The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.82 -6.00
CD-2   Win (6/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $84.30 -8.00
CD-3   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $12.58 $12.58 8.58
CD-4   Win (4/3/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $5.08 $5.08 -2.92
CD-5   Win (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.62 $8.62 2.62
CD-6   Win (8/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.18 $7.18 -0.82
CD-7   Win (5/7/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $20.56 $20.56 12.56
CD-8   Win (3/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.96 $9.96 1.96
CD-9   Win (6/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $10.42 -8.00
CD-10   Win (11/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 0.10
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
:234 :471 1:122 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KEEN CONTENDER 4 5 63¾ 64½ 21½ 12½ 15½ (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.00 0.91  
2  TONE ELISE 2 4 52¼ 52½ 32½ 33 25½ (duffy sean)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.00 38% 1.60 5.06 P
1  FREE TIME 1 1 42¼ 42½ 54 44½ 36 (esquivel je)CORREA L 118 5.00 7.96  
5  RECOGNIZE ME 5 3 2nk 1½ 11½ 22½ 49 (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 5.00 5.03  
6  COMMANDERS PALACE 6 6 3.2 31½ 43 510½ 523¾ (alessi)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 10.00 12% 7.40 11.25  
3  SUNDAY GRACE 3 2 1nk 2½ 66½ 613 634¾ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.50 12% 7.30 5.06  
SCR  LOST BIKINI               (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
 
CD-2   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 1:30
:23 :462 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HUSH IT HONEY 4 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 13 14¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 41.15  
8  SAKURA SKY 8 6 42 32½ 2½ 23 24¾ (walden will)TORRES A 119 4.50 6.34  
2  LOST LOVE 2 2 97 99¼ 88 57½ 36½ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 7.59  
6  SHARP FLAME 6 9 84½ 64 44½ 35 46¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 40% 1.50 3.16  
3  VINO FROM ERNIES 3 7 74 86¼ 76 47 56¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.17  
5  BABE IN THE WOODS 5 4 62½ 53½ 55 711 616¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 7.19  
1  SCARLET MISS 1 3 1½ 1½ 32½ 610½ 722 (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 6.90  
9  PARKINGTON 9 8 52 74¼ 99½ 814 826½ (begley greg)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 19% 4.20 31.95  
7  INTERCEPTION 7 5 31½ 42½ 65½ 916½ 941¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 20% 4.00 3.47  
 
CD-3   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
:24 :472 1:121 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FAITHFUL KING 2 1 2nk 32½ 32 2nk 12½ (watkins m)MCKEE J 120 5.00 71% 0.40 5.29 W
5  DOG RED 3 3 32 21 1nk 1nk 22½ (o'dwyer jer)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 0.77  
1  EL FRANCO 1 4 44 42½ 43 42¾ 32½ (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 7.84  
7  CARMICHAEL 5 2 1nk 11 2nk 32½ 48¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.00 1.92  
6  MR. PETERKIN 4 5 510 516½ 515 510¾ 58½ (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 27.31  
SCR  MONKEY ZONE               (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 114 15.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF ROSES               (esquivel je)CORREA L 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:30
:221 :453 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MIXER 10 8 75¼ 54   1½ 14¾ (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 24% 3.10 1.54 W
4  CRAZY CAMI 4 7 97 96¾   33½ 24¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 28% 2.60 2.09 P
1  TALE OF LA BEE 1 10 1½ 1½   2½ 34¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 10.61  
3  TEMPTING LADY 3 3 3½ 43½   44½ 411 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.80 3.73  
5  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 5 9 108 76   66½ 513½ (torres)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 52.82  
7  MODAROSA 7 5 4¾ 2½   56½ 617¼ (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 ★ 14.51  
2  BRIGHT LADY DAY 2 4 2½ 33   810 720 (jackson christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 55.83  
9  SHE'S A SHOPPER 9 1 85½ 66   78 823¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 16.07  
6  MARGARET'S LADY 6 6 53¾ 86½   912½ 923¾ (west w)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 44.38  
8  SILVERY MOON 8 2 63¾ 108¼   1016½ 1042¼ (corrigan jim)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 56.76  
 
CD-5   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
:224 :453 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUPREMELY 3 6 1nk 2½   11 13 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 23% 3.40 3.31 W
8  SOUND DOCTRINE 8 2 41½ 1½   21 23 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 9.15  
4  FAN THE FIRE 4 4 61¾ 72¾   66¼ 36 (brion keri)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 ★ 7.33 S
5  MASTER OF ARMS 5 9 72 61¾   34½ 48¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 41% 1.40 7.72  
2  POWER ALLEY 2 7 93½ 95¼   88¼ 59¾ (forster t)CASTANON L 118 10.00 5.90  
6  WHAT A BLAST 6 3 2nk 3½   56 611½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.82  
9  BALSA 9 5 82 51¼   46 712 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 4.39  
7  RIVOLI 7 1 3½ 4¾   77¾ 812¼ (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 20.18  
1  GUNNER BAY 1 8 51¾ 83¼   914¼ 928¾ (margolis stephen)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 14.95  
 
CD-6   11/02/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
:243 :503 1:154 1:401   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ENGLISH TAVERN 3 5 31½ 21 1½ 14 1½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 25% 3.00 2.59 W
8  FAIR DINKUM 8 9 97¾ 95¼ 84 34½ 2½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 29% 2.40 3.37 P
2  NATIVE THUNDER 2 6 73¾ 73¼ 94 55 33½ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 28.97  
9  FEBRUARY SON 9 4 63½ 63¼ 62¼ 65¼ 45¾ (granitz anthony )CASTANON L 121 12.00 17.84  
6  ALEX JOON 6 8 85¾ 84¼ 72½ 45 56¼ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 16% 5.40 2.56  
4  TARTUFO 4 1 1nk 31 52¼ 85¾ 67 (vaccarezza car)TORRES A 121 12.00 24.77  
5  CHANCEUX 5 7 52½ 52¼ 3½ 24 710¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5.24  
7  FRANZ JOSEF 7 3 2nk 11 2½ 75¼ 810½ (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 9% 10.30 24.99  
1  PINE KNOLL 1 2 42 42 42 97¾ 912¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 121 10.00 8.89  
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00    
 
CD-7   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:01
:213 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MINK'S PALACE 11 1 65 63¼   2½ 11¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 16% 5.40 9.28 W
2  LEMON MUFFIN 2 11 86 97¾   74 21¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 9.55  
7  CANDY LOVER 7 3 32½ 11   1½ 31¼ (devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.00 S
5  CRUISE MISSILE 5 4 21½ 21   42 42½ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 4.50 38% 1.60 7.08  
3  FIGGY 3 6 75 75¾   52 52¾ (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 14.30  
8  UNION MIST 8 10 96½ 86¼   63 63¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 13.15  
1  JUST A COED 1 9 43 31½   31½ 74½ (calhoun william)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 2.24  
4  SPEIGHTER WOMAN 4 5 54 53   84½ 86½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 27.92  
10  IN JUST MY HEELS 10 2 119½ 1213¾   1211¾ 98¾ (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 38.85  
12  BERNAR MOSA 12 7 107½ 1011¼   1111½ 109¾ (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 45.64  
6  MOENCHANTED 6 12 1212 1111¾   109½ 1110 (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 42.29  
9  QUIMICHIS 9 8 11½ 41½   97 1219 (gutierrez fausti)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 66.65  
SCR  FREEBURN               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  SILVER ROSE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
SCR  VIABLE               (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
 
CD-8   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:222 :45 1:094 1:223   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MONEY SUPPLY 3 1 87¼ 87¼ 75 3½ 12½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 5.00 36% 1.80 3.98 W
6  ARRO SMASH 5 3 64¼ 63¾ 2½ 1nk 22½ (bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 4.79  
9  BANISHING 8 8 76¼ 76¾ 52½ 42½ 33 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 15% 5.80 1.49 S
7  CAN'T HUSH THIS 6 4 2nk 2½ 1½ 2nk 45 (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 16.82  
1  J J'S JOKER 1 7 54¼ 42½ 31 53½ 58½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 15.49  
2  ANTARES 2 2 1nk 1½ 62½ 64½ 69¾ (morey e)FELIX E 118 4.00 12% 7.60 8.33  
5  HUNTSVILLE 4 5 32 32½ 41½ 78½ 720¼ (contreras cip)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 44.29  
8  ABADIN 7 6 42¼ 52¾ 88 812½ 827¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 16% 5.20 4.19  
SCR  HIGGINSON               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/02/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:234 :491 1:142 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WHISPER NOT (GB) 8 9 73¾ 73¼ 52¼ 12 15½ (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00 ★ 4.21  
10  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 10 8 95¾ 95¾ 94 33½ 25½ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 8.59  
2  NO ONE TO BLAME 2 6 1nk 1nk 11 22 36¼ (trombetta mi)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 27% 2.80 3.21 S
9  MICROPHONE (IRE) 9 2 83¾ 83¾ 83½ 63¾ 47¾ (west w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.59  
3  FREEDOM'S WAY 3 4 52¼ 51¾ 31 43½ 58½ (kenneally eddi)CARROLL DECLAN 121 5.00 10.49  
7  PLAY ACTION PASS 7 1 62¾ 62¾ 62¼ 85¼ 68½ (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 5.89  
5  SCRIPT 5 3 42 41½ 42 53¾ 79 (motion gr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 3.50  
4  MARQUET MALICE 4 10 107¼ 107¼ 105 74¾ 810½ (douaihy mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 50.00 59.58  
1  EL ORIENTE (CHI) 1 7 2nk 2nk 21 95¾ 911¾ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 18.61  
6  CHANTRY FLATS 6 5 3½ 31 72½ 109¼ 1016½ (newton troy)FELIX E 121 6.00 44% 1.30 11.77  
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50    
 
CD-10   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
:222 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CAPO 10 1 1½ 1½   11½ 13½ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 44% 1.30 3.05 W
3  STUNNEM 2 4 43 52½   21½ 23½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 25% 3.00 1.36 P
9  MASTER OF DISGUISE 8 3 31½ 2½   32 34½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 7% 12.60 9.22 S
4  DIFFERENT FLAME 3 10 915 711   67 45¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 17.20  
7  SUMMER IN AIKEN 6 7 53 42½   43½ 55¾ (sharp joe)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 16.71  
10  BARREL THIEF 9 6 63½ 32   53½ 67¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 6.13  
1  SETEMFREE 1 5 74 67½   79½ 715¼ (corrigan ji)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.69  
5  CAMILAS WARRIOR 4 2 2½ 811½   819½ 836¾ (chavez)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00 64.71  
8  CHARLIE ZULU 7 9 1019½ 1027   1028½ 947½ (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 112 30.00 ★ 29.17  
6  HEAVY HITTER 5 8 85 912   926 1047½ (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 10.62  
SCR  MR BIG STUFF (GB)               (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
SCR  REMEMBER THE FEAR               (catalano m)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.