Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.26  
KEE-2   Win (9/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $21.16 $21.16 13.16
KEE-3   Win (3/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.54 $9.54 1.54
KEE-4   Win (5/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.16 $10.16 2.16
KEE-5   Win (11/5/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $18.66 $18.66 8.66
KEE-6   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $34.86  
KEE-7   Win (10/1/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $9.34 $9.34  
KEE-8   Win (4/3/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $8.28  
KEE-9   Win (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 0 $10.68  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :463 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHAT'S UP BRO 2 1 1½ 11½   13 12½ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 1.13  
4  RAYMOND 4 4 32½ 21½   23 22½ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 116 8.00 28% 2.60 9.03 P
3  HEALING WATERS 3 2 43½ 55   36 35 (walden wil)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.98 S
5  CATIPARI 5 7 66½ 66   46 45¼ (navarrete a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 40.59  
1  FABRICATOR 1 5 78½ 78½   78¼ 55¾ (campbell joel)GRAHAM J 123 20.00 36.96  
7  LUCKY DUDE 6 6 55½ 45   56¼ 67¾ (johnston lane)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 19.57  
10  MUST BE LOVE 7 3 2½ 32   67¼ 718½ (pino v)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 2.67  
SCR  AIN'T STRAIGHT               (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 20.00    
SCR  ALL JOKES ASIDE               (meah m)HEARD TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  RUN RUN RAPIDASH               (kordenbrock m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00    
 
KEE-2   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:223 :471 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MA RAE'S GIRL 5 4 32½ 2nk   11½ 11¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.58 W
4  IN GOOD TASTE 4 6 65 52   33½ 21¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 8% 11.50 2.20 P
9  CONTROLLED TEMPER 7 2 76 77   57 33¼ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 42% 1.40 3.68 S
10  ADELEKE 8 3 1½ 1nk   21½ 44¼ (servis c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 12.25  
8  CORKAGE FEE 6 1 43 41½   45 56¼ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 11.33  
12  OCEAN BIRD 9 5 2½ 3½   68 618½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 3.14  
3  SHESPUN 3 7 55 62½   710 719½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 28% 2.60 9.54  
1  IMPECCABLE TIMING 1 8 87½ 910¼   915 820¼ (engler jeff)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 46.96  
2  WINDY WALK 2 9 910 87¼   813 925¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 16.43  
SCR  BACKWOODS BARBIE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  CITY SHACK               (burdess terry)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00    
SCR  GLORIETTE               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
SCR  TAPPIN INTO GENIUS               (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
 
KEE-3   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:114     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 1 7 41¾ 41   11½ 1¾ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 7% 12.90 3.77 W
6  STORY HOUR 6 1 3.2 2nk   31½ 2¾ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 2.50  
8  STYLE 8 8 88¾ 77½   65¼ 33 (campbell joel)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 20.05  
7  CONDIMENT GIRL 7 3 2nk 1nk   21½ 43 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00 9% 10.50 7.06  
3  HOME PORT 3 5 64¼ 64   75¼ 53½ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 47% 1.10 8.00  
2  TELL ME WHEN 2 4 52¼ 51½   43½ 64¼ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 9.44  
5  GIRL AFRAID 5 2 1nk 3½   53¾ 77½ (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 2.49  
4  STORMY EMPIRE 4 6 77¾ 89½   811¼ 822½ (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 121 20.00 6% 16.40 31.03  
 
KEE-4   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HE'S GOT THIS 6 4 54¼ 44 42½ 2nk 1¾ (hartman chri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 14% 6.20 4.08 W
8  HEARTBREAKER 7 1 2nk 1nk 11½ 1nk 2¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 2.77  
9  EXPENSIVE CUT 8 5 42¼ 33 32 33 33¼ (mosco robert)ROCCO S 122 5.00 6.03  
3  BIRD KING 3 6 64¼ 65¼ 56½ 57 411 (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 19% 4.10 3.29  
1  WHAT A COUNTRY 1 7 89¼ 78¼ 69½ 69½ 511¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00 21.52  
2  SOUL COAXING 2 2 1nk 2nk 21½ 45½ 612½ (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6.31  
5  BEEALEA 5 8 78¼ 89¼ 710½ 712 720¼ (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 39% 1.60 6.03  
4  GITA'S LAD 4 3 32 54¼ 813 819 846½ (young r)MOJICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00 30.99  
SCR  SUGOI               (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 10.00    
 
KEE-5   10/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:22 :454 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAKEUP 2 5 11 1½   12½ 14 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 21% 3.80 8.33 W
7  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF 7 2 21 2½   22½ 24 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 12.72  
8  SHORE WAR 8 7 53 52½   54 34½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 7.40  
11  TWO SIP SALLY 11 3 42 31   33 45¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 29% 2.50 2.12  
3  LYRICAL PARDON 3 4 31½ 41½   43½ 56¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 44.83  
5  INTO STARS 5 1 94¾ 95   66½ 66¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 22% 3.50 3.76  
10  LITTLE MISS MUNNY 10 10 106¾ 116¼   108¼ 78 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 25.17  
12  FANTASTICAL 12 12 84½ 84   98 88½ (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 37.83  
1  SOTONA 1 8 63 73½   76½ 99 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 69.69  
6  DR. RAY D. 6 9 117¼ 105¼   1110¼ 1011¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 8% 10.90 5.45  
9  SAVE THE MISCHIEF 9 6 73½ 62½   87½ 1111½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.84  
4  MISS TAPTRESS 4 11 128¼ 127¾   1210¾ 1212 (lightner mary)LANERIE J 119 30.00 43.90  
SCR  HAMBLE               (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY BAYTOWN               (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
SCR  PROGENY               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  WALK STREET               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BOSS 1 7 51¾ 63   1nk 12¼ (hernandez ar)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 16.43  
4  SHOOTERS SHOOT 4 6 62¼ 41½   2nk 22¼ (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 10% 9.50 1.68 P
2  MAILMAN MONEY 2 1 2nk 31½   44½ 37½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 1.71  
3  THE QUEENS JULES 3 4 3.2 52   54¾ 49¼ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 53% 0.90 8.70  
8  GROUP EIGHTEEN 7 5 1nk 11   32½ 511¼ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 8.87  
5  UPSTRIKER 5 2 4¾ 21   65¾ 616 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 14% 6.10 6.05  
7  SPEIGHT AND MALICE 6 3 72¼ 76½   78¼ 718½ (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00 20.65  
SCR  CALL ME MIDNIGHT               (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
SCR  DERBY DATE               (contreras cipria)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50    
 
KEE-7   10/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:113 1:36   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 4 5 31½ 52 43 1nk 1¼ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6% 16.10 3.67 W
1  MACKILLOP 1 1 95¾ 94¾ 105¾ 42¾ 2¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 18% 4.40 8.52 P
3  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 3 9 106¼ 105¾ 116¼ 63¾ 31 (pitts helen)MOJICA O 120 4.50 15% 5.70 6.50 S
6  SIR LONDON 6 3 21 3½ 21 2nk 41½ (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 5.52  
9  REDEMPTION TIME 9 10 74 73¼ 84¼ 73¾ 53¼ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 34.85  
8  TEN DAYS LATER 8 12 129¼ 116¼ 95¼ 32½ 63¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 5.00 13% 6.70 12.86  
7  EL AHIJADO 7 11 118¾ 126¾ 128¼ 85¼ 74¾ (guerrero sal)TORRES A 122 50.00 ######  
10  AMERICAN DIAMOND 10 6 52½ 62¼ 63¼ 95½ 88¼ (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 27% 2.80 4.15  
5  ENDPOINT 5 4 63½ 84¾ 74¼ 107 99¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 6.99  
12  TIVERTON (GB) 12 8 84¼ 1nk 11 53¼ 1010 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 11.19  
2  MENDEL'S SECRET 2 2 11 2nk 32½ 117½ 1116½ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 14.57  
11  HARDY CHOICE 11 7 42½ 41½ 53 129½ 1218¼ (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 94.91  
SCR  DOUBLE CLUTCH               (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
SCR  GRAND ASPEN               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
SCR  KARMA DIRECTOR               (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL               (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:131 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WINNEMAC AVENUE 11 9 21 21 1nk 13 13½ (divito james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 3.14  
4  JR'S GIFT 4 2 75½ 63½ 53 34½ 23½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.00 43% 1.30 6.28 P
3  DANCE SOME MO 3 3 11 11 2nk 23 38½ (rosin w)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00 26% 2.90 9.18 S
9  BRIGHT SPARK 9 10 1111 118¼ 118 78 49 (flint s)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.17  
10  WASHINGTON'S UNION 10 11 54½ 42 31 56½ 511¾ (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00 43.28  
2  GAMER 2 6 33 32 41½ 46 611¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 6% 14.90 12.88  
7  GLEN AIRY 7 7 86½ 74 63¼ 68 712½ (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 27.00  
8  WINSTON WOLF 8 4 65 84½ 95½ 88¼ 812¾ (oliver victoria)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 27.76  
1  PRINCELY 1 5 1010½ 108 108 108¾ 916 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 3.48  
6  HONED 6 1 43½ 52½ 73¼ 119¾ 1016¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.01  
5  FUNNY UNCLE 5 8 97 95 85¼ 98¾ 1116¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
SCR  FAST FALL               (hernandez javier)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   10/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :452 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLOUDWALKER 9 8 73½ 63½   31½ 13 (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 4.34  
6  CABERNEIGH 6 3 11 1½   1½ 23 (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00 48.12  
7  COPPERDROP 7 2 21 2½   2½ 33¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 6.15  
9  JOKE MASTER 8 5 42 42   43½ 46½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.46  
3  SATIN BLUE 3 6 63 73¾   53½ 56½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 ★ 5.30  
4  WONDER WAVE (IRE) 4 11 84½ 85¾   65½ 66¾ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 75% 0.30 3.07  
2  MODERN SOUND 2 7 127 118¼   108¾ 77 (block chris)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 ★ 6.71  
5  HAUNTRESS 5 12 105½ 95¾   86¾ 88¼ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 14.55  
11  UNMATCHED 10 1 52½ 53   97¾ 911 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00 48.26  
1  CHARM OF THE SONG 1 4 31½ 32   75¾ 1011¾ (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 ★ 8.23  
14  LUMINOUS RULER 12 9 116½ 128¾   1114¾ 1121¼ (barnett c)COURT K 119 30.00 61.52  
12  LOLA'S LIGHT 11 10 94½ 106¾   1217¼ 1229 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 30.64  
SCR  DESTINY STAR               (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S A NATIVE               (holden darra)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
SCR  STREET VIEW               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
SCR  TIPSY RUNNER               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.