Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $17.60 $11.60 193%
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $19.90 $13.90 232%
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3-7 $102.10 $96.10 1602%
TDN-4   PK3 (3/7/5)-(1/11)-(7/8/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  5-1-7 $24.00 $6.00 33%
TDN-5   EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $6.70 $0.70 12%
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4-2 $27.80 $21.80 363%
TDN-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $6.40 $2.40 60%
TDN-8   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-6 $11.60 $5.60 93%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON OVER ICE 1 4 32 42   21 1¼ (urieta johan)HALDAR J 123 8.00 2.90  
3  ROCK ON KITTEN 2 3 53 53½   51¼ 2¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 5.90  
4  ICON 3 5 42 2½   11 31 (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 34% 2.00 1.80 S
5  MONTAUK COVE 4 2 2½ 32   31 45½ (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 26% 2.90 6.00  
6  THE COOKIE MAN 5 1 1½ 1½   41¼ 57 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 1.90  
SCR  GEHRIG               (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.00    
SCR  GUACO               (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 2.50    
 
TDN-2   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 4 3 21 2nk   2½ 1nk (morales )FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00 16% 5.10 7.80 W
3  KID RUSSELL 2 4 11 1nk   1½ 2nk (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 2.00 33% 2.10 0.60 P
7  TIER ONE 6 1 62¾ 3½   32½ 33¼ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 2.50 24% 3.20 5.20 S
4  LOTSA MATCHA 3 5 52¾ 62¼   43 44¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00 8.70  
6  A PRAYER FOR KIDS 5 2 42½ 51¼   54½ 56¾ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 4.40  
1  MA MOO POWER 1 6 32½ 41   66½ 613¾ (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 22.50  
SCR  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER               (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 115 4.00    
 
TDN-3   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:484 1:014     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TIERNEY 6 1 1½ 1½   14 18¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 77% 0.30 0.20 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
3  VICTORIA COMMAND 1 4 2½ 2½   24 28¾ (huffman candace )AVILES YAN 118 8.00 8.90  
  (by FORT LARNED out of VICTORIA MIA by MASTER COMMAND)
6  PITY PURCHASE 5 7 67½ 69   57½ 310 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 113 20.00 39.90  
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MILWAUKEE QUEEN by MILWAUKEE BREW)
1  NATIONAL DIAMOND 3 6 54 58   47½ 410¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 3.00 0.20  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of THREE DIAMONDS by WILBURN)
10  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 7 3 42½ 44   36 510¼ (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00 12.90  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
5  VERTISALUTE 4 5 31 34   69½ 615½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 6.00 ★ 6.20  
  (by VERTIFORMER out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
4  RIVERS RUN RED 2 8 810 711½   714½ 723¾ (szczepansk)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 10.00 ★ 23.70  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERFECTON PRINCESS by ECTON PARK)
11  MAC'S CAILIN 8 2 78 817   821 834¼ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
SCR  MAYBETHEONE               (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 4.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of MAYBEMAYBENOT by PHILADREAM)
SCR  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK               (genovese)FERNANDEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  OH GLORIOUS DAY               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 4.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
SCR  SHE IS DYNAMIC               (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
TDN-4   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THE DEVIL'S DREAM 6 2 11½ 12   18 115 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.80 50% 1.00 0.20 W
8  NOT A WILD BRAT 7 1 21½ 22   28 215 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.50 14% 6.10 4.90 P
1  CHLOES ANGEL 1 7 712½ 610¾   412½ 316 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 6.00  
5  PSYCHOANALYST 4 3 43 42¼   39 419¾ (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 20.00 84.50  
6  ST PATTY'S SONG 5 4 55½ 56¼   514 522¼ (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 34.90  
4  GAIL'S DANCER 3 6 610½ 711¾   619 629½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 20.70  
3  SISTER'S CREED 2 5 31½ 32   7100 7100 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 12% 7.20 49.30  
SCR  NORTHERN JOURNEY               (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WOODLAND WALK 6 1 2½ 2½   11 12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 33% 2.10 1.50 W
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS 4 2 31 31½   32½ 22 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 30% 2.30 1.90 P
2  OVER THE HILLS 2 6 63½ 63¼   54 33¼ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 5.00 7% 12.60 11.50 S
1  SHADOW TRACER 1 3 1½ 1½   21 43¾ (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 2.00 2.40  
3  LAUDA SPEED 3 4 53 53   43½ 55 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 13.60  
5  TOMATO BILL 5 5 42 41½   611½ 621¾ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 18.40  
 
TDN-6   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:134     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DUNVEGAN DOLL 5 4 53 31 2nk 12½ 14¾ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.00 67% 0.50 2.20 W
2  LEWD 2 2 42 51¼ 41¾ 22½ 24¾ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 4.40  
3  GRAY ROYALITY 3 5 21 2nk 3.2 44 38¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 0.50  
1  PURDY PUMKIN 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 34 413¼ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 20.60  
4  YEGUITA QUEEN 4 3 31½ 41¼ 55¾ 510 519¼ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
SCR  SPECIAL BEACH               (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 4.50    
 
TDN-7   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SAUNTER 1             (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 0.80  
6  IMA SURE BET 2             (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 5% 19.00 0.50 P
SCR  ICY RAIN               (ratliff gobel)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
SCR  LA KADENZA               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
SCR  SWAMP WITCH HADDY               (syed riaz)VELEZ J 123 20.00    
SCR  DUDE'S MIST DATE               (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50    
SCR  HEART OF THE BEAST               (mckanas j)DIAZ I 119 1.60    
 
TDN-8   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OUT MY DEAR 6 3 42 21   2½ 12¾ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 5.00 35% 1.90 3.00 W
6  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 5 2 11½ 11   1½ 22¾ (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00 12% 7.40 2.90 P
4  CROSSED UP 3 4 53 56   55 35 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 5.30  
2  MIZZEN THE POINT 1 5 21½ 32   33½ 45¾ (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50 14% 6.10 1.70  
3  SORORITY SISTER 2 6 66 68   68 58½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 8.90  
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 4 1 31½ 42½   45 69¼ (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 9.50  
SCR  THE MIRACLE KIUT               (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.