The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $17.40 $17.40 11.40
BAQ-2   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $14.80 -6.00
BAQ-3   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
BAQ-4   Win (6/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
BAQ-5   Win (8/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
BAQ-6   Win (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
BAQ-7   Win (9/5/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 1.60
BAQ-8   Win (9/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $11.00 -8.00
BAQ-9   Win (8/6/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $7.20 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:233 :473 1:13 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UTAMARO 1 1 1nk 1½ 11 113 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 12% 7.60 7.70 W
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 2 7 6 4 21 223 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 7.40  
KENTUCKY JOKER 5 4 4 5 4 33(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60 61% 0.60 0.35 S
WAFLR 4 3 52 63 6 64(donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 21.70  
PERFECT OUTCOME 7 5 3½ 31 5 55(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 13.50  
ACADEMY CHOICE 3 2 2nk 2½ 3 42 6(begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 29.75  
SINALOA 6 6 7 76 710¼ 711¼ 719 (sells r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
 
BAQ-2   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:10
:231 :47 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN SONG 5 2 31 2½   2nk 1¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.40  
VALUE AREA 4 6 6 31   1nk 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 50% 1.00 0.70 P
DON'T SAY IT 3 1 11 1½   3.2 3¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 16% 5.40 3.70 S
STREET VIEW 6 3 5 42   548 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 12% 7.40 6.60  
PROGENY 1 4 21 52   45(weaver george)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 29.75  
MATAGORA BAY 2 5 42 6   613¾ 620 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 8.40  
SCR  LA PICASITA               (antonucci jen)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
:223 :461 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING CUP 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1(d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 121 0.50 58% 0.70 1.00 W
GUN MAESTRO 2 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 2(abreu fernando)USKE S 123 4.50 2.90  
M B'S MUNNING 3 5 5 3½   32 3(potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 20.00 19.20  
MAKAR 5 6 4 4   45 4(giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 15% 5.70 2.10  
WITH KNOW NAME 4 4 6 6   610 510 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY 1 3 3 5   58 611¾ (sells r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 43.75  
 
BAQ-4   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
:232 :462 1:113 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNTOWN 6 2 3 4 21 1nk 1(rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.80 59% 0.70 1.20 W
LAUGHING BOY 2 4 1½ 11 11 2nk 2(jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 16.20  
WINNING CONNECTION 3 8 87 75 4 33 3(dutrow richar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 8.90  
ANTHRACITE 5 5 6 63 54 54(nevin michel)RIVERA R 119 6.00 7% 13.20 12.20  
DEVIL'S CAY 1 7 42 3 32 45(miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 13.00  
BORN A GAMBLER 8 3 52 52 7 66(levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
JESTER'S SONG 7 1 2½ 21 6 7710½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 4.40  
ROCK THE WEEKEND 4 6 74 87 810½ 811¼ 812¼ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 61.00  
COMPLETE AGENDA 9 9 913 914 913½ 912¾ 913¼ (baker charlton)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 6% 14.90 4.00  
SCR  GUT FEELING               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
:232 :464 1:12 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL QUARTET 6 4 3½ 5 5 1nk 1(noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 33% 2.10 2.20 W
DURKIN'S CALL 7 5 4¾ 3½ 1½ 2nk 2(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 2.20  
10  GOLDINI 8 6 5 4 4 33 38 (rodriguez r)LUZZI J 124 20.00 15.10  
FORTY TWO ACE 1 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 4410¼ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 21% 3.70 2.75 DH
HANG TIGHT 3 7 8 8 810½ 77 410¼ (romero jesus)RIVERA R 119 20.00 47.50 DH
DONTBELATE 5 3 2nk 2nk 31 54 613 (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00 19% 4.30 6.20  
LORD GATLING 2 2 7 6 6 65 713¼ (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 20.90  
DATESFREEDOM 4 8 6 7 7 810½ 818 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
SCR  BOLD VICTORY               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
SCR  JUMPSTER               (persaud randi)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
:224 :47 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATHMORE 6 2 1 11   11 1nk (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 16% 5.30 2.50 W
FOR YOUR PLEASURE 3 8 5 4   21 2nk (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 17% 5.00 2.15 P
ALEAH ALEAH 1 1 3 3   33(ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 114 12.00 14% 6.30 37.00 S
HAVE YOU HEARD 8 3 2 21   42 4(brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 15.00 29.00  
UNION BULLDOG 2 4 4 6   55(brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 30% 2.30 3.30  
J D FACTOR 7 5 77 7   75 63 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 7.30  
SPEED CONTROL 4 7 6 5   674 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 12.40  
DOWNING STREET 5 6 89 88   88(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.20  
 
BAQ-7   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
:23 :46 1:113 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERIAN 9 8 41 4¾ 1nk 1nk 1hd (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 39% 1.50 4.80 W
10  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS 10 6 8 5 4 2nk 2hd (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 1.75  
MEMPHIS 8 9 9 9 9 66 3(rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 10.20  
MAGICAL WAYS 3 7 62 8 5 43 4(sells rachel)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 21.80  
ICE ROAD 5 3 5 6 6 55 5(d'angelo f)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 19% 4.10 3.75  
WHAT'S UP DOC 4 4 7 7 7 76(ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 12% 7.70 11.00  
CLUBHOUSE 6 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 3712¼ (rodriguez gust)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 17.20  
BERLONE 1 1 3½ 2nk 3.2 8814¾ (david a)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
RALLY SQUIRREL 2 2 1nk 3.2 8 915¼ 926¼ (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
BARON'S LEGACY 7 10 10 10 1015¾ 1027¼ 1036½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 18.20  
 
BAQ-8   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
:232 :464 1:11 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGNATOR 8 6 8 8 6 3½ 1¾ (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 4.50  
CASCAIS 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 9% 10.60 3.05 P
ROCCO STRONG 7 3 3 4 42 2½ 3¾ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 12.70  
MACALLAN 5 5 53 7 8 741 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 26% 2.80 6.40  
QUALITY CHIC 1 9 6 31 3 45(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 15.40  
CLASSIC MARK 3 4 42 5 5 56(rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 28.75  
CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) 9 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 63 710¼ (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 41% 1.50 2.15  
LUNI SIMA 6 7 9 9 7 88 815¾ (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
PADDINGTON 2 8 74 63 910 910 918¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 7.30  
 
BAQ-9   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:54
:222 :464 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ASHBURN ALLEY 8 1 3½ 1nk   11(breen j)RENDON JAIRO 119 8.00 2.60  
PHOTO FINISH 2 8 8 6   65 2(cruz jesus)LUZZI J 119 20.00 43.00  
BOOK OF WISDOM 7 4 6 5   33 3(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 50% 1.00 1.90 S
TAVIN 6 3 2½ 2nk   245 (russell britt)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00 3.90  
BEACH CRUISER 5 5 4 42   45(clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 24% 3.10 5.40  
12  MISS BOURBON 10 7 5 7   55 6(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
LA INDECENTE 1 6 7 8   88 711¼ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 20.00 68.50  
11  GOING FOR GLORY 9 10 10 9   911 811¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 47.75  
MY KINDA MISCHIEF 4 2 1½ 3½   7916¼ (martin carlo)RIVERA R 114 12.00 26.25  
MYSARIA 3 9 9 1014¾   1017 1016¾ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 22.40  
SCR  IN THE END               (sweezey kent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  LOVE THYSELF               (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
SCR  STORMY DISCO               (dini mike)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.