Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/5)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRM-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/5)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(6/4/5)-(5/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/1/3)-(3/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-9   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLET KINDA NIGHT         (compton jesse)EDWARDS JAVIS 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  SCOPELLO Aug13 Jun23 Apr26 Apr11 Mar25 (mcfarlane dan)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 2.00    
3  TIZ RED TIME         (dieter dalton)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  CONSTITUTION DAY Aug13 Jul15 Jul03 Jun03 May22 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.60    
5  DIXIE SHARPIE         (dieter dal)WELLINGTON KYLIE 108 6.00    
 
PRM-5   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARRIOR'S RUN Aug07 Jul22 Jun30 Jun18 May29 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 122 2.50    
2  TEMPTED MISSION Jul27 Jun16 Apr29 Apr05 Mar13 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 123 1.40 47% 1.10    
3  CHISHOLM TRAIL Aug07 Jul08 Jun17 Aug19 Jul09 (anderson )DE CRUZ 125 5.00    
4  FREE MAKER Aug14 Jul21 Jun23 May21 Feb24 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50    
5  HUNKA BURNING LOVE Aug20 Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
PRM-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON JUAN BUBBA Jul17 Jun11 May06 Apr15   (rollins scot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
2  FIRESPITTEN KITTEN         (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HIGH WIRE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  GLENGARRY         (anderson l)TOHILL S 116 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of L. A. WAY by TIZWAY)
4  MISSION IS A GO         (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of SCAT QUEEN by SCAT DADDY)
5  ORE MINE Jul31 Jun22 Apr13     (condon sc)TRIANA JR 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GEMSTONE by GEMOLOGIST)
 
PRM-7   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NILES CHANNEL Jul19 Mar10 Jan22 Dec17 Nov24 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00    
2  SWAGGY GEORGE Aug11 Jul14 Jul03 Apr01 Aug22 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 4.00    
3  RICKEY B Aug11 Jul23 Jun12 May21 Apr15 (donlin d)TOHILL S 122 3.50    
4  MYSTERY MAN Jun11 Apr22 Mar09 Feb20 Jan28 (martin timot)JORDAN R 122 3.00 11% 8.40    
5  LORD OF THE PALACE Jul23 Jul02 Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 (peters dennis)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAP THE BRAKES Aug07 Jul15 Jul03 Jun09 May26 (gleason tyro)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
 
PRM-8   08/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARSON KAY         (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of TEMPERS WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  NO COST Jul30 Jun26       (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 119 2.50    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of COST by PULPIT)
3  X RAY VISION Jul30 Jun26 Jun11 May06 Apr15 (rollins sc)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 8.00 13% 6.80    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of WINNING VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
4  CONVALIDATION Jul30 Jun26       (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 2.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of VALID ENCHANTMENT by TIZNOW)
5  PRETTYWITTYANDWISE         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SOUTHERN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  FULL MOON BEACH Aug13         (murphy)FLETCHER D 119 10.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRIVATE BEACH by MALIBU MOON)
 
PRM-9   08/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($36.429K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFETTI BETTY Aug05 Jul21 Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  SONG OF PRAISE Jul30 Jun30 Jun05 May26 Sep16 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
3  FLAT OUT ROSE Jul21 Jul09 Jun04 May12 Sep29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  RISKY WHISKY Aug06 Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 May21 (mcshane davi)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  ESPIRIDION Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 May12 Sep29 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00    
6  KASA Aug05 Jul21 Jun19 Oct02 Sep25 (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.