Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-7 $25.40 $13.40 112%
IND-4   WIN (3/8/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (3/8/7/11)-(3/8/7/11) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-3 $26.60 $2.60 11%
IND-5   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    DD (3/8/7/11)-(2/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-8 $96.40 $72.40 302%
IND-6   DD (2/1/8)-(7/10/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-7 $46.60 $28.60 159%
    PK3 (3/8/7/11)-(2/1/8)-(7/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-8-2/7 $70.10 $52.10 289%
IND-8   EXA (10/2/1/9/5)-(10/2/1/9/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-2 $66.80 $26.80 67%

Simulator Race results

 
IND-1   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:213 :443 :572     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALES OF HOME 2 5 22 35   3 1¼ (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 52% 0.90 1.20 W
CHANISA 6 2 33 2   2 2¼ (asmussen steven )PRESCOTT R 119 3.50 15% 5.70 8.10 P
STELLAR LILY 5 4 44 47   45 3 (moquett)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 3.60  
METHODOLOGY 3 6 6 5   5 4 (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 12% 7.10 2.20  
SEACHROME 1 1 12 1   1 5 (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00 29.10  
LADY MERCEDES 4 7 78 611   68 6 (forster g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00 10.30  
LONG BLACK VEIL 7 3 5 711½   711 7 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 119 20.00 30.70  
SCR  RICHIES PRINCESS               (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50    
 
IND-2   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:22 :452 :572     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNPHY 3 1 12 12   1 1 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.00 0.90  
NEON DEION 2 2 3 3   2 2 (rivelli larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.50 68% 0.50 3.30 P
NATIONS DREAM 5 3 55 5   5 3 (martin dawn)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00 1.60  
MI OSCURO SECRETO 1 4 22 22   3 4 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.60  
MR. REDLEGS 4 5 4 4   48 514½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 5.00 14.50  
SCR  GRACIE'S BOY ROY               (leonard geor)RAMOS D 116 4.50    
SCR  POINT AT YOU               (claire alexis)MCKEE J 122 6.00    
 
IND-3   10/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:134 1:272   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESPERE 2 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 1 1 (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 4.00  
PRINCESS KALAMOH 3 2 2½ 1nk 2nk 2 2 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 4.00 25% 3.00 5.80 P
SENSIBLE CHOICE 1 3 3 3½ 3 3 3 (pitts hel)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 1.80 40% 1.50 0.90 S
MOTEL MISCHIEF 4 4 43 41 4 4 4 (leonard geor)RAMOS D 121 3.50 1.60  
SCR  BLUESUP GREENSDOWN               (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
SCR  DON'T TOUCH               (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 121 12.00    
SCR  POISED PRINCESS               (contreras ci)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
 
IND-4   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:14     1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEE DEE B 4 6 59 6 53 2nk 1 (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 26% 2.80 4.60 W
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 1 3 610½ 4 3 1nk 2 (correas ignaci)ASHTON GAVIN 122 3.50 27% 2.70 0.70 P
10  TOUR DE' PORT 5 7 710½ 5 42 4 318¼ (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 6.50  
11  LUCKY ANA 6 4 3 34 21 3 419¾ (douaihy mich)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
ENGLISH CHARM 2 1 22 22 11 511 526¼ (wilkes r)RAMOS D 122 2.50 4.40  
13  SOUTHERN MESA 8 8 816½ 818½ 821 624 626½ (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00 64.80  
LASS QUISTMAS 3 2 45 7 713 833 743¾ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 30.00 21% 3.80 28.70  
12  CANGUA 7 5 12 12 67 731 845¾ (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00 33.60  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE               (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
SCR  HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP               (hale jr)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL MILE               (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50    
SCR  NEWYEARSPRESENT               (o'conno)DE CRUZ 125 20.00    
SCR  STUPENDOUS               (riley don)BERMUDEZ E 125 15.00    
SCR  WILMA               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
 
IND-5   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:383   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMHNALL 7 2 1½ 1nk 1½ 1 1 (paquette raymond )PEREZ E 122 8.00 12% 7.10 5.20 W
KATIE GOT LUCKY 4 3 3 35 34 34 2 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 8.00 8.10  
JUDO 2 1 2½ 2nk 2½ 2 3 (blair j)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 28% 2.60 0.30 S
OUT OF ALCATRAZ 6 4 47 46 4 47 4 (fosdick stev)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 12.00 38.30  
CONNECT ME 1 6 610 610½ 6 58 59 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 119 10.00 24% 3.20 17.00  
SCHOOLMASTER (GER) 3 7 712½ 711½ 7 6 6 (manning john)RAMOS D 122 5.00 8.40  
LEMONADEATTHELATCH 5 5 59 5 5 712 715¼ (mendieta aleja)ELLIOTT JANE 122 6.00 25.40  
SCR  BOOGIE BODE               (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 3.50    
 
IND-6   10/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:134 1:404   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALABELLA (IRE) 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 1¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00 61% 0.60 1.00 W
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of NAUGHTY OR NICE by BERNARDINI)
10  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 5 5 44 3 3.2 1½ 2¼ (torres a)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00 13% 6.60 2.00 P
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
MITOLE'S BAYTOWN 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3 3 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00 7.20  
  (by MITOLE out of MAJESTIQUE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
OUR GIRL FLINT 3 4 5 57 4 4 4 (wilkes r)RAMOS D 121 12.00 4.20  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of SUGARANDICE by DIXIE UNION)
FROSTY TALE 4 3 32 4 5 510½ 523¾ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00 8.80  
  (by FROSTED out of YOO DRE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  OLD FASHIONED GIRL               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 121 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  ONLY EMOTIONS               (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  REALISTIC GOAL               (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 121 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of REALGOODLOOKIN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  LADY HELENA               (devaux cheri)CARROLL DECLAN 121 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MOON OVER PARIS by BLAME)
SCR  JUST BE QUIET               (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of QUIET TALK by VALID APPEAL)
SCR  JANEY CREED               (hughes byron)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BROKEN MARRIAGE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  THE ENEMY OF FUN               (reed r)FELIX E 121 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SKYPHOS by KANTHAROS)
SCR  CLASSY'N CONNECTED               (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of SMART DORIE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  HIGH SHOT               (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 10.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
 
IND-7   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:121 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  UNDERDRESSED 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 13 11 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 4.50 1.20  
PROTONIC POWER 1 5 5 5 5 34 21 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 4.50 44% 1.30 1.50 P
10  NIP N TUCK 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 23 3 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 10.00 6.70  
PARKLAND 2 3 34 4 33 4 410¾ (maker m)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 24% 3.10 5.50  
12  RIVER REDEMPTION 4 4 4 3 4 514½ 523½ (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 8.00 9.40  
SCR  MICROPHONE (IRE)               (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.00    
SCR  POWER THROUGH               (block chr)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  SILVER QUARTERS               (manley steve)PRESCOTT R 122 30.00    
SCR  JACKSONS GOLD               (thompson erin)PEREZ E 119 10.00    
SCR  FOUNDER               (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
SCR  FIREWATER JAKE               (leonard g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS               (van tho)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
SCR  ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE)               (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  FEBRUARY SON               (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 122 15.00    
 
IND-8   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:221 :46 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLET EXPRESS 1 9 63 2   1½ 16 (leonard georg)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 4.00 14% 6.00 3.30 W
BEREA 2 4 1½ 1   2½ 26 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 5.00 17% 5.00 9.20 P
SKYS IMAGE 3 3 9 8   79 311 (duran antonio)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 10.00  
ANJAWAY 7 7 85 9   6 412 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00 4.40  
10  Z'S LUCKY GIRL 10 1 7 7   5 512½ (fosdick)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 34% 2.00 5.90  
BREAKUP WITH TITOS 4 6 31 53   3 612½ (richardville)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 21.70  
DULCE VICTORIA 5 5 2½ 32   45 713¾ (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
LEXI SUN 9 8 5 6   811 819¼ (douglass de)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 10.00 8% 11.70 2.50  
AJIC JAY 6 10 10 1010¼   1014½ 921½ (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00 14.40  
LILMISS SASSYPANTS 8 2 4 43   913 1024¼ (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00 50.20  
 
IND-9   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZTECA STAR 4 1 2nk 11   14 12 (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 122 4.50 12% 7.20 1.60 W
SMALL SAILOR 7 6 5 4   24 22 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 1.80 49% 1.00 1.00 P
SOMNUS (GB) 6 4 4¾ 32   34 3 (egglest)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 7.50  
MOMENT OF INSIGHT 3 8 8 8   5 4 (morey e)FELIX E 122 10.00 6% 15.20 6.40  
GRAY MIKE 8 7 6 64   49 511¾ (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00 19.20  
LITTLE BANKER MAN 2 2 3.2 53   6 613¾ (barrett grant)PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00 52.10  
ELEGGUA 1 5 7 7   710¾ 714¾ (ginter raymo)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 20.00 6% 16.20 51.70  
GRAND FESTIVAL 5 3 1nk 21   811¾ 820¾ (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 30.00 47.60  
SCR  AMERICAN MOON               (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  THE MOTTO               (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.