Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/6/2)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(3/1/5)-(7/8/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(7/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(7/8/4/9)-(9/2/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-4   WIN (7/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/9)-(7/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/9)-(7/8/4/9)-(7/8/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/4/9)-(9/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4/9)-(9/2/7/1)-(1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-5   WIN (9/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/1)-(9/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/1)-(9/2/7/1)-(9/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/7/1)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/1)-(1/2/5)-(3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(3/7)-(3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-7   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
DEL-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALSA RITA Oct07 Sep20 Aug19 Jul16 Jun17 (gayle webst)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 15.00    
PARISIAN VIBE Sep21 Aug11 Jun30 Jun24 Jun09 (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
BETWEEN DREAMS Sep20 Aug16 Jun14     (barboza victor )CENTENO E 121 1.60 59% 0.70    
ROSY APPLE Oct07 Sep02 Aug09 Jun24 Jun14 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYERA Oct07 Sep20 Sep08 Jun30 Jun14 (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00    
GLEAMING BRUTALITY Sep02 Aug19 Jul13 Jul01 May06 (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00    
 
DEL-2   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELT WITH YOU         (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 119 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MOMMO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
NOTORIOUS         (stidham mich)ARROYO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SNAP CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
NIGHT OUT Aug24         (stidham michael)CENTENO E 119 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CARNIVAL LASS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LITTLE NI         (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ELRAAZY by MALIBU MOON)
SPINNING HEART         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STREETWITHNONAME by STREET SENSE)
COLLECTED SPECIAL Jul16         (delgado jo)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of EXCLUSIVE WOMAN by CAT THIEF)
 
DEL-3   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIGHTFUL Aug25 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 (nambo cesar)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 116 3.50 24% 3.20    
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Oct09 Aug25 Jul12 Jun13 Mar21 (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00    
LADY JEAN Oct09 Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jun23 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
BACI Sep20 Sep05 Aug19 Jul11 Jun21 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 116 4.00    
JACK'S LILLY Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 Aug10 Jul21 (bobadilla f)RENDON JAIRO 123 6.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  AFLEET DIVA Jul12 Jun12 May08 Apr04 Mar07 (soto- )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00    
KIRBY Oct07 Sep14 Sep02 Aug19 Jul21 (neilson wa)COLINA ALEJANDRO 125 8.00    
CALYPSO GHOST Oct06 Sep17 Aug24 Aug09 Jul21 (harting c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
 
DEL-4   10/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAFF SERGEANT Sep09 Aug12 Jul23 Jul14 Jul01 (hogan william)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 3.50    
APPENDAGE Oct06 Sep20 Aug26 Aug16 Jun28 (smith jason)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 10.00    
TAPATERM Sep29 Jul23 Jul15 Jun03 May13 (gayle we)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 12.00    
CALL ME A DREAMER Sep14 Aug30 Jul07 Jun01 Jun24 (bentley fenneka)MENA E 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
TUCKER ROAD Oct06 Sep16 Aug02 Jul13 May31 (sepulveda)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
SUSTENANCE Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
LAST SECOND LOUIE Oct06 Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
KERANOS Oct06 Sep20 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 (nazario pedr)ARROYO S 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
SAAFEN Oct06 Jul15 Jun01 Mar16 Feb10 (rodriguez j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-5   10/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACKS OF SILVER Sep16 Aug16 Jul19 Oct01 Aug25 (capuano gary )ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOOSE GOOSE Sep26 Aug29 Aug12 Jul19 Jun27 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
MY DANNY BOY Oct04 Sep16 Aug16 Aug03 Jul15 (strauss beve)ARROYO S 122 15.00    
SWEEPING GIANT Oct05 Jun16 May28 Mar09 Jan29 (avila c)BATISTA A 122 3.50    
ALVY Aug19 Jun30 Jun21 May31 May18 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00    
SCR  OHANA EMPIRE May29 Mar31 Mar04 Feb12 Jan21 (cudworth)RODRIGUEZ L 112 15.00    
BRETT'S WORLD Oct04 Sep26 Aug29 Aug16 Jul25 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 10.00 20% 4.10    
DEEP FAITH Sep20 Aug19 Jul19 Jun02 May13 (rigattieri john)MENA E 122 8.00    
MY MAN VITO Oct04 Sep08 Aug02 Jul06 Jun14 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
DEL-6   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD BEHAVIOR Oct04 Aug27 Jul15 Jul01 Jun15 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
FIRST RULE Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
MONEY SONG Aug31 Jun01 Apr07 Feb15 Dec23 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 121 6.00    
SCR  KITCHEN FIRE Oct04 Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 Jun09 (raven kerri)ARROYO S 121 8.00    
MUNDO MIX Oct04 Sep16 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 (gayle we)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MARVIN Oct07 Jul30 Jun18 Jun04 May13 (ward dan)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Oct11 Sep21 Aug20 Aug12 Jul29 (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.00    
 
DEL-7   10/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COACH ADAMS Sep03 Aug18 Jul22 Jun18 May27 (ward dan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
PRALINE'S CAT Sep16 Sep09 Aug16 Jul22 Jul14 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 117 10.00    
MYSTERY MO Sep16 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 May27 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  FLAT OUT FLYING Sep24 Sep09 Aug10 Jul12 Jun30 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 120 2.00    
RUNAWAY READY Sep04 Aug09 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  SPRINKLEHEAD Oct11 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
EXIT RIGHT Sep25 Aug30 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
DEL-8   10/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT FACES Oct04 Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Jun23 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 122 2.00    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Oct11 Sep30 Aug26 Aug17 Jul26 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
GIROLAMO'S ATTACK Sep26 Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 Jun17 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
I AM THAT I AM Sep20 Sep01 Aug02 Jul12 Jun09 (williams a)COLINA ALEJANDRO 120 8.00    
GREYZER Sep27 Sep09 Aug16 Jul27 Jul08 (de ka)MARIN A 120 8.00    
GOODLUCKCHUCK Oct06 Aug26 Aug20 Aug02 Jul14 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  TINY TIN Oct04 Sep20 Sep01 Aug17 Aug09 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.