The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Charles Town
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $15.60 -4.00
CT-2   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
CT-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
CT-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
CT-5   Win (7/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.20 -8.00
CT-6   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
CT-7   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
CT-8   Win (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
:224 :473       :541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWN SUGA BABE 4 2 1½     1½ 1(jones e)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 6.80  
YOU CAN'T WIN 2 3 56     52(haynes m)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 4.50  
P B FOXY 1 4 3½     2½ 3(venham d)BATISTA C 120 20.00 21.90  
HONEY PLEASE 3 5 4     3½ 4(haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 26% 2.80 1.80  
HONKEY TONK TIME 5 1 2½     41 59 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 29% 2.50 0.90  
SCR  RAGAZZA MIA               (runco c)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00    
 
CT-2   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
:22 :451       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEACHINTHERELEASE 6 1 1     118 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 2.00 48% 1.10 1.70 W
HARDLY EVER BETTER 4 3 2     228 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 13% 6.90 1.50 P
MAKIN' GOLD 3 6 6     610½ 3(campbell marshall)RODRIGUEZ V 118 2.50 4.30  
TURTLE DOVE 2 5 44     4410¾ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 9.00  
REATA'S CASTLE 1 4 55     510 510¾ (collyer d)ADAMS L 113 12.00 29.50  
JUBA BOUND 5 2 3     37 611¾ (petty krist)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 8.00 12% 7.10 7.10  
 
CT-3   09/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:24 :482 1:151     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION LEAGUE 2 2 33 43   31¾ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 47% 1.10 0.70 W
MISS YOU AJAX 3 6 5 5   52¾ (knoblauch-perez m)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 13% 6.50 8.40 P
CAJUN FUN 4 3 11 1   11 3(collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 2.30  
COUNTRY CHARLIE 5 4 21 2   21 4(deiter lynn)LARROSA G 120 20.00 27.10  
PLAYBOY ROY 6 5 610 611   653 (reynolds a)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 6.40  
DANNY'S WINKSTER 1 1 4 32   46(jones micha)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 20.80  
SCR  VOICE OF NOW               (lucas anthony)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 15% 5.90    
 
CT-4   09/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
:233 :47 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S HAT TRICK 1 2 21 2nk   12 1(sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.60 45% 1.20 1.10 W
PAYMENGOLD 2 5 5 6   47 2(johnson dewa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 23% 3.40 3.10 P
LORD OF CORK 6 3 11 1nk   22 3(sigler g)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.50 2.90  
MARCHED 5 6 32 45   54(kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 7% 12.90 15.20  
MINISTRY OF MAGIC 3 1 6 56   69 58 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 16.10  
BOSS E BOOGS 4 4 4 3   36(wilhelm tabit)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 6.40  
 
CT-5   09/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
:241 :483 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHMEAR 6 3 42 2nk   11 1(viands stacey)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00 3.10  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 5 6 21 3.2   21 2(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 1.60  
GLOBALIZATION 7 7 6 5   4312¼ (stahlin john)LARROSA G 121 5.00 51% 1.00 4.70 S
SMOKIN SMITTY 2 1 11 1nk   39 412¾ (rideout m)RODRIGUEZ V 121 30.00 59.70  
GAMING SOUL 9 8 86 6   715 516½ (garrido raul)MONTERREY R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
TAKE AIM 3 5 75 8   613½ 617 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 3.50 5% 19.00 7.30  
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME 4 4 5 4   511½ 718 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 15.00 59.70  
WAVE ACTION 8 9 9 7   816 819 (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 6.00 21% 3.80 6.30  
PAY THE SQUID 1 2 32 9   920 925¾ (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 119 15.00 43.90  
 
CT-6   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
:222 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE ILLUSIONIST 5 2 2½     11(brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.00 33% 2.00 0.70 W
FROGGY THE GREMLIN 1 6 3     32(mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 20% 4.00 4.90 P
PRIMETIME JET 2 3 1½     23(patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 25% 3.00 5.80 S
HUEY DUEY 4 5 5     44(comi w)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 6.80  
RUNAWAY ROAD 3 4 7     65(feliciano m)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 12.70  
THUNDERINREADYRICK 6 7 64     55 6(bass curtis)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 8.20  
FIFTY FIFTY 7 1 4     713½ 717¾ (mcdonald timot)BATISTA A 122 20.00 33.90  
SCR  DOC ELM               (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00    
 
CT-7   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
:213 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY HER UP 6 1 12     11(joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 26% 2.90 2.10 W
BELLA MELA 1 7 22     22(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.60 38% 1.60 0.70 P
SENTELLA 4 4 55     34 3(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 118 4.50 8.30  
EMBERLY 3 6 710½     711½ 46 (ramos ago)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 48.20  
SNOWY JUBA CAT 5 3 4     59 5(bass curtis)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 15% 5.60 8.30  
CASTLE TOY 2 5 3     46(obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 53.00  
TATOR MADE 7 2 6     610½ 7(rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00 12.00  
SCR  PURE NONSENSE               (gillespie a)CULLUM W 118 15.00    
 
CT-8   09/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
:223 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF LUCK 7 4 4     11 1(ramos mig)RIOS-CONDE A 121 2.50 7% 13.60 1.50 W
ROAD PUNCH 4 5 2nk     21 2(armstrong bus)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 20.00 16.70  
J. WICK 5 3 3.2     33(brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.00 68% 0.50 1.00 S
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE 3 6 6     53 4(racanelli m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00 56.40  
DOG TOWN ALLEN 6 1 1nk     45(harrison glenn)MARRERO CARLOS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
TO THE TOP 2 7 7     67 6(king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 121 30.00 96.50  
BOO TOO 1 8 5     77 717½ (jones a)ADAMS L 115 6.00 10.20  
11  IRISH FIRE 8 2 8     813½ 825¾ (atkins mich)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00 43.40  
SCR  CHARTERED COURSE               (peltroche vaness)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
SCR  MAGICAL SURPRISE               (walters davi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50    
SCR  NEEDNOEXPLANATION               (bowman d)CECIL Y 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.