Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(3/2)-(2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(2/6)-(3/8/7/11) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(3/8/7/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(3/8/7/11)-(2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-4   WIN (3/8/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/11)-(3/8/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/11)-(3/8/7/11)-(3/8/7/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/11)-(2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/11)-(2/1/8)-(7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-5   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(7/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(7/10)-(1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-6   WIN (7/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/10)-(7/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/10)-(1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/10)-(1/7)-(10/2/1/9/5) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
IND-7   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/7)-(10/2/1/9/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(10/2/1/9/5)-(8/4/3/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (10/2/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/9/5)-(10/2/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/9/5)-(10/2/1/9/5)-(10/2/1/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/1/9/5)-(8/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-9   WIN (8/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEACHROME Sep21 Aug31 Aug01 Jul06 Jun08 (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00    
2  TALES OF HOME Apr27 Mar16 Feb18 Jan14 Dec19 (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  RICHIES PRINCESS Sep02 Aug12       (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50    
4  METHODOLOGY Sep22 Aug04 Jun24 Jun03   (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  LADY MERCEDES Jun24 Jun02       (forster g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
6  STELLAR LILY Apr22 Mar19 Feb24 Jan14 Dec11 (moquett)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
7  CHANISA Sep12 Aug01 Jun17 May04 Apr01 (asmussen steven )PRESCOTT R 119 3.50 15% 5.70    
8  LONG BLACK VEIL Sep26 Sep08 Aug04 Jul06 Jun16 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 119 20.00    
 
IND-2   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRACIE'S BOY ROY Sep06 Aug14 Jul17 Jun24   (leonard geor)RAMOS D 116 4.50    
2  MI OSCURO SECRETO Sep15 Jun03 May03     (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  NEON DEION Sep27 Sep03 Aug20     (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.50 68% 0.50    
SCR  POINT AT YOU Oct06 Sep29 Aug26     (claire alexis)MCKEE J 122 6.00    
5  DUNPHY Oct07 Aug31 Aug13 Jul22 Jun04 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.00    
6  MR. REDLEGS Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Jun16   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 5.00    
7  NATIONS DREAM Sep13 Aug08 Jul09 Jun06   (martin dawn)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00    
 
IND-3   10/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POISED PRINCESS Sep28         (contreras ci)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
2  SENSIBLE CHOICE Sep27         (pitts hel)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 1.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  BLUESUP GREENSDOWN Oct03 Aug31       (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
SCR  DON'T TOUCH         (cook brian)MORALES JOSHUA 121 12.00    
5  ESPERE Sep20 Jul01       (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
6  PRINCESS KALAMOH         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  MOTEL MISCHIEF Sep14 Aug08       (leonard geor)RAMOS D 121 3.50    
 
IND-4   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEWYEARSPRESENT Jul08 Jun18 Jun02 May05 Apr01 (o'conno)DE CRUZ 125 20.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL MILE Sep08 Jul12 Jun08 May10 Feb02 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50    
3  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Sep26 Sep05 Aug17 Jul21 Jun27 (correas ignaci)ASHTON GAVIN 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP Sep26 Sep05 Jul21 Jul08 Jun23 (hale jr)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
5  ENGLISH CHARM Sep23 Aug28 Jul31 Jun23 Nov16 (wilkes r)RAMOS D 122 2.50    
SCR  WILMA Sep26 Sep08 Aug16 Jun14   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
7  LASS QUISTMAS Aug22         (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 30.00 21% 3.80    
8  DEE DEE B Sep21 Sep03 Aug01 Jun30 May24 (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  STUPENDOUS Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 Jul12 Feb15 (riley don)BERMUDEZ E 125 15.00    
10  TOUR DE' PORT Sep26 Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
11  LUCKY ANA Oct04 Jun15 May27 May10 Apr01 (douaihy mich)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  CANGUA Aug19 Jul30 Dec29     (cook brian)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
13  SOUTHERN MESA Oct07 Sep27 Aug29 Aug05 Jul21 (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Oct01 Sep03       (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
 
IND-5   10/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNECT ME Sep13 Aug24 Jul12 Jun19 May25 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 119 10.00 24% 3.20    
2  JUDO Sep14 Jul23 Jun29 May20 Apr16 (blair j)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Oct08 Sep29 Sep20 Aug09 Jul26 (manning john)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
4  KATIE GOT LUCKY Sep29 Aug02 Jul15 Feb03 Dec14 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 8.00    
5  LEMONADEATTHELATCH Oct06 Sep24 Sep02 Aug17 Aug03 (mendieta aleja)ELLIOTT JANE 122 6.00    
6  OUT OF ALCATRAZ Sep19 Jul07 May25 Apr28 Apr08 (fosdick stev)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 12.00    
SCR  BOOGIE BODE Sep28 Aug17 Jun17 May29 May08 (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 3.50    
8  DOMHNALL Oct02 Aug29 Aug16 Jul13 Jun24 (paquette raymond )PEREZ E 122 8.00 12% 7.10    
 
IND-6   10/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE ENEMY OF FUN Sep11         (reed r)FELIX E 121 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SKYPHOS by KANTHAROS)
SCR  JUST BE QUIET Aug31 Aug02       (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of QUIET TALK by VALID APPEAL)
SCR  OLD FASHIONED GIRL Sep19 Aug24 Jul27 Jul11   (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 121 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
4  MITOLE'S BAYTOWN Oct03 Sep11 Aug28     (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 121 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of MAJESTIQUE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  LADY HELENA         (devaux cheri)CARROLL DECLAN 121 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MOON OVER PARIS by BLAME)
SCR  JANEY CREED Oct04         (hughes byron)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BROKEN MARRIAGE by BROKEN VOW)
7  FALABELLA (IRE) Sep06         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00 61% 0.60    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of NAUGHTY OR NICE by BERNARDINI)
8  OUR GIRL FLINT Jul09         (wilkes r)RAMOS D 121 12.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of SUGARANDICE by DIXIE UNION)
9  FROSTY TALE Oct11 Sep16       (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of YOO DRE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) Oct04 Sep18 Sep07 Aug08 Aug01 (torres a)LEZCANO ABEL 121 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  HIGH SHOT Oct04 Sep16 Aug26     (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 10.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
SCR  ONLY EMOTIONS         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Sep16 Jul16       (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of SMART DORIE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  REALISTIC GOAL Aug10 Jul23       (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 121 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of REALGOODLOOKIN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
IND-7   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROTONIC POWER Sep30 Aug16 Jul26 Jun15 May21 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  FIREWATER JAKE Jul21 May25 Mar09 Feb04 Oct12 (leonard g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS Sep15 Jul11 Jun20 Mar16 Jan20 (van tho)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
SCR  POWER THROUGH Aug16 Jun04 Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 (block chr)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE) Sep09 Aug03 Jun20 Nov13 Oct02 (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  FEBRUARY SON Sep01 Aug12 Jul11 Jun20 May29 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 122 15.00    
7  PARKLAND Sep07 May25 Mar09 Feb09 Dec14 (maker m)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  SILVER QUARTERS Sep30 Sep04 Aug16 Jul19 Jun22 (manley steve)PRESCOTT R 122 30.00    
SCR  JACKSONS GOLD Aug29 Jul19 May24 May06 Oct04 (thompson erin)PEREZ E 119 10.00    
10  NIP N TUCK Sep20 Aug29 Jan18 Nov22 Sep29 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 10.00    
SCR  MICROPHONE (IRE) May19 Apr27 Mar02 Feb03 Oct21 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.00    
12  RIVER REDEMPTION Oct03 Aug16 Jul21 Jul06 Jan27 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 8.00    
SCR  FOUNDER Aug28 Jun30 May11 Mar25 Jan27 (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 5.00    
14  UNDERDRESSED Oct06 Sep07 Aug05 Jul08 Jun01 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 4.50    
 
IND-8   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLET EXPRESS Oct04 Sep13 Aug26 May16 Nov17 (leonard georg)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
2  BEREA Sep14 Aug26 Jun20 May25 Jun20 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
3  SKYS IMAGE Sep06 Aug10 Jul05 Jun14 May30 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
4  BREAKUP WITH TITOS Jul05 May16 Nov17 Oct17 Sep01 (richardville)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
5  DULCE VICTORIA Oct05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul07 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  AJIC JAY Oct02 Sep14 May29 May17 May02 (douglass dev)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00    
7  ANJAWAY Oct04 Aug22 Jun20 May25 May03 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00    
8  LILMISS SASSYPANTS Oct02 Sep14 Aug03 Jul07 Jun14 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00    
9  LEXI SUN Oct04 Sep19 Nov17 Jun20 May18 (douglass de)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 10.00 8% 11.70    
10  Z'S LUCKY GIRL Jul05 May30 May06 Aug10 Jul14 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 34% 2.00    
 
IND-9   10/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEGGUA Sep24 Sep06 Sep20 Aug12 Jun29 (ginter raymond)AYALA ISAIAS 125 20.00 6% 16.20    
2  LITTLE BANKER MAN Oct04 Aug13 Aug05 Jul23 Jul16 (barrett grant)PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00    
3  MOMENT OF INSIGHT Jun15         (morey e)FELIX E 122 10.00 6% 15.20    
4  AZTECA STAR Sep24 Jun10       (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 122 4.50 12% 7.20    
5  GRAND FESTIVAL Mar16 Nov19 Oct28 Mar19 Feb26 (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 30.00    
6  SOMNUS (GB) Apr23 Mar23       (egglest)DE CRUZ 122 5.00    
SCR  THE MOTTO Oct02 Aug29 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 6.00    
8  SMALL SAILOR Oct02 Aug31 Aug05 Jul06 Jun22 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 1.80 49% 1.00    
9  GRAY MIKE Sep19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN MOON Dec30         (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.