Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $12.58 $8.58 215%
CD-4   DD (3/6)-(4/3/10/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-10 $19.53 $11.53 144%
CD-5   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.62 $2.62 44%
    PK3 (3/6)-(4/3/10/6)-(5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-10-3 $70.69 $58.69 489%
CD-6   EXA (8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-8 $28.64 $4.64 19%
    DD (5/3/7)-(8/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-3 $13.12 $1.12 9%
CD-7   WIN (5/7/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  11 $20.56 $12.56 157%
    DD (8/3/6/7)-(5/7/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-11 $43.62 $27.62 173%
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(8/3/6/7)-(5/7/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-3-11 $61.00 $37.00 154%
    PK4 (4/3/10/6)-(5/3/7)-(8/3/6/7)-(5/7/11/6) 192 $0.50 $96.00  10-3-3-11 $177.34 $81.34 85%
CD-8   WIN (3/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.96 $1.96 25%
    DD (5/7/11/6)-(3/8/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  11-3 $54.79 $38.79 242%
    PK3 (8/3/6/7)-(5/7/11/6)-(3/8/9/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00  3-11-3 $90.36 $58.36 182%
CD-10   TRI (11/3/9/1)-(11/3/9/1/8)-(11/3/9/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  11-3-9 $35.30 $11.30 47%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KEEN CONTENDER 4 5 63¾ 64½ 21½ 12½ 15½ (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.00 0.91  
2  TONE ELISE 2 4 52¼ 52½ 32½ 33 25½ (duffy sean)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.00 38% 1.60 5.06 P
1  FREE TIME 1 1 42¼ 42½ 54 44½ 36 (esquivel )CORREA L 118 5.00 7.96  
5  RECOGNIZE ME 5 3 2nk 1½ 11½ 22½ 49 (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 5.00 5.03  
6  COMMANDERS PALACE 6 6 3.2 31½ 43 510½ 523¾ (ales)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 10.00 12% 7.40 11.25  
3  SUNDAY GRACE 3 2 1nk 2½ 66½ 613 634¾ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.50 12% 7.30 5.06  
SCR  LOST BIKINI               (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
 
CD-2   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HUSH IT HONEY 4 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 13 14¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 41.15  
8  SAKURA SKY 8 6 42 32½ 2½ 23 24¾ (walden wi)TORRES A 119 4.50 6.34  
2  LOST LOVE 2 2 97 99¼ 88 57½ 36½ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 7.59  
6  SHARP FLAME 6 9 84½ 64 44½ 35 46¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 40% 1.50 3.16  
3  VINO FROM ERNIES 3 7 74 86¼ 76 47 56¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.17  
5  BABE IN THE WOODS 5 4 62½ 53½ 55 711 616¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 7.19  
1  SCARLET MISS 1 3 1½ 1½ 32½ 610½ 722 (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 6.90  
9  PARKINGTON 9 8 52 74¼ 99½ 814 826½ (begley greg)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 19% 4.20 31.95  
7  INTERCEPTION 7 5 31½ 42½ 65½ 916½ 941¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 20% 4.00 3.47  
 
CD-3   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:121 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FAITHFUL KING 2 1 2nk 32½ 32 2nk 12½ (watkins m)MCKEE J 120 5.00 71% 0.40 5.29 W
5  DOG RED 3 3 32 21 1nk 1nk 22½ (o'dwyer j)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 0.77  
1  EL FRANCO 1 4 44 42½ 43 42¾ 32½ (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 7.84  
7  CARMICHAEL 5 2 1nk 11 2nk 32½ 48¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.00 1.92  
6  MR. PETERKIN 4 5 510 516½ 515 510¾ 58½ (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 27.31  
SCR  MONKEY ZONE               (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 114 15.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF ROSES               (esquivel )CORREA L 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MIXER 10 8 75¼ 54   1½ 14¾ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 24% 3.10 1.54 W
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LEMON GIN by FIRST SAMURAI)
4  CRAZY CAMI 4 7 97 96¾   33½ 24¾ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 28% 2.60 2.09 P
  (by AUDIBLE out of BE FRUITFUL by PULPIT)
1  TALE OF LA BEE 1 10 1½ 1½   2½ 34¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 10.61  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of TALE OF LA COMETE by TALE OF EKATI)
3  TEMPTING LADY 3 3 3½ 43½   44½ 411 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.80 3.73  
  (by ENTICED out of FANTASTIC GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 5 9 108 76   66½ 513½ (torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 52.82  
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
7  MODAROSA 7 5 4¾ 2½   56½ 617¼ (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 ★ 14.51  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
2  BRIGHT LADY DAY 2 4 2½ 33   810 720 (jackson christ)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 55.83  
  (by RACE DAY out of LADY RELAUNCH by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
9  SHE'S A SHOPPER 9 1 85½ 66   78 823¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 16.07  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of WINDOW SHOPPER by DYNAFORMER)
6  MARGARET'S LADY 6 6 53¾ 86½   912½ 923¾ (west w)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 44.38  
  (by GORMLEY out of WITH SUGAR by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
8  SILVERY MOON 8 2 63¾ 108¼   1016½ 1042¼ (corrigan jim)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 56.76  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RANGE MARKER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
CD-5   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUPREMELY 3 6 1nk 2½   11 13 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 23% 3.40 3.31 W
8  SOUND DOCTRINE 8 2 41½ 1½   21 23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 9.15  
4  FAN THE FIRE 4 4 61¾ 72¾   66¼ 36 (brion ke)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 ★ 7.33 S
5  MASTER OF ARMS 5 9 72 61¾   34½ 48¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 41% 1.40 7.72  
2  POWER ALLEY 2 7 93½ 95¼   88¼ 59¾ (forster grant )CASTANON L 118 10.00 5.90  
6  WHAT A BLAST 6 3 2nk 3½   56 611½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.82  
9  BALSA 9 5 82 51¼   46 712 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 4.39  
7  RIVOLI 7 1 3½ 4¾   77¾ 812¼ (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 20.18  
1  GUNNER BAY 1 8 51¾ 83¼   914¼ 928¾ (margolis steph)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 14.95  
 
CD-6   11/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:243 :503 1:154 1:401   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ENGLISH TAVERN 3 5 31½ 21 1½ 14 1½ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 25% 3.00 2.59 W
8  FAIR DINKUM 8 9 97¾ 95¼ 84 34½ 2½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 29% 2.40 3.37 P
2  NATIVE THUNDER 2 6 73¾ 73¼ 94 55 33½ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 28.97  
9  FEBRUARY SON 9 4 63½ 63¼ 62¼ 65¼ 45¾ (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 121 12.00 17.84  
6  ALEX JOON 6 8 85¾ 84¼ 72½ 45 56¼ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 16% 5.40 2.56  
4  TARTUFO 4 1 1nk 31 52¼ 85¾ 67 (vaccarezza c)TORRES A 121 12.00 24.77  
5  CHANCEUX 5 7 52½ 52¼ 3½ 24 710¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5.24  
7  FRANZ JOSEF 7 3 2nk 11 2½ 75¼ 810½ (wismer gle)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 9% 10.30 24.99  
1  PINE KNOLL 1 2 42 42 42 97¾ 912¼ (medina ro)TORRES A 121 10.00 8.89  
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00    
 
CD-7   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:213 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MINK'S PALACE 11 1 65 63¼   2½ 11¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 16% 5.40 9.28 W
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATTERING MINK by SCAT DADDY)
2  LEMON MUFFIN 2 11 86 97¾   74 21¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 9.55  
  (by COLLECTED out of PELT by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
7  CANDY LOVER 7 3 32½ 11   1½ 31¼ (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.00 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
5  CRUISE MISSILE 5 4 21½ 21   42 42½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 4.50 38% 1.60 7.08  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of RUN AWAY'S SIS by CITY ZIP)
3  FIGGY 3 6 75 75¾   52 52¾ (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 14.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
8  UNION MIST 8 10 96½ 86¼   63 63¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 13.15  
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISTY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
1  JUST A COED 1 9 43 31½   31½ 74½ (calhoun willi)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 2.24  
  (by JUSTIFY out of STUDENT BODY by COLONEL JOHN)
4  SPEIGHTER WOMAN 4 5 54 53   84½ 86½ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 27.92  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
10  IN JUST MY HEELS 10 2 119½ 1213¾   1211¾ 98¾ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 38.85  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of HIGH HEELS by E DUBAI)
12  BERNAR MOSA 12 7 107½ 1011¼   1111½ 109¾ (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 45.64  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROUGHING by ESKENDEREYA)
6  MOENCHANTED 6 12 1212 1111¾   109½ 1110 (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 42.29  
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of ROBIN MY GIRL by MUTAKDDIM)
9  QUIMICHIS 9 8 11½ 41½   97 1219 (gutierrez faus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 66.65  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SO MUCH LOVE by ROBIN DES PINS)
SCR  FREEBURN               (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FIREFOOT by TAPIZAR)
SCR  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SENTIMENTAL by HONOR CODE)
SCR  SILVER ROSE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PURE SILVER by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
SCR  VIABLE               (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of RELEVANT by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
 
CD-8   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:094 1:223   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MONEY SUPPLY 3 1 87¼ 87¼ 75 3½ 12½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 5.00 36% 1.80 3.98 W
6  ARRO SMASH 5 3 64¼ 63¾ 2½ 1nk 22½ (bauer phil)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 4.79  
9  BANISHING 8 8 76¼ 76¾ 52½ 42½ 33 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 15% 5.80 1.49 S
7  CAN'T HUSH THIS 6 4 2nk 2½ 1½ 2nk 45 (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 16.82  
1  J J'S JOKER 1 7 54¼ 42½ 31 53½ 58½ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 15.49  
2  ANTARES 2 2 1nk 1½ 62½ 64½ 69¾ (morey e)FELIX E 118 4.00 12% 7.60 8.33  
5  HUNTSVILLE 4 5 32 32½ 41½ 78½ 720¼ (contreras c)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 44.29  
8  ABADIN 7 6 42¼ 52¾ 88 812½ 827¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 16% 5.20 4.19  
SCR  HIGGINSON               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:142 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WHISPER NOT (GB) 8 9 73¾ 73¼ 52¼ 12 15½ (maker michael )CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00 ★ 4.21  
10  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 10 8 95¾ 95¾ 94 33½ 25½ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 8.59  
2  NO ONE TO BLAME 2 6 1nk 1nk 11 22 36¼ (trombetta )CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 27% 2.80 3.21 S
9  MICROPHONE (IRE) 9 2 83¾ 83¾ 83½ 63¾ 47¾ (west w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.59  
3  FREEDOM'S WAY 3 4 52¼ 51¾ 31 43½ 58½ (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 121 5.00 10.49  
7  PLAY ACTION PASS 7 1 62¾ 62¾ 62¼ 85¼ 68½ (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 5.89  
5  SCRIPT 5 3 42 41½ 42 53¾ 79 (motion h )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 3.50  
4  MARQUET MALICE 4 10 107¼ 107¼ 105 74¾ 810½ (douaihy m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 50.00 59.58  
1  EL ORIENTE (CHI) 1 7 2nk 2nk 21 95¾ 911¾ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 18.61  
6  CHANTRY FLATS 6 5 3½ 31 72½ 109¼ 1016½ (newton troy)FELIX E 121 6.00 44% 1.30 11.77  
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50    
 
CD-10   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CAPO 10 1 1½ 1½   11½ 13½ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 44% 1.30 3.05 W
3  STUNNEM 2 4 43 52½   21½ 23½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 25% 3.00 1.36 P
9  MASTER OF DISGUISE 8 3 31½ 2½   32 34½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 7% 12.60 9.22 S
4  DIFFERENT FLAME 3 10 915 711   67 45¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 17.20  
7  SUMMER IN AIKEN 6 7 53 42½   43½ 55¾ (sharp joe)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 16.71  
10  BARREL THIEF 9 6 63½ 32   53½ 67¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 6.13  
1  SETEMFREE 1 5 74 67½   79½ 715¼ (corrigan )HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.69  
5  CAMILAS WARRIOR 4 2 2½ 811½   819½ 836¾ (chav)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00 64.71  
8  CHARLIE ZULU 7 9 1019½ 1027   1028½ 947½ (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 112 30.00 ★ 29.17  
6  HEAVY HITTER 5 8 85 912   926 1047½ (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 10.62  
SCR  MR BIG STUFF (GB)               (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
SCR  REMEMBER THE FEAR               (catalano wayne)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.