Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(4/6)-(9/6/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(9/6/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(9/6/4/7)-(2/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/7)-(9/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/7)-(9/6/4/7)-(9/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/4/7)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/4/7)-(2/3/6)-(2/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(2/7/5)-(6/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(6/3/7)-(1/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/6/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(1/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/8)-(1/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/8)-(1/6/8)-(1/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHING LASS Sep02 Aug11 Jul30 Jul07   (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of DIBBLE DASH by JUMP START)
2  IMAGINE RITA Aug11 Aug03 Jul05 Jun10 Mar07 (boyce bri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 30.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Sep09 Aug26 Aug02 May24 May05 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 3.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 Jul13 Jun22 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  ITSUPTOME Jun17 May19 Apr28     (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 50.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
6  LADY CAIRO         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of POSITIVELY ROYAL by BERNARDINI)
7  LINDA'S TAJ Sep01 Aug11 Jun22 Jun09 May18 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
 
CT-2   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIND YOUR OWN Aug31 Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 May28 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
SCR  RAD PAISLEY Sep04 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 Apr29 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00    
3  CLASSY AMERICAN Aug23 Jun20 Jun05 May15 Apr24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50    
4  STARBURST Aug30 Aug09 Jan13     (stidham michael)ACOSTA D 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
5  KENNY HAD A NOTION Sep07 Jul15 Jun30 May25 Apr15 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
6  OVERLY CRITICAL Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 May18 Apr01 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
CT-3   09/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONA LEE         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
SCR  MY LUCKY DEIA         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
  (by LEA out of QUILT by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
3  IMADHI         (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
  (by GANDHI out of MONSTER IMAGE by MEADOW MONSTER)
4  ROMAN CANDLE         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 7% 12.90    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of ROMAN CHARITY by ROMAN RULER)
5  SPECIAL KAYLEE         (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
  (by GANDHI out of FIRST COLONY by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  REMY'S HOTSHOT Aug31         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of REMY DOODLES by GRAND SLAM)
7  LEONESSA         (runco c)BATISTA A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of SPOKEN IN FRENCH by ORATORY)
8  QUINN ELIA Aug31         (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
9  MALIBU YEARS Aug31 Aug10       (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
10  PETTY PERFECT         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-4   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHEN'S RIDGE Sep09 Aug31 Jul07 Jun23 May11 (ovando melvi)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
2  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 May12 Mar31 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  CANDY INVASION Aug25 Jul05 Jun10 May18 Apr22 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  LATE IN THE GAME Aug25 Jul05 Jun10 May18 Apr22 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 2.00    
5  MARTIN MAN Sep03 Jul24 Jun24 Oct08 Sep17 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
6  INDIAN EMPIRE Sep05 Jul31 Jul05 Jun25 Jun06 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   09/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR TINGLES Sep09 Jul28 May26 Apr06 Mar09 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
2  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Aug06 Jul13 Jun02 Apr30 Apr06 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Aug17 Aug04 Jul01     (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
4  DANCE CODE Jun10 May08 Mar15 Mar01 Feb06 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
5  NICO Aug18 Jun17 May19 Apr22 Mar18 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 9% 10.70    
6  INSIDE RISK Sep04 Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 Jan19 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
7  PRIMAL DESTINY Aug06 Jul13 Apr30 Apr06 Feb23 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
CT-6   09/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S HOUSE Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 May27 May12 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
2  DANCE LIGHTLY Mar26 Mar17 Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
3  NAUGHTY NAN Sep02 Jul27 Jul02 May29 May07 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  COMIDA COMIDA Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 May12 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00    
SCR  GRAM'S GAL Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 Apr07 Feb17 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
6  REIGN ON AND ON Sep02 Jul14 Jun02 Apr13 Mar11 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 1.40 46% 1.20    
7  CASTLE LIGHTS Aug24 Jul28 Jun02 May13 Feb25 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 11% 7.90    
8  MY SISTER CLURRIE Aug31 Aug04 Jul01 Jun02 Aug26 (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   09/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE ROO ROO Aug25 Jul22 Jun17 May13 Mar31 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.40 47% 1.10    
SCR  FIBER STRONG Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 Apr27 Apr07 (runco c)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
3  DUNCAN IDAHO Aug17 Jul15 Jun09 May20 Apr22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  DAY THE MUSIC DIED Jul28 Jun30 May19 Apr27 May15 (ginter raymon)ADAMS L 113 6.00    
5  LION OF THE SEA Aug31 Aug10 Jun17 Jun03 Apr15 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00    
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 May23 May10 (dunham bern)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
7  TAP SECRET Aug31 Jul21 Jul08     (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
8  DAN THE MAN CAN Aug25 Aug10 Jun30 May19 Apr28 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
9  HE IS BONAFIDE Sep03 Aug10 Jul13 Jun17 Jun03 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR HOOVER Aug11 Jul14 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80 29% 2.40    
2  MAKE WAY Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 May18 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
SCR  ELEVATED FOREVER Sep09 Aug11 Jul22 Jun15 Jun02 (garrido r)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
4  MOON OVER MONTANA Sep14 Aug26 May06 Apr15 Mar01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
5  CANTAKEITANYMORE Aug04 Jul16 May05 Apr08 Mar01 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
6  CARTE BLANCHE Sep07 Jun24 Jun03 Mar17 Feb25 (graci kimber)BATISTA A 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  INDIAN BUZZ Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
8  KING THEO Sep01 Aug04 Apr21 Mar05 Jan19 (lauro e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
9  SCOTTSDALE Sep02 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Aug18 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.