Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $17.40 $11.40 190%
BAQ-6   EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $15.50 $3.50 29%
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-3-1 $90.12 $78.12 651%
    DD (8/2/1/5)-(2/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-6 $21.60 $5.60 35%
BAQ-7   WIN (9/5/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $11.60 $1.60 16%
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(9/5/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-9 $22.40 $2.40 12%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:13 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UTAMARO 1 1 1nk 1½ 11 11½ 13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 12% 7.60 7.70 W
2  MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 2 7 62¼ 41½ 21 21½ 23 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 7.40  
5  KENTUCKY JOKER 5 4 41½ 51½ 41½ 31½ 35¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60 61% 0.60 0.35 S
4  WAFLR 4 3 52 63 64¼ 64¼ 47½ (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 21.70  
7  PERFECT OUTCOME 7 5 3½ 31 51¾ 52¼ 58¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 13.50  
3  ACADEMY CHOICE 3 2 2nk 2½ 31½ 42 68¾ (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 29.75  
6  SINALOA 6 6 73¾ 76 710¼ 711¼ 719 (sells)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
 
BAQ-2   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:231 :47 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GUN SONG 5 2 31 2½   2nk 1¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of NICOLE H by MR. GREELEY)
5  VALUE AREA 4 6 63¼ 31   1nk 2¼ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 3.50 50% 1.00 0.70 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
4  DON'T SAY IT 3 1 11 1½   3.2 3¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 16% 5.40 3.70 S
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FOREVER DISCREET by BERNARDINI)
7  STREET VIEW 6 3 52¼ 42   56¾ 48 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 12% 7.40 6.60  
  (by STREET BOSS out of VIEW by VICE REGENT)
1  PROGENY 1 4 21 52   45¼ 58½ (weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 29.75  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CABBAGE KEY by A.P. INDY)
3  MATAGORA BAY 2 5 42 67½   613¾ 620 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 8.40  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SKY WALK by SKYWALKER)
SCR  LA PICASITA               (antonucci j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of PICARDIA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
BAQ-3   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MORNING CUP 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 11½ (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 121 0.50 58% 0.70 1.00 W
2  GUN MAESTRO 2 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 21½ (abreu fernando)USKE S 123 4.50 2.90  
3  M B'S MUNNING 3 5 51¾ 3½   32 31¾ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 20.00 19.20  
5  MAKAR 5 6 41½ 42½   45 49¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 15% 5.70 2.10  
4  WITH KNOW NAME 4 4 64¾ 67½   610 510 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
1  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY 1 3 31½ 54½   58 611¾ (sells)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 43.75  
 
BAQ-4   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:113 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GUNTOWN 6 2 31½ 41½ 21 1nk 11½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.80 59% 0.70 1.20 W
2  LAUGHING BOY 2 4 1½ 11 11 2nk 21½ (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 16.20  
3  WINNING CONNECTION 3 8 87 75 43½ 33 34¾ (dutrow rich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 8.90  
5  ANTHRACITE 5 5 62½ 63 54 54¾ 47¾ (nevin mich)RIVERA R 119 6.00 7% 13.20 12.20  
1  DEVIL'S CAY 1 7 42 31½ 32 44½ 57¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 13.00  
8  BORN A GAMBLER 8 3 52 52 75½ 66¼ 68½ (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
7  JESTER'S SONG 7 1 2½ 21 64½ 77¼ 710½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 4.40  
4  ROCK THE WEEKEND 4 6 74 87 810½ 811¼ 812¼ (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 61.00  
9  COMPLETE AGENDA 9 9 913 914 913½ 912¾ 913¼ (baker charlt)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 6% 14.90 4.00  
SCR  GUT FEELING               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:12 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COOL QUARTET 6 4 3½ 51¾ 51½ 1nk 13¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 33% 2.10 2.20 W
9  DURKIN'S CALL 7 5 4¾ 3½ 1½ 2nk 23¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 2.20  
10  GOLDINI 8 6 51¼ 41½ 41½ 33 38 (rodriguez rudy)LUZZI J 124 20.00 15.10  
2  FORTY TWO ACE 1 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 43½ 410¼ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 21% 3.70 2.75 DH
4  HANG TIGHT 3 7 84¼ 87¾ 810½ 77 410¼ (romero jes)RIVERA R 119 20.00 47.50 DH
1  DONTBELATE 5 3 2nk 2nk 31 54 613 (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00 19% 4.30 6.20  
3  LORD GATLING 2 2 72¾ 62¾ 62½ 65 713¼ (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 20.90  
5  DATESFREEDOM 4 8 62¾ 73¼ 78½ 810½ 818 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
SCR  JUMPSTER               (persaud randi)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:224 :47 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RATHMORE 6 2 11½ 11   11 1nk (albertrani t)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 16% 5.30 2.50 W
  (by CUPID out of TEMPERATURE RUNNIN by STORMIN FEVER)
3  FOR YOUR PLEASURE 3 8 53½ 42½   21 2nk (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 17% 5.00 2.15 P
  (by ENTICED out of TRANQUIL SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  ALEAH ALEAH 1 1 31½ 31½   31½ 31¼ (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 114 12.00 14% 6.30 37.00 S
  (by MASTERY out of DILLY by FIRST SAMURAI)
8  HAVE YOU HEARD 8 3 21½ 21   42 41½ (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 15.00 29.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FULL MOON FROLIC by VINDICATION)
2  UNION BULLDOG 2 4 42½ 63½   52½ 52½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 30% 2.30 3.30  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUNNING DEBI C by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  J D FACTOR 7 5 77 77½   75 63 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 7.30  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
4  SPEED CONTROL 4 7 64½ 53½   62½ 74 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 12.40  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BLIZZARD BEACH by RACE DAY)
5  DOWNING STREET 5 6 89 88   85½ 84¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.20  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HIGH SO CI by SCAT DADDY)
 
BAQ-7   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:113 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  THUNDERIAN 9 8 41 4¾ 1nk 1nk 1hd (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 39% 1.50 4.80 W
10  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS 10 6 82¼ 51¾ 41¼ 2nk 2hd (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 1.75  
8  MEMPHIS 8 9 95¾ 96½ 96¾ 66 35¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 10.20  
3  MAGICAL WAYS 3 7 62 82½ 52¼ 43 46¼ (sells rachel)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 21.80  
5  ICE ROAD 5 3 51½ 61¾ 62¾ 55 57½ (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 19% 4.10 3.75  
4  WHAT'S UP DOC 4 4 72¼ 72¼ 74¾ 76¼ 68½ (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 12% 7.70 11.00  
6  CLUBHOUSE 6 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 32½ 712¼ (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 17.20  
1  BERLONE 1 1 3½ 2nk 3.2 86¼ 814¾ (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
2  RALLY SQUIRREL 2 2 1nk 3.2 86¾ 915¼ 926¼ (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
7  BARON'S LEGACY 7 10 106¾ 108½ 1015¾ 1027¼ 1036½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 18.20  
 
BAQ-8   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SIGNATOR 8 6 84½ 83¾ 63½ 3½ 1¾ (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 4.50  
4  CASCAIS 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 9% 10.60 3.05 P
7  ROCCO STRONG 7 3 31½ 41½ 42 2½ 3¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 12.70  
5  MACALLAN 5 5 53 73¼ 89½ 73½ 41 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 26% 2.80 6.40  
1  QUALITY CHIC 1 9 63½ 31 31½ 41½ 53¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 15.40  
3  CLASSIC MARK 3 4 42 51½ 52½ 52½ 68½ (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 28.75  
9  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) 9 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 63 710¼ (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 41% 1.50 2.15  
6  LUNI SIMA 6 7 95½ 94¾ 78½ 88 815¾ (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
2  PADDINGTON 2 8 74 63 910 910 918¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 7.30  
 
BAQ-9   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:222 :464 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ASHBURN ALLEY 8 1 3½ 1nk   12½ 13½ (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 119 8.00 ★ 2.60  
  (by TAPITURE out of EXCLUSIVELY YOURS by DEERHOUND)
2  PHOTO FINISH 2 8 85¼ 64¼   65 23½ (cruz jesus)LUZZI J 119 20.00 43.00  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SUPER MAMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  BOOK OF WISDOM 7 4 63¾ 52¼   33 33½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 50% 1.00 1.90 S
  (by SOLOMINI out of TAPPIN'AT THE DOOR by TAPIT)
7  TAVIN 6 3 2½ 2nk   22½ 45 (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00 ★ 3.90  
  (by GIRVIN out of TASHMOO by CAIRO PRINCE)
6  BEACH CRUISER 5 5 41½ 42   43½ 56¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 24% 3.10 5.40  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CATCHA RISING STAR by RED GIANT)
12  MISS BOURBON 10 7 53½ 74¼   55 69¼ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
  (by CONNECT out of SAVASANA by SCATMANDU)
1  LA INDECENTE 1 6 73¾ 85¼   88 711¼ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00 68.50  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of GLOOMY I'M KNOT by D'WILDCAT)
11  GOING FOR GLORY 9 10 107¼ 98¾   911 811¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 47.75  
  (by SKY MESA out of HIPSHOOTINMOMMA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  MY KINDA MISCHIEF 4 2 1½ 3½   76½ 916¼ (martin car)RIVERA R 114 12.00 26.25  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OFF THE BOURBON by CURLIN)
4  MYSARIA 3 9 95¾ 1014¾   1017 1016¾ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 22.40  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOT LIAISON by LIAISON)
SCR  IN THE END               (sweezey kent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of BLACK ESCORT by SOUTHERN HALO)
SCR  LOVE THYSELF               (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS NARCISSIST by FREUD)
SCR  STORMY DISCO               (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SCATCAPADE by SCAT DADDY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.