Handicappers' Racing Form

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Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

IND-1   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
IND-2   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
IND-3   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
IND-4   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
IND-5   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
IND-6   Win (9/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
IND-7   Win (3/10/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
IND-8   Win (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
IND-1   10/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOB SECURITY Oct18 Sep27 Aug20 Aug06 Jun24 (esquivel jesus)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
GIVE GOD PRAISE Oct03 Aug31 Aug03 Jul19 Jun23 (bush s)BUSH V 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  BLOOMING GARDEN Aug20 Aug03 Jun25 Jun04 May18 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.50    
SUBURBAN PRINCE Oct07 Sep02 Jul21 Jul06 Jun07 (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 119 1.80 51% 1.00    
JOHNNY'S MOMENT Oct03 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 119 12.00    
WEEKEND IN COURT Sep14 Jul19 May16 Apr25 Apr18 (davis d)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
GET THROUGH Oct18 Sep19 Aug27 Jul31 Jun02 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
 
IND-2   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGHT TO BEHOLD         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 125 3.00 63% 0.60    
CANGUA Oct19 Aug19 Jul30 Dec29   (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
I GOTTA BOLT Sep05 Aug11 Jul31 Jul08 Jun15 (hancock a)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50    
LIL CARRIE D Oct03 Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 Jul16 (slager mike)HUGHES CARLY 122 4.00    
ELEGANT MOVES Aug26 Aug11       (pittman bonni)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
BRISBANE ROAD Oct17 Sep05 Aug03 Jun27 Jun08 (rechy chaz)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 1.80 10% 8.70    
 
IND-3   10/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY GIRL Oct05 Sep14 May20     (wisner tr)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
FLYIN BESSIE Oct05 Apr22 Mar11 Feb25 Jan29 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
STAGE BELL Sep17 Aug29 Aug01 Jun15 Jun03 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.50    
EMPIRES PRINCESS Sep07         (stewart dal)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
ICICLES Oct07 Dec19 Nov24     (ennis john)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
LITTLE HOT MESS Sep27 Sep14 Jun14 May20 Apr23 (thompson er)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
SIMPLY COMPLICATED Oct05 Sep14 Aug28 Aug01 Jul18 (mullins scott )BURGOS ALBERTO 125 4.50 7% 14.00    
 
IND-4   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOXY ELAINE Sep25 Aug15 Jul09 May20   (silva miguel)PEREZ A 118 20.00    
LIFE'S JOY Oct12 Aug26 Jul23     (mott i)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 1.60    
SCR  AIM HIGHER Oct09 Sep13 Aug15 Jul19 Jun21 (elliott mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 30.00    
ILLUSIVE STAR Sep18         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
EDISTRUDIS Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jun10   (gutierrez f)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN ANGEL Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 121 15.00    
BALLADRY Oct09 Aug29 Aug08     (pitts helen)MOJICA O 118 10.00 26% 2.90    
DESIGNATED Oct09 Sep13 Aug31 Jul07 Jun21 (elliott michell)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 15.00    
 
IND-5   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUILTER Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 Aug13 Jul13 (granitz a)DE CRUZ 119 3.00    
TU CHA Oct04 Aug26 Jun22 Jun08 May06 (roussel j)MOJICA O 119 12.00    
ACE REPORTER Oct05 Sep05 Aug15 Jun10 May29 (klopp randy)BERMUDEZ E 119 1.60 24% 3.10    
ADDICTED TO LOVE Oct05 Sep21 Aug26 Aug02 Jul13 (roggenkamp ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
Z ZS RED Oct23 Oct05 Aug26 Aug15 Jul13 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
ARDIS Oct10 Aug02 Jul15 Jun29 Apr19 (eggleston t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 6.00 16% 5.10    
CASTLE MAGIC Sep25 Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 12.00    
 
IND-6   10/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL JOKES ASIDE Sep30 Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Jul13 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 5.00 8% 12.20    
DROP IT Sep01 Aug12 Jul26 Jul01 Jun01 (edwards william)ELLIOTT JANE 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
MALIGATOR Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May21 Sep23 (meraz anton)BERMUDEZ E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
COLOR FIELD Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 Jul14 Jun16 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
SWAGGISH Oct12 Aug18 Jun22 Mar12 Feb18 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
SCR  VAMONOS Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 6.00    
HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Sep27 Aug17 Aug10 Jun07   (watkins jam)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
BELLA'S PRAYER Oct11 May16 Apr18 Jan22 Nov23 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00    
BREAKING NEWS (GB) Oct09 Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 Oct02 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
IND-7   10/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 5:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT SONATA Oct08 Sep02       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00    
JUST BE QUIET Aug31 Aug02       (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 8.00    
WEE BIT O MISCHIEF Sep20 Aug11 Jul16 Jun10   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
FOURFIFTYSEVEN Oct12         (hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
SACRED CONNECTION         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
ISLE OF HOPE Sep20 Aug04 Jul09     (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 14% 6.00    
HOLIDAY ROAD (ARG) Oct11 Aug29 Aug06     (mott i)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BLUESUP GREENSDOWN Oct03 Aug31       (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
LADY JUNE Sep06         (west w)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 20.00    
10  AARALYN Sep23 Sep02 Aug11     (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  DON'T TOUCH         (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00    
 
IND-8   10/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F V TEXAS RED Oct12 Sep13 Jul03 Jun10 Nov11 (gonzale)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 6.00    
TOUR THE MOON Oct12 Sep27 Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
BRIGHT BRIAN Sep26 Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 12.00 10% 9.10    
FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug01 Jul15 (fosdick steve)RAMOS D 119 2.50    
ROYAL ICING Aug01 May08 Apr18 Nov03 Sep26 (cook brian)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00    
J'S NAUGHTY BOY Oct10 Sep28 Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 (davis josep)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
BOLD BIZNESS Sep13 Aug29 Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
LOOKIN AT JUSTICE Oct12 Sep26 Jun21 May25 Nov22 (green darlene)BAYS BROOKE 112 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.