Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-3   EXA (4/10/2/1)-(4/10/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-1 $20.40 $4.40 28%
    TRI (4/10/2/1)-(4/10/2/8/1)-(4/10/2/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00  4-1-10 $56.50 $8.50 18%
    SFT (4/10/2/1)-(4/10/2/8/1)-(4/10/2/8/1)-(4/10/2/8/1) 96 $1.00 $96.00  4-1-10-2 $132.60 $36.60 38%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:222 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMATE BREEZE 4 6 5     32 1nk (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 13.20  
LIKELY CHOICE 7 3 3.2     2nk 2nk (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.20 41% 1.50 2.50 P
BESTLA 3 4 1nk     1nk 3 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00 6.40  
HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS 6 5 6     7 4 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 16% 5.10 7.10  
MY BOSS 2 7 4     5 5 (capuano gar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 19% 4.40 0.90  
SWEET SPIN 1 8 7     6 6 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 34.80  
KYMMIES CHARDONNAY 5 1 2nk     4 7 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
SMOOKIE 8 2 8     89 815½ (smith osborne)CECIL Y 120 30.00 57.30  
 
CT-2   09/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:143     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELICIAS CASTLE 6 5 4 3   3 1½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 49% 1.00 0.90 W
HARPERSGONEFISHING 4 4 1nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 1.80 14% 6.40 3.10 P
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM 7 7 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 12.00 28.30  
DOCTOR PARDO 5 6 7 716¼   8 4 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 115 6.00 7% 12.80 4.70  
COMEONTURNMELOOSE 1 3 8 817¼   7 5 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 6% 16.60 28.50  
HILLBILLY ROCK 3 1 3 5   45 6 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 47.40  
ALDRINALINE 8 8 6 4   6 7 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 5.30  
MEETMARYSMAN 2 2 5 610¼   56 812½ (pickett crystal)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 37.60  
 
CT-3   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY BEAUTY 4 3 4 2½   1 1 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80 37% 1.70 2.60 W
  (by ALDRIN out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
MAKANI 1 1 1½ 1½   2 2 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
10  MITOLE CANDY 10 9 6 42   35 37 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 23% 3.40 2.00 S
  (by MITOLE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
VICE ON ICE 2 8 7 74   46 411¼ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 16% 5.30 3.00  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of RED HOT DIVA by DEVON DEPUTY)
ANOTHER FINE JUBA 9 5 31 3   57 516¼ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 30.00 55.20  
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
LIGHTNIN QUEEN 6 10 10 910   713 617 (rodriguez )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 25.50 DH
  (by BULLSBAY out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
GIRLS PERFUME 7 7 5 5   69 617 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 14.80 DH
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PERFUME IN THE AIR by MUNNINGS)
CEDAR'S IMAGE 8 6 9 1010   1017 825¼ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 15.80  
  (by IMAGINING out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
MISS INTENSITY 3 2 8 88   916 929 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 122 30.00 67.60  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WAY OF APPEAL 5 4 2½ 6   814½ 1029¾ (perez ernesto)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00 48.10  
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
SCR  JUNE BELLE               (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPITEAO by TAPIT)
SCR  SOMESUGARNSPICE               (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
 
CT-4   09/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDAR'S WISH 7 3 1½     1 1¾ (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 7.30  
EMBERLY 8 1 2½     2 2¾ (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
RIVER REWARDS RVF 6 4 43     32 3 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 2.50 33% 2.10 2.30 S
WINDSOR'S PLAY 2 5 3     42 43 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 15% 5.70 4.20  
SIENTE LA BRISA 5 7 6     5 5 (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 10.00  
PURE NONSENSE 1 8 7     710½ 6 (mckee e)CECIL Y 122 3.50 18% 4.60 2.30  
10  IRISH VALENTINE 9 2 5     6 711¼ (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 21.80  
SUPERSTASIA 3 6 8     814 813¼ (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 83.00  
MAP THE MOMENT 4 9 9     915 913¾ (campbell larr)ADAMS L 113 20.00 48.30  
SCR  GILDED QUEST               (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
CT-5   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARCHED 5 3 3 3   21 1¾ (kee willie)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 17.50  
GRUMPY'S BUDDY 8 8 9 9   43 2¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00 7% 13.70 10.50 P
MAKIN' GOLD 1 1 11 1   11 3 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 7.40  
NOCASHREFUNDS 6 10 8 65   3 4 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 3.10  
10  STROLLINGINTHEWIND 10 9 1017¾ 1013¾   9 5 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00 20.50  
REVEREND JACK 4 6 78 8   64 6 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 14% 6.20 5.80  
JUBA BOUND 2 4 6 4   54 7 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 10.00 7% 14.00 4.90  
HAZEDNCONFUSED 7 5 53 5   8 813¼ (lane j)CULLUM W 118 20.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
JAZZ WITH DENIS 3 2 21 2   7 919¾ (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 43% 1.30 6.60  
I'LLTAKECAREOFIT 9 7 43 76   1011¾ 1025¼ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 6.00 4.40  
 
CT-6   09/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY 3 7 7 42   1nk 1¾ (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 26.40  
VAGABOND VIRGIN 1 2 43 6   2nk 2¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 19% 4.30 1.40 P
LEG UP 6 4 32 5   4 3 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 12% 7.20 3.30 S
REY O REYES 8 6 2½ 11   31 4 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 115 6.00 4.40  
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 2 3 812½ 8   6 5 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
TREASURER 7 8 53 21   53 616½ (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.00 44% 1.30 3.50  
SPECTACULO 5 1 1½ 32   7 723¼ (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 30.00 75.90  
JUST JUBA 4 5 68 7   814¼ 833 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 30.10  
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR               (hess g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
 
CT-7   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:133 1:41   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) 3 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 12 13 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 3.30  
MARK DID IT 1 1 1nk 3 32 22 23 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 115 8.00 5.80  
VAIL OF HONOR 4 7 715 719½ 716 4 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 18% 4.50 3.20 S
GRAN ANDREWS 5 2 3.2 2nk 2nk 3 4 (farrior anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 124 6.00 17% 5.00 2.20  
NEW YORK PANTHER 2 3 4¼ 42 43 58 513¼ (mckenzie da)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 12.00 9.30  
TAPADINE 6 6 62 53 56 611½ 616¾ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00 21.90  
10  AUBURN MILL 7 5 5½ 6 615 723½ 746 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 40% 1.50 5.50  
SCR  KRUG               (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 5.00    
SCR  LORD OF CORK               (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE               (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
SCR  SILIPO               (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:152     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST HAVE FAITH 5 8 7 54   2 11 (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.40 W
  (by WEIGELIA out of AWESOME MARKIZA by AWESOME AGAIN)
VERY VENUS 3 3 1nk 11   1 21 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 8% 11.50 1.90 P
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SAFE AT FIRST by HONOUR AND GLORY)
OUR BREW 7 6 31 21   3 37 (rawlings ama)MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00 8.10  
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
FAR MORE 6 4 42 3   44 49 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.00 22% 3.50 6.40  
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
OPPO TACO 8 7 5 64   5 515¾ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 115 6.00 12% 7.30 5.70  
  (by BANDBOX out of RIDDEN OUT by MAKIN)
FLATTERING WAY 4 5 8 78   611½ 618¼ (barahona isaac)MAWING A 120 30.00 49.50  
  (by AARON'S WAY out of FLATTERING ANNIE by FLATTER)
LIL SPITTIN IMAGE 1 1 65 814   821½ 739½ (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00 26.40  
  (by BOBALICIOUS out of MEET MISS CONNIE by MEDFORD)
STORMI VANNA 2 2 2nk 43   716½ 843½ (locklear james)CECIL Y 124 20.00 51.40  
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
SCR  LIME STAR               (conn li)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of MIDNIGHT STAR by BOLD BADGETT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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