tbrs_res_20230828.prm.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Handicappers' Race Results

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Prairie Meadows
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager		Pick										Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay		Pay		Profit/
			Type		Numbers										Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit		Amt		Loss

PRM-4			Win		(1/3)										2		$2.00	$4.00	4	1		0	$4.40				-4.00
			Exacta		(1/3)-(1/3)										2		$2.00	$4.00	4-2	2		0	$9.00				-4.00
			Trifecta		NO BET										0		$0.50	$0.00	4-2-5	3		0	$9.80				0.00
PRM-5			Win		(2/5)										2		$2.00	$4.00	2	1		1	$3.60		$3.60		-0.40
			Exacta		(2/5)-(2/5)										2		$2.00	$4.00	2-3	2		0	$9.80				-4.00
			Daily Double		(2/5)-(2/5)										4		$2.00	$8.00	4-2	2		0	$5.40				-8.00
PRM-6			Win		(3/5)										2		$2.00	$4.00	3	1		1	$2.60		$2.60		-1.40
			Exacta		(3/5)-(3/5)										2		$2.00	$4.00	3-5	2		1	$5.80		$5.80		1.80
			Trifecta		NO BET										0		$0.50	$0.00	3-5-2	3		0	$3.95				0.00
			Daily Double		(3/5)-(3/5)										4		$2.00	$8.00	2-3	2		0	$7.00				-8.00
			Pick Three		(3/5)-(3/5)-(3/5)										8		$0.50	$4.00	4-1/2-3	3		0	$4.30				-4.00
PRM-7			Win		(6/4/5)										3		$2.00	$6.00	6	1		1	$18.80		$18.80		12.80
			Exacta		(6/4/5)-(6/4/5)										6		$2.00	$12.00	6-5	2		1	$151.20		$151.20		139.20
			Trifecta		(6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5)										6		$0.50	$3.00	6-5-2	3		0	$168.30				-3.00
			Daily Double		(6/4/5)-(6/4/5)										9		$2.00	$18.00	3-6	2		0	$34.40				-18.00
			Pick Three		(6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5)										27		$0.50	$13.50	1/2-3-6	3		0	$20.00				-13.50
PRM-8			Win		(5/1/3)										3		$2.00	$6.00	4	1		0	$6.00				-6.00
			Exacta		(5/1/3)-(5/1/3)										6		$2.00	$12.00	4-5	2		0	$16.00				-12.00
			Trifecta		(5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3)										6		$0.50	$3.00	4-5-2	3		0	$11.75				-3.00
			Daily Double		(5/1/3)-(5/1/3)										9		$2.00	$18.00	6-4	2		0	$62.60				-18.00
			Pick Three		(5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3)										27		$0.50	$13.50	3-6-4	3		0	$38.85				-13.50
PRM-9			Win		(3/1/4)										3		$2.00	$6.00	6	1		0	$26.20				-6.00
			Exacta		(3/1/4)-(3/1/4)										6		$2.00	$12.00	6-1	2		0	$97.80				-12.00
			Trifecta		(3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4)										6		$0.50	$3.00	6-1-3	3		0	$55.60				-3.00
			Daily Double		(3/1/4)-(3/1/4)										9		$2.00	$18.00	4-6	2		0	$98.80				-18.00
			Pick Three		(3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4)										27		$0.50	$13.50	6-4-6	3		0	$124.85				-13.50

Simulator Race results


PRM-4			08/28/2023	3300ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Claimer ($20K)									Purse ($16.8K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 6:16
:22¹	:46⁴			1:00⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
4	CONSTITUTION DAY						4	3		3^2½	3^2½		2^2½	1^11¾		(condon schuyle)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121								1.60			1.20
2	SCOPELLO						2	1		2¹	2²		3^4½	2^11¾		(mcfarlane l)PUSAC ALBERTO 121								2.00			2.50
5	DIXIE SHARPIE						5	4		5^7½	4^10½		4^9½	3^12¾		(dieter dalto)WELLINGTON KYLIE 108								6.00			17.10
1	WILLET KINDA NIGHT						1	2		1¹	1²		1^2½	4^13¾		(compton jesse)EDWARDS JAVIS 119								3.00	22%	3.50	1.80
3	TIZ RED TIME						3	5		4^7½	5^10½		5^9½	5^18¼		(dieter dalton)ZIEGLER ZACK 121								5.00	18%	4.60	15.40

PRM-5			08/28/2023	5280ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($20K)									Purse ($17.8K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 6:42
:24²	:48¹	1:14		1:40³			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
2	TEMPTED MISSION						1	2		1¹	1^1½	1²	1⁶	1^11¾		(eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 123								1.40	47%	1.10	0.80	W
3	CHISHOLM TRAIL						2	3		4^3½	3⁵	3^4½	3^7½	2^11¾		(anderson do)DE CRUZ 125								5.00			3.50
5	HUNKA BURNING LOVE						4	1		2¹	2^1½	2²	2⁶	3^21¼		(arnett g)BIRZER E 123								6.00	28%	2.60	3.70	S
4	FREE MAKER						3	4		3^3½	4⁵	4^6½	4^14½	4^33¼		(ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120								3.50			3.40
SCR	WARRIOR'S RUN															(guillory jr)ZIMMERMAN R 122								2.50

PRM-6			08/28/2023	3960ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($33K)				2	ALL	PT- 7:08
:22³	:47¹	:59⁴		1:12³			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
3	GLENGARRY						3	2		1^nk	1¹		1^2½	1^5¾		(anderson l)TOHILL S 116								1.60	46%	1.20	0.30	W
5	ORE MINE						5	1		3¹	2¹		2^2½	2^5¾		(condon schu)TRIANA JR 119								2.00	25%	2.90	2.90	P
2	FIRESPITTEN KITTEN						2	4		5⁷	5⁶		4⁹	3^11¼		(compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 119								4.00			13.20
1	DON JUAN BUBBA						1	3		2^nk	3^3½		3^7½	4^19½		(rollins scott)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119								8.00			34.30
4	MISSION IS A GO						4	5		4³	4^3½		5^11½	5^20¾		(von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 119								3.00			7.40

PRM-7			08/28/2023	3960ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($10K)									Purse ($14.7K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 7:34
:22¹	:45³	:58²		1:11³			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
6	TAP THE BRAKES						6	4		4^3¼	3^1½		2²	1^½		(gleason tyrone)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119								2.00	62%	0.60	8.40	W
5	LORD OF THE PALACE						5	6		6^11¼	6⁶		5⁵	2^½		(peters dennis)PUSAC ALBERTO 119								8.00	5%	19.00	17.40	P
2	SWAGGY GEORGE						2	3		1^nk	1^nk		1²	3^1¼		(arnett g)BIRZER E 122								4.00			8.00
1	NILES CHANNEL						1	5		5^4¼	5⁴		4^4½	4^5¾		(tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122								6.00			3.20
4	MYSTERY MAN						4	1		2^nk	2^nk		3³	5^7½		(martin timothy)JORDAN R 122								3.00	11%	8.40	0.70
3	RICKEY B						3	2		3^.2	4²		6^6½	6^11¼		(donlin d)TOHILL S 122								3.50			7.90

PRM-8			08/28/2023	3300ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($33K)				2	F	PT- 8:00
:23¹	:47⁴			1:01			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
4	CONVALIDATION						4	1		1^1½	1^1½		1^3½	1^1¾		(arnett g)BIRZER E 119								2.00			2.00
5	PRETTYWITTYANDWISE						5	6		3^4½	3^4½		2^3½	2^1¾		(eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119								3.00	34%	1.90	1.70	P
2	NO COST						2	4		5^9½	6^7½		5⁸	3^4¾		(arceo salva)TRIANA JR 119								2.50			6.80
1	KARSON KAY						1	5		6^10½	5^6½		4^7½	4^5¼		(murphy swa)ROMAN KEVIN 119								4.00	17%	4.80	5.70
3	X RAY VISION						3	2		4^6½	4^5½		3^7½	5^5½		(rollins scot)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114								8.00	13%	6.80	4.80
6	FULL MOON BEACH						6	3		2^1½	2^1½		6¹¹	6^24½		(murphy t)FLETCHER D 119								10.00			14.90

PRM-9			08/28/2023	3630ft		DIRT			FAST			Starter Allowance ($30K)									Purse ($36.429K)				3UP	M/F	PT- 8:26
:23¹	:47¹			1:06¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
6	KASA						6	5		6^3½	4³		3^3½	1^1½		(chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 122								8.00			12.10
1	CONFETTI BETTY						1	2		1^1½	1^1½		1^2½	2^1½		(hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 124								3.50	16%	5.40	1.80	P
3	FLAT OUT ROSE						3	6		4^2½	2^1½		2^2½	3^1½		(arnett g)BIRZER E 118								2.00	38%	1.60	2.10	S
4	RISKY WHISKY						4	4		5³	5⁶		5^7½	4^6½		(mcshane david )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122								3.00	15%	5.60	5.40
5	ESPIRIDION						5	3		3²	3³		4⁵	5^9¾		(chleborad lynn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118								4.00			2.90
2	SONG OF PRAISE						2	1		2^1½	6⁸		6^16½	6³⁹		(mcshane d)TOHILL S 120								6.00			18.90



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

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