Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-3   WIN (9/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (9/1/6)-(9/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  9-6 $45.00 $33.00 275%
    DD (4/6)-(9/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-9 $18.00 $6.00 50%
    PK3 (1/8/9/5)-(4/6)-(9/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1/6-4-9 $16.40 $4.40 37%
IND-5   TRI (11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-11-1 $13.75 $1.75 15%
    SFT (11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-11-1-7 $7.14 $4.74 198%
IND-6   WIN (5/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $18.40 $10.40 130%
    EXA (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-8 $83.60 $59.60 248%
    TRI (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-8-3 $73.60 $61.60 513%
    DD (11/3/1/7)-(5/8/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  3-2 $64.80 $32.80 103%
IND-8   WIN (6/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $12.00 $6.00 100%
Simulator Race results
 
IND-1   09/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 2 F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:001     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FESSY 1 1 1nk 12   13 15½ (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80 37% 1.70 1.70 W
3  POP CHART 3 3 31 33   23 25½ (hernandez re)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 6.00 12.80  
4  PRETTY VEGAS 4 2 2nk 22   33 36 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 8.00 9.10  
5  SKINDY DIPPER 5 6 66½ 614   67¾ 46¼ (martin dawn)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00 10% 9.20 12.50  
2  GREEN CHILE 2 7 43 45   44½ 56½ (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 110 3.00 9.00  
8  RUBY GIRL 7 5 55½ 510   57½ 68¼ (garcia )DE CRUZ 117 12.00 10% 9.20 6.40  
7  POISED PRINCESS 6 8 813 819   710¾ 711¾ (lynch a)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 2.00  
9  SWEET ENCHANTMENT 8 4 78 717   815¾ 818 (hernandez r)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 15.00 10% 9.20 21.90  
SCR  IT'S ON               (martin dawn)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
 
IND-2   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BAD BOY GEIST 4 2 43 31½   21 11¼ (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 1.60 66% 0.50 0.60 W
3  BOLSHIE 3 3 11½ 1½   11 21¼ (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 118 4.50 5.60  
2  BINGE 2 1 21½ 2½   31 34 (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 5.00 5.90  
5  SECRETO DE AMORE 5 5 54½ 54   46 46¼ (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 3.00 ★ 10.90  
6  BRENTSPENCE 6 6 67½ 68   57½ 510¾ (langemeier j)RAMOS D 122 6.00 9% 10.60 4.20  
1  INDIGO RICH 1 4 31½ 42½   67¾ 615½ (riley donna)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 10.00 33.90  
 
IND-3   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:253 :501 1:143 1:41   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LIGEIA 6 3 51¾ 31 2½ 1nk 1hd (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 28% 2.60 4.00 W
6  DAWN 3 2 41½ 51¼ 42½ 2nk 2hd (mackey wa)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00 24% 3.20 4.60 P
7  CINDERELLA STORY 4 4 21 2nk 1½ 3½ 34¼ (paquett)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 1.50  
8  MORNING ANGEL 5 7 62¼ 61½ 3½ 4¾ 47¼ (richardville)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 11.80  
1  SPLIT DECISION 1 1 31½ 41¼ 66 63¾ 59 (ewing a)HEARD TYLER 122 6.00 24% 3.10 8.60  
2  HALO OF FIRE 2 6 73¾ 73½ 55 53¾ 69¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 3.30  
13  GOTTA B KITTEN ME 7 5 11 1nk 76¼ 76¾ 715½ (paye jose)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 15.00 21.10  
SCR  GRACIE'S KITTEN               (maker michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 4.50    
SCR  IN OPEN COURT               (kendall)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
SCR  LITTLE GIA               (vaccarezza)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00    
SCR  OH POLLYANNA               (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 3.50    
SCR  SANGFROID               (irion heather)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
SCR  SWIFT TEMPLE               (wisner trace)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 30.00    
SCR  TWO WORDS               (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 5.00    
 
IND-4   09/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:224 :471 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RAFAELLA 3 6 22½ 1nk   16 114½ (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 1.00 52% 0.90 0.60 W
  (by TAPRIZE out of CROSSED by ANTHONY'S CROSS)
7  LOTTA LATTE 7 3 44 4¾   39 214½ (patrick r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 37.30  
  (by QAFEEF out of JONES ZING by SMARTY JONES)
5  TOUCHDOWN PASS 5 5 76¼ 52¾   59¼ 316 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 18% 4.50 2.90 S
  (by PASS RUSH out of NORA'S SONG by WAR CHANT)
4  EYE SHADOW 4 1 12½ 2nk   26 417 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 10.00 5.00  
  (by STORM'S EYE out of PERFECT LIST by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
1  JELLO BEAN 1 2 33½ 3½   49 523 (mullins scot)MORALES JOSHUA 120 15.00 9% 10.00 15.60  
  (by ELNAAWI out of NO CLOSURE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  ROSAS FOR LUZ 2 7 66 63¾   610¾ 623¾ (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00 39.80  
  (by SKYLORD out of VIENNA ROSE by DISCREET CAT)
6  SAME O SAME O 6 8 87¼ 84¾   715¾ 730½ (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00 16.50  
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of RING RING RING by PETIONVILLE)
8  EURCOOL 8 4 54 73¾   816¼ 831½ (livers char)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 20.00 55.80  
  (by EUROPE out of COOL CORREDOR by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  LUNA DIVA               (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 30.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of THEMOONANDTHESTARS by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SKY MY LADY               (medina tomas)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of KINGDOM GIFT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
IND-5   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:14 1:414   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS QUEST 3 5 22 22 11½ 11½ 1½ (morey e)FELIX E 120 6.00 15% 5.50 1.80 W
  (by NYQUIST out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
11  SKYVIEW DRIVE 7 3 66½ 76½ 43½ 21½ 2½ (heath desti)PETERSON FERRIN 120 2.00 56% 0.80 2.70 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
1  EASTERN MARKET 1 2 35 33½ 21½ 35½ 310 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 4.50 5% 18.00 3.90 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FROM AFAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  STARLIT SOFI 5 1 56 45 33½ 46 412¼ (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
  (by OUTWORK out of MISS SOPHIA'S STAR by CONGRATS)
10  GIRL GOODBYE 6 4 46 55½ 53¾ 57 513 (lobo pa)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 3.80  
  (by STREET SENSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  VIVID EXPOSURE 4 6 12 12 65¾ 714 629 (caramori edu)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 18.90  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
2  YANIRA 2 7 78½ 66½ 75¾ 612 730¼ (cros)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00 47.50  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BOAT'S GHOST by SILVER GHOST)
SCR  APPLE EVER AFTER               (leitch da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MY MCINTOSH by PULPIT)
SCR  JUNGLE CAT               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE)               (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ADHWAA by DAAHER)
SCR  RENDEZVOUS               (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 120 30.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of GREEN EYED CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  SRI LANKA               (walsh brenda)CARROLL DECLAN 120 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  WARWOMAN               (torres concepcion)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LITTLE RIVER by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
IND-6   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUST HANGIN ON 2 8 54½ 36½   21 1¾ (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 18.10 8.20 W
  (by ALTERNATION out of TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  UP THE ODDS 7 6 65 69½   42½ 2¾ (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00 17% 4.80 2.90 P
  (by UPSTART out of SHES DANGEROUS by FOREST DANGER)
3  WATCHER 3 3 11½ 13½   11 31¾ (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 10.00 12% 7.70 1.70 S
  (by TAPITURE out of CADILLAC KELLY by EL PRADO (IRE))
10  CHANNAH DEL MAR 8 1 43½ 47½   55 47¼ (patrick ga)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00 11.90  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of VISTA DEL MAR by DEPUTY MINISTER)
5  FORCE LUCKY 5 2 21½ 23½   32½ 57½ (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 3.50 41% 1.40 3.00  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SAINTLY SPIRIT by EL PRADO (IRE))
1  LILAH B 1 4 32 57½   612 619¼ (raper ron)MOJICA O 120 20.00 26.50  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of MOON MINING by ORB)
7  LUCY THE GOOSE 6 7 89 816   814¼ 720 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 9.10  
  (by GORMLEY out of BENNY'S GIRL by THE DEPUTY (IRE))
4  MORNING REFLECTION 4 5 77 715½   714 820¼ (patrick ga)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00 31.60  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DUCHESS ANNIE by FAST BULLET)
SCR  LADY ARTIST               (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LADY TEMPLE by TEMPLE CITY)
SCR  PEWTER'S PROMISE               (lauer michae)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 1.80    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PRIZE WINNER by PURE PRIZE)
 
IND-7   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:141 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERSATILE 1 6 21 31 31½ 12 13½ (garcia isr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 124 6.00 5.60  
8  TOPF ROAD RULES 6 3 51¼ 42½ 43½ 43 23½ (hammond kim)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 8.50  
2  TOO BAD JUSTICE 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 22 35¾ (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00 66% 0.50 1.20 S
3  JERICHO EXPRESS 3 4 31 2½ 2½ 32 46 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
10  J'S NAUGHTY BOY 8 8 63¼ 84¼ 54 55 58¾ (davis d)PRESCOTT R 115 10.00 18.70  
11  CELERITY 9 9 73½ 64 64½ 65¼ 610 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 ★ 4.50  
9  KING SOCIAL 7 7 86½ 53 75½ 76¼ 710¼ (wisner )DE CRUZ 119 15.00 24.30  
4  INHERENT POWERS 4 2 41¼ 74 85½ 86¾ 812 (livers char)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 10.00 7% 13.00 9.20  
6  HOUSED 5 5 96½ 97¼ 98½ 918¾ 937½ (davis christ)RAMOS D 118 15.00 15.40  
SCR  COMMAND CENTRAL               (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
SCR  JURA               (meah m)HEARD TYLER 122 4.50    
SCR  NILES CHANNEL               (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
SCR  ROCKIN JUSTICE               (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 3.50    
 
IND-8   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:14 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FLYING SAMURAI 5 3 2½ 2nk 1nk 12½ 11¼ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.50 48% 1.10 5.00 W
2  BOOGIE BODE 2 5 3½ 1nk 3½ 22½ 21¼ (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 111 20.00 11.70  
7  VINTAGE VINYL 6 4 41½ 51¼ 41½ 44 36½ (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.80 ★ 2.30 S
8  BATUKHAN (IRE) 7 7 51¾ 3.2 2nk 34 49 (vanden britta)MOJICA O 122 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40  
3  OFFSHORE TITHE 3 1 79¾ 79¼ 67¾ 610 512¾ (silva miguel)PEREZ A 118 15.00 11.50  
5  CHARLIE WHISKEY 4 6 63¾ 61¼ 51¾ 58 612¾ (stinson)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 5.90  
1  PERJURY 1 2 1½ 4¾ 77¾ 717 737½ (cross ken)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 6.00 19.60  
SCR  SAILOR'S CHANCE               (miller kenny)RAMOS D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.