The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
PID-2   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $20.40 $20.40 16.40
PID-3   Win (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
PID-4   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $45.20 -6.00
PID-5   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
PID-6   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
PID-7   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.40 -6.00
PID-8   Win (6/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $21.40 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:224 :461 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAWN DART 4 1 1 11   11(stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 25% 3.10 1.20 W
GOOD MONGOLIA 5 2 2 31   32(rodriguez hugo)AYALA J 122 5.00 3.40  
DOWN TO EARTH 1 3 5 42   53(ruberto lo)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 4.20  
CINCO DE MANDEE 2 4 3 21   24(markgraf david)WALKER M 122 3.50 23% 3.30 4.50  
MONGOLIAN MISSION 3 5 6 6   43 5(lucarelli )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 11.80  
WILD LOOKER 6 6 4 53   66(skawinski carol)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 13% 6.70 10.30  
 
PID-2   10/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
:244 :492 1:143 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMIN MELLY 2 2 32 32 21 1½ 11 (markgraf david)WALKER M 119 8.00 10% 9.50 9.20 W
UPPITY UP 4 1 4 4 42 32 21 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00 6.90  
FOLLOW THROUGH 3 4 1 1 11 2½ 3(fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 5.00 1.60  
ITALIAN TWIN 1 3 2 2 32 48 411½ (martin n)STANLEY O 122 1.60 60% 0.70 0.60  
SCR  CRIMSON LILLE               (deiter kell)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 112 12.00    
SCR  WINE WITH A ROSE               (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 119 2.50    
 
PID-3   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
:22 :453 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT PRANKSTER 4 3 33 3   21 11 (harty eoin)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 23% 3.40 2.50 W
HEAVY POUR 2 5 1nk 1   11 21 (girten tim)ALLEN D 120 4.50 8.10  
WHY NOT ME 1 6 44 4   33 35 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 120 6.00 22.00  
IRISH STONE 6 4 5 5   448 (bourke john)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00 3.60  
EVERDOIT 5 1 7 7   6513¼ (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.70  
EPIC KNIGHT 3 7 6 6   5614¾ (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 9.20  
MISCHIEF EXPOSED 7 2 2nk 2   710 723 (caramori eduar)ALENCAR WALBER 120 2.50 51% 1.00 4.10  
 
PID-4   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
:24 :474 1:124 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTIN' THE RUT 4 1 1 1 11 11½ (carr-rozan)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 21.60  
PREGAME 6 4 5 58 42 42 2½ (martin n)ALLEN D 122 4.50 5.30  
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 1 3 3 3 31 32 3(hamm timot)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 13% 7.00 0.90 S
PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) 2 6 6 6 6 54(hendriks richar)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 19% 4.20 4.00  
UP FOR THE CHANCE 5 2 2 2 21 254 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 6.00 15.10  
THREE O ONE 7 5 4 4 5 66(rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.50 37% 1.70 3.90  
MAGIC WIZARD 3 7 7 710¼ 7 76 7(fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 31.10  
 
PID-5   10/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
:251 :494 1:141 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY BOURBON 4 2 2 21 3 2½ 12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 2.00 40% 1.50 4.00 W
ROLLING MO 2 1 1 11 11 1½ 22 (russell ra)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00 27.10  
FEETS OF FEATHER 5 3 3 3 53 33(cheeks p)WALKER M 122 2.50 21% 3.80 1.30 S
ANNIE UP BUCK 6 7 7 6 64 64 4(guciardo john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 13.20  
MIDNIGHT PIRATE 1 5 4 4 21 45(dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00 2.10  
CAGUA 7 4 5 5 4 56(bernardini p)LEON A 122 3.50 15% 5.50 13.70  
GLOVANNA 3 6 6 7 7 7711½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 8.80  
 
PID-6   10/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:242 :483 1:124 1:37   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY HARRY 2 1 11 11 11 11(markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 2.00 21% 3.70 0.90 W
HAIG POINT 6 6 4 4 32 22(girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 27% 2.80 2.70 P
TAMANRASSETT 1 2 3 5 5 45 37 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 8.00 16.30  
HEIRLOOM KITTEN 4 3 6 64 64 54(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 18% 4.70 5.00  
CANADIAN GAME 5 4 21 21 21 34 510 (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.80 5.00  
CITY PLAN 3 5 55 3 42 68 613¾ (zook w)STANLEY O 122 6.00 26.90  
 
PID-7   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
:231 :462 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARLOTUK 3 6 3 31   1nk 1(lake scott)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 1.70  
FREYDIS 1 4 1½ 1½   2nk 2(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00 4.30  
I'M HEADING EAST 2 2 2½ 2½   31 3(rojas e)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 68% 0.50 2.20 S
OMIKAMI 5 5 6 64   44(rojas edua)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 15.60  
STRAIGHT MADNESS 4 3 5 42   557 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 6 1 4 52   669 (rotunno r)STANLEY O 122 5.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
 
PID-8   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:23 :461 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 5 2 4 6   61nk (hayes lela)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 9.70  
PAPA HONOR 8 8 8 8   72nk (bernardini p)LEON A 122 2.50 8% 11.80 11.70 P
FEVOLA 3 6 5 4   531 (schaber debbie)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 22.40  
EPIC (ARG) 2 4 32 31   2nk 4(martin n)STANLEY O 122 5.00 6.50  
WHERE YOU WAS 6 7 6 5   45(rogers ron)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 64% 0.60 0.30  
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 6(markgraf david)WALKER M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
GOLD WING 7 5 7 7   87(guciardo john)FOX CHRIS 122 20.00 59.10  
PROFESSOR DAVE 1 3 1½ 1nk   31 8(lecesse michae)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.