Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/5)-(6/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/5)-(6/4/5/1)-(4/10/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/1)-(4/10/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/1)-(4/10/2/1)-(7/1/2/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/10/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/2/1)-(4/10/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/2/1)-(4/10/2/8/1)-(4/10/2/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/2/1)-(7/1/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/10/2/1)-(7/1/2/9)-(3/4/8/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/9)-(3/4/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/9)-(3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/2/7)-(3/4/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/2/7)-(3/4/8/2/7)-(3/4/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/2/7)-(8/1/7/3)-(10/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/3)-(10/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/3)-(10/5/6)-(5/6/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (10/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/5/6)-(10/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/5/6)-(10/5/6)-(10/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (10/5/6)-(5/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/3)-(5/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/3)-(5/6/9/3)-(5/6/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SPIN Aug26 Jul13 Jun15 May04 Mar30 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
2  MY BOSS Sep02 Aug18 Jul13 Jun18 May29 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 1.60 19% 4.40    
3  BESTLA Aug24 Jul14 Jul08 Jun01 May11 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
4  ULTIMATE BREEZE Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun15 May06 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
5  KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Aug26 Aug04 Nov03 Sep21 Aug26 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Aug26 Aug04 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
7  LIKELY CHOICE Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 May04 Mar18 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 1.20 41% 1.50    
8  SMOOKIE Aug26 Aug16       (smith osborne)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
 
CT-2   09/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 May18 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 6% 16.60    
2  MEETMARYSMAN Sep01 Jun30 Jun02 May12 May06 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
3  HILLBILLY ROCK Aug05 Jul15 Jun09 May26 Apr07 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
4  HARPERSGONEFISHING Aug18 Aug05 Jul06 May06 Apr13 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 1.80 14% 6.40    
5  DOCTOR PARDO Sep01 Jul28 Jul06     (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 7% 12.80    
6  FELICIAS CASTLE Jul06 Jun30 Jun03 May26 May06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
7  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Aug05 May12 Apr13 Feb17 Jan27 (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
8  ALDRINALINE Aug11 Jul21 Oct12 Sep14   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50    
 
CT-3   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKANI Aug31 Aug10 Jul13     (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
2  VICE ON ICE Aug31         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of RED HOT DIVA by DEVON DEPUTY)
3  MISS INTENSITY Aug31 Jul20 Jul06     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  RUNAWAY BEAUTY Aug31 Aug10       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by ALDRIN out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
5  WAY OF APPEAL Aug31         (perez ernesto)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
6  LIGHTNIN QUEEN Aug31 Aug02       (rodriguez )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
7  GIRLS PERFUME Aug31         (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PERFUME IN THE AIR by MUNNINGS)
8  CEDAR'S IMAGE         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 ★    
  (by IMAGINING out of CEDAR'SGREATNOTION by GREAT NOTION)
9  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Aug10 Jul20 Jul06     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
10  MITOLE CANDY Aug26 Aug10       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MITOLE out of DANDY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  JUNE BELLE         (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPITEAO by TAPIT)
SCR  SOMESUGARNSPICE Aug10 Jul20 Jul06     (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
 
CT-4   09/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE NONSENSE Aug26 Jul20 Jul07 May18 Sep17 (mckee e)CECIL Y 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  WINDSOR'S PLAY Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 Jun19 May19 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  SUPERSTASIA Aug12 Apr28 Mar18 Feb25 Jan26 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
4  MAP THE MOMENT Sep07 Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Aug21 (campbell larr)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
5  SIENTE LA BRISA Aug26 Aug05 Jul20 Apr21 Mar25 (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
SCR  GILDED QUEST Aug18 Jul22 Jun22 Jun09 Apr28 (brown ronney)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
7  RIVER REWARDS RVF Aug26 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May20 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
8  CEDAR'S WISH Aug26 Jul27 Jul06 May27 Apr29 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00    
9  EMBERLY Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul01 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  IRISH VALENTINE Aug18 Jul15 Jun02 Apr29 Apr06 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
 
CT-5   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKIN' GOLD Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 Jun16 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
2  JUBA BOUND Aug25 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun16 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 10.00 7% 14.00    
3  JAZZ WITH DENIS Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  REVEREND JACK Aug18 Jul20 Jun09 Apr27 Apr08 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  MARCHED Aug18 Jul20 Jun25 Jun11 May11 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 120 10.00    
6  NOCASHREFUNDS Aug25 Aug04 Feb08 Nov23 Aug11 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
7  HAZEDNCONFUSED Aug19 Jun16 May25 Apr27 Mar18 (lane j)CULLUM W 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Aug25 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 Apr28 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
9  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Aug25 Aug11 Jun30 May13 Apr28 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
10  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Aug04 Jul21 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00    
 
CT-6   09/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAGABOND VIRGIN Sep01 Aug11 Jul22     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 19% 4.30    
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 May11 Apr22 (hess g)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
3  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Sep04 Aug18 Jul07 May26 May05 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun30 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
5  JUST JUBA Aug31 Aug13 Jul31 Jul22 Jul01 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
6  SPECTACULO Aug18 Jul13 Jun01 May20 Apr22 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 30.00    
7  LEG UP Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
8  TREASURER Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun01 Mar30 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
9  REY O REYES Aug18 Jul21 Jun15 May18 Apr27 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
 
CT-7   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK DID IT Aug25 Aug10 Feb18 Feb01 Jan19 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
2  NEW YORK PANTHER Jul29 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 May18 (mckenzie da)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 12.00    
SCR  SILIPO May20 Apr14 Mar25 Sep24 Aug24 (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
4  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
5  VAIL OF HONOR Aug25 Aug09 May12 Mar11 Feb10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  GRAN ANDREWS Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 Apr08 Feb26 (farrior anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  LORD OF CORK Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
8  TAPADINE Aug26 Aug04 Jul04 Jun25 Apr08 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun03 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
10  AUBURN MILL Aug31 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 May27 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  KRUG Aug27 Aug10 Jul15 Jun18 May12 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL SPITTIN IMAGE Sep02         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by BOBALICIOUS out of MEET MISS CONNIE by MEDFORD)
2  STORMI VANNA Aug18 Feb24       (locklear james)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
3  VERY VENUS Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Aug12 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 8% 11.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SAFE AT FIRST by HONOUR AND GLORY)
4  FLATTERING WAY Jun23 Jun01 Apr20     (barahona isaac)MAWING A 120 30.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of FLATTERING ANNIE by FLATTER)
5  JUST HAVE FAITH Aug25 Jul14 Apr29 Apr07   (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AWESOME MARKIZA by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  FAR MORE Aug04 Jun23 May12 Apr07 Mar01 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  OUR BREW Aug26 Aug03       (rawlings ama)MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
SCR  LIME STAR Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 May11 Apr20 (conn li)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of MIDNIGHT STAR by BOLD BADGETT)
9  OPPO TACO Aug12 Jun10 May11     (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 12% 7.30    
  (by BANDBOX out of RIDDEN OUT by MAKIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.