Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/5/2)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/2)-(1/2)-(4/2/1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/2/1/6)-(4/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/6)-(4/3/6)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/1/5)-(1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/2)-(6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/5)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREIGN Sep18 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
2  HOPPY GILMORE Sep12 Aug28 Jul20 Jun24 Aug30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 5.00 5% 18.60    
3  WEEKEND BUZZ Sep18 Aug28 Jul18 Nov12 Aug30 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
4  THE MAN CAN Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
5  POWERFUL PHIL Sep25 Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
6  ATTACK ANGLE Oct03 Sep11 Aug02 Jul12 Jun26 (skerrett jeffrey)VELEZ J 119 8.00    
7  SPIN DOCTOR Sep20 Sep04 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 15% 5.60    
8  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Sep11 Jul10 Jun20 Jun07 May15 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Jun13 May23 Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAT THE DEALER Sep25 Aug24 Aug07 Jul13 Jun14 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  SPEEDY MOBILE Sep14 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 May08 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Sep28 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 (maddox rachae)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 Jun10 Apr25 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
5  DR. ZARNETT Sep28 Sep14 Aug26 Aug03 Jun24 (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 1.80    
 
TDN-3   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVING THE DREAM         (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 9% 10.70    
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
2  DREAMINGABOUTTIME         (figueroa cesa)PANAIJO JORGE 118 5.00 10% 9.20    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
3  VECCHI Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun20 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 3.50    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
4  AFTER SUNRISE Sep05 Aug15 Jul27 Jun20   (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING         (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 118 4.00 12% 7.40    
  (by FORT LARNED out of SHARI'S QUEEN B by MOBIL)
6  RIVERS OF DENIRO Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jul06 (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
7  GUESS AGAIN Jul06 Jun23       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
8  SEEKING FREEDOM Sep25 Sep05       (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
9  ONE STEP ASIDE Sep25 Sep05 Aug15     (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 8.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
10  STRIKING LAD Sep25 Sep05       (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
 
TDN-4   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 Jun20 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 5.00    
2  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Sep04 Aug10 Jul13 Jun20 May22 (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
3  TYRONA Sep28 Sep04 Aug10 Jul03 Jun20 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  ZIP CODE ENVY Sep04 Aug10 Jul18 Jun21 May30 (bowersock maria)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  ALSANAH Sep24 Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 May26 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
6  DOT MARIE Aug31 Aug01 Jun14 May03 Apr15 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 115 4.00 7% 13.50    
 
TDN-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPUTE THIS         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
2  FLAME FOR REAL Sep25         (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  CURLIN PEARLS Sep25 Aug15       (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  SNOWBIRD Sep05 Aug15       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
5  KISS ME QUICK Sep25 Aug12 Jul13     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
6  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 Jul13 Jun05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.50    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
TDN-6   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANAMANIAC Oct02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun23 Jun01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 33% 2.10    
2  LIONISTIC Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 May15 Dec07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 31% 2.30    
3  AUJARA Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.80    
4  STATUS SYMBOL Sep30 Sep14 Aug17 Aug23 Aug01 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
5  LEXY ANNA Sep19 Aug21 Jul17 Jun15 Jun01 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
SCR  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Sep18 Sep12 Aug03 Jul17 Jun13 (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   10/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DESIGNATE Sep24 Sep14 Mar20 Mar01 Dec11 (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
2  LADY LEAH Sep27 Sep04 May31 Mar03   (erdel john)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  J P'S GLADYS Aug01 Jul09 Sep27 Aug30 Aug15 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
4  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Sep14 Aug29 Jul10 Mar14 Feb20 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 1.80    
5  ADULTING Sep11 Aug20 May02 Mar29 Oct03 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 19% 4.30    
6  KAY BEE GEE Feb16 Jan09 Dec19 Nov09 Sep09 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
TDN-8   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL SORDO Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 Jun19   (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  MILAGRO DE JOVANNI Aug28         (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 119 3.50    
  (by PANICUM out of REDHEADED WITCH by GOOD REWARD)
3  HARSH TRUTH Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 Jun19 May29 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  SHOWTIME BOY Sep21 Aug18 Aug09 Jul24 Jun29 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
5  ROUGE TU RICHES Sep21 Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 Feb16 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
6  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 Feb14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.