Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/7/1)-(6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/1)-(6/7)-(2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(2/3/5)-(4/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(4/5/3)-(1/5/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(1/5/8/6)-(5/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/6)-(5/3/2)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/6/4)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Aug31 Aug03 Jul18 Jun27 Apr03 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WILE E PEYOTE Sep13 Aug16 Aug15 Jul10 May16 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  WAR NOVEL Sep18 Aug29 Aug03 Jul11 May30 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 5.00    
4  EXONERATED PREZ Sep13 Aug22 Jul20 Jun12 May31 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
5  AULD LANGE SYNE Sep13 Aug16 Aug03 Jul10 Jun14 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
6  NIXON JOY (ARG) Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Feb01 Nov25 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 15.00    
7  FRANCO (MEX) Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 Jun26 Jun05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 12% 7.50    
8  DISCLOSURE Aug31 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-2   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN FEVER Aug28 Jan25 Dec30 Sep07 Aug23 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
SCR  MO DONT NO Aug08 Jun26 Jun06 May10 Apr04 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
SCR  DANEFIELD Sep12 Aug28 Aug02 Jul05 Jun02 (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 12.00    
4  DERBY INCLUDED Aug28 Aug09 Jul29 Jun19 Jun01 (cline c)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
5  WICKED WARRIOR Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun26 May10 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 3.00    
6  I WANNA WIN Aug12 Jun27 Jun06 May10 Oct29 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 2.50 36% 1.70    
7  TANTRUM Aug12 Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 May10 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  OAKS HONEY Sep12 Aug28 Aug12 Jul05 Jun27 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH UNITY Aug29 Jul10 Jun05 May16 May02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
2  MORE LOVE Sep13 Aug21 Jul11 Jun21 May29 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.00 60% 0.70    
3  LAKE RADIO Sep11 Aug06 Jul17 Jun05 May23 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  QUIET AMIGO Aug07 Jul13 Jun24 May31 Dec12 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00    
5  SO DIALED IN Aug28 Aug16 Jul20 Jul10 Jun26 (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOOD ON YA Sep11 Aug17 Jul19 Jul05 May23 (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 4.50    
7  AGNELLO'S DREAM Aug16 Jul10 Jun24 May30 May16 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 115 6.00    
 
TDN-4   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWERK Sep18 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
2  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Sep11 Aug21 Aug08 Jul17 Jun13 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00    
3  MISSION GIRL Sep12 Aug21 Jul17 Jun15 May17 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 14% 6.40    
4  DIVA POWER Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun15 May20 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
5  PANAMANIAC Aug07 Jul17 Jun23 Jun01 May10 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  RAINBOW SHIP Sep11 Aug21 Aug02 Jul17 Jun15 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK THE FACTS Sep07 Aug19       (kerr n)MOJICA JR 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
1A  FACTUM'S STAR Sep14 Aug18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 (kerr n)PAUCAR E 115 2.00    
2  GIBBY MY CORN Sep13 Dec14 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
3  CHILTEPIN Aug30 Aug12 Jul27 Jul05 Nov30 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 3.50    
4  BIG TIME FLIRT Sep14 Aug22 Jun12 Apr24 Mar29 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
5  WAR ON THE RIVER Aug28 Aug08       (flores christi)DIAZ I 117 4.50 19% 4.30    
6  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Sep18 Aug30 Apr12 Mar14 Feb27 (radosevich jake)BOWEN ROCCO 115 20.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  SWEET JILL'S JACK Jul27 Jun09 May31 May16 Apr12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
8  COLOR BEARER Sep13 Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 117 3.00 7% 12.90    
 
TDN-6   10/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPINJUSTICE Sep11 Jun14 May02 Sep29 Sep01 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00    
2  DREAM MUSIC Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 Oct04 Sep14 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
3  PRINCESS TERESKA Sep05 Mar29 Mar23 Jan09   (cascallares n)LUGO D 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  VAVITE Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug07 Jul18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
5  ROSE KNOWS Sep04 Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 Jan28 (skerrett jeffre)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  FALL CAMPAIGN Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Jun26 Jun12 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 4.00    
 
TDN-7   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Sep21 Aug31 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 (skerrett j)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
2  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Sep11 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jul09 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00    
3  OUR LAST SONG Sep21 Aug31 Aug10     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 61% 0.60    
4  CRIMSON LEGION Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 Jun14 Nov08 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  WELLOILEDCAT Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.00    
6  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 Jun19 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 14% 5.90    
 
TDN-8   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Sep06 Aug17 Jul04 Mar28 Mar15 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00    
2  HASTY LADY Sep07 Aug17 Aug16 Aug03 Apr01 (genovese richard )VELEZ J 119 12.00    
3  SIERRA DIAMOND Aug29 Aug17 Jul25 Jul03 May30 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
4  PASSIONFORTREASURE Sep07 Aug17 Jul25 Jul12 Jun07 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 19% 4.30    
5  COMMAND STRIKE Jul25 Jun26 Jun07 May15 Sep07 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
6  PULPIT'S PURRFECT Sep07 Aug17 Jul25 Jun26 Jun07 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 8% 11.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.