Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.48 $5.48  
CD-2   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.42 $3.42  
CD-3   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.28 $3.28  
CD-4   Win (9/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.96 $10.96 4.96
CD-5   Win (10/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.98  
CD-6   Win (8/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $8.52  
CD-7   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.06  
CD-8   Win (4/11/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.62 $9.62 1.62
CD-9   Win (4/8/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $13.42  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:133 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LATE NITE LIZZIE 4 5 51¼ 42 12 13½ 11½ (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 11% 8.20 1.74 W
3  BUMP IN THE NIGHT 3 2 4¼ 31½ 53½ 23½ 21½ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 2.35  
5  CRY IF I WANT TO 5 3 1nk 53 43½ 33½ 33¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 2.50 35% 1.90 4.16 S
8  AUTISM COMPASSION 7 6 3.2 2½ 32½ 58½ 412¾ (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5.41  
1  GOLDEN LAKE 1 1 2nk 1½ 22 46 514¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 31% 2.20 5.36  
6  REDHEADEDSTRANGER 6 7 71½ 63½ 66½ 612 619 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 15.00 41.93  
2  BELLA SKYE 2 4 61½ 74½ 79 714 720 (radosevich)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 50.49  
SCR  ISA LEI               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00    
 
CD-2   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103 1:223   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MULLION 3 4 2nk 1½ 12 14 110 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 37% 1.70 0.71 W
6  SPIELMAN 6 5 75¼ 75¼ 53¾ 35 210 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 3.13  
1  NYQUICK 1 1 1nk 2½ 32 24 310¼ (cox h)TORRES A 121 4.00 17% 4.80 6.74 S
5  BEARINGS 5 7 62¼ 52½ 64¾ 66¼ 414¼ (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 33.25  
7  ARTWELL 7 6 42 42½ 42¼ 56 515 (danner kelse)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 27.22  
4  WICKED AGAIN 4 2 3½ 31½ 22 46 616 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 13% 6.50 4.94  
2  CHIRON 2 3 52¼ 62¾ 77¾ 79¼ 719 (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 38.38  
 
CD-3   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:12 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PIGALLE 3 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 12½ 17¾ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 43% 1.30 0.64 W
2  LITTLE DIXIE 2 6 52¼ 52¼ 43 46 27¾ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 5.84  
4  CENTER STAGE 4 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 22½ 38¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 5.09  
1  GOLDCREST 1 1 62¾ 41¾ 32½ 35 48¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 4.00 23% 3.30 9.27  
5  JACKIE'S LOVE 5 4 32 74¼ 76 58½ 510½ (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 121 12.00 10% 9.30 27.42  
6  FORTUNE BOUND 6 5 74¾ 64¼ 64 68½ 610¾ (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 16.64  
7  CHICA DE ORO 7 7 42 31½ 54 711½ 724 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 8.61  
 
CD-4   11/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LET'S GO MARK 3 5 41½ 21½   1nk 1¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 30% 2.30 4.48 W
4  DUNPHY 4 3 1½ 11½   2nk 2¼ (ennis john)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 8.14  
5  STORMQUIST 5 2 2½ 32½   33 31½ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 120 3.50 2.86  
9  HEY JOE JOE 7 4 52½ 45   45 44¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 35% 1.90 2.35  
2  SMOOTHDINI 2 6 66½ 69   57 54½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.98  
6  NUEVO AMANECER 6 1 31 58   617 648 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 120 20.00 64.08  
1  J T'S IMAGINATION 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 2.68  
SCR  FAMILY FACTOR               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  HAM SANDWICH               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   11/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :462 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HALINA'S FORTE 4 3 1nk 1nk   13 14½ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 ★ 0.99  
10  SILVER ROSE 10 9 3½ 3.2   23 24½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60 48% 1.10 1.23 P
2  FREEBURN 2 5 41 41¾   33 34½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 8.00 ★ 25.67 S
3  ROUND THE TOWN 3 8 72¾ 73¼   57½ 49½ (servis c)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 34.90  
5  MISCHIEVOUSNESS 5 7 51¼ 51¾   67¾ 512¾ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 29% 2.40 12.11  
7  AZTEC EMPRESS 7 1 2nk 2nk   45½ 614¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 26.18  
6  ROUTE SIXTY SIX 6 10 106¾ 96¾   711¼ 717 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 73.21  
8  BEE BRANCH 8 2 85¼ 86¼   911¾ 817½ (ortiz alexa)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 88.84  
9  ABUNDANT LIFE 9 6 62¼ 62¼   811¾ 918¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 25.81  
1  GRACE AND GLORY 1 4 96¼ 107¾   1012¾ 1020 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 43.36  
 
CD-6   11/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 7 2 42½ 42½ 31½ 31½ 1½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.26  
6  CHURCHTOWN 6 5 21 21 1nk 1nk 2½ (attfield roger)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 7% 14.30 2.55 P
8  WINFROMWITHIN 8 1 11 11 2nk 2nk 31½ (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 40% 1.50 6.11 S
1  SEIZE THE NIGHT 1 4 31½ 31½ 42 42 41¾ (cunningham )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 37.31  
5  GRAY'S FABLE 5 6 85½ 85 87 55 54 (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 9.42  
9  TIZ THE BOMB 9 8 64 74 76½ 77 68 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 8.12  
3  HOZIER 3 3 54 64 55 66½ 78 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 8.33  
2  SKYRO 2 7 74½ 53½ 66 87½ 88¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 12% 7.50 13.01  
4  BIG DREAMING 4 9 97 96½ 99 99½ 911¼ (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 121 4.00 21% 3.70 5.85  
 
CD-7   11/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:211 :444 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  APPEAL DENIED 5 1 31½ 2½   12 11½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 2.53  
7  NIFTY 6 2 56 54   42½ 21½ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 63% 0.60 3.85 P
9  STONEVICIOUS 8 6 88¼ 77½   55½ 33½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5.91  
4  SAMURAI PRINCE 4 5 43 31½   32½ 43½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 8% 10.90 6.29  
3  PALACE KITTEN 3 8 68 67½   67 56¼ (o'dwyer jer)TORRES A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.75  
8  COYOTE ROAD 7 7 78¼ 87¾   77¼ 66½ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 20.00 12.66  
1  ONE COOL DUDE 1 4 1nk 1½   22 76¾ (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 8.00 7.80  
2  SPYCRAFT 2 3 2nk 42½   811¼ 824 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 5.00 ★ 5.18  
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
 
CD-8   11/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ATTACHE 7 1 2½ 1nk   11½ 14¾ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 6% 14.50 3.81 W
4  UNDER OATH 1 8 1½ 2nk   21½ 24¾ (pletcher todd )TORRES A 120 4.50 54% 0.90 2.59 P
11  BROKEN RIB 8 6 63½ 31½   33½ 35¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 12% 7.30 2.53 S
9  RIDER'S SPECIAL 6 2 3½ 52¾   54½ 46¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 8.00 19.52  
6  GREYS THE BOY 3 4 52½ 41¾   43½ 56¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 7% 14.30 3.40  
8  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS 5 3 74 84¾   76¼ 69 (fires h)COURT K 120 20.00 16.67  
7  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 4 7 85 74¼   86¾ 710¼ (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 25.31  
5  STAND FOR FREEDOM 2 5 42 62¾   66 812 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 12.65  
SCR  AIR COMBAT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50    
SCR  GOLD LUCK               (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY               (gonzalez reina )CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
 
CD-9   11/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:15 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TALL BOY 11 8 64 62¼ 1nk 12 13 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 5.71  
10  MIRANDA RIGHTS 9 4 21 31½ 41¾ 22 23 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 15% 5.50 7.02 P
5  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 5 2 53 41¾ 52¼ 32 34¼ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 8.00 14.50  
3  KING CURLIN 3 10 109½ 97½ 63¼ 55½ 49¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 5.00 ★ 7.41  
6  READ ON 6 6 75½ 75¼ 73¼ 76½ 59¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 63.83  
11  STONEMONT REUNION 10 5 42½ 2nk 31½ 66 611 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 39.23  
4  BABA VOSS 4 11 1110 119½ 95¼ 97¾ 711¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.27  
1  OSCAR AWARD 1 9 87½ 87¼ 105½ 87½ 812 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 27.39  
8  OK BOOMER 8 7 99 109½ 117 119¾ 912¼ (pletcher to)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 24% 3.10 4.07  
7  KARMA DIRECTOR 7 1 11 1nk 2nk 45 1013 (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 44.37  
2  CLEAR THE AIR 2 3 32 51¾ 84¾ 108¼ 1115¼ (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 5% 19.00 45.95  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 114 30.00    
SCR  EVENT DETAIL               (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  GATLINBURG               (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT RISING               (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SCR  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL               (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.