Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (8/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $8.60  
TDN-2   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.40  
TDN-3   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $20.60  
TDN-4   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
TDN-5   Win (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $35.40  
TDN-6   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
TDN-7   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-8   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WAR NOVEL 3 5 12½ 11½ 1½ 12 11½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 3.30  
5  AULD LANGE SYNE 5 4 43½ 43 42½ 33 21½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 7.00  
4  EXONERATED PREZ 4 1 22½ 21½ 2½ 22 31½ (genovese l)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 37.70  
8  DISCLOSURE 8 6 65½ 54 64¼ 66 43½ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 46% 1.20 1.30  
1  JACK'S ADVANTAGE 1 2 33 33 54 54 54½ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
2  WILE E PEYOTE 2 7 55 64¼ 32½ 43 64¾ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 123 2.50 20% 4.00 6.80  
7  FRANCO (MEX) 7 3 812½ 710¼ 78¾ 711½ 713½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 12% 7.50 4.90  
6  NIXON JOY (ARG) 6 8 79½ 810¼ 813¾ 814½ 816½ (cascallares nes)LUGO D 123 15.00 24.30  
 
TDN-2   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:121     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WICKED WARRIOR 3 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 13½ 18½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 0.70  
6  I WANNA WIN 4 2 31½ 31 31½ 23½ 28½ (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 2.50 36% 1.70 2.30 P
7  TANTRUM 5 5 52½ 42½ 42½ 46 39¼ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 25% 3.00 2.80 S
4  DERBY INCLUDED 2 1 42½ 55 54½ 56½ 413¼ (cline c)DIAZ I 121 6.00 17.40  
1  INDIAN FEVER 1 4 1½ 1nk 2½ 35½ 515¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 21.70  
SCR  DANEFIELD               (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 12.00    
SCR  MO DONT NO               (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
SCR  OAKS HONEY               (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH UNITY 1 3 1½ 1½   12½ 12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 9.30  
3  LAKE RADIO 3 6 64½ 51¾   22½ 22 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 16% 5.40 1.30 P
6  GOOD ON YA 5 1 41½ 31½   33 33 (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.50 4.00  
5  SO DIALED IN 4 5 52 41½   53¼ 45 (skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
2  MORE LOVE 2 4 2½ 2½   43 57¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.00 60% 0.70 1.70  
7  AGNELLO'S DREAM 6 2 31 62¾   68¼ 610¾ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 115 6.00 8.20  
SCR  QUIET AMIGO               (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00    
 
TDN-4   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DIVA POWER 4 3 1½ 12   13½ 11½ (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.50 34% 2.00 4.40 W
5  PANAMANIAC 5 1 34 33   33½ 21½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 31% 2.20 0.90 P
3  MISSION GIRL 3 4 2½ 22   23½ 33 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 14% 6.40 4.00 S
1  TWERK 1 5 44 55½   45 45¼ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 3.70  
2  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 2 6 65¼ 44   56½ 55¾ (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 21.60  
6  RAINBOW SHIP 6 2 55 66½   68 69 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 13.10  
 
TDN-5   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIBBY MY CORN 1 6 67 65   24 1nk (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 16.70  
8  COLOR BEARER 8 2 33 31   14 2nk (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 117 3.00 7% 12.90 2.60 P
5  WAR ON THE RIVER 4 8 89½ 55   35 35¼ (flores christian)DIAZ I 117 4.50 19% 4.30 6.00 S
1  CHECK THE FACTS 5 7 78 77   57½ 47¾ (kerr n)MOJICA JR 119 2.00 48% 1.10 4.00  
4  BIG TIME FLIRT 3 3 44½ 44½   47½ 510¼ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 28.50  
6  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 7 1 56½ 88   79½ 612¼ (radosevich s)BOWEN ROCCO 115 20.00 5% 17.40 32.00  
1A  FACTUM'S STAR 6 4 21½ 2½   68½ 716¾ (kerr n)PAUCAR E 115 2.00 4.00  
3  CHILTEPIN 2 5 11½ 1½   89¾ 823½ (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 3.50 1.00  
SCR  SWEET JILL'S JACK               (camp)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   10/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DREAM MUSIC 2 1 11 1½   13 1¼ (urieta johann)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 19% 4.20 3.20 W
1  SWEEPINJUSTICE 1 5 612 610   55½ 2¼ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 5.80  
5  ROSE KNOWS 5 2 21 2½   23 33 (skerrett jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 1.20 S
6  FALL CAMPAIGN 6 4 43 32½   34 44 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 4.30  
4  VAVITE 4 3 33 43   44½ 56½ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50 8.70  
3  PRINCESS TERESKA 3 6 57 56   68 611 (cascallares nes)LUGO D 119 3.50 25% 3.10 8.20  
 
TDN-7   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:141     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OUR LAST SONG 3 1 11 11 11½ 15½ 110¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 61% 0.60 0.20 W
6  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 6 3 21 21 21½ 25½ 210¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 14% 5.90 3.20 P
5  WELLOILEDCAT 5 4 412 411 58 48½ 310¾ (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.00 49.90  
2  GHOSTLY REVIVAL 2 2 512 512 35½ 36½ 412 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 44.50  
4  CRIMSON LEGION 4 6 616 617 612 611 512¼ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 44.10  
1  FAITHFUL SOLUTION 1 5 36 35½ 47½ 511 617 (skerrett jef)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 7.90  
 
TDN-8   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COMMAND STRIKE 5 2 1½ 1nk   11½ 11¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 1.80 53% 0.90 0.50 W
4  PASSIONFORTREASURE 4 1 2½ 2nk   21½ 21¼ (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 19% 4.30 2.00 P
1  BAREBACK FUN 1 6 64 57   35½ 34 (urieta johanna)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 11.50  
6  PULPIT'S PURRFECT 6 4 42 45½   45½ 46½ (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 8% 11.60 7.10  
3  SIERRA DIAMOND 3 5 31 33½   55¾ 510½ (casalinova tina)DIAZ I 119 12.00 33.80  
2  HASTY LADY 2 3 52 68   69¾ 610¾ (genovese l)VELEZ J 119 12.00 64.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.