Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (1/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/9)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/9)-(4/6)-(9/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(9/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(9/1/6)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (9/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/6)-(9/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1/6)-(9/1/6)-(9/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/1/6)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6)-(3/5/1/2)-(11/3/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(11/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/2)-(11/3/1/7)-(5/8/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-5   WIN (11/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7)-(11/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/3/1/7)-(5/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/3/1/7)-(5/8/3/2)-(2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-6   WIN (5/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2)-(5/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/2)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/2)-(2/4/3)-(6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/11/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/11/3)-(2/4/11/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
IND-8   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/8)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   09/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 2 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FESSY Sep11         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
2  GREEN CHILE May19 Apr13       (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 110 3.00    
3  POP CHART Sep11         (hernandez re)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 6.00    
4  PRETTY VEGAS Sep11 Aug28 Aug02 Jul07 Jun08 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 8.00    
5  SKINDY DIPPER         (martin da)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 15.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  IT'S ON Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01   (martin dawn)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
7  POISED PRINCESS         (lynch a)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
8  RUBY GIRL         (garcia )DE CRUZ 117 12.00 10% 9.20    
9  SWEET ENCHANTMENT         (hernandez r)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 15.00 10% 9.20    
 
IND-2   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIGO RICH Sep14 Aug11 Jul15 Jun29 Jun20 (riley donna)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 10.00    
2  BINGE Sep14 Jun20 May22 May03 Jun09 (garcia )DE CRUZ 119 5.00    
3  BOLSHIE Sep06 Aug15 Nov22 Nov03   (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 118 4.50    
4  BAD BOY GEIST Aug30 Aug02 Jul08 Jun21 May30 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 1.60 66% 0.50    
5  SECRETO DE AMORE Sep13 Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 Jun24 (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 3.00 ★    
6  BRENTSPENCE Sep09 Aug16 Aug05 Jul05 May10 (langemeier j)RAMOS D 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
 
IND-3   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLIT DECISION Aug18 Jul26 Jul06 Jun08 Mar02 (ewing a)HEARD TYLER 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  HALO OF FIRE Aug18 Jul16 Jun24 May20 Apr08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00    
SCR  GRACIE'S KITTEN Aug29 Aug05 Jul29 Jul12 Apr16 (maker michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 4.50    
SCR  OH POLLYANNA Aug31 Aug05 Jul11 Jun17 Feb16 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 3.50    
SCR  TWO WORDS Aug22 Aug01 Jul08 Jun03 Feb08 (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 5.00    
6  DAWN Jul05 Jun10 Oct30 Sep18 Aug13 (mackey wa)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
7  CINDERELLA STORY Aug22 Aug05 Jul20 Jun20 May16 (paquett)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
8  MORNING ANGEL Aug31 Aug05 Jul06 Jun20 May23 (richardville)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
9  LIGEIA Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  SANGFROID Aug23 Aug02 Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 (irion heather)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
SCR  LITTLE GIA Sep05 Aug01 Jun08 Apr09 Mar31 (vaccarezza)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00    
SCR  IN OPEN COURT Sep03 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 (kendall)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
13  GOTTA B KITTEN ME Sep04 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jun11 (paye jose)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 15.00    
SCR  SWIFT TEMPLE Sep14 Aug19 Jul21 May22 May09 (wisner trace)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 30.00    
 
IND-4   09/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JELLO BEAN         (mullins scot)MORALES JOSHUA 120 15.00 9% 10.00    
  (by ELNAAWI out of NO CLOSURE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  ROSAS FOR LUZ Sep07 Aug11 Jul06 Jun10   (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of VIENNA ROSE by DISCREET CAT)
3  RAFAELLA Sep06 Aug11 Jul20 Jul06   (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 1.00 52% 0.90    
  (by TAPRIZE out of CROSSED by ANTHONY'S CROSS)
4  EYE SHADOW Sep07         (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 10.00    
  (by STORM'S EYE out of PERFECT LIST by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
5  TOUCHDOWN PASS         (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by PASS RUSH out of NORA'S SONG by WAR CHANT)
6  SAME O SAME O Sep07         (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 120 20.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of RING RING RING by PETIONVILLE)
7  LOTTA LATTE Sep19 Sep07 Aug16 Jul20   (patrick r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of JONES ZING by SMARTY JONES)
8  EURCOOL Sep07 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 (livers char)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 20.00    
  (by EUROPE out of COOL CORREDOR by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  LUNA DIVA Sep07 Jul06       (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 30.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of THEMOONANDTHESTARS by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SKY MY LADY Sep07 Aug16 Jul20     (medina tomas)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of KINGDOM GIFT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
IND-5   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTERN MARKET Aug10         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 4.50 5% 18.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FROM AFAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  YANIRA Jul08 Jun17 May20 Sep03   (cros)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BOAT'S GHOST by SILVER GHOST)
3  MISS QUEST Aug28 Aug08 Jul08 Sep30   (morey e)FELIX E 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
SCR  WARWOMAN Sep13 Oct15 Sep17 Aug06 Jul02 (torres concepcion)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LITTLE RIVER by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE) Sep17 Aug17       (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ADHWAA by DAAHER)
6  VIVID EXPOSURE Sep02 Oct26 Oct04 Sep19 Aug15 (caramori edu)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
7  STARLIT SOFI Oct29 Oct16 Sep16     (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MISS SOPHIA'S STAR by CONGRATS)
SCR  JUNGLE CAT Sep07 Jul31 Feb11     (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
SCR  RENDEZVOUS Sep02 Aug01       (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 120 30.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of GREEN EYED CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  GIRL GOODBYE         (lobo pa)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  SKYVIEW DRIVE May29 Mar26 Feb19 Jan04 Sep24 (heath desti)PETERSON FERRIN 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  APPLE EVER AFTER Aug24 Aug05 Nov10 Oct06   (leitch da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MY MCINTOSH by PULPIT)
SCR  SRI LANKA Sep07 Jun29 May29 Jan29 Dec11 (walsh brenda)CARROLL DECLAN 120 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
IND-6   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILAH B         (raper ron)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of MOON MINING by ORB)
2  JUST HANGIN ON         (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 5% 18.10    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  WATCHER Sep08         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 10.00 12% 7.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of CADILLAC KELLY by EL PRADO (IRE))
4  MORNING REFLECTION         (patrick ga)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DUCHESS ANNIE by FAST BULLET)
5  FORCE LUCKY Sep08 Aug19       (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SAINTLY SPIRIT by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  PEWTER'S PROMISE Jul21         (lauer michae)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 1.80    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PRIZE WINNER by PURE PRIZE)
7  LUCY THE GOOSE Aug19         (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of BENNY'S GIRL by THE DEPUTY (IRE))
8  UP THE ODDS         (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by UPSTART out of SHES DANGEROUS by FOREST DANGER)
SCR  LADY ARTIST Sep08         (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 15.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LADY TEMPLE by TEMPLE CITY)
10  CHANNAH DEL MAR Sep08 Aug19       (patrick ga)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of VISTA DEL MAR by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
IND-7   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERSATILE Sep12 Aug28 Aug11 Jul12 Jun17 (garcia isr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 124 6.00    
2  TOO BAD JUSTICE Aug09 Jul15 Jun07 Apr26 Nov15 (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00 66% 0.50    
3  JERICHO EXPRESS Sep07 Aug01 Jul15 May24 Apr18 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  INHERENT POWERS Sep05 Aug16 Jul29 Jul05 Jun08 (livers char)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 10.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  ROCKIN JUSTICE Sep07 Aug03 Jul19 May24 Oct20 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 3.50    
6  HOUSED Sep07 Aug27 Feb02 Dec03 Oct29 (davis christ)RAMOS D 118 15.00    
SCR  JURA Sep07 Jun20 May18 Apr21 Mar30 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 122 4.50    
8  TOPF ROAD RULES Sep07 Aug28 Aug11 Jul06 May31 (hammond kim)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
9  KING SOCIAL Sep11 Aug16 Jul15 May16 Jan14 (wisner )DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
10  J'S NAUGHTY BOY Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 Jun13 May30 (davis d)PRESCOTT R 115 10.00    
11  CELERITY Sep07 Aug11 Jul06 May20 Apr13 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  NILES CHANNEL Aug28 Jul19 Mar10 Jan22 Dec17 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
SCR  COMMAND CENTRAL Sep15 Aug27 Aug09 Aug03 Jun25 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
 
IND-8   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERJURY Sep17 Aug09 Jun24 Feb17 Jan17 (cross r)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00    
2  BOOGIE BODE Aug17 Jun17 May29 May08   (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 111 20.00    
3  OFFSHORE TITHE Jul06 Jun22 Jun07 May05 Apr23 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 118 15.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S CHANCE Sep12 Aug17 Jul23 Jul10 Jun17 (miller kenny)RAMOS D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHARLIE WHISKEY Sep12 Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 May21 (stinson)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
6  FLYING SAMURAI Sep11 Aug30 Jul19 Jun22 Jun04 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
7  VINTAGE VINYL Aug11 Jul12 May24 May08 Apr27 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.80 ★    
8  BATUKHAN (IRE) Sep12 Jul21 May12 Apr01 Mar09 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.