Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (9/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-3   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-4   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-7   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-8   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMI Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul27 Jul11 (mahan p)TOLEDO S 115 10.00    
ALTAIR Sep19 Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 117 4.50    
KRAZY HAWK Sep21 Aug10 Jul11 Nov13 Oct18 (cady khalil)HERNANDEZ H 119 15.00    
UNCAPTURED LYON Sep21 Aug21 Jul11 Jun21 Jun06 (rini anthony)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
LOCKDOWN LOVER Sep19 Sep06 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 10% 8.90    
ESTILO CLASICO Sep25 Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun28 (morales m)ROSARIO L 115 12.00 10% 8.90    
FEVER DREAM Sep20 Aug24 Aug08 Jul12 Jun21 (rotunno sydn)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR LAOBAN Sep15 Aug28 Aug09 Jul11 Jun23 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 115 12.00    
MINDSHIP Q Sep21 Sep07 Aug21 Aug09 Jul31 (londono j)HALDAR J 119 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
TDN-2   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STONE COLD CAT Sep11 Aug21 Aug12 Jul11 May15 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
SCR  SAMMY AND SHORTY Sep25 Sep04 Dec30 Oct29 Sep23 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
NAMBITI Sep25 Sep04 Aug24 Aug02 Jun27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 8.00 17% 4.70    
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Sep28 Aug28 Jul31 Jul18 Jul05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
SURROUNDER Sep13 Sep04 Aug07 Jul25 Oct13 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 3.50    
THAT'S THE WAY Jun07 May23 Mar21 Mar06 Sep28 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
WHAT A RUSH Sep20 Jul29 Sep06 Jul22 Jun03 (cline c)HALDAR J 119 10.00 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-3   10/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Aug02 Jun23 Jun09 May24 Apr19 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  STRONG AGAIN Aug17 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
ARTEMUS EAGLE Sep20 Sep08 Aug19 Aug07 Jul21 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 121 3.50    
SCR  LEXATOGA Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 Jun21 Jan18 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
NOBLE BEHAVIOR Sep27 Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul24 (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
OWN THE TOWN Sep11 Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 Jun13 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
CANDY CRUSHEM Sep26 Sep11 Jul27 Jul11 Nov28 (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 123 4.50    
 
TDN-4   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO MUNNY Aug19 Jul11 May22 Apr25 Mar22 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 123 8.00 23% 3.30    
JOES A ROCKIN Sep20 Jun07 May08 Apr06 Mar23 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 10% 9.20    
SCR  OL' L B Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 Jun07 May20 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 123 1.80    
ROLLIN ON TEQUILA Sep18 Aug28 May31 May15 Mar23 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
JACK BE FAST Sep27 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 (hernandez rica)HALDAR J 123 8.00    
OHIO PLAYER Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 Jul11 Jun15 (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
PLATE IT UP Sep27 Sep18 Sep07 Aug21 Aug01 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00    
 
TDN-5   10/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISUAL MISSION Sep12 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
SERVE REVENGE COLD Sep07 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Sep25 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
SEND ME ON Sep12 Aug16 Jul11 Jun02 May08 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 10% 8.60    
GOLD N SILVER Sep14 Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 May16 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
TDN-6   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAVALENCIA Sep20 Aug21 Aug07 Jul20 Jun20 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 33% 2.00    
JUMP INTO SANITY Sep19 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 Jun10 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00    
FLASH OF CHEROKEE Sep19 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun26 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  MY D'VALENTINE Sep19 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
KRISTIN Sep19 Aug23 Jul18 Jun19 Jun10 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 121 3.50    
SCR  SKIRTS KID Aug07 Jul04 Jun12 May29 Jul21 (rettele richard)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL LASS Sep11 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
FABULOUS CLOWN Aug29 Aug10 Aug02 Jun12 May06 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00    
EXPRESS FASHION Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 May06 Apr05 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  BOOGIE BOOGEE Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 Jun19 May20 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50    
SCR  DOUBLE EDGED Sep26 Aug30 Jul05 Jun19 May03 (brown glenr)HERNANDEZ H 119 12.00    
KISSTHECROSS Feb08 Jan04 Nov19 Oct13 Sep13 (cline robe)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
TDN-8   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR Sep19 Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 Oct05 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
GIZMO'S MISSION Sep21 Sep06 Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
HEART OF AN ANGEL Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 Jul11   (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00    
INSACIABLE PRINCE Sep06 Aug24 Aug08 Jul17 Jun19 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 49% 1.10    
EL BANDIDO Sep19 Aug24 Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.00    
FAIR TO MIDDLIN Sep11 Jul10 Jun18 May15   (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 4.50    
ESTILO FAVORITO Sep13 Aug16 Aug23     (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.