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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs

Wednesday - October 11, 2023

Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr

Pick

Tot

Bet

Winning

Pay

Type

Numbers

Tkts

Unit

Amt

Numbers

Amt

Profit

ROI

PID-2

WIN

(1/3)

$2.00

$4.00

$20.40

$16.40

410%

(4/2/6)-(1/3)

$2.00

$12.00

4-3

$44.40

$32.40

270%

PID-3

WIN

(7/4/5)

$2.00

$6.00

$7.00

$1.00

17%

(1/3)-(7/4/5)

$2.00

$12.00

3-4

$71.00

$59.00

492%

PK3

(4/2/6)-(1/3)-(7/4/5)

$2.00

$36.00

4-3-4

$103.20

$67.20

187%

PID-5

WIN

(4/5/7)

$2.00

$6.00

$10.00

$4.00

67%

PID-6

(4/5/7)-(6/2/4)

$2.00

$18.00

4-2

$24.60

$6.60

37%

Simulator Race results

PID-1

10/11/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($13K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 3:00

See original race card.

:22⁴

:46¹

:58¹

1:10⁴

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

LAWN DART

1^1½

1¹

1^1½

1^2¼

(stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122

1.60

25%

3.10

1.20

GOOD MONGOLIA

2^1½

3¹

3^2½

2^2¼

(rodriguez hu)AYALA J 122

5.00

3.40

DOWN TO EARTH

5^3½

4²

5^3½

3^3¼

(ruberto )GALLARDO A 122

3.00

4.20

CINCO DE MANDEE

3^2½

2¹

2^1½

4^3¼

(markgraf davi)WALKER M 122

3.50

23%

3.30

4.50

MONGOLIAN MISSION

6^3¾

6^4½

4³

5^3½

(lucarell)MARTINEZ A 122

6.00

11.80

WILD LOOKER

4^2½

5³

6^7½

6^9½

(skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122

10.00

13%

6.70

10.30

PID-2

10/11/2023

5490ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($6.25K)

Purse ($13K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 3:27

See original race card.

:24⁴

:49²

1:14³

1:40³

1:44⁴

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

STORMIN MELLY

3²

2¹

1^½

1¹

(markgraf davi)WALKER M 119

8.00

10%

9.50

9.20

UPPITY UP

4^4½

4^3½

4²

3²

2¹

(potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119

3.00

6.90

FOLLOW THROUGH

1^1½

1¹

2^½

3^4¼

(fennessy john)ALLEN M 119

5.00

1.60

ITALIAN TWIN

2^1½

3²

4⁸

4^11½

(martin william )STANLEY O 122

1.60

60%

0.70

0.60

SCR

CRIMSON LILLE

(deiter ke)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 112

12.00

SCR

WINE WITH A ROSE

(bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119

2.50

PID-3

10/11/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC5

FAST

Maiden Sp Wt

Purse ($30K)

ALL

PT- 3:54

See original race card.

:22

:45³

:57⁴

1:10

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

PERFECT PRANKSTER

3³

3^1½

2¹

1¹

(harty eo)GALLARDO A 120

3.50

23%

3.40

2.50

(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PERFECT PIC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))

HEAVY POUR

1^nk

1^1½

1¹

2¹

(girten tim)ALLEN D 120

4.50

8.10

(by STORMY ATLANTIC out of CHARM THE CROWD by THEATRICAL)

WHY NOT ME

4⁴

4^2½

3³

3⁵

(hamm timothy)STANLEY O 120

6.00

22.00

(by COMMISSIONER out of HIGHEST QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)

IRISH STONE

5^5½

5^2¾

4^4½

4⁸

(bourke john)MARTINEZ W 120

6.00

3.60

(by PALACE MALICE out of ROCK WALL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))

EVERDOIT

7^6¾

7^5¾

6^8½

5^13¼

(rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120

6.00

19.00

2.70

(by GARY D out of JAGGERMAMA by HIGH COTTON)

EPIC KNIGHT

6^6½

6^4¼

5^7½

6^14¾

(harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120

5.00

9.20

(by CONSTITUTION out of TIZ BLU by TIZNOW)

MISCHIEF EXPOSED

2^nk

2^1½

7¹⁰

7²³

(caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120

2.50

51%

1.00

4.10

(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)

PID-4

10/11/2023

5280ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($12.5K)

Purse ($15K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 4:21

See original race card.

:24

:47⁴

1:12⁴

1:25¹

1:38¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

HUNTIN' THE RUT

1^2½

1^5½

1¹

1^1½

1^½

(carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122

10.00

21.60

PREGAME

5^4½

5⁸

4²

2^½

(martin william)ALLEN D 122

4.50

5.30

CAMINO DE SANTIAGO

3^3½

3^6½

3¹

3²

3^2¼

(hamm tim)GALLARDO A 119

3.00

13%

7.00

0.90

PROPHETS VOICE (IRE)

6^4¾

6^8¼

6^3¾

5^3½

4^2¼

(hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 122

3.00

19%

4.20

4.00

UP FOR THE CHANCE

2^2½

2^5½

2¹

2^1½

5⁴

(fennessy john)WALES GARY 122

6.00

15.10

THREE O ONE

4^3½

4^6½

5^3½

6^4½

6^5¼

(rice kevin)AYALA J 122

2.50

37%

1.70

3.90

MAGIC WIZARD

7^6¾

7^10¼

7^5¼

7⁶

7^8½

(fennessy john)ALLEN M 122

12.00

31.10

PID-5

10/11/2023

5490ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($11K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 4:48

See original race card.

:25¹

:49⁴

1:14¹

1:39⁴

1:44

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

HONEY BOURBON

2^2½

2¹

3^1½

2^½

1²

(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122

2.00

40%

1.50

4.00

ROLLING MO

1^2½

1¹

1^½

2²

(russell )MARTINEZ A 122

12.00

27.10

FEETS OF FEATHER

3^2½

3^1½

5³

3^1½

3^3¾

(cheeks joseph)WALKER M 122

2.50

21%

3.80

1.30

ANNIE UP BUCK

7^6¾

6^3½

6⁴

4^4¼

(guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122

5.00

13.20

MIDNIGHT PIRATE

4^4½

4^2½

2¹

4^1½

5^4¼

(dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122

6.00

2.10

CAGUA

5^4¾

5^2½

4^1½

5^2½

6^5¼

(bernardini jay )LEON A 122

3.50

15%

5.50

13.70

GLOVANNA

6^5¾

7^3¾

7^5½

7^7½

7^11½

(fennessy john)ALLEN M 122

10.00

8.80

PID-6

10/11/2023

5490ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($13.5K)

Purse ($19K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 5:15

See original race card.

:24²

:48³

1:12⁴

1:37

1:41¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

RUNAWAY HARRY

1¹

1^2½

1^3¼

(markgraf david)ALLEN D 122

2.00

21%

3.70

0.90

HAIG POINT

4^4½

4^1½

3²

2^2½

2^3¼

(girten t)GALLARDO A 122

2.50

27%

2.80

2.70

TAMANRASSETT

3^3½

5^2½

5^3½

4⁵

3⁷

(gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122

8.00

16.30

HEIRLOOM KITTEN

6^6½

6⁴

5^5½

4^8¾

(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122

4.00

18%

4.70

5.00

CANADIAN GAME

2¹

3⁴

5¹⁰

(martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122

1.80

5.00

CITY PLAN

5⁵

3^1½

4²

6⁸

6^13¾

(zook w)STANLEY O 122

6.00

26.90

PID-7

10/11/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC10

FAST

Allowance

Purse ($32K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 5:42

See original race card.

:23¹

:46²

:58¹

1:10¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

CARLOTUK

3^1½

3¹

1^nk

1^1¾

(lake sco)GALLARDO A 119

1.80

1.70

FREYDIS

1^½

2^nk

2^1¾

(albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121

3.00

4.30

I'M HEADING EAST

2^½

3¹

3^2¼

(rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 119

2.50

68%

0.50

2.20

OMIKAMI

6^4½

6⁴

4^3½

(rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 119

8.00

15.60

STRAIGHT MADNESS

5^2½

4²

5^3¾

5⁷

(wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122

10.00

19.00

13.40

LA REINA DEL NORTE

4^1½

5²

6^5¼

6⁹

(rotunno sydney )STANLEY O 122

5.00

19.00

3.60

PID-8

10/11/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($11K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 6:09

See original race card.

:23

:46¹

:58¹

1:10²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

OLDZFOURFORTYTWO

4^2½

6^3¾

6^2¾

1^nk

(hayes le)MARTINEZ A 122

6.00

9.70

PAPA HONOR

8^6¼

8^4¼

7^2¾

2^nk

(bernardini jay )LEON A 122

2.50

11.80

11.70

FEVOLA

5^3½

4^2½

5^1¾

3¹

(schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122

8.00

22.40

EPIC (ARG)

3²

3¹

2^nk

4^1¼

(martin william )STANLEY O 122

5.00

6.50

WHERE YOU WAS

6^3½

5^2¾

4^1½

5^1¾

(rogers r)GALLARDO A 122

1.60

64%

0.60

0.30

EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR

2^½

2^nk

1^nk

6^3¼

(markgraf davi)WALKER M 122

8.00

19.00

13.20

GOLD WING

7^3¾

7^4¼

8^3¼

7^4¼

(guciardo john)FOX CHRIS 122

20.00

59.10

PROFESSOR DAVE

1^½

1^nk

3¹

8^7½

(lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 122

12.00

19.00

27.90

Labels:

M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

Two Groups of Contenders:

Win Contenders

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

Place/Show Contenders

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

Legal:

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.