Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delaware Park
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.60 $0.60 10%

Simulator Race results

 
DEL-1   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYERA 5 6 6 5   3.2 1 (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00 3.80  
BETWEEN DREAMS 3 4 3½ 1nk   1nk 2 (barboza victor )CENTENO E 121 1.60 59% 0.70 1.20 P
GLEAMING BRUTALITY 6 5 52 6   4 3 (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00 3.40  
PARISIAN VIBE 2 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 45 (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 17% 5.00 5.10  
ROSY APPLE 4 1 41 41   6 5 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
SALSA RITA 1 2 1nk 3½   5 6 (gayle webst)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 15.00 28.40  
 
DEL-2   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE NI 4 5 2nk 1nk   13 1 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00 6.40  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ELRAAZY by MALIBU MOON)
MELT WITH YOU 1 6 512½ 510½   3 2 (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 119 8.00 9.60  
  (by UPSTART out of MOMMO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
COLLECTED SPECIAL 6 1 1nk 2nk   23 37 (delgado jo)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 37% 1.70 1.70 S
  (by COLLECTED out of EXCLUSIVE WOMAN by CAT THIEF)
SPINNING HEART 5 2 4 32   410½ 415 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.50 19.20  
  (by HARD SPUN out of STREETWITHNONAME by STREET SENSE)
NOTORIOUS 2 3 31 4   514½ 525¼ (stidham mich)ARROYO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SNAP CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
NIGHT OUT 3 4 6100 6100   6100 6100 (stidham michael)CENTENO E 119 1.80 41% 1.50 1.30  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CARNIVAL LASS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
DEL-3   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JEAN 3 4 3½ 1nk   1 1 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 2.50 36% 1.80 2.00 W
KIRBY 6 2 67 6   3 2 (neilson wa)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 8.00 15.70  
JACK'S LILLY 5 6 78 7   7 36 (bobadilla f)RENDON JAIRO 123 6.00 10% 8.80 8.20 S
CALYPSO GHOST 7 1 2nk 2nk   2 4 (harting c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 10.00 17.80  
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN 2 5 4 4   58 5 (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 2.30  
BACI 4 7 5 5   6 6 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 116 4.00 5.80  
INSIGHTFUL 1 3 1nk 3.2   47 711 (nambo cesar)MENA E 116 3.50 24% 3.20 3.70  
SCR  AFLEET DIVA               (soto- )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00    
 
DEL-4   10/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:122 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPENDAGE 2 1 8 810½ 87 43 11 (smith jason)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 10.00 45.40  
LAST SECOND LOUIE 7 6 3 31 2nk 1nk 21 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 3.00 46% 1.20 6.90 P
TUCKER ROAD 5 3 43 53 4 32 34 (sepulveda)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5.10  
SUSTENANCE 6 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 4 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00 1.60  
TAPATERM 3 9 911½ 911 9 6 5 (gayle we)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 12.00 8.00  
STAFF SERGEANT 1 2 75 42 32 56 6 (hogan william)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 3.50 8.50  
KERANOS 8 7 53 63 5 7 711½ (nazario pedr)ARROYO S 120 6.00 15% 5.60 4.70  
CALL ME A DREAMER 4 5 2½ 2½ 6 8 814¾ (bentley fenneka)MENA E 122 4.50 14% 6.00 7.50  
SAAFEN 9 8 6 7 76 9 916½ (rodriguez j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 73.30  
 
DEL-5   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:124     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP FAITH 7 4 52 6 3 11 1¼ (rigattieri john)MENA E 122 8.00 2.80  
LOOSE GOOSE 2 2 4 5 63 4 2¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 25% 3.10 4.20 P
ALVY 5 5 84 8 5 5 3½ (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00 12.70  
BRETT'S WORLD 6 8 6 4 21 21 4½ (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 10.00 20% 4.10 6.40  
MY MAN VITO 8 6 31 31 11 32 5 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 122 2.50 27% 2.80 2.00  
SWEEPING GIANT 4 7 7 7 74 6 6 (avila c)BATISTA A 122 3.50 9.90  
STACKS OF SILVER 1 1 1½ 2nk 86 79 712½ (capuano gary )ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
MY DANNY BOY 3 3 2½ 1nk 4 812 822¼ (strauss beve)ARROYO S 122 15.00 18.50  
SCR  OHANA EMPIRE               (cudworth)RODRIGUEZ L 112 15.00    
 
DEL-6   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:213 :45 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 6 1 3½ 1nk   1 1 (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.00 4.30  
FIRST RULE 2 5 5 5   3 2 (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 8.00 20% 4.00 2.60 P
MUNDO MIX 4 4 2nk 2nk   2 33 (gayle we)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.00 S
MARVIN 5 2 4 4   5 4 (ward dan)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 10.50  
MONEY SONG 3 3 6 6   6 58 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 121 6.00 21.30  
WILD BEHAVIOR 1 6 1nk 3.2   4 69 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00 57% 0.80 0.90  
SCR  KITCHEN FIRE               (raven kerri)ARROYO S 121 8.00    
 
DEL-7   10/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:25 1:14 1:382     1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXIT RIGHT 4 4 12 12 13 17 111¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 23% 3.30 0.10 W
MYSTERY MO 2 3 32 22 33 27 211¼ (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00 56% 0.80 3.60 P
RUNAWAY READY 3 1 22 32 23 37 311½ (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 12.90  
PRALINE'S CAT 1 2 4 4 410 422 429¼ (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 117 10.00 16.60  
SCR  COACH ADAMS               (ward dan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  FLAT OUT FLYING               (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 120 2.00    
SCR  SPRINKLEHEAD               (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
 
DEL-8   10/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:124 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIROLAMO'S ATTACK 3 3 2½ 2nk 11 1 11 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00 34% 2.00 2.30 W
I AM THAT I AM 4 4 5 52 43 33 21 (williams a)COLINA ALEJANDRO 120 8.00 14.60  
GOODLUCKCHUCK 6 5 31 3½ 21 2 3 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 28% 2.60 3.90 S
ZIPPER ZAPPER 2 1 1½ 1nk 3 44 4 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 4.00 16% 5.40 8.40  
GREYZER 5 6 63 6 5 5 5 (de ka)MARIN A 120 8.00 7.90  
GREAT FACES 1 2 4 41 6 6 613¼ (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 122 2.00 1.30  
SCR  TINY TIN               (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.