Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/3)-(7/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(7/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/4/5)-(7/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(7/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(7/2/1)-(4/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(4/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(4/5/7)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(6/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(6/2/4)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/6/4)-(6/8/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(6/8/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/4)-(6/8/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/4)-(6/8/1/4)-(6/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN TO EARTH Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Aug02 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
2  CINCO DE MANDEE Sep25 Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 Jun12 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  MONGOLIAN MISSION Sep11 Aug22 Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 (lucarell)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
4  LAWN DART Sep25 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 Jun06 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 25% 3.10    
5  GOOD MONGOLIA Sep04 Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun11 (rodriguez hu)AYALA J 122 5.00    
6  WILD LOOKER Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
PID-2   10/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITALIAN TWIN Sep26 Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 Aug10 (martin william )STANLEY O 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
SCR  CRIMSON LILLE Aug23 Jul05 Jun20 May25 May05 (deiter ke)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 112 12.00    
3  STORMIN MELLY Sep26 Aug30 Aug07 Jul26 Jun26 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 119 8.00 10% 9.50    
4  FOLLOW THROUGH Oct02 Sep11 Sep04 Aug11 Jun29 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 5.00    
SCR  WINE WITH A ROSE Oct02 Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 May30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 2.50    
6  UPPITY UP Oct02 Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul11 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00    
 
PID-3   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY NOT ME Sep05 Jul03       (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 120 6.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of HIGHEST QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
2  HEAVY POUR         (girten tim)ALLEN D 120 4.50    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of CHARM THE CROWD by THEATRICAL)
3  EPIC KNIGHT         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIZ BLU by TIZNOW)
4  PERFECT PRANKSTER         (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PERFECT PIC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  EVERDOIT         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GARY D out of JAGGERMAMA by HIGH COTTON)
6  IRISH STONE         (bourke john)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ROCK WALL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
7  MISCHIEF EXPOSED Sep11         (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
 
PID-4   10/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Sep27 Sep19 Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 13% 7.00    
2  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) Sep21 Aug09 Aug02 Jul15 May31 (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  MAGIC WIZARD Sep27 Aug28 Aug15 Aug07 Jul31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
4  HUNTIN' THE RUT Sep27 Sep12 Sep04 Aug07 Jul25 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
5  UP FOR THE CHANCE Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 6.00    
6  PREGAME Sep27 Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 Oct25 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
7  THREE O ONE Oct03 Sep20 Sep04 Aug07 May13 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
PID-5   10/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT PIRATE Sep19 Jul17 Jun14 May17 Feb15 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
2  ROLLING MO Sep25 Sep13 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
3  GLOVANNA Oct03 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
4  HONEY BOURBON Sep21 Sep06 Aug27 Aug01 Jul17 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  FEETS OF FEATHER Sep06 Aug19 Jul30 Nov26 Oct21 (cheeks joseph)WALKER M 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  ANNIE UP BUCK Oct03 Sep13 Aug30 Aug14 Jul19 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00    
7  CAGUA Sep11 Sep04 Aug21 Aug09 Jul19 (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
PID-6   10/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMANRASSETT Sep28 Sep10 Aug23 Aug15 Jul31 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 8.00    
2  RUNAWAY HARRY Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
3  CITY PLAN Sep03 Aug24 Aug18 Jul21 Jul13 (zook w)STANLEY O 122 6.00    
4  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Sep21 Aug17 Aug02 Jun26 Jun06 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
5  CANADIAN GAME Sep21 Aug28 Oct06 Sep22 Jan23 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.80    
6  HAIG POINT Sep20 Sep12 Aug26 Jul22 Jun25 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
PID-7   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREYDIS Sep26 Aug24 Feb23 Jan20 Dec21 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00    
2  I'M HEADING EAST Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 68% 0.50    
3  CARLOTUK Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 Apr16 Mar23 (lake sco)GALLARDO A 119 1.80    
4  STRAIGHT MADNESS Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 Jul24 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OMIKAMI Jun20 May29 Apr20 Feb12 Jan22 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00    
6  LA REINA DEL NORTE Sep20 Aug21 Oct18 Sep27 Sep08 (rotunno sydney )BOWEN ROCCO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFESSOR DAVE Aug08 Jul11 Jun20 May23 May02 (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  EPIC (ARG) Jun28 May31 Jan14     (martin william )STANLEY O 122 5.00    
3  FEVOLA Sep19 Sep11 Aug13 Jul31 Jun13 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
4  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Sep27 Aug16 Jul10 Jun14 May31 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Sep28 Sep18 Aug14 Jul05 Jun14 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
6  WHERE YOU WAS Sep28 Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul05 (rogers r)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 64% 0.60    
7  GOLD WING Sep21 Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jun24 (guciardo john)FOX CHRIS 122 20.00    
8  PAPA HONOR Sep28 Sep10 Aug17 Jul23 Jun06 (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 2.50 8% 11.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.