Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(1/7/2)-(2/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(2/4/7)-(4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(4/7)-(3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/7)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(3/4/6)-(9/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(9/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(9/2/1/3)-(3/10/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-6   WIN (9/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/3)-(9/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/3)-(9/2/1/3)-(9/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/1/3)-(3/10/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/3)-(3/10/6/7/8)-(7/2/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-7   WIN (3/10/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/6/7/8)-(3/10/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/6/7/8)-(3/10/6/7/8)-(3/10/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/6/7/8)-(7/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOB SECURITY Oct18 Sep27 Aug20 Aug06 Jun24 (esquivel jes)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
GIVE GOD PRAISE Oct03 Aug31 Aug03 Jul19 Jun23 (bush s)BUSH V 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  BLOOMING GARDEN Aug20 Aug03 Jun25 Jun04 May18 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.50    
SUBURBAN PRINCE Oct07 Sep02 Jul21 Jul06 Jun07 (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 119 1.80 51% 1.00    
JOHNNY'S MOMENT Oct03 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 119 12.00    
WEEKEND IN COURT Sep14 Jul19 May16 Apr25 Apr18 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
GET THROUGH Oct18 Sep19 Aug27 Jul31 Jun02 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
 
IND-2   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGHT TO BEHOLD         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 125 3.00 63% 0.60    
CANGUA Oct19 Aug19 Jul30 Dec29   (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
I GOTTA BOLT Sep05 Aug11 Jul31 Jul08 Jun15 (hancock a)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50    
LIL CARRIE D Oct03 Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 Jul16 (slager mike)HUGHES CARLY 122 4.00    
ELEGANT MOVES Aug26 Aug11       (pittman bon)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
BRISBANE ROAD Oct17 Sep05 Aug03 Jun27 Jun08 (rechy chaz)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.80 10% 8.70    
 
IND-3   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY GIRL Oct05 Sep14 May20     (wisner )DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SHEZA ROUNDER by STAR DABBLER)
FLYIN BESSIE Oct05 Apr22 Mar11 Feb25 Jan29 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
STAGE BELL Sep17 Aug29 Aug01 Jun15 Jun03 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of REHEARSED by TAPIT)
EMPIRES PRINCESS Sep07         (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ICICLES Oct07 Dec19 Nov24     (ennis joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of HARD TEN HOPPING by ROCK HARD TEN)
LITTLE HOT MESS Sep27 Sep14 Jun14 May20 Apr23 (thompson )BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of FOREVER SUNSHINE by WHITNEY TOWER)
SIMPLY COMPLICATED Oct05 Sep14 Aug28 Aug01 Jul18 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 4.50 7% 14.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SASSY SADIE by COLOR BEARER)
 
IND-4   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOXY ELAINE Sep25 Aug15 Jul09 May20   (silva miguel)PEREZ A 118 20.00    
LIFE'S JOY Oct12 Aug26 Jul23     (mott william)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 1.60    
SCR  AIM HIGHER Oct09 Sep13 Aug15 Jul19 Jun21 (elliott mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 30.00    
ILLUSIVE STAR Sep18         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
EDISTRUDIS Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jun10   (gutierrez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN ANGEL Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 121 15.00    
BALLADRY Oct09 Aug29 Aug08     (pitts helen)MOJICA O 118 10.00 26% 2.90    
DESIGNATED Oct09 Sep13 Aug31 Jul07 Jun21 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 15.00    
 
IND-5   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUILTER Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 Aug13 Jul13 (granitz)DE CRUZ 119 3.00    
TU CHA Oct04 Aug26 Jun22 Jun08 May06 (roussel j)MOJICA O 119 12.00    
ACE REPORTER Oct05 Sep05 Aug15 Jun10 May29 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 119 1.60 24% 3.10    
ADDICTED TO LOVE Oct05 Sep21 Aug26 Aug02 Jul13 (roggenkamp e)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
Z ZS RED Oct23 Oct05 Aug26 Aug15 Jul13 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
ARDIS Oct10 Aug02 Jul15 Jun29 Apr19 (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 6.00 16% 5.10    
CASTLE MAGIC Sep25 Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 12.00    
 
IND-6   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL JOKES ASIDE Sep30 Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Jul13 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 5.00 8% 12.20    
DROP IT Sep01 Aug12 Jul26 Jul01 Jun01 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
MALIGATOR Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May21 Sep23 (meraz ant)BERMUDEZ E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
COLOR FIELD Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 Jul14 Jun16 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
SWAGGISH Oct12 Aug18 Jun22 Mar12 Feb18 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
SCR  VAMONOS Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 6.00    
HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Sep27 Aug17 Aug10 Jun07   (watkins j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
BELLA'S PRAYER Oct11 May16 Apr18 Jan22 Nov23 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00    
BREAKING NEWS (GB) Oct09 Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 Oct02 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
IND-7   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT SONATA Oct08 Sep02       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of IM CRUISING DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
JUST BE QUIET Aug31 Aug02       (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 8.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of QUIET TALK by VALID APPEAL)
WEE BIT O MISCHIEF Sep20 Aug11 Jul16 Jun10   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LA CANELA by CONGRATS)
FOURFIFTYSEVEN Oct12         (hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
  (by ENTICED out of HAT BOX by STREET CRY (IRE))
SACRED CONNECTION         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SACRED LUNA by MALIBU MOON)
ISLE OF HOPE Sep20 Aug04 Jul09     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 14% 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
HOLIDAY ROAD (ARG) Oct11 Aug29 Aug06     (mott william)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEVENTH STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
BLUESUP GREENSDOWN Oct03 Aug31       (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of PATRIOT STORM by BERNARDINI)
LADY JUNE Sep06         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of LADY DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
10  AARALYN Sep23 Sep02 Aug11     (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WAR OFFICE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  DON'T TOUCH         (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of COSTELA by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
IND-8   10/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F V TEXAS RED Oct12 Sep13 Jul03 Jun10 Nov11 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 6.00    
TOUR THE MOON Oct12 Sep27 Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
BRIGHT BRIAN Sep26 Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 12.00 10% 9.10    
FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug01 Jul15 (fosdick stev)RAMOS D 119 2.50    
ROYAL ICING Aug01 May08 Apr18 Nov03 Sep26 (cook brian)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00    
J'S NAUGHTY BOY Oct10 Sep28 Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 (davis jos)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
BOLD BIZNESS Sep13 Aug29 Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
LOOKIN AT JUSTICE Oct12 Sep26 Jun21 May25 Nov22 (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 112 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.