Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/3/1)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/2)-(1/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/5/7)-(1/2/9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(1/2/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(1/2/9/3)-(4/1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/3)-(1/2/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/3)-(1/2/9/3)-(1/2/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/9/3)-(4/1/7/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/3)-(4/1/7/6)-(3/8/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/6)-(3/8/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/6)-(3/8/6/5)-(2/11/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/5)-(2/11/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/11/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/11/5/7)-(2/11/5/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (2/11/5/7)-(2/11/5/4/7)-(2/11/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Oct02 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 10.00    
2  KOTYLOS Aug15 Aug07 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 (russell )MARTINEZ A 119 5.00    
3  MR. REDOLFO Sep19 Aug29 Mar03 Feb16 Feb01 (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 124 6.00    
4  FIERCE AND STRONG Sep25 Aug30 Aug10 Jul19 Jul07 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  REELED IN Sep25 Aug29 Apr23 Apr08 Mar11 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 1.80 14% 6.10    
6  PUTTHEBLAMEONME Sep25 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jun10 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 119 1.60 61% 0.60    
 
PID-2   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Sep15 Sep05 Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  COUNTY COURT Sep28 Sep18 Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 60% 0.70    
3  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Sep18 Aug28 Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ADIOS BOBBY Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 124 3.50    
5  BARLEEWON Sep07 Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Oct23 (camejo j)GALLARDO A 122 2.00    
6  ORAZIO Oct10 Sep11 Aug29 Aug10 Jul11 (markgraf david)STANLEY O 124 8.00    
 
PID-3   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNTROUBLED Sep13 Aug18 Jun06 May15   (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 10.00    
2  MS. TART Sep16 Aug24       (beattie )GALLARDO A 117 1.80 27% 2.70    
3  NINJA STAR Sep09 Aug16 Aug07     (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  HECTOR Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 Jul18   (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.00    
5  CALL THE BALL Sep06         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00    
6  FACE DOWN Aug23 Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
 
PID-4   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIA Sep25 Jul25 Jul05 Oct06 Aug03 (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
2  WINDY CITY GIRL Oct03 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 (musarro joseph)FOX CHRIS 122 5.00    
SCR  STAND BY YOU Sep06 Aug09 Jul14 May31 May06 (beattie )GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
4  LIGHT HEARTED Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (herrington c)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
5  UP IN ARMS Sep25 Aug22 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  BINGO STAR Sep16 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 May27 (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
7  CLASSY HALO Sep25 Sep13 Aug21 May09 Sep06 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 22% 3.50    
8  AMAZON LIZZIE Oct02 Sep25 Aug22 Aug09 Aug02 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   10/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JARETH Oct03 Sep26 Aug29 Aug14 Jul26 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  EXTRA MEDIUM Oct09 Sep11 Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  VALDOLOBO (IRE) Sep21 Aug28 Jul26 Jan08 Sep12 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 8% 12.20    
4  WORBOTHOR Sep27 Sep18 Aug29 Aug22 Jul26 (roman malvin )MORALES PABLO 124 8.00    
5  CROWLEY'S WAR Sep20 Sep11 Aug17 Jul18 Apr02 (wismer )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00    
SCR  LEGIO Sep20 Sep11 Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
7  LEBASI Oct09 Sep11 Aug29 Aug01 Jul19 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
8  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Oct11 Sep28 Sep18 Aug14 Jul05 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 124 6.00    
9  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Sep28 Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 (markgraf david)STANLEY O 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
 
PID-6   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED INTENT Sep21 Aug28 Aug04 Jul15 Mar15 (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  JULIETTE FALLS Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 Jul03 Jun13 (stokes lance)AYALA J 122 12.00    
3  CONSTITUTIONALRAGE Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug04 Jul12 (bryant donald)LUGO D 122 3.50    
4  STARSHIP MACYS Oct04 Sep19 Aug01 Jul11 Jun14 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  BECKON Oct09 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Aug10 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
6  LISA MARIE Oct04 Sep11 Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  HEARTBURN Sep30 Sep06 Aug11 Jul15 Jun09 (farrior anthony)SPIETH S 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
8  LEAD PERFORMER Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Aug10 Aug02 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 119 10.00    
9  SAILOR'S SALUTE Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY EVER AFTER Aug21 Jul24 Jul11 Jun21 May24 (girten tim)STANLEY O 122 4.50    
2  NATURE TRAIL Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 Jul18 (judd cassand)AYALA J 122 12.00    
3  DREAMFUL Sep18 Aug10 Jan12 Dec21 Oct20 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
4  ORGANZA Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
5  WINGS OF A SONG Sep23 Sep06 Aug18 Jul17 May29 (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  VACCINA Oct04 Sep12 Aug30 Aug01 Jun20 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  DETERMINED GOLD Sep21 Aug19 Jul13 Jun13 May24 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
8  CHARM ALARM Sep22 Sep05 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
PID-8   10/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Sep20 Aug21 Jul25 Jun12 May24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 6.00    
2  DISASTER RECOVERY Oct04 Sep19 Aug08 Jul24 Jul12 (rice kevin)DELGADO DAVID 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  BRIT'S UNION Oct03 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09   (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
4  MR. YASUDA Oct03 Sep20 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00 ★    
5  OUT OF STOCK Sep11 Jan12 Dec02 Nov09   (judd cassand)AYALA J 121 20.00 10% 8.80    
6  COMMANDING Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Aug08 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 124 15.00    
7  SNIP THE ROSES Oct03 Sep09 Aug24 Aug12 Jul21 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HUMBLE JOE Oct04 Sep19 Aug29 Aug07   (white robert)ALENCAR WALBER 121 20.00    
9  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Sep19 Aug29 Jul13 Jun22   (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 5.00    
10  NORTHERN RUNNER Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 Aug02 Dec30 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 121 20.00    
11  TWIST OF FAITH Oct05 Sep20 Sep01 Jul19 Jul06 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
12  DON'T FLINCH Oct03 Sep17 Sep03 Aug08   (connelly teresa)STANLEY O 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.