Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-3   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $15.20 $9.20 153%
IND-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.00 $3.00 50%
Simulator Race results
 
IND-1   10/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:14 1:391   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOB SECURITY 1 3 33½ 31 2nk 1½ 11 (esquivel jes)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 1.10  
7  GET THROUGH 6 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 2½ 21 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 8.00 7% 12.60 2.50 P
5  JOHNNY'S MOMENT 4 6 55½ 42 32½ 34 35 (warpool shane)MOJICA O 119 12.00 18.90  
6  WEEKEND IN COURT 5 5 66½ 53½ 56 58 412¼ (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00 52.80  
4  SUBURBAN PRINCE 3 1 1½ 2nk 44 48 514¼ (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 119 1.80 51% 1.00 2.50  
2  GIVE GOD PRAISE 2 4 44½ 64 610½ 613 619½ (bush s)BUSH V 122 3.50 16% 5.10 7.50  
SCR  BLOOMING GARDEN               (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.50    
 
IND-2   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :464 :60     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  I GOTTA BOLT 4 6 78 69   55½ 1¼ (hancock a)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50 5.50  
1  SIGHT TO BEHOLD 1 3 2nk 2nk   12 2¼ (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 125 3.00 63% 0.60 4.20 P
3  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX 3 2 42½ 33   34 31 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 122 5.00 7.30  
5  LIL CARRIE D 5 5 55 57   45½ 42½ (slager mike)HUGHES CARLY 122 4.00 4.50  
7  BRISBANE ROAD 7 1 1nk 1nk   22 53¼ (rechy chaz)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.80 10% 8.70 0.90  
2  CANGUA 2 4 31½ 46   69½ 612 (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
6  ELEGANT MOVES 6 7 65½ 79¼   713½ 715 (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00 29.20  
 
IND-3   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ICICLES 5 6 3.2 2nk   11 1¼ (ennis joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00 3.40 DQ↓2
  (by FROSTED out of HARD TEN HOPPING by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  EMPIRES PRINCESS 4 7 75¾ 75¾   32½ 2¼ (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 24% 3.10 6.60 W
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  STAGE BELL 3 5 63¾ 54¼   54 31½ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.50 8.40  
  (by UNION RAGS out of REHEARSED by TAPIT)
1  ARMY GIRL 1 3 1nk 1nk   43½ 44¾ (wisner )DE CRUZ 122 8.00 15.60  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SHEZA ROUNDER by STAR DABBLER)
2  FLYIN BESSIE 2 4 2nk 3.2   21 54¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.20 45% 1.20 0.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
7  SIMPLY COMPLICATED 7 1 51¾ 64¾   69 611¾ (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 4.50 7% 14.00 20.80  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SASSY SADIE by COLOR BEARER)
6  LITTLE HOT MESS 6 2 4¼ 42¼   79 713 (thompson )BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00 39.70  
  (by ARMY MULE out of FOREVER SUNSHINE by WHITNEY TOWER)
 
IND-4   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EDISTRUDIS 3 5 57½ 56   32 11½ (gutierrez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.00 2.00  
4  ILLUSIVE STAR 2 1 31 2½   1nk 21½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.20 P
8  DESIGNATED 5 4 44½ 43   42¼ 34 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 15.00 22.60  
2  LIFE'S JOY 1 3 11 1½   2nk 47 (mott william)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 1.60 2.50  
7  BALLADRY 4 2 21 3½   55¾ 511¼ (pitts helen)MOJICA O 118 10.00 26% 2.90 7.00  
SCR  AIM HIGHER               (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 30.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN ANGEL               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 121 15.00    
SCR  FOXY ELAINE               (silva miguel)PEREZ A 118 20.00    
 
IND-5   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ACE REPORTER 3 1 11½ 13   13 13½ (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 119 1.60 24% 3.10 3.50 W
2  TU CHA 2 2 42½ 43¼   23 23½ (roussel j)MOJICA O 119 12.00 7.80  
4  ADDICTED TO LOVE 4 6 76¼ 66¼   35½ 35¼ (roggenkamp e)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.50 20% 3.90 3.70 S
5  Z ZS RED 5 5 53½ 55¾   46½ 45¾ (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00 7.20  
1  QUILTER 1 7 63¾ 76¾   57½ 58¼ (granitz)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 3.30  
7  CASTLE MAGIC 7 3 31½ 33   68 610¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 12.00 17.50  
6  ARDIS 6 4 21½ 23   79½ 711½ (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 6.00 16% 5.10 2.60  
 
IND-6   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COLOR FIELD 4 7 77¼ 76¼   64 1½ (bahena ismael)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 15.00 34.50  
3  MALIGATOR 3 6 66¼ 62¼   42 2½ (meraz ant)BERMUDEZ E 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50 P
2  DROP IT 2 1 1nk 2½   2½ 31½ (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 123 8.00 13% 6.60 28.90 S
8  BELLA'S PRAYER 7 5 53¾ 52   53½ 43 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00 15.60  
1  ALL JOKES ASIDE 1 2 2nk 1½   1½ 53¼ (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 5.00 8% 12.20 8.90  
5  SWAGGISH 5 3 3.2 3½   32 63½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50 4.40  
7  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS 6 8 88¾ 89¼   810 710¼ (watkins j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00 20.50  
9  BREAKING NEWS (GB) 8 4 4¾ 41   77 812¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 2.50 53% 0.90 0.50  
SCR  VAMONOS               (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 6.00    
 
IND-7   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:144 1:272   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF 3 6 73½ 61¾ 41½ 12 11½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.00 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LA CANELA by CONGRATS)
2  JUST BE QUIET 2 10 106 83¼ 52 33½ 21½ (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 8.00 14.80  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of QUIET TALK by VALID APPEAL)
10  AARALYN 10 8 84½ 72¾ 62½ 22 34½ (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 15% 5.80 3.30 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WAR OFFICE by WAR FRONT)
6  ISLE OF HOPE 6 9 95 104¾ 74½ 67 47¾ (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 14% 6.00 4.00  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
1  TWILIGHT SONATA 1 5 42 3.2 1nk 45 511 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 39.20  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of IM CRUISING DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
4  FOURFIFTYSEVEN 4 2 11 1nk 2nk 55 612 (hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 46.10  
  (by ENTICED out of HAT BOX by STREET CRY (IRE))
9  LADY JUNE 9 7 52 4¾ 31 79½ 715 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 20.00 48.80  
  (by TAPITURE out of LADY DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
7  HOLIDAY ROAD (ARG) 7 3 63 94¾ 87½ 810 815½ (mott william)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEVENTH STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  SACRED CONNECTION 5 1 31½ 2nk 910½ 925 937¾ (ennis john)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 17.20  
  (by CONNECT out of SACRED LUNA by MALIBU MOON)
8  BLUESUP GREENSDOWN 8 4 21 51¼ 1012 1028 1043 (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00 5% 19.00 83.80  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of PATRIOT STORM by BERNARDINI)
SCR  DON'T TOUCH               (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of COSTELA by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
IND-8   10/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:13 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C F V TEXAS RED 1 1 1nk 1nk 1½ 14 16¾ (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 2.00  
3  BRIGHT BRIAN 3 2 2nk 2nk 2½ 24 26¾ (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 12.00 10% 9.10 5.90 P
8  LOOKIN AT JUSTICE 8 5 66½ 56½ 54 34 37¾ (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 112 8.00 12.20  
2  TOUR THE MOON 2 3 78½ 89¾ 65 45½ 48½ (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 4.50 20% 4.10 5.40  
4  FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL 4 8 88¾ 66¾ 42 55¾ 510¼ (fosdick stev)RAMOS D 119 2.50 3.80  
6  J'S NAUGHTY BOY 6 6 43 33 32 68¾ 616¼ (davis jos)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 6.00 16% 5.40 8.80  
5  ROYAL ICING 5 4 55½ 77¾ 88 711¾ 718 (cook brian)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00 26.20  
7  BOLD BIZNESS 7 7 32 45 76 812¼ 818¼ (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 3.50 25% 3.00 4.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.