Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (9/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $5.80  
TDN-2   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $18.60  
TDN-3   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 3.80
TDN-4   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-5   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $19.60  
TDN-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $11.80  
TDN-7   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
TDN-8   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED LYON 4 5 1½ 1½   14 1 (rini anthony)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 1.90  
ALTAIR 2 6 32 32   24 2 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 117 4.50 6.80  
DOMI 1 8 7 55   46 3 (mahan p)TOLEDO S 115 10.00 13.10  
ESTILO CLASICO 6 3 4 4   58 4 (morales m)ROSARIO L 115 12.00 10% 8.90 7.00  
KRAZY HAWK 3 7 8 812½   811½ 5 (cady khalil)HERNANDEZ H 119 15.00 22.60  
MINDSHIP Q 8 1 64 6   6 610¼ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 3.00 49% 1.10 3.10  
LOCKDOWN LOVER 5 4 2½ 2½   36 710¼ (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 10% 8.90 4.90  
FEVER DREAM 7 2 5 7   711 812¼ (rotunno sydn)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
SCR  MR LAOBAN               (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 115 12.00    
 
TDN-2   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:002     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S THE WAY 4 3 5 5   5 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 8.30  
SURROUNDER 3 4 2½ 2nk   3½ 2½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 3.50 1.00  
NAMBITI 1 2 3 4¾   2nk 3¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 8.00 17% 4.70 2.90 S
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 2 5 4 3½   4 4 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5.60  
WHAT A RUSH 5 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 5 (cline c)HALDAR J 119 10.00 37% 1.70 3.30  
SCR  SAMMY AND SHORTY               (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
SCR  STONE COLD CAT               (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
 
TDN-3   10/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 1 2 21 2½ 12 1 1 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 35% 1.80 2.90 W
CANDY CRUSHEM 5 5 5 44 43 2 2 (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 123 4.50 1.10  
OWN THE TOWN 4 4 46 5 54 35 3 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 26% 2.90 1.90 S
ARTEMUS EAGLE 2 3 3 3 33 56 4 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 121 3.50 10.20  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 1 11 1½ 22 46 510¼ (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 11.30  
SCR  LEXATOGA               (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
SCR  STRONG AGAIN               (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO MUNNY 1 5 2nk 1nk   12 1¾ (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 123 8.00 23% 3.30 1.70 W
PLATE IT UP 6 1 5 5   4 2¾ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 21.30  
JACK BE FAST 4 2 1nk 2nk   22 3 (hernandez rica)HALDAR J 123 8.00 5.60  
JOES A ROCKIN 2 4 4 45   5 4 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 10% 9.20 5.50  
OHIO PLAYER 5 6 6 6   6 510¾ (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 29% 2.40 1.20  
ROLLIN ON TEQUILA 3 3 33 3   3 611¾ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 12.70  
SCR  OL' L B               (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 123 1.80    
 
TDN-5   10/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:134     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERVE REVENGE COLD 2 3 1 11 1nk 2nk 1¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 8.80  
GOLD N SILVER 5 1 2 21 2nk 1nk 2¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 64% 0.60 1.50 P
RUMBLE STRIP RON 3 2 33 42 31 4 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 4.80  
VISUAL MISSION 1 4 45 32 42 3 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80 2.90  
SEND ME ON 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 10% 8.60 2.40  
 
TDN-6   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP INTO SANITY 2 2 2½ 2   1nk 17 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 4.90  
BELLAVALENCIA 1 4 41 32   3 27 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 33% 2.00 1.50 P
KRISTIN 4 1 1½ 1   2nk 3 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 121 3.50 4.40  
FLASH OF CHEROKEE 3 3 31 42   43 410½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 35% 1.80 1.10  
SCR  MY D'VALENTINE               (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
SCR  SKIRTS KID               (rettele richard)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESS FASHION 3 1 24 2   2nk 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 24% 3.10 1.10 W
FABULOUS CLOWN 2 4 46 47   31 2½ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00 2.40  
BEAUTIFUL LASS 1 2 14 1   1nk 3 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50 4.80  
KISSTHECROSS 4 3 35 35   4 410 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 50% 1.00 2.20  
SCR  BOOGIE BOOGEE               (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50    
SCR  DOUBLE EDGED               (brown glenr)HERNANDEZ H 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTILO FAVORITO 7 1 12 12   16 13 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 0.40 W
EL BANDIDO 5 2 6 4   37 23 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.00 11.70  
INSACIABLE PRINCE 4 7 7 710½   410½ 3 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 49% 1.10 5.00 S
GIZMO'S MISSION 2 5 22 22   26 47 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 25% 3.00 6.10  
HEART OF AN ANGEL 3 4 4 5   510½ 510½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 49.50  
ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR 1 6 5 6   612 614¼ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 36.80  
FAIR TO MIDDLIN 6 3 33 3   716 720½ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 8.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.