Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.40  
CT-2   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
CT-3   Win (9/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 4.80
CT-4   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.40  
CT-5   Win (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
CT-6   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
CT-7   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
CT-8   Win (1/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $17.60  

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:141     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD ACCELEBRATE 3 5 69 4   15 1 (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 3.70  
SOMEBODY LOVES ME 4 7 714 7   4 2 (peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 124 2.00 20% 4.00 1.60 P
DASHING LASS 1 1 45 3   5 3 (shanley timot)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 6.00 5.10  
LINDA'S TAJ 7 3 13 1½   25 4 (dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00 15% 5.80 9.00  
LADY CAIRO 6 4 3 2½   3 511¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 44% 1.30 2.10  
IMAGINE RITA 2 6 5 6   613¾ 619¼ (boyce brian)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 30.00 50.90  
ITSUPTOME 5 2 23 5   739¾ 769½ (boykins k)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 50.00 56.30  
 
CT-2   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:132     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERLY CRITICAL 5 4 31 2½   2nk 11 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50 15% 5.50 1.80 W
STARBURST 3 1 1nk 1½   1nk 21 (stidham michael)ACOSTA D 122 1.60 41% 1.40 4.40 P
KENNY HAD A NOTION 4 3 4 3   32 34 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 2.50  
CLASSY AMERICAN 2 5 5 43   44 4 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 1.90  
MIND YOUR OWN 1 2 2nk 5   510 520¼ (racanelli m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00 17.30  
SCR  RAD PAISLEY               (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00    
 
CT-3   09/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMY'S HOTSHOT 5 4 1½     1 1½ (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 25% 3.10 5.40 W
LONA LEE 1 8 3     2 2½ (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 11.40  
MALIBU YEARS 8 2 42     42 3 (johnson r)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.60 47% 1.10 0.90 S
10  PETTY PERFECT 9 1 2½     32 4 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 15.00 18.70  
ROMAN CANDLE 3 7 5     55 54 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 7% 12.90 3.10  
IMADHI 2 9 7     710¼ 612¼ (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 54.30  
QUINN ELIA 7 3 89     814¼ 712¾ (schiano-dicol)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 24.50  
SPECIAL KAYLEE 4 6 67     610 814½ (kopecki s)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00 36.40  
LEONESSA 6 5 912     914¼ 914½ (runco c)BATISTA A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  MY LUCKY DEIA               (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
 
CT-4   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:144 1:402   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE IN THE GAME 4 3 31 5 3½ 11 1 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 2.00 2.20  
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 2 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 41% 1.40 1.30 P
MARTIN MAN 5 5 63 6 5 3 3 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 14.10  
CANDY INVASION 3 4 42 42 4 4 4 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.80 25% 3.00 2.50  
MACHEN'S RIDGE 1 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 55 511¼ (ovando melv)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 19.60  
INDIAN EMPIRE 6 6 52 32 6 612 620½ (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
 
CT-5   09/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:214 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICO 5 3 52     2½ 1¾ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 9% 10.70 3.00 W
PRIMAL DESTINY 7 1 1½     1½ 2¾ (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 23% 3.40 1.20 P
STORM BOARDER (CHI) 2 5 3½     4 3 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00 43% 1.30 2.90 S
DANCE CODE 4 7 711     7 45 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 14.20  
MR TINGLES 1 4 2½     31 55 (dollinger-s)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00 48.50  
INSIDE RISK 6 2 64     6 66 (caison l)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 46.90  
CARIBBEAN PLEASURE 3 6 4     5 7 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 4.90  
 
CT-6   09/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:221 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASTLE LIGHTS 6 2 11     12 1 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 11% 7.90 2.10 W
NAUGHTY NAN 3 6 5     34 2 (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 15% 5.70 6.60 P
JUBA'S HOUSE 1 4 21     22 33 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00 6.30  
COMIDA COMIDA 4 5 4     5 4 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00 11.50  
MY SISTER CLURRIE 7 1 32     45 5 (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 15.20  
REIGN ON AND ON 5 3 712½     614½ 6 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 1.40 46% 1.20 1.10  
DANCE LIGHTLY 2 7 611½     714½ 715½ (stahlin john)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 63.50  
SCR  GRAM'S GAL               (pennella rhea )BATISTA A 122 30.00    
 
CT-7   09/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:22 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE ROO ROO 1 6 1½     15 11 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.40 47% 1.10 0.20 W
TAP SECRET 4 5 5     3 21 (sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 12% 7.10 19.50 P
DUNCAN IDAHO 2 4 2½     25 3 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 19% 4.20 3.20 S
HE IS BONAFIDE 6 1 4     5 4 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 24.30  
LION OF THE SEA 3 3 31     47 5 (grams c)MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00 41.30  
DAN THE MAN CAN 5 2 66     614½ 6 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 18.80  
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE               (dunham bernar)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
SCR  DAY THE MUSIC DIED               (ginter raymond )ADAMS L 113 6.00    
SCR  FIBER STRONG               (runco c)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144 1:413   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTTSDALE 7 4 13 1 1 12 1 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 7.80  
MOON OVER MONTANA 3 2 5 4 2 22 2 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 6.70  
CANTAKEITANYMORE 4 6 612½ 59 5 38 310¾ (keller christoph)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 14.20  
MAKE WAY 2 7 712¾ 6 64 513½ 418½ (barber c)REYNOLDS C 122 20.00 16.90  
MR HOOVER 1 1 23 3 32 411 519¾ (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80 29% 2.40 0.90  
CARTE BLANCHE 5 5 3 2 4 615 622 (graci kimberly)BATISTA A 122 4.00 29% 2.50 3.50  
KING THEO 6 3 4 7100 7100 7100 7100 (lauro eva)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 16% 5.40 8.20  
SCR  ELEVATED FOREVER               (garrido rau)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
SCR  INDIAN BUZZ               (kulp brandon)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.