Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Finger Lakes
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $22.20 $10.20 85%
FL-6   EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-7 $17.00 $5.00 42%
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-7-8 $11.40 $8.40 280%
FL-8   WIN (10/8/6/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $20.20 $10.20 102%
    EXA (10/8/6/3/9)-(10/8/6/3/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-8 $85.00 $45.00 113%
Simulator Race results
 
FL-1   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:262 :522 1:164 1:443   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EMBRACEABLE GAL 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 11¼ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 16% 5.20 4.10 W
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of ENNISKILLEN by DESERT WARRIOR)
4  RUBYS MISSION 4 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 21¼ (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 121 2.00 52% 0.90 0.90 P
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of REDDY FOR RUBYS by PRECISE END)
2  HAPPY TIME 2 3 31½ 31½ 32 33 34 (acquilano jame)COA J 121 4.00 3.80  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
3  GO SUSAN GO 3 6 64 68 610 56 45½ (iorio jr)PEREZ E 121 10.00 20.50  
  (by TONALIST out of GO OLIVIA GO by VALUE PLUS)
1  THREE CUPS FULL 1 2 42 55 57 46 56¼ (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 121 3.00 11% 7.70 3.35  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FLIPCUP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  BABI DREAMS 5 5 53 44 46 614 619¾ (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 31.00  
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
 
FL-2   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:152 1:431   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOVE THAT BIRD 2 1 1½ 11 12 13½ 14½ (ferraro anth)COA J 120 2.50 1.15  
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of ASPREE by FREUD)
4  CABLE READY 4 6 66½ 56 42½ 23½ 24½ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 22% 3.50 3.50 P
  (by REDESDALE out of CABLE by DYNAFORMER)
1  BOLD FORCE 1 2 42½ 44 32½ 33½ 36 (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 5.00 11.20  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SCATTERED RAIN by SCAT DADDY)
6  RORY'S ORCHARD 6 5 52½ 66¼ 57½ 510½ 418½ (torelli stac)HARKIE K 120 4.50 26.00  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HOLIDAY WISHES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  SEMINARIAN 3 3 2½ 21 22 49½ 520¾ (lecesse micha)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 1.60 39% 1.60 1.90  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of RARE EDITION by SIYAH KALEM)
5  THAT WORKS 5 4 31½ 34 611½ 630½ 652¼ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 10.00 10% 8.90 11.10  
  (by THE FACTOR out of PAVED WITH GOLD by STREET SENSE)
 
FL-3   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:221 :453 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIERY HEART 1 5 57¼ 45½   32½ 13¼ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 55% 0.80 0.55 W
5  INVALUABLE WILL 5 2 34 34   42½ 23¼ (breed a)ROHENA JR 120 3.50 7.50  
3  PRODUCTION CREDIT 3 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 33¾ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00 18% 4.70 10.20 S
2  FORWARD MOTION 2 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 46 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 2.50 2.15  
4  BOWING SNOWMAN 4 4 44¼ 55¾   55 56½ (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 14.90  
SCR  MAJOR SPIN               (fung christo)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
 
FL-4   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
See original race card.
:23 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DROSEL DIEM 4 2 3½ 31½   21½ 1½ (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 8.00 15.90  
3  MATTY'S EXPRESS 3 4 2½ 11   11½ 2½ (oyola d)NAVARRO J 122 10.00 7.50  
7  SAMAY (PER) 7 1 53½ 55   32 31¼ (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 6.00 4.40  
1  MASSEY HALL 1 6 41½ 44½   42½ 42½ (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
5  DOUBLE SHOT 5 5 711 69   64 52½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.50 1.30  
2  BOLDLEE 2 7 1½ 21   54 69 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 1.20 57% 0.80 3.05  
6  PREPARE FOR GLORY 6 3 66 711   710 79¼ (lecesse michae)COA J 122 5.00 6% 14.70 7.90  
 
FL-5   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:131 1:403   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHANTY SHACK 3 1 22½ 21 21 11 1¼ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 29% 2.50 2.15 W
1  DOC ADVANTAGE 1 7 67 64 65½ 42 2¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 45% 1.20 1.05 P
7  WYNN GIANT 7 4 44 32 32½ 31 3¾ (englehart je)HARKIE K 119 6.00 6.60  
2  GINNSU WARRIOR 2 2 12½ 11 11 21 42½ (d'aless)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 23.50  
6  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY 6 3 55 53½ 45 53 57½ (bireta don)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 15.30  
5  EMPIRE RIDE 5 5 710 78 710½ 712 613¾ (englehart jef)DAVILA R 119 3.50 5.00  
4  CENTRAL LOVE 4 6 33½ 42½ 55 69 713¾ (oyola david)DAVILA A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 36.25  
 
FL-6   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133 1:412   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEO AND ROYAL 1 1 3½ 2½ 1nk 12 13 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 35% 1.80 0.05 W
7  CO CONSPIRATOR 5 4 1nk 1½ 2nk 22 23 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 27% 2.80 31.50 P
8  HONORABLE AVENUE 6 3 41½ 31 31½ 35 35 (tasso mark)COA J 122 4.50 13% 6.80 12.40 S
6  BEACHSIDE 4 6 66½ 77½ 66½ 49 46¾ (schudlick mic)DAVILA A 122 20.00 83.25  
9  MASETA 7 7 76¾ 67 76¾ 59 57½ (murphy p)PEREZ E 122 12.00 59.00  
4  SIGHT UNSEEN 3 5 52½ 56 55½ 714 615¾ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00 18.80  
3  HIGH TONE 2 2 2nk 41 42½ 611 717 (englehart je)HARKIE K 122 6.00 7.00  
SCR  GREY INVASION               (lecesse )DAVIS A 124 4.00    
SCR  KODIAK BROWN               (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 10.00    
SCR  KONG LOVES A FIGHT               (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
 
FL-7   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:223 :453 :581     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GIMMEDAMONEY 7 1 1nk 1nk   23 1½ (lecesse michae)COA J 122 6.00 12.40  
2  KIERKEGAARD 2 5 2nk 3½   35 2½ (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 2.00 18% 4.40 2.70 P
4  DEVIOUS BANKER 4 2 53 44½   47 3½ (pettine )DAVIS A 122 12.00 16.30  
6  C J'S GRAND SLAM 6 3 31 2nk   13 41 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 0.75  
5  CAN'T BEAT ME 5 6 66 65¾   57 51¼ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 21.20  
3  WAHEEL 3 4 42½ 54¾   67½ 66¼ (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 53% 0.90 4.90  
1  MOMMIE'S JEWEL 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
 
FL-8   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FLATTERY'S MUSIC 6 2 2½ 11   12 1hd (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 3.50 11% 8.00 9.10 W
8  LADY JEAN 8 5 31 32   22 2hd (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 4.00 24% 3.10 2.70 P
1  BAYOU MELODY 1 7 85¼ 55   44 33 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 3.10  
4  IN TRAFFIC 4 8 75 65½   65½ 44¼ (rivera david)HARKIE K 118 20.00 9.70  
5  ISLE STORM 5 3 1½ 21   33 55 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 10.00 10.00  
2  BETTY'S SMILE 2 6 51½ 44   55½ 66¾ (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00 6.10  
7  SWEET INVASION 7 4 64½ 78½   77½ 77 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 12.00 20.90  
3  SABREEN 3 9 107¼ 88½   89½ 88¼ (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 3.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
10  SASSY MELISSA 10 10 96¼ 99½   910½ 99¾ (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 6.00 34% 1.90 11.40  
9  BOXED IN AND BORED 9 1 41½ 109¾   1013½ 1014¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.