Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belterra Park
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   EXA (6/9/10/4)-(6/9/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-9 $28.30 $16.30 136%
    TRI (6/9/10/4)-(6/9/10/4)-(6/9/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-9-4 $41.55 $29.55 246%
BTP-3   WIN (8/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $38.60 $30.60 383%
    EXA (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-2 $76.20 $64.20 535%
    TRI (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-2-8 $262.50 $250.50 2088%
    PK3 (6/9/10/4)-(7/4/5)-(8/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-2/7-1 $51.60 $27.60 115%
BTP-4   SFT (10/1/5/2/9)-(10/1/5/2/9)-(10/1/5/2/9)-(10/1/5/2/9) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-10-1-9 $20.81 $8.81 73%
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(8/2/3/1)-(10/1/5/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2/7-1-5 $42.85 $12.85 43%
BTP-5   TRI (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-3-2 $19.60 $7.60 63%
    PK3 (8/2/3/1)-(10/1/5/2/9)-(7/3/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-5-7 $64.55 $24.55 61%
    PK5 (6/9/10/4)-(7/4/5)-(8/2/3/1)-(10/1/5/2/9)-(7/3/2/4) 960 $0.50 $480  6-2/7/8-1-5/6-1/5/7/12/13 $483.00 $3.00 1%
BTP-8   TRI (10/3/4/1)-(10/3/4/12/1)-(10/3/4/12/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-12-4 $24.70 $0.70 3%
Simulator Race results
 
BTP-1   10/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
See original race card.
1:41         1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STAY LOST 5 6 86¾ 84¼ 52¼ 21½ 13 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 3.50 37% 1.70 3.20 W
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
9  OUR FLAG FLYING 7 8 75¾ 63¼ 42 11½ 23 (vaughan edwar)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00 27% 2.70 8.90 P
  (by UNION RAGS out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  LA CREMA 3 2 65½ 73¾ 73¾ 45 36¼ (arnold georg)CARROLL DECLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.20 S
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ISABEL'S ON IT by DUBAWI)
8  SUN VALLEY ROAD 6 7 43½ 42 63¼ 66 47 (cox h)PETERSON FERRIN 121 2.00 2.10  
  (by UNCLE MO out of GRAND TRAVERSE BAY by REPRICED)
5  AADYA 4 5 54½ 52¼ 84¼ 56 58½ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 8.00 42.90  
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
10  QUEEN OF ATLANTIS 8 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 33½ 611½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 15.00 9% 9.80 6.30  
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  RUE 2 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 76½ 711½ (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 20.00 25.30  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SPELLBOUND by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
1  KATNAPPING 1 1 33 31½ 31½ 814½ 830¾ (aguirre juan)MARCANO Y 119 12.00 15.20  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
SCR  JUNOESQUE               (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 121 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUE COLORS by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  NOELANI               (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ELEMENTAR by MORE THAN READY)
 
BTP-2   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
1:192         1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HESTON 7 3 1nk 1½   15 13¾ (engler jeff)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 61% 0.60 0.30 W
4  KOBE BEACH 4 5 64¾ 65   25 23¾ (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00 10% 9.50 12.70 P
3  ONE SOCK BILLY 1 7 77¾ 44   511½ 312¾ (adams l)HESS SARA 115 15.00 11.80  
1A  LIDIA'S PRAYER 3 4 2nk 2½   49½ 413 (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 122 3.50 2.50  
1  HECTOR B 2 6 53¾ 79   613 513¼ (ram)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 3.50 2.50  
6  PASION AZTECA 6 2 41¾ 32½   37½ 614 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 30.00 74.30  
5  CHEESEBURGER 5 1 3.2 55   714½ 716¼ (chain pearl)BUSH V 123 30.00 5% 19.00 76.50  
SCR  FAST ROY               (short thomas)OUZTS W 123 4.00    
SCR  SHERLOCKED               (sturgeon c)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
 
BTP-3   10/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
1:403         1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVIANO 1 4 51¾ 54½ 42½ 2½ 1hd (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 120 20.00 10% 9.20 18.30 W
2  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY 2 5 74¾ 77 75½ 31½ 2hd (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.50 25% 3.00 1.80 P
8  WIND TWIST 7 7 63¼ 66 54 74¼ 33¼ (sandy stephen)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 33% 2.00 3.80 S
4  BAKENEKO 4 2 2½ 43 65½ 41½ 43½ (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 15.00 10.50  
3  CLEAR FOR ACTION 3 3 1½ 11 11 1½ 54¼ (fletcher we)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00 11% 7.70 2.90  
6  SILENT CHAOS 6 8 84¾ 87 86½ 64 65¾ (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00 13.70  
5  SUBURBAN PRINCE 5 1 3½ 21 21 53 76 (o'neill doug)OUZTS W 117 5.00 6.90  
9  BEOCCA 8 6 4¾ 31½ 31½ 85¾ 86¼ (castanon jos)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 12.00 12.70  
SCR  LITTLE G T               (foley greg)MCKEE J 120 4.50    
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
 
BTP-4   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:221 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROLLESTON 5 1 11 12   11½ 13½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.50 13% 6.90 1.80 W
10  MY TOMMY LEE 9 3 42½ 32   21½ 23½ (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.50 37% 1.70 4.20 P
1  TWIRLING RUTH 1 5 21 22   31½ 35¼ (thomas mark)MCKEE J 125 3.50 15% 5.90 4.70 S
9  GENERAL GINNY 8 11 106 1010¼   53¾ 46½ (dillion jimmy)PANAIJO JORGE 125 6.00 5% 17.50 5.90  
4  TIMELESS GLORY 4 7 53½ 53¼   43½ 57¼ (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 18.10  
7  HIGH MEADOWS 6 2 63¾ 75¼   65¼ 67¾ (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00 16.20  
12  MISS SOVELIA 11 8 84¾ 65¼   98½ 712¾ (quezada ino)JIMENEZ J 122 20.00 44.10  
11  JOYFUL NOISE 10 10 95¾ 98¼   88¼ 813 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00 8.90  
2  ROYAL TO BE 2 6 31 42¼   78¼ 915½ (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 117 10.00 9% 10.20 9.30  
3  POQUITO ROSE 3 9 1111 1111¼   108½ 1015¾ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 10.00 52.50  
8  EIDA'S STORM 7 4 73¾ 86¾   1110 1119¾ (aguirre j)CORREA L 122 15.00 81.40  
SCR  WHISKEY SIS               (nocero carmi)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00    
 
BTP-5   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
1:091         1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FOR THE BISCUIT 5 4 21 13   14 14 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 117 2.50 59% 0.70 0.80 W
3  TRIBAL SPIRIT 2 7 55 34½   24 24 (helmbrecht w)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 4.50 8% 12.30 6.20 P
2  VILLAREGGIA 1 6 45 44½   34 34½ (ginter j)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 6% 14.90 6.10 S
10  DR. BELLA 8 2 86¾ 810¾   68¾ 410¼ (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 117 6.00 5.00  
4  SOULSTONE 3 9 98¼ 912¼   710¼ 512 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
8  MARKET OF STOCKS 6 8 76½ 67½   58½ 612¼ (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00 27.90  
9  C C'S WORLD 7 3 66 55½   47 715¼ (melancon pau)MARCANO Y 115 10.00 18.60  
11  SPICY SOMMELIER 9 1 33 23   812¼ 818¾ (esquivel jesus)BUSH V 120 15.00 31.10  
6  ZUPITA 4 5 11 710½   920¼ 940¾ (esquivel jesu)PANAIJO JORGE 117 5.00 10.50  
SCR  MOON PARTY               (haehn terry)JIMENEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  NIFF               (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 120 20.00    
SCR  SILVER SEA               (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
SCR  TATTERED HEART               (helmbrecht wi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 8.00    
 
BTP-6   10/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
1:41         1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) 9 9 74¼ 76½ 75½ 3.2 12¼ (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 2.50 2.00  
2  HONEYBELL 2 6 86¼ 88 86½ 83¾ 22¼ (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 117 20.00 25.50  
4  MIZZEN ASH 4 4 97¼ 910 97½ 72¾ 32¼ (granitz j)FELIX E 120 12.00 9% 9.90 10.20 S
10  KICK OUT THE JAMS 10 11 1110¼ 1011½ 107¾ 94¾ 43½ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.50 13% 6.70 7.20  
7  MISS GOODBAR 7 8 63¾ 66½ 64½ 4¼ 54½ (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 6.00 11% 7.80 11.50  
3  BACKYARD HEN 3 2 41½ 55 52½ 1nk 65 (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 10.00 8.70  
6  TAPERINEA 6 5 51¾ 2½ 21 2nk 75¼ (meraz antonio)COLON H 120 12.00 42.20  
11  TAMI ANN 11 10 108¾ 1112½ 119¼ 62¼ 88¼ (barrett grant)PANAIJO JORGE 120 5.00 42.00  
1  COMMANDERS PALACE 1 1 31½ 43 42½ 1110¾ 910 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 27% 2.70 15.80  
8  RENAISSANCE (IRE) 8 7 2½ 1½ 11 51¼ 1011¼ (danner do)CORREA L 122 4.50 16% 5.40 2.20  
5  WOODS HOLE 5 3 1½ 32 32 105¾ 1121¾ (chain pearl)BUSH V 120 15.00 17.60  
 
BTP-7   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:153 1:291   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MAMITA LINDA 8 1 1½ 11 1nk 13 15¼ (rodriquez)CORREA L 122 6.00 5.40  
2  OPTIMIZME 1 3 34½ 62¾ 53¼ 33 25¼ (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 2.50 ★ 2.50 P
3  ABIGAIL G 2 6 56 42 31½ 23 37¾ (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 6.30 S
7  SLY WINK 6 7 712 78¾ 75¼ 56¼ 48 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 119 4.50 19% 4.10 2.10  
6  TWITTER TRAFFIC 5 2 2½ 21 2nk 43¼ 59¼ (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 114 5.00 9.10  
5  GET CLEAR 4 4 67 52½ 64¼ 79¼ 613 (sands sh)STRANDBERG MALLORY 122 3.50 49% 1.10 6.80  
4  DEESSE 3 5 45 32 43 67¾ 716 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00 10.70  
8  EASY IS GOOD 7 8 813½ 814¾ 812¼ 817¼ 829 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00 42.40  
SCR  MAXIMUM JOY               (wilson jr)BUSH V 122 15.00    
 
BTP-8   10/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
1:37         1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  POINT WELL TAKEN 9 8 42 31½ 32½ 11 11½ (corrigan )CORREA L 124 4.00 64% 0.60 1.00 W
12  LAST CHANCE DANCE 11 11 65 43 44 33 21½ (oliver victoria)MOJICA JR 121 5.00 ★ 6.40 P
4  CAPTIVE STAR 4 1 21 2½ 12 21 31¾ (cline robert)MARCANO Y 116 10.00 6% 15.80 9.10 S
2  EXPLOSIVE SKIES 2 2 85¼ 85¼ 89½ 46 43¾ (patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 3.50 3.50  
8  BIRD SET FREE 7 7 96¼ 97¼ 79½ 58 57½ (pitts c)COLON H 124 12.00 29.80  
3  PROVOLONE 3 4 32 54 68½ 69 68½ (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00 7% 13.80 14.80  
13  CAIRO WINNER 12 12 106¾ 109¼ 56½ 710 78½ (gotera car)LEON A 121 30.00 66.00  
1  MIDNIGHT XO 1 3 54 75 1012 811½ 812¼ (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
9  SOUTHERN MESA 8 10 119¼ 1113¼ 1113 1014½ 913¼ (royal madelyn)BUSH V 121 30.00 ######  
7  BASEBALL PEGGE 6 6 11 1½ 22 912½ 1015¾ (crawford ge)JIMENEZ J 121 30.00 45.60  
11  LA COPA 10 9 75¼ 65 911 1117½ 1118¾ (macias adolf)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 20.00 50.50  
6  DOGWOODS BECCA 5 5 12100 12100 12100 12100 12100 (scott anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 124 30.00 38.40  
SCR  FEEL THE RIDE               (gotera car)REYES FRANK 124 30.00    
SCR  GOLDEN HEIST               (thompson erin)HUGHES CARLY 124 30.00    
SCR  LASS QUISTMAS               (toye lin)LEBRON VICTOR 124 30.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL MILE               (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.50    
 
BTP-9   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:231 :47 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GAMBLER 5 4 31½ 31½   11½ 1¾ (bush s)BUSH V 124 4.50 3.20  
4  PERFECT WAGER 4 7 43½ 45½   43 2¾ (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.50 P
1  THIS ILL DEFEND 1 6 68½ 68½   32½ 31¼ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.50 29% 2.40 2.30 S
8  UNCAPTURED PULSE 7 1 21 11½   21½ 44 (roque elis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00 3.50  
3  ABOUNDING 3 5 57½ 57½   67½ 57¾ (cook davi)CORREA L 121 15.00 29.90  
6  GIANT TRICK 6 2 11 21½   56 610½ (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 20.00 18.90  
2  MUSTANG WILLIE 2 3 79½ 714   78½ 718½ (roque elis)CANUTO THIAGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SCR  LAKE TAHOE               (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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