The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
PID-2   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.20 -6.00
PID-3   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 1.40
PID-4   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
PID-5   Win (1/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
PID-6   Win (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $9.40 -8.00
PID-7   Win (3/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $13.00 -8.00
PID-8   Win (2/11/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $13.80 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:214 :443 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUTTHEBLAMEONME 6 2 32 3   4¾ 1nk (potts g)MORALES PABLO 119 1.60 61% 0.60 1.10 W
FIERCE AND STRONG 4 5 53 42   52nk (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.80 P
REELED IN 5 1 2½ 2½   2nk 3¼ (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 1.80 14% 6.10 1.10 S
MR. REDOLFO 3 3 43 5   3½ 43 (weaver cassondra)STANLEY O 124 6.00 22.00  
KOTYLOS 2 6 6 64   65(russell ra)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 21.40  
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 1 4 1½ 1½   1nk 66 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 6.80  
 
PID-2   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:243 :481 1:122 1:372   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS BOBBY 4 1 21 21 11 11(markgraf david)WALKER M 124 3.50 5.10  
COUNTY COURT 2 3 5 5 63 32(rojas e)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 60% 0.70 2.10 P
BARLEEWON 5 4 33 42 42 43(camejo jos)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 1.90  
ORAZIO 6 5 4 32 21 24(markgraf david)STANLEY O 124 8.00 6.00  
DIGITAL SOFTWARE 1 6 66 6 5 557 (caramori caio)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL 3 2 11 11 32 6610 (rojas edua)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
 
PID-3   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
:224 :462 :58     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. TART 2 4 4 4   21¼ (beattie to)GALLARDO A 117 1.80 27% 2.70 1.70 W
NINJA STAR 3 2 1½ 1nk   12¼ (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50 29% 2.40 0.60 P
UNTROUBLED 1 5 5 5   53(caramori eduar)ALENCAR WALBER 120 10.00 17.80  
CALL THE BALL 4 3 2½ 3½   42 47 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 11.40  
FACE DOWN 5 1 3 2nk   32 5(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 9.40  
SCR  HECTOR               (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.00    
 
PID-4   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP IN ARMS 4 4 3 33   22 1(hamm timothy)STANLEY O 122 4.50 28% 2.60 1.60 W
ELIA 1 3 1 1   12 2(stokes lan)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 29% 2.50 0.90 P
LIGHT HEARTED 3 2 2 2   32 34 (herrington cal)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 25.20  
WINDY CITY GIRL 2 5 5 5   55 45 (musarro joseph)FOX CHRIS 122 5.00 8.30  
AMAZON LIZZIE 6 6 4 43   455 (russell randal)AYALA J 122 10.00 6.70  
CLASSY HALO 5 1 66 66   610 613¼ (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 22% 3.50 34.80  
SCR  BINGO STAR               (delgado h)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
SCR  STAND BY YOU               (beattie to)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
 
PID-5   10/17/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:232 :461 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARETH 1 2 1½ 1nk   11(brooks gerald )AYALA J 124 1.80 36% 1.80 1.20 W
EXTRA MEDIUM 2 6 64 7   33 2(rogers m)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 26% 2.90 5.70 P
CAPTAIN MAD JACK 8 4 5 5   53(markgraf david)STANLEY O 122 5.00 10% 9.00 3.70 S
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 7 7 42 3   43 4(hayes leland)SPIETH S 124 6.00 9.10  
LEBASI 6 5 7 6   75(russell randall)ALLEN D 122 8.00 11.00  
VALDOLOBO (IRE) 3 3 2½ 2nk   26(martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 8% 12.20 10.50  
WORBOTHOR 4 1 32 4   67(roman d)MORALES PABLO 124 8.00 15.90  
CROWLEY'S WAR 5 8 8 8   8812 (wismer gl)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00 12.60  
SCR  LEGIO               (skawinski caro)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
 
PID-6   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:251 :492 1:134 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECKON 4 5 4 3 3 31 1nk (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 3.70  
WICKED INTENT 1 8 8 7 7 42 2nk (caramori caio)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00 18% 4.60 2.40 P
LISA MARIE 5 1 22 4 4 2nk 32 (potts ron )GALLARDO A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.80 S
CONSTITUTIONALRAGE 2 7 6 6 6 54(bryant l)LUGO D 122 3.50 15.30  
STARSHIP MACYS 3 2 12 11 1½ 1nk 5(markgraf david)WALKER M 122 3.00 46% 1.20 1.60  
SAILOR'S SALUTE 8 3 7 8 8 86(carr-rozantz cat)ALLEN D 122 12.00 21.10  
HEARTBURN 6 6 5 5 5 74 7(farrior anthony)SPIETH S 122 5.00 9% 9.80 8.70  
LEAD PERFORMER 7 4 3 21 2½ 6810¾ (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 119 10.00 32.30  
SCR  JULIETTE FALLS               (stokes lance)AYALA J 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
:232 :47 1:112 1:373   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY EVER AFTER 1 7 813½ 8 7 31 1(girten tim)STANLEY O 122 4.50 5.50  
WINGS OF A SONG 5 5 55 5 4 41 2(schoenthal phil)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.10 P
DREAMFUL 3 1 22 2 21 2½ 33 (martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 40% 1.50 3.60 S
DETERMINED GOLD 7 8 711 78 6 643 (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 2.60  
VACCINA 6 3 12 1 11 1½ 5(judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 13% 6.90 4.30  
CHARM ALARM 8 4 4 4 3 52 65 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 27% 2.70 7.70  
ORGANZA 4 6 6 68 8 77(herrington an)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00 47.70  
NATURE TRAIL 2 2 33 34 5 8812¼ (judd cassandra)AYALA J 122 12.00 21.70  
 
PID-8   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:241 :484 1:14 1:391   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEN AND SHIMMY 1 4 4 4 31 21 1nk (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 121 6.00 5.90  
DISASTER RECOVERY 2 3 11 11 1½ 11 2nk (rice kevin)DELGADO DAVID 121 2.00 40% 1.50 1.30 P
HUMBLE JOE 8 8 86 9 6 54 36 (white f)ALENCAR WALBER 121 20.00 39.00  
MR. YASUDA 4 12 10 10 9 44 4(schaber debbie)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 11.80  
11  TWIST OF FAITH 11 1 3 21 2½ 35(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60 3.60  
12  DON'T FLINCH 12 11 1111½ 11 11 88 614½ (connelly teresa)STANLEY O 121 30.00 87.70  
BRIT'S UNION 3 6 7 74 5 65 715½ (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00 11.30  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 9 5 5 63 42 77 816¼ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 121 5.00 11.50  
10  NORTHERN RUNNER 10 9 9 8 8 9919¼ (herrington an)FOX CHRIS 121 20.00 83.60  
SNIP THE ROSES 7 10 1213 1211¼ 12 1110¼ 1020¼ (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
COMMANDING 6 2 63 5 7 1010 1122 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 124 15.00 28.60  
OUT OF STOCK 5 7 21 3 10 1217¾ 1237¾ (judd cassandra)AYALA J 121 20.00 10% 8.80 17.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.