Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (8/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-2   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-3   Win (4/5/2/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $7.20  
TDN-4   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
TDN-5   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
TDN-6   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
TDN-7   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $2.80  
TDN-8   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 5.40

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 8 1 3.2 11   1 15 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 41% 1.40 0.70 W
POWERFUL PHIL 5 3 4 21   2 25 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 15% 5.60 2.00 P
SPIN DOCTOR 7 8 6 5   4 3 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 15% 5.60 8.10 S
HOPPY GILMORE 2 5 5 42   3 4 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 5.00 5% 18.60 12.60  
ATTACK ANGLE 6 7 7 6   6 58 (skerrett jeffrey)VELEZ J 119 8.00 33.60  
THE MAN CAN 4 2 1nk 31   5 68 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 73.80  
WEEKEND BUZZ 3 6 8 8   7 712½ (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 11.70  
FOREIGN 1 4 2nk 7   813¾ 827¼ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 15.00 70.40  
SCR  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE               (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAT THE DEALER 1 5 43 4 31 1nk 1¾ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 2.00 30% 2.30 1.00 W
DR. ZARNETT 5 1 2 2½ 2nk 3½ 2¾ (meyers sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 1.80 3.30  
SPEEDY MOBILE 2 2 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 3¾ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 3.00 23% 3.30 3.50 S
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 4 4 33 32 42 46 411 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 3.90  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 3 3 5 55 56 5 513½ (maddox rachael)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 10.70  
 
TDN-3   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:014     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUESS AGAIN 6 4 3 31   1½ 1nk (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 118 8.00 2.60  
SEEKING FREEDOM 7 2 43 4   4 2nk (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 19.70  
VECCHI 3 6 1nk 1nk   2½ 3 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 3.50 3.90  
AFTER SUNRISE 4 5 2nk 2nk   32 4 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00 48% 1.10 3.30  
ONE STEP ASIDE 8 3 9 55   5 57 (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 8.00 2.30  
LIVING THE DREAM 1 8 8 8   67 610¼ (shannon jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 9% 10.70 15.40  
10  STRIKING LAD 9 1 6 7   77 711 (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 20.00 39.40  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 5 7 54 9   912 819 (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 49.10  
DREAMINGABOUTTIME 2 9 7 6   810½ 920¼ (figueroa cesar )PANAIJO JORGE 118 5.00 10% 9.20 14.10  
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING               (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 118 4.00 12% 7.40    
 
TDN-4   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOT MARIE 6 5 56 56 25 2nk 1 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 115 4.00 7% 13.50 2.40 W
TYRONA 3 4 2½ 1½ 15 1nk 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 30% 2.40 1.20 P
ALSANAH 5 6 612 611 5 4 34 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 4.50 7.20  
ZIP CODE ENVY 4 3 4 3 35 32 47 (bowersock maria)BRACHO A 115 2.50 35% 1.90 3.00  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 1 1 33 4 4 55 512¾ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 14.10  
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 2 2 1½ 2½ 612¼ 619 640¼ (suarez ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 23.70  
 
TDN-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS ME QUICK 5 2 31 31   22 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 W
SALTMAKESHERSWEET 6 1 11 11   12 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.50 2.10  
COMPUTE THIS 1 6 21 21   34 36 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 118 2.00 34% 1.90 1.50 S
CURLIN PEARLS 3 3 54 4   46 46 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 37.20  
FLAME FOR REAL 2 4 4 56   510 512½ (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 35% 1.90 4.00  
SNOWBIRD 4 5 6 610½   612½ 613 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 4.50 5.90  
 
TDN-6   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONISTIC 2 3 1½ 1½   1 111¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 31% 2.30 1.20 W
AUJARA 3 4 32 3   3 211¼ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.80 2.30  
LEXY ANNA 5 1 2½ 2½   2 313¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 14.10  
PANAMANIAC 1 2 45 46   412 419¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 33% 2.10 1.70  
STATUS SYMBOL 4 5 56 5   515 525 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 20.10  
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA               (shanyfelt valer)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE BIRD FLASH 2 4 42 4   21 1 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 1.80 0.40  
KAY BEE GEE 4 2 2nk 2nk   11 2 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 50% 1.00 2.80 P
ADULTING 3 1 31 3   33 3 (gotera car)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 19% 4.30 5.20 S
LADY LEAH 1 3 1nk 1nk   43 4 (erdel john)DIAZ R 119 12.00 7.40  
SCR  DESIGNATE               (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
SCR  J P'S GLADYS               (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARSH TRUTH 3 6 6 6   5 1½ (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 26% 2.80 4.70 W
SHOWTIME BOY 4 5 4 5   42 2½ (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 14% 6.10 5.70 P
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 6 1 3 31   1½ 31 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 10.60  
MILAGRO DE JOVANNI 2 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (murillo-rodrig)HALDAR J 119 3.50 5.90  
EL SORDO 1 3 5 4   6 5 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 1.80 27% 2.70 0.90  
ROUGE TU RICHES 5 2 1nk 1nk   3½ 6 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.