Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $33.60 $21.60 180%
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4-5 $62.00 $50.00 417%
PID-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-3 $7.40 $3.40 85%
PID-4   EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $15.00 $3.00 25%
    DD (3/2)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $23.80 $11.80 98%
PID-5   PK3 (3/2)-(1/5/7)-(1/2/9/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00  2-5-1/6 $58.20 $10.20 21%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUTTHEBLAMEONME 6 2 32 3   4¾ 1nk (potts g)MORALES PABLO 119 1.60 61% 0.60 1.10 W
FIERCE AND STRONG 4 5 53 42   5 2nk (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.80 P
REELED IN 5 1 2½ 2½   2nk 3¼ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 1.80 14% 6.10 1.10 S
MR. REDOLFO 3 3 43 5   3½ 43 (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 124 6.00 22.00  
KOTYLOS 2 6 6 64   6 5 (russell )MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 21.40  
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 1 4 1½ 1½   1nk 66 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 6.80  
 
PID-2   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:122 1:372   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS BOBBY 4 1 21 21 11 1 1 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 124 3.50 5.10  
COUNTY COURT 2 3 5 5 63 3 2 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 60% 0.70 2.10 P
BARLEEWON 5 4 33 42 42 4 3 (camejo j)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 1.90  
ORAZIO 6 5 4 32 21 2 4 (markgraf david)STANLEY O 124 8.00 6.00  
DIGITAL SOFTWARE 1 6 66 6 5 5 57 (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL 3 2 11 11 32 6 610 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
 
PID-3   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:224 :462 :58     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. TART 2 4 4 4   2 1¼ (beattie )GALLARDO A 117 1.80 27% 2.70 1.70 W
NINJA STAR 3 2 1½ 1nk   1 2¼ (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50 29% 2.40 0.60 P
UNTROUBLED 1 5 5 5   5 3 (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 10.00 17.80  
CALL THE BALL 4 3 2½ 3½   42 47 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 11.40  
FACE DOWN 5 1 3 2nk   32 5 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 9.40  
SCR  HECTOR               (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.00    
 
PID-4   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP IN ARMS 4 4 3 33   22 1 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 122 4.50 28% 2.60 1.60 W
ELIA 1 3 1 1   12 2 (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 29% 2.50 0.90 P
LIGHT HEARTED 3 2 2 2   32 34 (herrington c)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 25.20  
WINDY CITY GIRL 2 5 5 5   55 45 (musarro joseph)FOX CHRIS 122 5.00 8.30  
AMAZON LIZZIE 6 6 4 43   4 55 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 10.00 6.70  
CLASSY HALO 5 1 66 66   610 613¼ (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 22% 3.50 34.80  
SCR  BINGO STAR               (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
SCR  STAND BY YOU               (beattie )GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
 
PID-5   10/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARETH 1 2 1½ 1nk   1 1 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 1.80 36% 1.80 1.20 W
EXTRA MEDIUM 2 6 64 7   33 2 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 26% 2.90 5.70 P
CAPTAIN MAD JACK 8 4 5 5   5 3 (markgraf david)STANLEY O 122 5.00 10% 9.00 3.70 S
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 7 7 42 3   43 4 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 124 6.00 9.10  
LEBASI 6 5 7 6   7 5 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 8.00 11.00  
VALDOLOBO (IRE) 3 3 2½ 2nk   2 6 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 8% 12.20 10.50  
WORBOTHOR 4 1 32 4   6 7 (roman malvin )MORALES PABLO 124 8.00 15.90  
CROWLEY'S WAR 5 8 8 8   8 812 (wismer )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00 12.60  
SCR  LEGIO               (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:134 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECKON 4 5 4 3 3 31 1nk (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 3.70  
WICKED INTENT 1 8 8 7 7 42 2nk (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00 18% 4.60 2.40 P
LISA MARIE 5 1 22 4 4 2nk 32 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.80 S
CONSTITUTIONALRAGE 2 7 6 6 6 5 4 (bryant donald)LUGO D 122 3.50 15.30  
STARSHIP MACYS 3 2 12 11 1½ 1nk 5 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 3.00 46% 1.20 1.60  
SAILOR'S SALUTE 8 3 7 8 8 8 6 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 12.00 21.10  
HEARTBURN 6 6 5 5 5 74 7 (farrior anthony)SPIETH S 122 5.00 9% 9.80 8.70  
LEAD PERFORMER 7 4 3 21 2½ 6 810¾ (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 119 10.00 32.30  
SCR  JULIETTE FALLS               (stokes lance)AYALA J 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:112 1:373   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY EVER AFTER 1 7 813½ 8 7 31 1 (girten tim)STANLEY O 122 4.50 5.50  
WINGS OF A SONG 5 5 55 5 4 41 2 (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.10 P
DREAMFUL 3 1 22 2 21 2½ 33 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 40% 1.50 3.60 S
DETERMINED GOLD 7 8 711 78 6 6 43 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 2.60  
VACCINA 6 3 12 1 11 1½ 5 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 13% 6.90 4.30  
CHARM ALARM 8 4 4 4 3 52 65 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 27% 2.70 7.70  
ORGANZA 4 6 6 68 8 7 7 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 122 15.00 47.70  
NATURE TRAIL 2 2 33 34 5 8 812¼ (judd cassand)AYALA J 122 12.00 21.70  
 
PID-8   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14 1:391   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEN AND SHIMMY 1 4 4 4 31 21 1nk (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 6.00 5.90  
DISASTER RECOVERY 2 3 11 11 1½ 11 2nk (rice kevin)DELGADO DAVID 121 2.00 40% 1.50 1.30 P
HUMBLE JOE 8 8 86 9 6 54 36 (white robert)ALENCAR WALBER 121 20.00 39.00  
MR. YASUDA 4 12 10 10 9 44 4 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 11.80  
11  TWIST OF FAITH 11 1 3 21 2½ 3 5 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60 3.60  
12  DON'T FLINCH 12 11 1111½ 11 11 88 614½ (connelly teresa)STANLEY O 121 30.00 87.70  
BRIT'S UNION 3 6 7 74 5 65 715½ (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00 11.30  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 9 5 5 63 42 77 816¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 5.00 11.50  
10  NORTHERN RUNNER 10 9 9 8 8 9 919¼ (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 121 20.00 83.60  
SNIP THE ROSES 7 10 1213 1211¼ 12 1110¼ 1020¼ (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
COMMANDING 6 2 63 5 7 1010 1122 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 124 15.00 28.60  
OUT OF STOCK 5 7 21 3 10 1217¾ 1237¾ (judd cassand)AYALA J 121 20.00 10% 8.80 17.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.