Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5-3 $36.50 $30.50 508%
TDN-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.40 $2.40 40%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR NOVEL 3 5 1 1 1½ 12 1 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 3.30  
AULD LANGE SYNE 5 4 4 43 4 33 2 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 7.00  
EXONERATED PREZ 4 1 2 2 2½ 22 3 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 37.70  
DISCLOSURE 8 6 6 54 6 66 4 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 46% 1.20 1.30  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 1 2 33 33 54 54 5 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
WILE E PEYOTE 2 7 55 6 3 43 6 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 123 2.50 20% 4.00 6.80  
FRANCO (MEX) 7 3 812½ 710¼ 7 711½ 713½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 12% 7.50 4.90  
NIXON JOY (ARG) 6 8 7 810¼ 813¾ 814½ 816½ (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 15.00 24.30  
 
TDN-2   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:121     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED WARRIOR 3 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 1 1 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 0.70  
I WANNA WIN 4 2 3 31 3 2 2 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 2.50 36% 1.70 2.30 P
TANTRUM 5 5 5 4 4 46 3 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 25% 3.00 2.80 S
DERBY INCLUDED 2 1 4 55 5 5 413¼ (cline c)DIAZ I 121 6.00 17.40  
INDIAN FEVER 1 4 1½ 1nk 2½ 3 515¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 21.70  
SCR  DANEFIELD               (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 12.00    
SCR  MO DONT NO               (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
SCR  OAKS HONEY               (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH UNITY 1 3 1½ 1½   1 12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 9.30  
LAKE RADIO 3 6 6 5   2 22 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 16% 5.40 1.30 P
GOOD ON YA 5 1 4 3   33 33 (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.50 4.00  
SO DIALED IN 4 5 52 4   5 45 (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
MORE LOVE 2 4 2½ 2½   43 5 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.00 60% 0.70 1.70  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 6 2 31 6   6 610¾ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 115 6.00 8.20  
SCR  QUIET AMIGO               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00    
 
TDN-4   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA POWER 4 3 1½ 12   1 1 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.50 34% 2.00 4.40 W
PANAMANIAC 5 1 34 33   3 2 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 31% 2.20 0.90 P
MISSION GIRL 3 4 2½ 22   2 33 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 14% 6.40 4.00 S
TWERK 1 5 44 5   45 4 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 3.70  
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 2 6 6 44   5 5 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 21.60  
RAINBOW SHIP 6 2 55 6   68 69 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 13.10  
 
TDN-5   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIBBY MY CORN 1 6 67 65   24 1nk (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 16.70  
COLOR BEARER 8 2 33 31   14 2nk (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 117 3.00 7% 12.90 2.60 P
WAR ON THE RIVER 4 8 8 55   35 3 (flores christi)DIAZ I 117 4.50 19% 4.30 6.00 S
CHECK THE FACTS 5 7 78 77   5 4 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 119 2.00 48% 1.10 4.00  
BIG TIME FLIRT 3 3 4 4   4 510¼ (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 28.50  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 7 1 5 88   7 612¼ (radosevich jake)BOWEN ROCCO 115 20.00 5% 17.40 32.00  
1A  FACTUM'S STAR 6 4 2 2½   6 716¾ (kerr n)PAUCAR E 115 2.00 4.00  
CHILTEPIN 2 5 1 1½   8 823½ (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 3.50 1.00  
SCR  SWEET JILL'S JACK               (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   10/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM MUSIC 2 1 11 1½   13 1¼ (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 19% 4.20 3.20 W
SWEEPINJUSTICE 1 5 612 610   5 2¼ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 5.80  
ROSE KNOWS 5 2 21 2½   23 33 (skerrett jeffre)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 1.20 S
FALL CAMPAIGN 6 4 43 3   34 44 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 4.30  
VAVITE 4 3 33 43   4 5 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50 8.70  
PRINCESS TERESKA 3 6 57 56   68 611 (cascallares n)LUGO D 119 3.50 25% 3.10 8.20  
 
TDN-7   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:141     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LAST SONG 3 1 11 11 1 1 110¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 61% 0.60 0.20 W
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 6 3 21 21 2 2 210¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 14% 5.90 3.20 P
WELLOILEDCAT 5 4 412 411 58 4 310¾ (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.00 49.90  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 2 2 512 512 3 3 412 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 44.50  
CRIMSON LEGION 4 6 616 617 612 611 512¼ (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 44.10  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 1 5 36 3 4 511 617 (skerrett j)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 7.90  
 
TDN-8   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMAND STRIKE 5 2 1½ 1nk   1 1 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 1.80 53% 0.90 0.50 W
PASSIONFORTREASURE 4 1 2½ 2nk   2 2 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 19% 4.30 2.00 P
BAREBACK FUN 1 6 64 57   3 34 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 11.50  
PULPIT'S PURRFECT 6 4 42 4   4 4 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 8% 11.60 7.10  
SIERRA DIAMOND 3 5 31 3   5 510½ (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 12.00 33.80  
HASTY LADY 2 3 52 68   6 610¾ (genovese richard )VELEZ J 119 12.00 64.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.