Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-2   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-3   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FL-4   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-6   Win (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-7   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-8   Win (10/8/6/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE CUPS FULL Aug30 Aug07 Jul03 May27   (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 121 3.00 11% 7.70    
HAPPY TIME Sep12 Aug30 Aug15 Jul17 Jun26 (acquilano james)COA J 121 4.00    
GO SUSAN GO Sep12 Aug24 May16     (iorio jr)PEREZ E 121 10.00    
RUBYS MISSION Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 May22 (shaffer rich)DE EMANUEL 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
BABI DREAMS Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 (sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
EMBRACEABLE GAL Sep26 Sep03 Aug04 Jul15   (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
FL-2   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD FORCE Sep27 Aug11 Jun24     (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
LOVE THAT BIRD Sep04 Aug18 Jul28     (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 2.50    
SEMINARIAN Sep04 Aug17       (lecesse michael)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 1.60 39% 1.60    
CABLE READY Sep25         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
THAT WORKS Sep27         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
RORY'S ORCHARD Sep20         (torelli stacy)HARKIE K 120 4.50    
 
FL-3   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERY HEART Sep20 Aug28 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
FORWARD MOTION Sep20 Aug28 Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 2.50    
PRODUCTION CREDIT Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
BOWING SNOWMAN Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 (muller thomas)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
INVALUABLE WILL Sep20 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jul03 (breed a)ROHENA JR 120 3.50    
SCR  MAJOR SPIN Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Jun28 Jun14 (fung christoph)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
 
FL-4   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASSEY HALL Sep26 Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOLDLEE Jul24 Jun20 Nov22 Oct25 Sep21 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 1.20 57% 0.80    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 Aug01 (oyola dav)NAVARRO J 122 10.00    
DROSEL DIEM Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul18 (sabine t)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
DOUBLE SHOT Sep25 Sep05 Aug08 Mar25 Mar11 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 3.50    
PREPARE FOR GLORY Sep20 Aug21 Aug07 Jul12 Jun26 (lecesse michael)COA J 122 5.00 6% 14.70    
SAMAY (PER) Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 Jul31 Jul18 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
 
FL-5   10/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOC ADVANTAGE Sep12 Aug09 Jun12 Nov21 Nov02 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
GINNSU WARRIOR Sep18 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 Jul19 (d'alessan)NAVARRO J 122 8.00    
SHANTY SHACK Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 Jul10 Jun21 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
CENTRAL LOVE Sep25 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 (oyola david)DAVILA A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
EMPIRE RIDE Sep12 Jul21 Jun24 May21 Mar11 (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 119 3.50    
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Sep12 Aug28 Aug02 Jul25 Jul10 (bireta donna)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
WYNN GIANT Aug28 Jul17 Jun27 May22 Mar26 (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 119 6.00    
 
FL-6   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEO AND ROYAL Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 Jul10 May30 (englehart je)DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Sep18 Aug14 Jul19 Jun12 Apr29 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
HIGH TONE Sep11 Aug26 Aug16 Jul14 Jul03 (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
SIGHT UNSEEN Sep25 Sep04 Jul11 Apr15 Mar05 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00    
SCR  KODIAK BROWN Sep11 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Nov15 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 10.00    
BEACHSIDE Sep19 Aug28 Aug07 Jul05 Jun19 (schudlick micha)DAVILA A 122 20.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR Sep18 Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul03 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 27% 2.80    
HONORABLE AVENUE Sep18 Sep05 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 (tasso mark)COA J 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
MASETA Sep27 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul19 (murphy p)PEREZ E 122 12.00    
SCR  GREY INVASION Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
 
FL-7   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMIE'S JEWEL Sep25 Jun27 Nov21 Nov02 Oct18 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
KIERKEGAARD Sep25 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun03 (englehart jeffr)DAVILA R 122 2.00 18% 4.40    
WAHEEL Sep11 Aug14 Jul18 Jun14 Jan12 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
DEVIOUS BANKER Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 (pettine ja)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
CAN'T BEAT ME Sep11 Jul26 Jul03 Jun13 May09 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
C J'S GRAND SLAM Sep25 Sep05 Aug23 Jul31 Oct18 (wright james)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00    
GIMMEDAMONEY Sep11 Aug29 Aug05 Jul18 Jul03 (lecesse michael)COA J 122 6.00    
 
FL-8   10/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU MELODY Sep20 Aug23 Jul24 Jul04 May24 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
BETTY'S SMILE May30 May09 Mar05 Feb18 Jan13 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00    
SABREEN Sep26 Sep06 Jul24 Jul11 Jun21 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
IN TRAFFIC Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jul24 (rivera m)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
ISLE STORM Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 Jun26 May09 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
FLATTERY'S MUSIC Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 (sabine t)ROHENA JR 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
SWEET INVASION Sep26 Sep06 Aug14 Jul31 Jul12 (acquilano james)COA J 124 12.00    
LADY JEAN Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jun23 Jun11 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
BOXED IN AND BORED Sep11 Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  SASSY MELISSA Sep19 Aug18 Jul22 May27 Apr14 (bartlett w)DAVIS A 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.