Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $12.20 $6.20 103%
CT-2   EXA (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $29.00 $17.00 142%
    TRI (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-4-1 $78.20 $54.20 226%
    SFT (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-4-1-5 $255.90 $231.90 966%
    DD (5/7/2)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-7 $52.20 $28.20 118%
CT-4   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $6.80 $0.80 13%
CT-5   TRI (3/9/2/1/7)-(3/9/2/1/7)-(3/9/2/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00  9-3-1 $78.50 $18.50 31%
    DD (4/6/8)-(3/9/2/1/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00  6-9 $38.60 $8.60 29%
CT-6   WIN (2/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    DD (3/9/2/1/7)-(2/3/6/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-3 $46.20 $6.20 16%
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(3/9/2/1/7)-(2/3/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  6-9-3 $114.70 $54.70 91%
CT-9   WIN (8/7/9/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $21.60 $11.60 116%
    EXA (8/7/9/11/12)-(8/7/9/11/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-7 $30.20 $10.20 51%
    DD (8/7/3)-(8/7/9/11/12) 15 $2.00 $30.00  8-8 $36.00 $6.00 20%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:143     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET FACTOR 7 6 1 1   19 1 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00 10% 9.20 5.10 W
SUPERSNAKE 3 3 5 53   4 2 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 10.00 4.20  
LADYNESS 6 5 43 3   39 311¾ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 5.40  
RIDE THE RAPIDS 5 2 33 2   29 412¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.80 58% 0.70 0.60  
ALL THE WAY MAE 4 7 7 7   513½ 516½ (deiter kell)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 25.10  
MAP THE MOMENT 2 4 6 67   718 626¾ (campbell )BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 6% 17.10 34.40  
WICKED SAUCY 1 1 2 4   614½ 736¼ (lane j)CULLUM W 120 20.00 36.70  
 
CT-2   09/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:224 :473       :543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATTI BLUE EYES 7 2 1½     1nk 1¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 12% 7.60 1.80 W
JUJU ON DA BEAT 4 4 5     34 2¼ (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 18.60 17.20 P
IT'S A REAL HONOR 1 8 2½     2nk 3 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.40 50% 1.00 1.20 S
POWER SONDE 5 3 64     56 44 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 5.00 5% 17.40 9.10  
LET'S DO THIS 2 7 32     6 5 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 12.70  
WARRIORINTHEHOUSE 6 5 8     710½ 6 (aylor l)CECIL Y 120 30.00 43.30  
GOLDEN SALLY 8 1 7     812½ 7 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 33.50  
IMINCHARGENOW 3 6 4     4 8 (schottroffe ed)REYNOLDS C 122 6.00 6.30  
 
CT-3   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:15 1:422   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUD BUG 2 1 1nk 11 13 12 1 (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 2.40  
TRANSFER THE FUNDS 5 6 7 66 33 32 2 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 122 6.00 11% 8.10 6.30 P
10  MASTER THIS 10 8 43 45 4 22 3 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 2.50 34% 1.90 1.40 S
URBAN BANDIT 9 4 31 3 23 4 45 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 7.50  
RIGHTEOUS MAN 3 2 54 7 6 510¼ 5 (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 45.50  
ADARA 4 5 8 810½ 79 611¼ 610¼ (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 15% 5.50 12.70  
VOLIERO 6 10 1012¾ 918½ 916½ 817¾ 719 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 19% 4.30 32.40  
TIZBIT 8 3 2nk 21 5 713¼ 822¾ (gillespie a)CULLUM W 119 20.00 38.40  
AKINGISALWAYSKING 1 7 9 1025½ 1029½ 1027¾ 932¼ (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 25.80  
TYLER TIME 7 9 65 56 810½ 919¾ 1043¼ (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 12.70  
 
CT-4   09/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:22 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED SNIPER 6 2 2½     2nk 1¼ (frock charles )ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.80 15% 5.80 2.40 W
STEVETHEVANDRIVER 5 3 1½     1nk 2¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 5.50  
WIDGET FACTORY 2 7 5     5 32 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 13.00  
BIG HAMBONE 7 1 4     35 42 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
DARK HEDGES 4 4 6     6 54 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 55% 0.80 2.50  
FLAMING EAST 1 6 33     4 6 (comi w)HO WESLEY 117 4.50 2.50  
YABBA DABBA DUDE 3 5 712½     710¾ 7 (king yolonda)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 27.00  
SCR  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR               (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 50.00    
 
CT-5   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:151     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S S SPARTAN ENERGY 9 9 86 76   43 1 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 10% 8.80 3.00 W
WINDSOR'S TRACKER 3 1 21 21   11 2 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 3.50 53% 0.90 2.50 P
RED DEVOLUTION 1 3 11 11   3 3 (albright amy)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 5% 17.60 6.10 S
JONES FALLS 4 4 54 5   64 4 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 1.80 3.20  
SPECTACULO 6 2 32 3   21 5 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00 43.10  
10  ONLY GET'N BETTER 10 10 1013½ 1014   10 6 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 118 15.00 50.00  
LUDO 8 7 9 87   86 77 (albright )BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 21.80  
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 2 5 42 4   53 88 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 6% 16.70 4.60  
EISELE 7 6 65 97   9 9 (hummer a)LARROSA G 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 5 8 7 64   75 1010 (bobadilla f)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00 86.40  
 
CT-6   09/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:214 :453       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADVANCE CASH 5 3 2     21 1 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 5% 19.00 1.10 DQ↓6
GOLDEN G 3 7 57     3 2 (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 3.00 10% 8.60 4.90 W
MR TINGLES 7 1 1     11 3 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 6.90  
INSIDE RISK 8 2 6     6 4 (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 28.20  
HEY CONGRATS 6 6 46     4 55 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 8% 12.30 16.20  
COWBOY AT HEART 1 5 8     8 611¾ (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 7.70  
STRETCH THE TRUTH 4 4 3     5 715½ (king yolonda)ADAMS L 113 15.00 59.90  
NITRO TIME 2 8 79     7 817¾ (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 2.50 54% 0.90 3.30  
 
CT-7   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:14     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO DENYING DENIS 6 5 76 7   3 1¼ (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 15.00 14.70  
JUBASLILBALLERINA 8 7 31 3½   1½ 2¼ (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 1.20 33% 2.00 1.80 P
MARINA GRANDE 4 3 1nk 2½   2½ 3½ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 3.00 28% 2.50 1.20 S
SILVER RULES 2 2 52 4   4 4 (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 42.00  
SLEWING 3 4 6 6   6 5 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
LUCKY BOP 5 6 4 5   7 6 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 11% 8.00 6.50  
JACKYSINTHECASTLE 7 8 8 810¼   810¼ 7 (obed-letts ketur)MAWING A 118 15.00 37.10  
LOVE OF GRACE 1 1 2nk 1½   5 8 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00 13.20  
SCR  LONG LEGS LOUISE               (lewis r)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S PARADE 6 5 5 3   13 1 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 54% 0.90 0.80 W
SUMMERTIME ROSE 1 2 11 11   23 2 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 113 5.00 4.80  
HESSICA 5 4 7 6   35 33 (petty krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 23% 3.30 1.90 S
JACK'S LILLY 3 3 21 52   6 413 (bobadilla f)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 5% 19.00 42.40  
10  BOUNDTOBEOK 7 6 4 21   5 515¼ (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 46.00  
SWEET TALIA 4 7 6 78   79 615½ (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00 35.00  
JUBA BABY 2 1 31 42   48 716¾ (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 12.00  
SCR  KATALIMA               (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 20.00    
SCR  LUNATIC (CHI)               (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
SCR  URKILLINGMEBETH               (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
 
CT-9   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:16     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTRAYAL 6 4 75 6   42 1¼ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 121 6.00 38% 1.60 9.80 W
DENIZETTI 5 7 9 5   5 2¼ (sigler g)LARROSA G 121 4.50 15% 5.60 1.40 P
10  COLONIAL ROAD 8 9 64 3.2   1½ 3 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 10.00 22.10  
LAST PARTY 7 5 32 2nk   2½ 43 (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 3.50 11% 8.00 3.60  
11  LORD CLANCY 9 8 1½ 1nk   3½ 5 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 121 12.00 11% 8.50 3.10  
LITTLE RICHIE 3 3 5 7   6 6 (gur battulga)RIVERA JAVIER 121 12.00 12.30  
12  IRISH FLIGHT 10 10 43 8   8 76 (espinosa m)CECIL Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
JUBA'S MOCHA 2 1 85 9   9 811 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 112 12.00 27.50  
RAISE A RUCKUS 1 2 2½ 4   7 912½ (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 8.00 32.60  
GETTIN SPICY 4 6 107 10   1013¼ 1016¼ (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00 33.80  
SCR  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE               (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 2.50    
SCR  SENZA STRIKE               (stehr p)CECIL Y 119 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.