The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $12.18 $12.18 6.18
CD-2   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $4.56 -4.00
CD-3   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.70 $4.70 0.70
CD-4   Win (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $13.52 $13.52 5.52
CD-5   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.24 $4.24 -1.76
CD-6   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $16.78 -6.00
CD-7   Win (2/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $10.76 -8.00
CD-8   Win (3/7/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
CD-9   Win (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.14 $4.14 -1.86
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:214 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  INSIGHTFUL MISS 2 4 66 32½   1½ 12¾ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 9% 9.70 5.09 W
3  MAHOMEBRED 3 3 11 12   2½ 22¾ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00 4.02  
5  LONG BLACK VEIL 5 1 21 22   33½ 35¾ (jarvis kathy)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 17.07  
1  MARKSWOMAN 1 6 53 66½   56½ 46 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 17% 5.00 1.26  
4  ZERO CLICK 4 2 31½ 43½   44½ 58¾ (norris mike)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 39.11  
6  WIKI LIO 6 5 42½ 54   68½ 620¾ (calhoun william )ASHTON GAVIN 118 2.50 44% 1.30 2.04  
 
CD-2   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOO FAST FOR YOU 3 4 21 2½   14 17¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 1.28  
6  APRIL CLOVER 5 1 11 1½   24 27¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 1.65  
5  WISCO DISCO 4 2 41½ 42   36 39½ (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 120 4.00 41% 1.40 5.70 S
2  LUCKY LESSON 2 3 55 57   512½ 416 (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 118 8.00 12.05  
1  FESSY 1 5 31 32   49½ 517½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.83  
SCR  BAYTOWN ANGEL               (mcentee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
 
CD-3   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 2 1 21 2½   13½ 19 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 19% 4.30 1.35 W
5  PERCEPTIVE 4 5 44½ 44½   36 29 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 2.03  
2  WILD ACCLAIM 1 4 11 1½   23½ 311½ (hamilton sarah)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 21.36  
4  ADIVA 3 3 33 32½   46½ 415¼ (puhich mike)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 2.63  
7  DONT CROSS BOUDICA 5 2 54½ 57   510 518¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 124 4.50 44% 1.30 6.22  
SCR  CAUSE IMA ROSE               (guida e)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO MALICE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
 
CD-4   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CATHEDRAL BEACH 4 5 55¼ 54½   22 11¾ (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 12% 7.40 5.76 W
7  POPULIST 6 3 1nk 2nk   12 21¾ (pino michael)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 5% 19.00 3.09 P
1  SENOR JOBIM 1 7 66¼ 64¾   45 34 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 57% 0.80 1.96 S
8  THAT KHENNY 7 1 2nk 1nk   34 47 (garcia genar)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 8.00 6.75  
4  BOISE 3 2 32 32½   55 57 (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 5.00 5.03  
6  MONKEY ZONE 5 6 710¾ 79¾   68 610 (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 110 15.00 55.57  
2  COMMANDER CARL 2 4 42¼ 43   713 720¾ (fletcher wes)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.86  
SCR  IMPROBABLE STORY               (king l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
 
CD-5   11/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FURIOUS ANGER 6 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 1nk (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 1.20 30% 2.30 1.12 W
4  DAZZLEMESILVER 4 1 1½ 2nk   2½ 2nk (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.40 36% 1.80 1.52 P
3  ACCIDENT 3 3 44 35   35 35 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 12% 7.60 11.99 S
5  PERFECT UPSTART 5 5 69½ 613½   611 49 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 121 6.00 26.38  
2  ADDED MISCHIEF 2 6 55½ 58½   59 511½ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 5.06  
1  NAUGHTYSON 1 4 33½ 46½   48½ 615 (michael brian)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 15.00 14.19  
 
CD-6   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PRAY FOR CHAMPAGNE 7 4 3½ 3½   13 15¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 7.39  
6  ISA LEI 4 1 1nk 2nk   23 25¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 29% 2.40 1.88 P
5  QUEEN LEXI 3 7 711¼ 713   79¼ 35¾ (short thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 6.39  
7  MIWOMAN 5 5 52¼ 55½   57 46¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.50 25% 2.90 2.13  
3  LINDSEY (GB) 2 2 62¼ 68   69 58¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 14.89  
8  QUEEN'S NOTICE 6 6 42 43½   47 69½ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 24% 3.10 10.84  
1  SHE'S SPLENDID 1 3 2nk 1nk   35 79½ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5.87  
SCR  BENT HALO               (humphries thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
SCR  NOTO               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
 
CD-7   11/17/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:12 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DAI VERNON 4 4 42½ 42 32 2nk 12¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 4.38  
6  SINGLE DOT YAHT 6 1 74¼ 74½ 64 42¼ 22¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 13% 6.80 5.69 P
1  YOU AIN'T POPPN 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 3.2 34 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 13% 6.40 2.83 S
2  GHAZAALY 2 3 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 46¾ (cerin vladim)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 48% 1.10 1.43  
3  CANT BE DOIN THAT 3 8 86¼ 86½ 86¾ 65¾ 59¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 17.29  
5  TEJAS 5 5 63¾ 64½ 74¼ 54¼ 69¾ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 16.93  
7  REDEMPTION TIME 7 6 31 31 42½ 88¾ 715 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 17.69  
8  MOBSTER GUN 8 7 53½ 54 53½ 78¼ 817 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 22.54  
 
CD-8   11/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:221 :443 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EXCESS MAGIC 3 2 11 12   15½ 16 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 24% 3.10 2.40 W
10  WILLTORUN 5 3 64½ 46½   25½ 26 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 2.74  
3  GO WEST 2 5 54 57   48 311½ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 33% 2.00 2.97 S
9  BOHEMIAN BO 4 1 21 22   36 412½ (vance thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 17.79  
12  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 7 4 33 36   511 515¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 13% 6.90 5.07  
11  VOODOO ZIP 6 7 79 713½   616½ 616 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00 24.03  
2  VULCAN 1 6 43 612   718 716½ (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 6.06  
SCR  AMBIVALENT               (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  COLOSSEO               (catalano w)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
SCR  FIELD DAY               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
SCR  JUST SAY WHEN               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  OF THE MOMENT               (williamson brian)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  OUTADORE               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.20    
SCR  ZOOMBIE               (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/17/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:121 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIGHLAND FALLS 2 5 45 53½ 2nk 1nk 12 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 66% 0.50 1.07 W
9  TEN DAYS LATER 7 3 67 43½ 41¼ 2nk 22 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 3.08  
3  SMILE MON 1 2 13½ 11½ 3.2 31 35¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00 6.41  
7  EMIRATES ROAD 5 7 79 75¼ 74¼ 43½ 48 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00 44.13  
8  JUST BATTLE 6 4 56½ 65 52¾ 55½ 511¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.34  
6  BASELINE BEATER 4 6 35 21½ 1nk 75¾ 614¼ (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 27.23  
5  J J'S JOKER 3 1 23½ 32½ 63¼ 65¾ 715 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 8.43  
SCR  BUBBA CAN DANCE               (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00    
SCR  REDEEMER               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.