Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   SFT (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-5-7-2 $3.25 $0.85 35%
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $11.10 $5.10 85%
TDN-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $14.20 $8.20 137%
TDN-6   PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/1/5)-(1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-5-2 $70.10 $52.10 289%
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $49.90 $43.90 732%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 8 1 3.2 11   11½ 15 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 41% 1.40 0.70 W
5  POWERFUL PHIL 5 3 41¼ 21   21½ 25 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 15% 5.60 2.00 P
7  SPIN DOCTOR 7 8 62¼ 52¼   43½ 35½ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 15% 5.60 8.10 S
2  HOPPY GILMORE 2 5 51¼ 42   33½ 47¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 5.00 5% 18.60 12.60  
6  ATTACK ANGLE 6 7 72½ 62¾   64¾ 58 (skerrett jeffrey)VELEZ J 119 8.00 33.60  
4  THE MAN CAN 4 2 1nk 31   53¾ 68 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 73.80  
3  WEEKEND BUZZ 3 6 84½ 85¾   79¼ 712½ (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 11.70  
1  FOREIGN 1 4 2nk 75¼   813¾ 827¼ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 15.00 70.40  
SCR  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE               (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAT THE DEALER 1 5 43 42½ 31 1nk 1¾ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 2.00 30% 2.30 1.00 W
5  DR. ZARNETT 5 1 21½ 2½ 2nk 3½ 2¾ (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 1.80 3.30  
2  SPEEDY MOBILE 2 2 11½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 3¾ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.00 23% 3.30 3.50 S
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 4 4 33 32 42 46 411 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 3.90  
3  CHOCOLATE PHILLING 3 3 54½ 55 56 58½ 513½ (maddox rachae)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 10.70  
 
TDN-3   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:014     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUESS AGAIN 6 4 31½ 31   1½ 1nk (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 118 8.00 2.60  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
8  SEEKING FREEDOM 7 2 43 44½   42½ 2nk (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 19.70  
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
3  VECCHI 3 6 1nk 1nk   2½ 32¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 3.50 3.90  
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
4  AFTER SUNRISE 4 5 2nk 2nk   32 44¼ (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00 48% 1.10 3.30  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
9  ONE STEP ASIDE 8 3 96¾ 55   54½ 57 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 8.00 2.30  
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
1  LIVING THE DREAM 1 8 85¾ 86¾   67 610¼ (shannon jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 9% 10.70 15.40  
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
10  STRIKING LAD 9 1 64½ 76½   77 711 (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 20.00 39.40  
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
6  RIVERS OF DENIRO 5 7 54 98¼   912 819 (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 49.10  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
2  DREAMINGABOUTTIME 2 9 75½ 65½   810½ 920¼ (figueroa cesa)PANAIJO JORGE 118 5.00 10% 9.20 14.10  
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING               (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 118 4.00 12% 7.40    
  (by FORT LARNED out of SHARI'S QUEEN B by MOBIL)
 
TDN-4   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOT MARIE 6 5 56 56 25 2nk 13½ (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 115 4.00 7% 13.50 2.40 W
3  TYRONA 3 4 2½ 1½ 15 1nk 23½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 30% 2.40 1.20 P
5  ALSANAH 5 6 612 611 57¾ 42½ 34 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 4.50 7.20  
4  ZIP CODE ENVY 4 3 43½ 34½ 35 32 47 (bowersock mar)BRACHO A 115 2.50 35% 1.90 3.00  
1  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 1 1 33 44½ 45¼ 55 512¾ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 14.10  
2  DATTTSAFANCYFOX 2 2 1½ 2½ 612¼ 619 640¼ (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 23.70  
 
TDN-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KISS ME QUICK 5 2 31 31   22 12¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 W
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
6  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 6 1 11 11   12 22¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.50 2.10  
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
1  COMPUTE THIS 1 6 21 21   34 36 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 2.00 34% 1.90 1.50 S
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
3  CURLIN PEARLS 3 3 54 43½   46 46 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 37.20  
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  FLAME FOR REAL 2 4 42½ 56   510 512½ (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 35% 1.90 4.00  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  SNOWBIRD 4 5 67½ 610½   612½ 613 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 4.50 5.90  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
 
TDN-6   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LIONISTIC 2 3 1½ 1½   16½ 111¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 31% 2.30 1.20 W
3  AUJARA 3 4 32 32½   38½ 211¼ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.80 2.30  
5  LEXY ANNA 5 1 2½ 2½   26½ 313¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 14.10  
1  PANAMANIAC 1 2 45 46   412 419¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 33% 2.10 1.70  
4  STATUS SYMBOL 4 5 56 57½   515 525 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 20.10  
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA               (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITTLE BIRD FLASH 2 4 42 41¾   21 11¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 1.80 0.40  
6  KAY BEE GEE 4 2 2nk 2nk   11 21¾ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 50% 1.00 2.80 P
5  ADULTING 3 1 31 31½   33 36¼ (gotera c)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 19% 4.30 5.20 S
2  LADY LEAH 1 3 1nk 1nk   43 49½ (erdel john)DIAZ R 119 12.00 7.40  
SCR  DESIGNATE               (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
SCR  J P'S GLADYS               (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HARSH TRUTH 3 6 67¾ 63¾   52¼ 1½ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 26% 2.80 4.70 W
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  SHOWTIME BOY 4 5 41¾ 51¼   42 2½ (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 14% 6.10 5.70 P
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
6  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 6 1 31½ 31   1½ 31 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 10.60  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
2  MILAGRO DE JOVANNI 2 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 43¼ (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 119 3.50 5.90  
  (by PANICUM out of REDHEADED WITCH by GOOD REWARD)
1  EL SORDO 1 3 52¾ 41¼   63¼ 54½ (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 1.80 27% 2.70 0.90  
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  ROUGE TU RICHES 5 2 1nk 1nk   3½ 65¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5.60  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.