Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-2   EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $7.40 $1.40 23%
CT-6   TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1-2 $12.30 $6.30 105%
CT-8   DD (1/7/6)-(7/9/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-9 $18.60 $0.60 3%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:224 :473       :541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWN SUGA BABE 4 2 1½     1½ 1 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 6.80  
  (by SOLOMINI out of ITSMYHONOR by INDIAN CHARLIE)
YOU CAN'T WIN 2 3 56     5 2 (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 4.50  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
P B FOXY 1 4 3½     2½ 3 (venham d)BATISTA C 120 20.00 21.90  
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of POSEIDON'S BLUFF by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
HONEY PLEASE 3 5 4     3½ 4 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 26% 2.80 1.80  
  (by FROSTED out of JADE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
HONKEY TONK TIME 5 1 2½     41 59 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 29% 2.50 0.90  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of LEGION OF MERIT by DANZIG)
SCR  RAGAZZA MIA               (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00    
  (by MOSLER out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
 
CT-2   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:22 :451       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEACHINTHERELEASE 6 1 1     1 18 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 2.00 48% 1.10 1.70 W
HARDLY EVER BETTER 4 3 2     2 28 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 13% 6.90 1.50 P
MAKIN' GOLD 3 6 6     610½ 3 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 118 2.50 4.30  
TURTLE DOVE 2 5 44     4 410¾ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 9.00  
REATA'S CASTLE 1 4 55     510 510¾ (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 113 12.00 29.50  
JUBA BOUND 5 2 3     37 611¾ (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 8.00 12% 7.10 7.10  
 
CT-3   09/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:151     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION LEAGUE 2 2 33 43   3 1¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 47% 1.10 0.70 W
MISS YOU AJAX 3 6 5 5   5 2¾ (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 13% 6.50 8.40 P
CAJUN FUN 4 3 11 1   11 3 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 2.30  
COUNTRY CHARLIE 5 4 21 2   21 4 (deiter lynn)LARROSA G 120 20.00 27.10  
PLAYBOY ROY 6 5 610 611   6 53 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 6.40  
DANNY'S WINKSTER 1 1 4 32   4 6 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 20.80  
SCR  VOICE OF NOW               (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 15% 5.90    
 
CT-4   09/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S HAT TRICK 1 2 21 2nk   12 1 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.60 45% 1.20 1.10 W
PAYMENGOLD 2 5 5 6   47 2 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 23% 3.40 3.10 P
LORD OF CORK 6 3 11 1nk   22 3 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 2.90  
MARCHED 5 6 32 45   5 4 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 7% 12.90 15.20  
MINISTRY OF MAGIC 3 1 6 56   69 58 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 16.10  
BOSS E BOOGS 4 4 4 3   3 6 (wilhelm tab)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 6.40  
 
CT-5   09/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHMEAR 6 3 42 2nk   11 1 (viands stac)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00 3.10  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 5 6 21 3.2   21 2 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 1.60  
GLOBALIZATION 7 7 6 5   4 312¼ (stahlin john)LARROSA G 121 5.00 51% 1.00 4.70 S
SMOKIN SMITTY 2 1 11 1nk   39 412¾ (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 121 30.00 59.70  
GAMING SOUL 9 8 86 6   715 516½ (garrido raul)MONTERREY R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
TAKE AIM 3 5 75 8   613½ 617 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 3.50 5% 19.00 7.30  
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME 4 4 5 4   511½ 718 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 15.00 59.70  
WAVE ACTION 8 9 9 7   816 819 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 6.00 21% 3.80 6.30  
PAY THE SQUID 1 2 32 9   920 925¾ (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 119 15.00 43.90  
 
CT-6   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:222 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE ILLUSIONIST 5 2 2½     1 1 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.00 33% 2.00 0.70 W
FROGGY THE GREMLIN 1 6 3     3 2 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 20% 4.00 4.90 P
PRIMETIME JET 2 3 1½     2 3 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 25% 3.00 5.80 S
HUEY DUEY 4 5 5     4 4 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 6.80  
RUNAWAY ROAD 3 4 7     6 5 (feliciano ben )ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 12.70  
THUNDERINREADYRICK 6 7 64     55 6 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 8.20  
FIFTY FIFTY 7 1 4     713½ 717¾ (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 122 20.00 33.90  
SCR  DOC ELM               (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00    
 
CT-7   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:213 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY HER UP 6 1 12     1 1 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 26% 2.90 2.10 W
BELLA MELA 1 7 22     2 2 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.60 38% 1.60 0.70 P
SENTELLA 4 4 55     34 3 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 4.50 8.30  
EMBERLY 3 6 710½     711½ 46 (ramos a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 48.20  
SNOWY JUBA CAT 5 3 4     59 5 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 15% 5.60 8.30  
CASTLE TOY 2 5 3     4 6 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 53.00  
TATOR MADE 7 2 6     610½ 7 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00 12.00  
SCR  PURE NONSENSE               (gillespie a)CULLUM W 118 15.00    
 
CT-8   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:223 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF LUCK 7 4 4     11 1 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 121 2.50 7% 13.60 1.50 W
ROAD PUNCH 4 5 2nk     21 2 (armstrong b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 20.00 16.70  
J. WICK 5 3 3.2     3 3 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.00 68% 0.50 1.00 S
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 3 6 6     53 4 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00 56.40  
DOG TOWN ALLEN 6 1 1nk     4 5 (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
TO THE TOP 2 7 7     67 6 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 121 30.00 96.50  
BOO TOO 1 8 5     77 717½ (jones royland)ADAMS L 115 6.00 10.20  
11  IRISH FIRE 8 2 8     813½ 825¾ (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00 43.40  
SCR  CHARTERED COURSE               (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
SCR  MAGICAL SURPRISE               (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50    
SCR  NEEDNOEXPLANATION               (bowman d)CECIL Y 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.