The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Charles Town
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (7/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $28.40 -8.00
    Exacta (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-7 2 0 $54.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-7-3 3 0 $246.20 -24.00
CT-2   Win (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
    Exacta (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-4 2 1 $5.40 $5.40 -6.60
    Trifecta (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-4-7 3 0 $84.40 -24.00
    Daily Double (7/2/6/5)-(6/4/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-6 2 0 $58.40 -32.00
CT-3   Win (4/10/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -0.80
    Exacta (4/10/2/1)-(4/10/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-1 2 1 $20.40 $20.40 4.40
    Trifecta (4/10/2/1)-(4/10/2/8/1)-(4/10/2/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 4-1-10 3 1 $56.50 $56.50 8.50
    Daily Double (6/4/5/1)-(4/10/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 6-4 2 1 $14.20 $14.20 -17.80
    Pick Three (7/2/6/5)-(6/4/5/1)-(4/10/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 4-6-4 3 0 $107.90 -64.00
CT-4   Win (7/1/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $16.60 -10.00
    Exacta (7/1/2/6/9)-(7/1/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 8-9 2 0 $48.60 -20.00
    Trifecta (7/1/2/6/9)-(7/1/2/6/9)-(7/1/2/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 8-9-7 3 0 $190.70 -60.00
    Daily Double (4/10/2/1)-(7/1/2/6/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 4-8 2 0 $68.20 -40.00
    Pick Three (6/4/5/1)-(4/10/2/1)-(7/1/2/6/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 6-4-8 3 0 $78.30 -80.00
CT-5   Win (3/4/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $37.00 -10.00
    Exacta (3/4/8/2/7)-(3/4/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 5-8 2 0 $122.90 -20.00
    Trifecta (3/4/8/2/7)-(3/4/8/2/7)-(3/4/8/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-8-1 3 0 $1588.00 -60.00
    Daily Double (7/1/2/6/9)-(3/4/8/2/7) 25 $2.00 $50.00 8-5 2 0 $288.60 -50.00
    Pick Three (4/10/2/1)-(7/1/2/6/9)-(3/4/8/2/7) 100 $1.00 $100.00 4-8-5 3 0 $880.70 -100.00
CT-6   Win (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $54.80 -8.00
    Exacta (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $104.90 -12.00
    Trifecta (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-1-7 3 0 $297.60 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 5-4 2 0 $766.40 -40.00
    Daily Double (3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 5-2 2 0 $38.40 -40.00
    Pick Three (7/1/2/6/9)-(3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3) 100 $1.00 $100.00 8-5-4 3 0 $9907.10 -100.00
    Pick Three (7/1/2/6/9)-(3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3) 100 $1.00 $100.00 8-5-2 3 0 $235.20 -100.00
CT-7   Win (10/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.60 -6.00
    Exacta (10/5/6)-(10/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1 2 0 $20.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (10/5/6)-(10/5/6)-(10/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1-5 3 0 $58.10 -6.00
    Daily Double (8/1/7/3)-(10/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-4 2 0 $556.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3)-(10/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-4-4 3 0 $3619.30 -60.00
    Pick Three (3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3)-(10/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-2-4 3 0 $92.60 -60.00
CT-8   Win (5/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (5/6/9/3)-(5/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-3 2 1 $5.70 $5.70 -6.30
    Trifecta (5/6/9/3)-(5/6/9/3)-(5/6/9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-3-7 3 0 $27.30 -24.00
    Daily Double (10/5/6)-(5/6/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-5 2 0 $28.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (10/5/6)-(5/6/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-8 2 0 $9.20 -24.00
    Pick Three (8/1/7/3)-(10/5/6)-(5/6/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 4-4-5 3 0 $651.30 -48.00
    Pick Three (8/1/7/3)-(10/5/6)-(5/6/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 4-4-8 3 0 $185.50 -48.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/15/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
:222 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMATE BREEZE 4 6 5     32 1nk (sandoval mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 13.20  
LIKELY CHOICE 7 3 3.2     2nk 2nk (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.20 41% 1.50 2.50 P
BESTLA 3 4 1nk     1nk 3(sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00 6.40  
HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS 6 5 6     74(walters davi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 16% 5.10 7.10  
MY BOSS 2 7 4     55(capuano gary )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 19% 4.40 0.90  
SWEET SPIN 1 8 7     66(locklear )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 34.80  
KYMMIES CHARDONNAY 5 1 2nk     47(pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
SMOOKIE 8 2 8     89 815½ (smith osborne)CECIL Y 120 30.00 57.30  
 
CT-2   09/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
:241 :482 1:143     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELICIAS CASTLE 6 5 4 3   31½ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 49% 1.00 0.90 W
HARPERSGONEFISHING 4 4 1nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 120 1.80 14% 6.40 3.10 P
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM 7 7 2nk 1nk   2nk 3(mckee e)CECIL Y 120 12.00 28.30  
DOCTOR PARDO 5 6 7 716¼   84(brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 115 6.00 7% 12.80 4.70  
COMEONTURNMELOOSE 1 3 8 817¼   75(atkins mich)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 6% 16.60 28.50  
HILLBILLY ROCK 3 1 3 5   45 6(atkins mich)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 47.40  
ALDRINALINE 8 8 6 4   67(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 5.30  
MEETMARYSMAN 2 2 5 610¼   56 812½ (pickett g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 37.60  
 
CT-3   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:02
:24 :481 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY BEAUTY 4 3 4 2½   11(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80 37% 1.70 2.60 W
MAKANI 1 1 1½ 1½   22(figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
10  MITOLE CANDY 10 9 6 42   35 37 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 23% 3.40 2.00 S
VICE ON ICE 2 8 7 74   46 411¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 16% 5.30 3.00  
ANOTHER FINE JUBA 9 5 31 3   57 516¼ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 30.00 55.20  
LIGHTNIN QUEEN 6 10 10 910   713 617 (rodriguez an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 25.50 DH
GIRLS PERFUME 7 7 5 5   69 617 (tuomisto clif)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 14.80 DH
CEDAR'S IMAGE 8 6 9 1010   1017 825¼ (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 15.80  
MISS INTENSITY 3 2 8 88   916 929 (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 122 30.00 67.60  
WAY OF APPEAL 5 4 2½ 6   814½ 1029¾ (perez ernesto)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00 48.10  
SCR  JUNE BELLE               (contreras jav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
SCR  SOMESUGARNSPICE               (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   09/15/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
:221 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDAR'S WISH 7 3 1½     11¾ (grams c)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 7.30  
EMBERLY 8 1 2½     22¾ (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
RIVER REWARDS RVF 6 4 43     32 3(brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 2.50 33% 2.10 2.30 S
WINDSOR'S PLAY 2 5 3     42 43 (rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 15% 5.70 4.20  
SIENTE LA BRISA 5 7 6     55(stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 10.00  
PURE NONSENSE 1 8 7     710½ 6(mckee e)CECIL Y 122 3.50 18% 4.60 2.30  
10  IRISH VALENTINE 9 2 5     6711¼ (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 21.80  
SUPERSTASIA 3 6 8     814 813¼ (rangel ricard)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 83.00  
MAP THE MOMENT 4 9 9     915 913¾ (campbell larry )ADAMS L 113 20.00 48.30  
SCR  GILDED QUEST               (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
CT-5   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
:233 :47 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARCHED 5 3 3 3   21 1¾ (kee j)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 17.50  
GRUMPY'S BUDDY 8 8 9 9   43 2¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00 7% 13.70 10.50 P
MAKIN' GOLD 1 1 11 1   11 3(campbell marshall)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 7.40  
NOCASHREFUNDS 6 10 8 65   34(boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 3.10  
10  STROLLINGINTHEWIND 10 9 1017¾ 1013¾   95(sigler rona)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00 20.50  
REVEREND JACK 4 6 78 8   64 6(carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 14% 6.20 5.80  
JUBA BOUND 2 4 6 4   54 7(petty krist)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 10.00 7% 14.00 4.90  
HAZEDNCONFUSED 7 5 53 5   8813¼ (lane j)CULLUM W 118 20.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
JAZZ WITH DENIS 3 2 21 2   7919¾ (sigler g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 43% 1.30 6.60  
I'LLTAKECAREOFIT 9 7 43 76   1011¾ 1025¼ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 6.00 4.40  
 
CT-6   09/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:232 :48 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY 3 7 7 42   1nk 1¾ (atkins mich)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 26.40  
VAGABOND VIRGIN 1 2 43 6   2nk 2¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 19% 4.30 1.40 P
LEG UP 6 4 32 5   43(hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 12% 7.20 3.30 S
REY O REYES 8 6 2½ 11   31 4(brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 115 6.00 4.40  
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 2 3 812½ 8   65(jones micha)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
TREASURER 7 8 53 21   53 616½ (meyers madiso)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.00 44% 1.30 3.50  
SPECTACULO 5 1 1½ 32   7723¼ (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 30.00 75.90  
JUST JUBA 4 5 68 7   814¼ 833 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 30.10  
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR               (hess g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
 
CT-7   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
:243 :482 1:133 1:41   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPA VALLEY 3 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 12 13 (ginter raym)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 3.30  
MARK DID IT 1 1 1nk 3 32 22 23 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 115 8.00 5.80  
VAIL OF HONOR 4 7 715 719½ 716 43(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 18% 4.50 3.20 S
GRAN ANDREWS 5 2 3.2 2nk 2nk 34(farrior anthony)PEREZ XAVIER 124 6.00 17% 5.00 2.20  
NEW YORK PANTHER 2 3 4¼ 42 43 58 513¼ (mckenzie dani)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 12.00 9.30  
TAPADINE 6 6 62 53 56 611½ 616¾ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00 21.90  
10  AUBURN MILL 7 5 5½ 6 615 723½ 746 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 40% 1.50 5.50  
SCR  KRUG               (capuano philli)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 5.00    
SCR  LORD OF CORK               (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE               (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
SCR  SILIPO               (hillegass alexandra)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
:24 :482 1:152     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST HAVE FAITH 5 8 7 54   211 (collins tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.40 W
VERY VENUS 3 3 1nk 11   121 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 8% 11.50 1.90 P
OUR BREW 7 6 31 21   337 (rawlings amand)MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00 8.10  
FAR MORE 6 4 42 3   44 49 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.00 22% 3.50 6.40  
OPPO TACO 8 7 5 64   5515¾ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 115 6.00 12% 7.30 5.70  
FLATTERING WAY 4 5 8 78   611½ 618¼ (barahona isaac)MAWING A 120 30.00 49.50  
LIL SPITTIN IMAGE 1 1 65 814   821½ 739½ (pickett cry)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00 26.40  
STORMI VANNA 2 2 2nk 43   716½ 843½ (locklear james)CECIL Y 124 20.00 51.40  
SCR  LIME STAR               (conn lind)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.