Aug19 May20 Apr22 Apr06 Mar02 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
6  FELICIAS CASTLE Sep15 Jul06 Jun30 Jun03 May26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
7  GET OFF MY CLOUD Sep07 Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 Jun03 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00    
8  SIENTE EL AMOR Aug19 Aug03 Jun22 May26 Apr06 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOJO MATTERS Sep07 Aug12 Jul22 Jul14 Jun15 (davis russell)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
2  SCARLET TANAGER Sep07 Aug19 Jun16 May25 Apr15 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DING DING Jul14 Apr20 Mar24 Jan12 Oct01 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
4  ADABEL Aug10 Jul21 May04 Feb09 Jan12 (garrido raul)MONTERREY R 120 20.00    
5  WILLOW MOON Mar23 Jan28 Dec08 Oct22 Oct01 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Sep07 Aug19 Jul06 May25 May04 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
7  MISS WILD Sep29 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
8  GOLDEN SWEETS Jul08 May26 May06 Apr15 Mar23 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
 
CT-5   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DALLAS Sep22 Sep13 Aug05 Jul29 Jul14 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
2  DANCE LIGHTLY Sep21 Mar26 Mar17 Mar05 Feb18 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
3  I B NASTY Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 May11 (racanelli ma)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
4  HOVEL Sep16 Aug05 Jul08 Jun09 May12 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
5  IRISH SAMURAI Sep16 Aug26 Jul07 May27 May06 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIVERVIEW STEVIE Sep16 Sep02 Aug24 Jan11   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  HIGHWAY QUEEN Sep16 Aug31 Aug16 Jul13 Jun28 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00    
8  MIDNIGHT REGRET Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 25% 2.90    
9  HOLDING COURT Sep01 Jul23 Jun10 Mar25 Mar04 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
CT-6   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILIPO May20 Apr14 Mar25 Sep24 Aug24 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
2  SUPER QUALITY Aug03 Jun18 Apr28 Apr15 Mar10 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
3  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 Jun16 Dec16 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00    
4  FEARNOUGHT Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
5  TAP SECRET Sep21 Aug31 Jul21 Jul08   (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 43% 1.40    
6  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Sep01 Jul16 Jul08 Jun23 May25 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  ZEN MASTER Sep03 Jul30 Jul07 May28 May14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 6% 15.00    
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   10/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN TO SIN Sep01 Aug26 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
2  GOLD FIBER Aug17 Jul06 Dec17 Nov26   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  EL PACHO Sep08 Aug17 Mar10 Feb17   (reyes d)BATISTA C 122 6.00    
4  ONE CANDY CASTLE Aug26 Jul13 May26 Apr29 Mar30 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 12.00    
5  DONNIE B Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun03 May13 (barber c)MAYHEW W 120 30.00    
6  MISSIONARY Mar30 Feb16 Jan06 Nov26 Nov05 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.50    
7  GEORGE Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 May13 (walters david)ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.00 16% 5.10    
8  XCELLENT START Sep25 Sep01 Aug05 Jul15 Feb01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 39% 1.60    
 
CT-8   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 (shanley t)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
2  PEARLY GHOST Aug26 Jul20 Jun16 May12 Apr21 (viands)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
3  LADY SPARROW Aug26 Aug04 Jan20 Nov09 Oct19 (conn p)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
4  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Sep16 Jul28 Jun30 May26 May11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 35% 1.80    
SCR  WAGER WORTHY Sep16 Aug26 Jun16 May26 Apr21 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
6  MICHEAUX Aug31 Aug17 Jul14 Jun17 May18 (clement roland )PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
7  I SHALLBE RELEASED Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 Jun17 May18 (walters david)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00    
8  HOW IS SHE Jul20 Jun23 May25 May05 Apr13 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
9  APPEALING ROAD Sep16 Aug19 Jul13 Jun30 Jun09 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
10  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.